• Title/Summary/Keyword: Gibbs sampling

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Bayesian Inference for Mixture Failure Model of Rayleigh and Erlang Pattern (RAYLEIGH와 ERLANG 추세를 가진 혼합 고장모형에 대한 베이지안 추론에 관한 연구)

  • 김희철;이승주
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2000
  • A Markov Chain Monte Carlo method with data augmentation is developed to compute the features of the posterior distribution. For each observed failure epoch, we introduced mixture failure model of Rayleigh and Erlang(2) pattern. This data augmentation approach facilitates specification of the transitional measure in the Markov Chain. Gibbs steps are proposed to perform the Bayesian inference of such models. For model determination, we explored sum of relative error criterion that selects the best model. A numerical example with simulated data set is given.

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Multiple Comparisons for a Bivariate Exponential Populations Based On Dirichlet Process Priors

  • Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.553-560
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider two components system which lifetimes have Freund's bivariate exponential model with equal failure rates. We propose Bayesian multiple comparisons procedure for the failure rates of I Freund's bivariate exponential populations based on Dirichlet process priors(DPP). The family of DPP is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC) method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of multiple comparisons problem for the failure rates of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

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Nonparametric Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for Geometric Populations

  • Ali, M. Masoom;Cho, J.S.;Begum, Munni
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1129-1140
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    • 2005
  • A nonparametric Bayesian method for calculating posterior probabilities of the multiple comparison problem on the parameters of several Geometric populations is presented. Bayesian multiple comparisons under two different prior/ likelihood combinations was studied by Gopalan and Berry(1998) using Dirichlet process priors. In this paper, we followed the same approach to calculate posterior probabilities for various hypotheses in a statistical experiment with a partition on the parameter space induced by equality and inequality relationships on the parameters of several geometric populations. This also leads to a simple method for obtaining pairwise comparisons of probability of successes. Gibbs sampling technique was used to evaluate the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses that are analytically intractable. A numerical example is given to illustrate the procedure.

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A Bayesian Threshold Model for Ordered Categorical Traits (순서범주형자료 분석을 위한 베이지안 분계점 모형)

  • Choi Byangsu;Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2005
  • A Bayesian threshold model is considered to analyze binary or ordered categorical traits. Gibbs sampler for making full Bayesian inferences about the category probability as well as the regression coefficients is described. The model can be regarded as an alternative to the ordered logit regression model. Numerical examples are shown to demonstrate the efficiency of the model.

Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for Normal Variances

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.155-168
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    • 2000
  • Regarding to multiple comparison problem (MCP) of k normal population variances, we suggest a Bayesian method for calculating posterior probabilities for various hypotheses of equality among population variances. This leads to a simple method for obtaining pairwise comparisons of variances in a statistical experiment with a partition on the parameter space induced by equality and inequality relationships among the variances. The method is derived from the fact that certain features of the hierarchical nonparametric family of Dirichlet process priors, in general, make it amenable to solving the MCP and estimating the posterior probabilities by means of posterior simulation, the Gibbs sampling. Two examples are illustrated for the method. For these examples, the method is straightforward for specifying distributionally and to implement computationally, with output readily adapted for required comparison.

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Bayesian Hierarchical Mixed Effects Analysis of Time Non-Homogeneous Markov Chains (계층적 베이지안 혼합 효과 모델을 사용한 비동차 마코프 체인의 분석)

  • Sung, Minje
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.263-275
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    • 2014
  • The present study used a hierarchical Bayesian approach was used to develop a mixed effect model to describe the transitional behavior of subjects in time nonhomogeneous Markov chains. The posterior distributions of model parameters were not in analytically tractable forms; subsequently, a Gibbs sampling method was used to draw samples from full conditional posterior distributions. The proposed model was implemented with real data.

