• Title/Summary/Keyword: HGLM

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Development of the Prediction Method for Hospital Bankruptcy using a Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model(HGIM) (HGLM을 적용한 병원 도산 예측방법의 개발)

  • Noh, Maeng-Seok;Chang, Hye-Jung;Lee, Young-Jo
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.22-36
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    • 2001
  • The hospital bankruptcy rate is increasing, therefore it is very important to predict the bankruptcy using the existing hospital management information. The hospital bankruptcy is often measured in year intervals, called grouped duration data, not by the continuous time elapsed to the bankruptcy. This study introduces a hierarchical generalized linear model(HGLM) for analysis of hospital bankruptcy data. The hazard function for each hospital may be influenced by unobservable latent variables, and these unknown variables are usually termed as random effects or frailties which explain correlations among repeated measures of the same hospital and describe individual heterogeneities of hospitals. Practically, the data of twenty bankrupt and sixty profitable hospitals were collected for five years, and were fitted to HGLM. The results were compared with those of the logit model. While the logit model resulted only in the effects of explanatory variables on the bankruptcy status at specific period, the HGLM showed variables with significant effects over all observed years. It is concluded that the HGLM with a fixed ratio and a period of total asset turnrounds was justified, and could find significant within and between hospital variations.

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ML estimation using Poisson HGLM approach in semi-parametric frailty models

  • Ha, Il Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.1389-1397
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    • 2016
  • Semi-parametric frailty model with nonparametric baseline hazards has been widely used for the analyses of clustered survival-time data. The frailty models can be fitted via an auxiliary Poisson hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM). For the inferences of the frailty model marginal likelihood, which gives MLE, is often used. The marginal likelihood is usually obtained by integrating out random effects, but it often requires an intractable integration. In this paper, we propose to obtain the MLE via Laplace approximation using a Poisson HGLM approach for semi-parametric frailty model. The proposed HGLM approach uses hierarchical-likelihood (h-likelihood), which avoids integration itself. The proposed method is illustrated using a numerical study.

HGLM and EB Estimation Methods for Disease Mapping (HGLM과 EB 추정법을 이용한 질병지도의 작성)

  • 김영원;조나경
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.431-443
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    • 2004
  • For the purpose of disease mapping, we consider the four small area estimation techniques to estimate the mortality rate of small areas; direct, Empirical estimation with total moment estimator and local moment estimator, Estimation based on hierarchial generalized linear model. The estimators are compared by empirical study based on lung cancer mortality data from 2000 Annual Reports on the Cause of Death Statistics in Gyeongsang-Do and Jeonla-Do published by Korean National Statistical Office. Also he stability and efficiency of these estimators are investigated in terms of mean square deviation as well as variation of estimates.

Sire Evaluation of Count Traits with a Poisson-Gamma Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model

  • Lee, C.;Lee, Y.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.642-647
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    • 1998
  • A Poisson error model as a generalized linear mixed model (GLMM) has been suggested for genetic analysis of counted observations. One of the assumptions in this model is the normality for random effects. Since this assumption is not always appropriate, a more flexible model is needed. For count traits, a Poisson hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM) that does not require the normality for random effects was proposed. In this paper, a Poisson-Gamma HGLM was examined along with corresponding analytical methods. While a difficulty arises with Poisson GLMM in making inferences to the expected values of observations, it can be avoided with the Poisson-Gamma HGLM. A numerical example with simulated embryo yield data is presented.

Joint HGLM approach for repeated measures and survival data

  • Ha, Il Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.1083-1090
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    • 2016
  • In clinical studies, different types of outcomes (e.g. repeated measures data and time-to-event data) for the same subject tend to be observed, and these data can be correlated. For example, a response variable of interest can be measured repeatedly over time on the same subject and at the same time, an event time representing a terminating event is also obtained. Joint modelling using a shared random effect is useful for analyzing these data. Inferences based on marginal likelihood may involve the evaluation of analytically intractable integrations over the random-effect distributions. In this paper we propose a joint HGLM approach for analyzing such outcomes using the HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model) method based on h-likelihood (i.e. hierarchical likelihood), which avoids these integration itself. The proposed method has been demonstrated using various numerical studies.

