• 제목/요약/키워드: Global coupled model

검색결과 152건 처리시간 0.032초

대기/해양 접합 GCM을 이용한 지구 온난화의 추정 (Estimation of Global Warming by Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean GCM)

  • 김정우;박지업
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산유체공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술대회논문집
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    • pp.14-19
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    • 2000
  • A coupled general circulation model (GCM) of the global atmosphere, oceans and lands is used for finding the future climate at times of doubled carbon dioxide concentration (DCDC) of the atmosphere. Two runs of the model were made in order to find the future change. Global changes at times of DCDC may be characterized by a global warmig of $1.4^{\circ}C$, a $3\%$ global precipitation increase, and an increase in the surface available water (SAW) over the global land among others. The estimated increase in SAW over the land implies that river discharge is likely to increase with increased chance of severe weather as a result of the future global warming.

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전지구 예보모델의 대기-해양 약한 결합자료동화 활용성에 대한 연구 (Application of Weakly Coupled Data Assimilation in Global NWP System)

  • 윤현진;박혜선;김범수;박정현;임정옥;부경온;강현석
    • 대기
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.219-226
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    • 2019
  • Generally, the weather forecast system has been run using prescribed ocean condition. As it is widely known that coupling between atmosphere and ocean process produces consistent initial condition at all-time scales to improve forecast skill, there are many trials on the application of data assimilation of coupled model. In this study, we implemented a weakly coupled data assimilation (short for WCDA) system in global NWP model with low horizontal resolution for coupled forecast with uncoupled initialization, following WCDA system at the Met Office. The experiment is carried out for a typhoon evolution forecast in 2017. Air-sea exchange process provides SST cooling and gives a substantial impact on tendency of central pressure changes in the decaying phase of the typhoon, except the underestimated central pressure. Coupled data assimilation is a challenging new area, requiring further work, but it would offer the potential for improving air-sea feedback process on NWP timescales and finally contributing forecast accuracy.

Global Coupled 모델 2와 3.1의 MJO 모의성능 평가 (Assessment of MJO Simulation with Global Coupled Model 2 and 3.1)

  • 문자연;김기영;조정아;양영민;현유경;김백조
    • 대기
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    • 제32권3호
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    • pp.235-246
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    • 2022
  • A large number of MJO skill metrics and process-oriented MJO simulation metrics have been developed by previous studies including the MJO Working Group and Task Force. To assess models' successes and shortcomings in the MJO simulation, a standardized set of diagnostics with the additional set of dynamics-oriented diagnostics are applied. The Global Coupled (GC) model developed for the operation of the climate prediction system is used with the comparison between the GC2 and GC3.1. Two GC models successfully capture three-dimensional dynamic and thermodynamic structure as well as coherent eastward propagation from the reference regions of the Indian Ocean and the western Pacific. The low-level moisture convergence (LLMC) ahead of the MJO deep convection, the low-level westerly and easterly associated with the coupled Rossby-Kelvin wave and the upper-level divergence are simulated successfully. The GC3.1 model simulates a better three-dimensional structure of MJO and thus reproduces more realistic eastward propagation. In GC2, the MJO convection following the LLMC near and east of the Maritime Continent is much weaker than observation and has an asymmetric distribution of both low and upper-level circulation anomalies. The common shortcomings of GC2 and GC3.1 are revealed in the shorter MJO periods and relatively weak LLMC as well as convective activity over the western Indian Ocean.

전지구 고해상도 수문모델 적용을 위한 격자유량 추정 방법 적용 연구 (Application of a Method Estimating Grid Runoff for a Global High-Resolution Hydrodynamic Model)

  • 류영;지희숙;황승언;이조한
    • 대기
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.155-167
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    • 2020
  • In order to produce more detailed and accurate information of river discharge and freshwater discharge, global high-resolution hydrodynamic model (CaMa-Flood) is applied to an operational land surface model of global seasonal forecast system. In addition, bias correction to grid runoff for the hydrodynamic model is attempted. CaMa-Flood is a river routing model that distributes runoff forcing from a land surface model to oceans or inland seas along continentalscale rivers, which can represent flood stage and river discharge explicitly. The runoff data generated by the land surface model are bias-corrected by using composite runoff data from UNH-GRDC. The impact of bias-correction on the runoff, which is spatially resolved on 0.5° grid, has been evaluated for 1991~2010. It is shown that bias-correction increases runoff by 30% on average over all continents, which is closer to UNH-GRDC. Two experiments with coupled CaMa-Flood are carried out to produce river discharge: one using this bias correction and the other not using. It is found that the experiment adapting bias correction exhibits significant increase of both river discharge over major rivers around the world and continental freshwater discharge into oceans (40% globally), which is closer to GRDC. These preliminary results indicate that the application of CaMa-Flood as well as bias-corrected runoff to the operational global seasonal forecast system is feasible to attain information of surface water cycle from a coupled suite of atmospheric, land surface, and hydrodynamic model.

