• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.563-572
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• 2007

Transportation infrastructure is critical to economic growth of a country such as China. Careful evaluation of investments in traffic infrastructure projects is therefore pertinent. As traditional evaluation methods do not consider the uncertainty of future cash flows and mobility during project execution, the real option approach is gradually gaining recognition in the context of valuing construction and infrastructure projects. However, many of the cases only evaluate individual options separately although multiple options often exist in a typical large infrastructure project. Using a highway project in China as a case study, this paper first evaluates a deferment option and a growth option embedded in the project. Subsequently, the values are combined using the fuzzy analytical hierarchy process. It is found that the combined value is less than the sum of the two option values. This finding is consistent with the theoretical observations given in past real option literature despite the use of a different approach.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.35-43
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• 2023

Purpose: As Thailand seeks to become a regional startup hub, Thai startups have been acquiring growth and scalability in the last ten years. Hence, this paper examines influential factors in Thailand's growth of logistics tech startups. The conceptual framework incorporates sensing user needs, sensing technological options, conceptualizing, scaling, and stretching, co-producing, and orchestrating, business strategy, strategic flexibility, and startup growth. Research design, data, and methodology: The quantitative method was applied to distribute the questionnaire to 500 managers and above in logistics tech startups in Thailand. The sampling techniques involve judgmental, convenience, and snowball samplings. Before the data collection, The Item Objective Congruence (IOC) Index and pilot test (n=45) were employed for content validity and reliability. The data were mainly analyzed by Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA) and Structural Equation Model (SEM). Results: The findings revealed that sensing technological options, scaling, and stretching, co-producing, and orchestrating, and business strategy significantly influence the growth of startups in Thailand. Nevertheless, sensing user needs, conceptualizing, and strategic flexibility have no significant relationship with startup growth. Conclusions: For Thailand to accelerate its digital economy driven by tech startups, firms must emphasize influential factors to accelerate growth by providing the right tech solutions for people's lives.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국기술혁신학회 2001년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.307-337
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• 2001

In this paper, we propose the valuation frame of the IT(Information Technology) ventures using ROV(Real Options Valuation) model. Generally, ROV can comprises the traditional valuation method such as DCF(Discounted Cash Flow), which can measure only the tangible value of a firm from the expected future earnings, in that ROV can additionally measure the intangible value such as the strategic value of a firm in the uncertain environment. We set up the hypothetic IT venture future investment plan and assume that there are a growth option and a switching option consequently along the investment time horizon, which are caused by each characteristics of ventures and IT technologies, especially modularity. In the case that there are several embedded real options in the firm's investment plan in a row, we should apply the compound option pricing model as a real option valuation model in order to consider the value interaction between real options. In an addition, we present the results of optimal investment timing analysis using real options approach and compare them. with those of the original assumed investment timing.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국기술혁신학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.181-198
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• 2002

This article describes a methodology for evaluating huge aerospace R&D investments using the real options pricing method. Option pricing has been proposed as a useful approach for modeling investment in R&D. Two important features of R&D investments are that an R&D project takes time to complete and that the outcome of R&D investments is highly uncertain. This makes the analysis of R&D investments difficult. Traditional tools for project evaluation, like IRR or the NPV, are inadequate for coping with the high uncertainty. Hence, In this article I propose a log-transformed binomal lattice method, and it will show that option pricing might be an adequate framework for evaluating such types of aerospace investments.

• Asian Journal of Business Environment
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• 제12권4호
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• pp.13-24
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• 2022

Purpose: Motivated by an expedited growth and distribution of Online Food-Delivery (OFD) services, especially during the recent Covid-19 pandemic, this research aims to explore 1) how consumers' sustainability considerations are associated with satisfaction with the services via opt-out cutlery options and 2) the role of the pandemic in the relationships between sustainability considerations, attitudes toward opt-out cutlery options, and satisfaction with the OFD services. Data and Methodology: An analysis of survey data using 434 consumers in the United States recruited from Amazon M-Turk was conducted using structural equation modeling. Results: Findings suggest that consumers' environmental, health, and ethical considerations are positively related to their attitudes toward opt-out cutlery options. Furthermore, attitudes toward opt-out cutlery options are positively related to satisfaction with the OFD services only when they feel connected with the environment, driven by perceived threats of an infectious disease (i.e. Covid-19). Conclusion: The study findings provide new insights to managers in the OFD service industry on how to promote sustainable consumption during the pandemic.

• 한국산업정보학회논문지
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• 제24권3호
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• pp.1-21
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• 2019

본 연구는 다음의 세 가지 목적을 갖는다. 첫째, 98개 미국기업의 11년(1999년에서 2009년)치 자료를 통하여 정보기술(IT) 관련 투자가 기업의 재고회전율에 미치는 영향을 분석한다. 둘째, 기업 및 산업의 특성이 재고회전율에 미치는 영향을 살펴본다. 구체적으로, 기업의 특성을 반영하기 위하여 수직결합도(vertical integration)와 성장옵션(growth option)을 고려하였고 기업이 속한 산업의 특성을 반영하기 위해 산업역동성(industry dynamism)과 산업집중도(industry concentration)를 선택하였다. 셋째, 분석 대상기업의 재고회전율에 대한 시계열적 추세를 검토한다. 본 연구의 주요 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 정보기술 투자와 성장옵션은 재고회전율에 양의 영향을 주었다. 둘째, 수직결합도와 산업집중도는 재고회전율은 음의 영향을 주었다. 셋째, 재고회전율에 대한 산업역동성의 효과는 양의 값을 보였다. 마지막으로 분석기간 동안 재고회전율과 '조정된 재고회전율'로 표현된 재고생산성(inventory productivity)의 상승추세를 확인하였다.