A HGLM framework for Meta-Analysis of Clinical Trials with Binary Outcomes

  • Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1429-1440
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    • 2008
  • In a meta-analysis combining the results from different clinical trials, it is important to consider the possible heterogeneity in outcomes between trials. Such variations can be regarded as random effects. Thus, random-effect models such as HGLMs (hierarchical generalized linear models) are very useful. In this paper, we propose a HGLM framework for analyzing the binominal response data which may have variations in the odds-ratios between clinical trials. We also present the prediction intervals for random effects which are in practice useful to investigate the heterogeneity of the trial effects. The proposed method is illustrated with a real-data set on 22 trials about respiratory tract infections. We further demonstrate that an appropriate HGLM can be confirmed via model-selection criteria.

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A study using HGLM on regional difference of the dead due to injuries (손상으로 인한 사망자의 지역별 차이에 대한 HGLM을 이용한 연구)

  • Kim, Kil-Hun;Noh, Maeng-Seok;Ha, Il-Do
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.137-148
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we systematically investigate regional differences of the dead due to injuries in cities, towns and counties about transportation accidents, suicides and fall accidents, which have recently been an important issue of health problems in Korea, The data are from the Annual Report on the Cause of Death Statistics in Korea in 2008. They include the deaths over the age 19 from transportation accidents, suicides and fall accidents with the criterion of the International Statistical Classification of Diseases. Poisson HGLM is applied to estimate the mortality rate under the assumption that the number of deaths follow a Poisson distribution, by considering regions as random effects and by adjusting age, sex and standardized residence tax as fixed effects. Using the results of random effects prediction, the regional differences in cities, counties and towns are marked in disease mapping. The results showed that there were significant regional differences of mortality rates for transportation accidents and suicides, but no significant differences for fall accidents.

Small area estimations for disease mapping by using spatial model (질병지도 작성을 위해 공간모형을 이용한 소지역 추정)

  • An, Daeseong;Han, Junhee;Yoon, Taeho;Kim, Changhoon;Noh, Maengseok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2015
  • SMRs (standardized mortality rates) for major diseases, accidents, cancer are considered in small areas of administrative units such as Eup/Myeon/Dong from years 2005 to 2008. Due to small sample issue in small areas, the precision of directly estimated crude SMR for each area can be low. In this study, we consider the HGLM (hierarchical generalized linear model) with MRF (Markov random field) to account for the spatial correlations among the small areas. The effects of covariates for cause of mortality by Dongs in Seoul and disease maps based on the estimated SMR are presented. The results suggest how we analyze and interpret the difference in mortalities by small areas such as Dongs by revealing the spatial patterns.

Determinants of the Working Poor : An Analysis Using Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model (근로계층의 빈곤 결정요인에 관한 다층분석)

  • Kim, Kyo-Seong;Choi, Young
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.119-141
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    • 2006
  • This study aims to explore the status and characteristics of the working poor and to identify the major determinants of their statistic status. For this, longitudinal panel data (from 2nd wave(1999) data to 7th wave(2004) data) from Korean Labor and Income Panel Study (KLIPS), is used. The data is analyzed by adopting Hierarchical Generalized Linear Model (HGLM), which is known as an app.opriate data analysis method for the hierarchically structured data, to look at the factors that affect on the poverty status of the working people. The results show that 1) it is estimated that about 1 out of 10 working people (about 10.0%) are poor, and 2) sex, education level, marital status, region where they lives, employment status, occupation type, and industry type that they are working at are significant predictors in determining their poverty status. Unlike the results of the previous studies, however, the number of the household member, age are not influenced on their poverty status. Based on these results, several policy implications are presented at the end of this paper.

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Impact of individual traits, urban character and urban form on selecting cars as transportation mode for work travel (통근통행을 위한 통행수단으로서 자동차 선택에 개인속성 및 도시특성, 도시형태가 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Gunwon;Jeong, Yunnam;Kim, Seiyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.3240-3250
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    • 2014
  • This study aims to draw a correlation in the choice of automobiles as the preferred mode of personal transport in relation to three factors: 5Ds, urban form and individual-level characteristics. The analysis result shows that the control at the individual level is required to analyze effective urban character and urban form elements to decrease the car choice and the 5Ds demonstrate meaningful relation to decreasing the car choice. However, it may be concluded that the density and the diversity, well-known elements in decreasing the car choice among Western cities do not show relatively large impact on Korean cities.