Hull/Mooring/Riser Coupled Dynamic Analysis of a Turret-Moored FPSO Compared with OTRC Experiment

  • Kim Young-Bok;Kim Moo-Hyun
    • Journal of Ship and Ocean Technology
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.26-39
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    • 2004
  • A vessel/mooring/riser coupled dynamic analysis program in time domain is developed for the global motion simulation of a turret-moored, tanker based FPSO designed for 6000-ft water depth. The vessel global motions and mooring tension are simulated for the non-parallel wind-wave-current 100-year hurricane condition in the Gulf of Mexico. The wind and current forces and moments are estimated from the OCIMF empirical data base for the given loading condition. The numerical results are compared with the OTRC(Offshore Technology Research Center: Model Basin for Offshore Platforms in Texas A&M University) 1:60 model-testing results with truncated mooring system. The system's stiffness and line tension as well as natural periods and damping obtained from the OTRC measurement are checked through numerically simulated static-offset and free-decay tests. The global vessel motion simulations in the hurricane condition were conducted by varying lateral and longitudinal hull drag coefficients, different mooring and riser set up, and wind-exposed areas to better understand the sensitivity of the FPSO responses against empirical parameters. It is particularly stressed that the dynamic mooring tension can be greatly underestimated when truncated mooring system is used.

A simple analysis on the abnormal behavior of the argon metastable density in an inductively coupled Ar plasma

  • 박민;유신재;김정형;성대진;신용현;장홍영
    • 한국진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국진공학회 2009년도 제38회 동계학술대회 초록집
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    • pp.438-438
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    • 2010
  • The abnormal behavior of the argon metastable density during the E-H mode transition in argon ICP discharge was investigated. Lots of investigations including global models expected that during and after the mode transition of ICP discharge, the density of metastable increases with applied rf power (i.e. electron density). However, recent direct measurement of metastable density revealed that the metastable density of argon decreases with the applied power during and after the mode transition. This result may not be explained by the previous global model which is based on the assumption of the Maxwellian electron energy distribution function (EEDF). In this paper, to explain this abnormal behavior with simple manners, a simple global model taking account of the effect of the non-Maxwellian EEDFs incorporating into a set of coupled rate equations is proposed. The result showed that the calculated metastable density taking account of non-Maxwellian EEDF and its evolution during the transition has an abnormal behavior with electron density and is in good agreement with the previous measurement results, indicating the close coupling of electron kinetics and the behavior of metastable density. The proposed simple model is expected to provide qualitative kinetic insight to understand the behavior of the metastable density in various plasma discharges which typically exhibit non-Maxwellian distribution.

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A coupled model simulation of the Last Glacial Maximum

  • 김성중
    • 한국제4기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국제4기학회 2004년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.37-43
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    • 2004
  • The response of the CCCma coupled climate model to the imposition of LGM conditions is investigated. The global mean SAT and SST decrease by about $10^{\circ}C$ and $5.6^{\circ}C$ in the coupled model. Tropical SST decreases by $6.5^{\circ}C$, whereas CLIMAP reconstructions suggest that the tropics cool by only about $1.7^{\circ}C$, although the larger tropical cooling is consistent with the more recent proxy estimates. With the incorporation of a full ocean component, the coupled model gives a realistic spatial SST pattern, capturing features associated with ocean dynamics that are seen in the CLIMAP reconstructions. The larger decrease of the surface temperature in the model is associated with a reduction in global precipitation rate (about 15%). The tropical Pacific warm pool retreats to the west and a mean La $Ni\tilde{n}a$-like response is simulated with less precipitation over the central Pacific and more in the western tropical Pacific. The more arid ocean climate in the LGM results in an increase in SSS almost everywhere. This is particularly the case in the Arctic Ocean where large SSS increase is due to a decrease in river discharge to the Arctic Ocean associated with the accumulation of snow over the ice sheet, but in the North Atlantic by contrast SSS decreases markedly. This remarkable reduction of SSS in the North Atlantic is attributed to an increase in fresh water supply by an increase in discharges from the Mississippi and Amazon rivers and an increase in P-E over the North Atlantic ocean itself. The discharges increase in association with the wetter LGM climate south of the Laurentide ice sheet and in South America. The fresh water capping of the northern North Atlantic results in a marked reduction of deep convection and consequently a marked weakening of the North Atlantic overturning circulation. In the LGM, the maximum overturning stream function associated with the NADW formation decreases by about 60% relative to the control run, while in the Southern Ocean, oceanic convection is stronger in the LGM due to reduced stratification associated with an increase in SSS and a decrease in SST and the overturning stream function associated with the formation of AABW and the outflow increases substantially.

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평판형 유도결합 플라즈마 장치의 $CF_4$ 방전에 대한 Global Simulation (Global Simulation for $CF_4$ Discharge in Transformer Coupled Plasma Source)

  • 권득철;유동훈;김성식;윤남식;김정형;신용현
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2002년도 하계학술대회 논문집 C
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    • pp.1757-1759
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    • 2002
  • Global simulator for $CF_4$ discharge in transformer coupled plasma (TCP) source is developed and simulations arc performed under various conditions. The developed simulator is based on a set of space averaged fluid equations for electrons, positive ions, neutrals and radicals of $CF_4$ plasma. And the used absorbed power by electrons is calculated by a 2-dimensional heating model[1].

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Development of high-resolution atmosphere ocean coupled model and global warming projection with Earth Simulator -A whole research plan and result in FY2002-

  • Maruyama, Koki
    • 한국해안해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국해안해양공학회 2003년도 한국해안해양공학발표논문집
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2003
  • The goal of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is to stabilize atmospheric CO2 concentration for preventing global warming in future. However, there are many unknown factors regarding stabilization of CO2 concentration. What level of concentration should be appropriate to prevent global warming? When should we stop the increase of CO2 concentration\ulcorner What kind of countermeasures of reducing CO2 emission will be available for CO2 stabilization?(omitted)

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