• 재무관리연구
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.149-182
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• 2007

본 연구는 한국유가증권시장(거래소시장)에 상장된 기업 중 1997년부터 2002년까지 스톡옵션을 부여한 기업을 소유경영기업과 전문경영기업으로 분류하여 스톡옵션 도입 후 장기성과에 영향을 주는 요인을 분석한다. 스톡옵션 제도의 도입목적이 주주와 경영자 사이의 대리인비용 절감이라면, 소유경영기업보다는 전문경영기업이 스톡옵션 도입 후 장기성과를 분석하는데 적합할 것이다. 선행연구에서는 주주와 경영자 사이의 대리인비용은 경영자지분과 시가장부가비율이 낮을수록, 현금흐름률, 매출성장률이 높을수록 높다고 주장하였다. 본 연구는 다양한 대리인비용의 대용치를 사용하여 스톡옵션 부여 후 장기주가성과를 분석하였다. 연구결과 전문경영기업의 장기주가성과는 경영자지분 및 시가장부가비율과는 음의관계를, 매출 성장률, 일인당 옵션규모와는 양의 관계를 갖는다. 반면에 소유경영기업의 장기주가성과는 현금흐름률 및 매출성장률과는 음의관계를, 자산규모와는 양의관계를 갖는다. 이러한 결과는 전문경영기업에서는 주주와 경영자 사이의 대리인비용이 스톡옵션 도입 후 성과를 결정하는 중요한 요소임을 의미한다. 그러나 소유경영기업에서는 스톡옵션이 주주와 경영자 사이의 대리인비용 절감 보다는 비현금보상, 신호, 기업 내 대리인비용 절감 등의 목적으로 이용된다는 가능성을 제시한다. 본 연구는 기업특성과 목적에 부합하도록 스톡옵션을 활용하는 것이 기업 성과 향상에 기여한다는 해석과 일관성이 있다.

• East Asian Economic Review
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• 제23권2호
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• pp.169-202
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• 2019

Productivity in agriculture or services has long been understood as playing an important role in the growth of manufacturing. In this paper we present a general equilibrium model in which manufacturing growth is stimulated by non-manufacturing sectors that provides goods used in both research and final consumption. The model permits the evaluation of two policy options for stimulating manufacturing growth: (1) a country imports more non-manufacturing goods from a foreign country with higher productivity and (2) a country increases productivity of domestic non-manufacturing. We find that both policies improve welfare of the economy, but depending on the policy the manufacturing sector responses differently. Specifically, employment and value-added in manufacturing increase with policy (1), but contract with policy (2). Therefore, specialization of the import non-manufactured goods helps explain why some Asian economies experience rapid growth in the manufacturing sector without progress in other sectors.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.149-161
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• 2018

항만수변도시 재생계획에 스마트 성장원칙을 적용하기 위해 도시계획요소와 성장원칙에 대한 연관성을 분석한 결과 적용 가능성이 높은 것으로 나타났다. 연관성 분석에서 도출된 스마트 성장원칙을 제주시 탑동 재생계획에 적용할 수 있는 디자인 가이드라인 요소는 ⯈ 걷기에 적합한 커뮤니티 조성, ⯈ 확실한 장소성을 가진 차별화되고 매력적인 커뮤니티 조성, ⯈ 오픈스페이스, 바닷가, 아름다운 자연경관, 환경적으로 중요한 지역보존, ⯈ 기존커뮤니티를 위한 개발 강화와 유도, ⯈ 교통수단선택의 다양성 제공 등이다. 이를 기반으로 제주항 재개발계획에는 ⯈ 복합적 토지 이용 ⯈ 고밀설계방식의 이점활용, ⯈ 다양한 주거기회와 선택권 제공 등을 실시 설계 시 적용할 것을 제안하였으며 통합적인 항만수변도시 재생계획 시 스마트 성장원칙을 적용할 필요성이 높은 것으로 조사되었다.

• 신재생에너지
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.18-27
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• 2011

Management flexibility to adapt its future actions in response to altered future market conditions can expand the value of an investment opportunity by improving its upside potential without the change in the downside losses. Module manufacturers in solar industry continuously have to decide how much and when its production capacity should be expanded with regards to the demand in the global markets. Either over- or under-investment can cause sunk and/or opportunity costs to the module manufacturers. Option of exercising the additional investments only on favorable opportunities can increase total value of the investment. This paper analyzes the case which shows that the expansion of production capacity with more expandibility can have more value than the rigid plan of capacity expansion. The expansion option value is equivalent to KRW 38.286 billion, thus switching the negative NPV of the initial investment opportunity into the positive value. High volatility and the high growth in the cashflows as the major business features of the renewable energy provide condition where real options can play the crucial role in increasing the investment value as well as in determining the size and timing of capacity expansion in the course of capital budgeting process.