• 제목/요약/키워드: Google Trends

검색결과 135건 처리시간 0.03초

A Causality Analysis of Lottery Gambling and Unemployment in Thailand

  • KHANTHAVIT, Anya
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권8호
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    • pp.149-156
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    • 2021
  • Gambling negatively affects the economy, and it brings unwanted financial, social, and health outcomes to gamblers. On the one hand, unemployment is argued to be a leading cause of gambling. On the other hand, gambling can cause unemployment in the second-order via gambling-induced poor health, falling productivity, and crime. In terms of significant effects, previous studies were able to establish an association, but not causality. The current study examines the time-sequence and contemporaneous causalities between lottery gambling and unemployment in Thailand. The Granger causality and directed acyclic graph (DAG) tests employ time-series data on gambling- and unemployment-related Google Trends indexes from January 2004 to April 2021 (208 monthly observations). These tests are based on the estimates from a vector autoregressive (VAR) model. Granger causality is a way to investigate causality between two variables in a time series. However, this approach cannot detect the contemporaneous causality among variables that occurred within the same period. The contemporaneous causal structure of gambling and unemployment was identified via the data-determined DAG approach. The use of time-series Google Trends indexes in gambling studies is new. Based on this data set, unemployment is found to contemporaneously cause gambling, whereas gambling Granger causes unemployment. The causalities are circular and last for four months.

Comparison study of SARIMA and ARGO models for in influenza epidemics prediction

  • Jung, Jihoon;Lee, Sangyeol
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.1075-1081
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    • 2016
  • The big data analysis has received much attention from the researchers working in various fields because the big data has a great potential in detecting or predicting future events such as epidemic outbreaks and changes in stock prices. Reflecting the current popularity of big data analysis, many authors have proposed methods tracking influenza epidemics based on internet-based information. The recently proposed 'autoregressive model using Google (ARGO) model' (Yang et al., 2015) is one of those influenza tracking models that harness search queries from Google as well as the reports from the Centers for Disease Control (CDC), and appears to outperform the existing method such as 'Google Flu Trends (GFT)'. Although the ARGO predicts well the outbreaks of influenza, this study demonstrates that a classical seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model can outperform the ARGO. The SARIMA model incorporates more accurate seasonality of the past influenza activities and takes less input variables into account. Our findings show that the SARIMA model is a functional tool for monitoring influenza epidemics.

인터넷 검색을 통한 암호화폐 수익률 및 변동성에 대한 인과검정: 적률인과 접근 (Tests for Causality from Internet Search to Return and Volatility of Cryptocurrency: Evidence from Causality in Moments)

  • 정기호;하성호
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.289-301
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    • 2020
  • Purpose This study analyzes whether Internet search of cryptocurrency has a causal relationship to return and volatility of cryptocurrency. Design/methodology/approach Google Trend was used as a measure of the level of Internet search, and the parametric tests of Granger causality in the 1st moment and the 2nd moment were adopted as the analysis method. We used Bitcoin's dollar-based price, which is the No. 1 market value among cryptocurrency. Findings The results showed that the Internet search measured by Google Trends has a causal relationship to cryptocurrency in both average and volatility, while there is a difference in causality and its degree according to the search area and category that Google Trend user should set. Because the Granger causality is based on the improvement of prediction, the analysis results of this study indicate that Internet search can be used as a leading indicator in predicting return and volatility of cryptocurrency.

Google Earth를 활용한 포항 송도해수욕장의 해안선 변화 감시(2003-2010) (Monitoring Shoreline Changes at the Songdo Beach, Pohang, during 2003-2010, using Google Earth)

  • 최진호;엄정섭
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines the spatial and temporal variability in the shoreline boundary caused by artificial structures in Songdo Beach of South Korea. Quickbird Images of 2003, 2005, 2007, and 2010 extracted from Google Earth were used to identify changing trends of shoreline boundary. The most significant changes were observed in area where groins were extensively established, inducing the sand beach much narrower than before in almost 75% of the area($15070.72m^2$ in 2003 to $3877.46m^2$ in 2010). The Google Earth made it possible to identify area-wide patterns of shoreline change subject to many different type of artificial structures, which cannot be acquired by traditional field sampling. Groin heights, lengths and profiles can be modified during maintenance operations if the Google Earth monitoring indicates that the initial layout is not operating properly as a physical barrier to control sediment transport. It is anticipated that this research could be used as a valuable reference to confirm the outputs from past field researches for coastal processes to respond to storms in more visual and quantitative manner.