Nonparametric Bayesian Multiple Comparisons for Dependence Parameter in Bivariate Exponential Populations

  • Cho, Jang-Sik;Ali, M. Masoom;Begum, Munni
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2006
  • A nonparametric Bayesian multiple comparisons problem (MCP) for dependence parameters in I bivariate exponential populations is studied here. A simple method for pairwise comparisons of these parameters is also suggested. Here we extend the methodology studied by Gopalan and Berry (1998) using Dirichlet process priors. The family of Dirichlet process priors is applied in the form of baseline prior and likelihood combination to provide the comparisons. Computation of the posterior probabilities of all possible hypotheses are carried out through Markov Chain Monte Carlo method, namely, Gibbs sampling, due to the intractability of analytic evaluation. The whole process of MCP for the dependent parameters of bivariate exponential populations is illustrated through a numerical example.

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Bayesian Procedure for the Multiple Change Point Analysis of Fraction Nonconforming (부적합률의 다중변화점분석을 위한 베이지안절차)

  • Kim, Kyung-Sook;Kim, Hee-Jeong;Park, Jeong-Soo;Son, Young-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Quality Management Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.319-324
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    • 2006
  • In this paper, we propose Bayesian procedure for the multiple change points analysis in a sequence of fractions nonconforming. We first compute the Bayes factor for detecting the existence of no change, a single change or multiple changes. The Gibbs sampler with the Metropolis-Hastings subchain is run to estimate parameters of the change point model, once the number of change points is identified. Finally, we apply the results developed in this paper to both a real and simulated data.

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Introduction to the Indian Buffet Process: Theory and Applications (인도부페 프로세스의 소개: 이론과 응용)

  • Lee, Youngseon;Lee, Kyoungjae;Lee, Kwangmin;Lee, Jaeyong;Seo, Jinwook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.251-267
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    • 2015
  • The Indian Buffet Process is a stochastic process on equivalence classes of binary matrices having finite rows and infinite columns. The Indian Buffet Process can be imposed as the prior distribution on the binary matrix in an infinite feature model. We describe the derivation of the Indian buffet process from a finite feature model, and briefly explain the relation between the Indian buffet process and the beta process. Using a Gaussian linear model, we describe three algorithms: Gibbs sampling algorithm, Stick-breaking algorithm and variational method, with application for finding features in image data. We also illustrate the use of the Indian Buffet Process in various type of analysis such as dyadic data analysis, network data analysis and independent component analysis.

Methods for Genetic Parameter Estimations of Carcass Weight, Longissimus Muscle Area and Marbling Score in Korean Cattle (한우의 도체중, 배장근단면적 및 근내지방도의 유전모수 추정방법)

  • Lee, D.H.
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.509-516
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    • 2004
  • This study is to investigate the amount of biased estimates for heritability and genetic correlation according to data structure on marbling scores in Korean cattle. Breeding population with 5 generations were simulated by way of selection for carcass weight, Longissimus muscle area and latent values of marbling scores and random mating. Latent variables of marbling scores were categorized into five by the thresholds of 0, I, 2, and 3 SD(DSI) or seven by the thresholds of -2, -1, 0,1I, 2, and 3 SD(DS2). Variance components and genetic pararneters(Heritabilities and Genetic correlations) were estimated by restricted maximum likelihood on multivariate linear mixed animal models and by Gibbs sampling algorithms on multivariate threshold mixed animal models in DS1 and DS2. Simulation was performed for 10 replicates and averages and empirical standard deviation were calculated. Using REML, heritabilitis of marbling score were under-estimated as 0.315 and 0.462 on DS1 and DS2, respectively, with comparison of the pararneter(0.500). Otherwise, using Gibbs sampling in the multivariate threshold animal models, these estimates did not significantly differ to the parameter. Residual correlations of marbling score to other traits were reduced with comparing the parameters when using REML algorithm with assuming linear and normal distribution. This would be due to loss of information and therefore, reduced variation on marbling score. As concluding, genetic variation of marbling would be well defined if liability concepts were adopted on marbling score and implemented threshold mixed model on genetic parameter estimation in Korean cattle.