소셜 빅데이터와 Google 검색트렌드를 활용한 한국과 미국의 사이버불링 검색에 영향을 미치는 요인 분석 (Social Factors Affecting Internet Searches on Cyber Bullying in Korea and America Using Social Big Data and Google Search Trends)

  • 송태민;송주영;천미경
    • 한국빅데이터학회지
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구의 목적은 소셜 빅데이터와 Google 검색 트렌드를 활용하여 한국과 미국의 사이버불링 검색에 영향을 미치는 요인을 분석하는 것이다. 한국의 사이버불링 요인 분석은 2011년 1월 1일부터 2013년 3월 31일까지 총 227개 소셜미디어에서 수집된 검색통계를 활용하였고, 미국은 2004년 1월 1일부터 2013년 12월 22일까지 구글 검색트렌드에서 검색된 검색량을 분석대상으로 하였다. 첫째 위계적 회귀분석결과 스트레스가 사이버불링에 미치는 영향은 한국이 미국보다 많은 것으로 나타났다. 둘째 다중집단 구조모형 분석결과 한국과 미국 모두 스트레스에서 운동, 음주, 사이버불링으로 가는 경로가 정적(+)으로 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 셋째, 한국과 미국은 모든 경로에서 집단 간 유의미한 차이를 보이고 있으며, '스트레스 ${\rightarrow}$ 운동', '스트레스 ${\rightarrow}$ 음주', '음주 ${\rightarrow}$ 사이버불링', '스트레스 ${\rightarrow}$ 사이버불링' 경로가 한국이 미국보다 더 유의하게 강하게 나타났다. 한국의 청소년과 성인은 사이버불링과 관련한 담론을 주고받으며, 이러한 언급이 실제적인 사이버불링과 관련된 심리적 행동적 특성으로 노출이 될 수 있기 때문에 SNS상에 사이버불링 행위에 대한 위험징후가 예측되면 실시간으로 개입할 수 있는 온라인 애플리케이션이 개발되어야 할 것이다.

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인터넷 검색추세를 활용한 빅데이터 기반의 주식투자전략에 대한 연구 (A Study on Big Data Based Investment Strategy Using Internet Search Trends)

  • 김민수;구평회
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.53-63
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    • 2013
  • Together with soaring interest on Big Data, now there are vigorous reports that unearth various social values lying underneath those data from a number of application areas. Among those reports many are using such data as Internet search histories from Google site, social relationships from Facebook, and transactional or locational traces collected from various ubiquitous devices. Many of those researches, however, are conducted based on the data sets that are accumulated over the North American and European areas, which means that direct interpretation and application of social values exhibited by those researches to the other areas like Korea can be a disturbing task. This research has started from a validation study against Korean environment of the former paper which says an investment strategy that exploits up and down of Google search volume on a carefully selected set of terms shows high market performance. A huge difference between North American and Korean environment can be eye witnessed via the distinction in profit rates that are exhibited by the corresponding set of search terms. Two sets of search terms actually presented low correlation in their profit rates over two financial markets. Even in an experiment which compares the profit rates with two different investment periods with the same set of search terms showed no such meaningful result that outperforms the market average. With all these results, we cautiously conclude that establishing an investment strategy that exploits Internet search volume over a specified word set needs more conscious approach.

대기오염에 따른 환경성 질환의 인자 분석: Big Data를 통한 Google 트렌드 데이터의 분석 및 영향 (Factor analysis of Environmental Disease by Air Pollution: Analysis and Implication of Google Trends Data with Big Data)

  • 최길용;이수민;이철민;서성철
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제44권6호
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    • pp.563-571
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    • 2018
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study was to investigate the environmental pollution caused by exposure to air pollution in Korea. Therefore, it is necessary to investigate environmental and health factors through big data. Methods: Among the environmental diseases, the data centered on "percentage per day in 2015 to 2018". Data of environmental diseases and concentrations of air pollution monitoring network were analyzed. Results: Lung cancer and bronchiolitis obliterans were correlated with 0.027 and 0.0158, respectively, in the contamination concentration of fine dust ($PM_{10}$). Ozone, COPD, allergic rhinitis, and bronchiolitis obliterans were correlated with 0.0022, 0.0028 and 0.0093, respectively. At the concentration of $SO_2$ and the diseases of asthma, atopic dermatitis, lung cancer and bronchiolitis obliterans were 0.0008, 0.0523, 0.0016 and 0.0126, respectively. Conclusions: We surveyed the trends of air pollution according to the characteristics of Seoul area in Korea and evaluated the perception of Korea and the world. As a result, respiratory lung disease is thought to be a major factor in exposure to environmental pollution.

QuickBird 다중분광자료를 이용한 산림 지형효과의 NDVI 특성 (Evaluating changing trends of impervious ratio in KNU campus using Google Earth)

  • 정연준;김혜림;김준현
    • 한국GIS학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국GIS학회 2010년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.6-8
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    • 2010
  • 불투수면의 증가는 물, 대기의 순환 과정 교란뿐만 아니라, 자연 생태계 전반에 심각한 문제를 야기하기 때문에 도심의 자연 환경의 질을 평가 할 수 있는 중요한 척도가 되고 있다. 본 연구는 Google Earth와 수치지도를 이용하여 경북대학교 캠퍼스의 불투수율 변화추세를 정량적으로 비교 평가하는 방안을 제안한다. 경북대 캠퍼스 전체 면적에 대한 2003년과 2009년 각각의 불투수면적은 25%에서 42%로 증가하였고, 투수면적은 약 74%에서 57%로 감소하였다. 이러한 경과는 캠퍼스 개발과정에 있어 필요한 개선점을 지침화 할 수 있고, 캠퍼스 자연환경의 보전과정에서 발생할 수 있는 문제점과 시행착오 등을 사전에 점검할 수 있는 중요한 기초자료를 확보할 수 있을 것이다.

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'일반 검색 서비스'의 시장지배력 남용 판결 사례 분석 - Google에 대한 EC의 판결문을 중심으로 (Antitrust Case of the General Search Service -Focusing on EC's Decision about Google Case)

  • 남상준;이성준
    • 전자통신동향분석
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    • 제33권2호
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    • pp.64-76
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    • 2018
  • This paper addresses the antitrust case of Google's general search service to find evidence and logic used for defining markets, and the proof of dominant power and its abuse in detail. This antitrust case has certain meaning because it is not easy to apply traditional approaches to a general search service, which has two-sided market characteristics. This paper finds some implications through an analysis of the antitrust case shown below. First, for market definition, the overall qualitative analysis can be used to draw conclusions without a quantitative analysis, such as a Small but Significant and Non-transitory Increasing in Price (SSNIP) analysis. Second, the multi-homing behavior seems to be one of the key factors in judging the dominant power in Internet-based services. Lastly, the fact that the value of traffic can differ based on the traffic source needs to be considered to address the competition issue of Internet-based services.

빅데이터를 활용한 빈곤, 실업, 질병, 우울증과의 구조모형 연구 : Google 트랜드를 중심으로 (A Study on the structural model of poverty, unemployment, disease, and depression using Big data: focused on Google Trends)

  • 이형하
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2021년도 제63차 동계학술대회논문집 29권1호
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    • pp.119-120
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    • 2021
  • 본 연구의 목적은 Big Data를 활용하여 우리나라 빈곤, 실업, 질병의 우울증과의 인과관계를 규명하고자 한다. 이를 위해 Google 트랜드의 지난 5년간(2015.12. 27~2020.12.20.)의 빈곤-실업-질병-우울증 등의 주제어 중심의 분석을 시도하였다. 분석결과, 빈곤(B=.295, p<.001)과 실업(B=.404, p<.001)은 질병에 유의미한 영향을 미치며, 빈곤(B=.150, p<.01)과 질병(B=.186, p<.01) 및 실업(B=.466, p<.001)은 우울증에 유의미한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

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