• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.26 no.1
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• pp.187-200
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• 2013

In this paper, we deal with the problem of deciding a hedging volatility for ATM plain options when we hedge those options based on geometric Brownian motion. For this, we study the relation between hedging volatility and hedge profit&loss(P&L) as well as perform Monte Carlo simulations and real data analysis to examine how differently hedge P&L is affected by the selection of hedging volatility. In conclusion, using a relatively low hedging volatility is found to be more favorable for hedge P&L when underlying asset prices are expected to be range bound; however, a relatively high volatility is found to be favorable when underlying asset prices are expected to move on a trend.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.1 no.4
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• pp.5-13
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• 2014

This study contributes to addressing the problem of an aging population by providing important information that determines feasible monthly payments for the clients of Chinese reverse mortgage products and by promoting the implementation of reverse mortgages in China. The variables used in this study include mean values obtained from time series data, of the rate of increase of housing prices, and the probability value, interest rate, and mortality rate obtained through the geometric Brownian motion (GBM). For mortality rates, China Life Insurance female mortality rates (2000-2003) were used. This study aims to apply the main variables that affect reverse mortgage products in a monthly payment model based on Chinese financial market conditions, and determine loan values. In this study, Shanghai's reverse mortgage monthly payments, by age levels, were calculated through the loan-to-value (LTV) and payment (PMT) methods to evaluate the value of the reverse mortgages. Based on the optimal combination of the three factors of payment amount, loan interest rates, and the level of acceptance of prices, efforts must be made to extract the best value for the elderly. Only in this way can the interests of both lenders and borrowers be protected, by increasing the market share and economies of scale of the reverse mortgage industry and effectively improving the living standards of the elderly.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.31 no.6
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• pp.801-810
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• 2018

Diffusion is a random process used to model financial and physical phenomena. When we construct statistical models for repeatedly observed diffusion processes, the idea of random effects needs to be considered. In this research, we introduce random parameters for an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion model and geometric Brownian motion diffusion model. In order to apply the maximum likelihood estimation method, we tried to build likelihoods in closed-forms, by assuming appropriate distributions for random effects. We applied the random effect models to data consisting of Dow Jones Industrial Average indices recorded daily over 27 years from 1991 to 2017.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.413-429
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• 2007

Equity-linked securities (ELS) provide their customers with the return linked to the underlying equity (or equities). Equity-linked products in Korea have recently gained popularity due to relatively low interest rates. This paper discusses an equity-linked security whose principal is not guaranteed. The payoff of the ELS depends on the returns of two underlying assets. This paper presents numerical prices of the proposed product by using Monte-Carlo simulation method. It assumes that the log-returns of two stocks follow either Brownian motion or variance gamma process. Finally, the comparison of the two approaches is discussed.

• Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
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• v.33 no.2
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• pp.259-265
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• 1996

The history of option valuation problem goes back to the year 1900 when Louis Bachelier deduced on option valuation formula under the assumption that the price process follows standard Brownian motion. More than 50 years later, the research for a mathematical theory of option valuation was taken up by Samuelson ([6]) and others. This work was brought into focus in the major paper by Black and Scholes ([1]) in which a complete option valuation model was derived on the assumption that the underlying price model is a geometric Brownian motion. THis paper starts with subjects developed mainly in Harrison and Kreps ([4]) and in Harrison and Pliska ([5]). The ideas established in these papers are essential for option valuation problem, and in particularfor the point of view that we take in this paper.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.213-225
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• 2004

A fixed-strike lookback option is an option whose payoff is determined by the maximum (or minimum) price of the underlying asset within the option's life. Under the Black-Scholes framework, the time-t price of an equity asset follows a geometric Brownian motion. Applying the method of Esscher transforms, this paper will derive explicit pricing formulas for fixed-strike lookback call and put options, respectively. In addition, this paper will show a relationship (duality property) between the pricing formulas of the call and put options. Finally, this paper will derive explicit pricing formulas for the fixed-strike lookback options when their underlying asset pays dividends continuously at a rate proportional to its price.

• International Journal of Contents
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.9-14
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• 2015

We propose a new distance measure between 2-dimensional points to provide a total order for an entire point set and to reflect the correct geometric meaning of the naturalness of the point ordering. In general, there is no total order for 2-dimensional point sets, so curve reconstruction algorithms do not solve the self-intersection problem because the distance used in the previous methods is the Euclidean distance. A natural distance based on Brownian motion was previously proposed to solve the self-intersection problem. However, the distance reflects the wrong geometric meaning of the naturalness. In this paper, we correct the disadvantage of the natural distance by introducing a polar-natural distance, and we also propose a new curve reconstruction algorithm that is based on the polar-natural distance. Our experiments show that the new distance adequately reflects the correct geometric meaning, so non-simple curve reconstruction can be solved.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.27 no.4
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• pp.639-666
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• 2018

This paper analyses the investment options of groundwater development project under water price uncertainty. The optimal investment threshold price which trigger the investment are calibrated base on monopolistic real options model. Stochastic dynamic model is set to reflect the uncertainty of water price which follows the GBM (Geometric Brownian Motion) process. Our finding from non-cooperative investment decision model is that uncertainty of water price could deter the groundwater investment by considering the existence of option values. For policy markers, it is easy to manage 'charges for utilization of groundwater' rather than 'performance guarantee ratio' when managing groundwater investment with pricing policy. And it is necessary to make comprehensive and well-designed policies considering the characteristics of regional groundwater reservoir and groundwater developers.

• International conference on construction engineering and project management
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• 2005.10a
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• pp.824-829
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• 2005

This paper focuses on construction cost volatility for the purpose of private sector investment by use of a financial model with key indices of IRR and DSCR (Debt Service Coverage Ratio). A case project, 1,000 MW pumped storage hydropower plant, has shown that its financial impacts by cost volatility of underground works are less measured than interest rates impacts by interest rate of loans. Probabilistic analysis of costs under geotechnical conditions has been made by Indicator Kriging method. And, in the modeling of interest rates, geometric Brownian motion has been applied. Both of these impacts are measured on the same financial model.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.3
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• pp.578-598
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• 2011

This study estimates the value of photovoltaic core material technology, which is getting attention as a clean energy source. The estimation is based on the real option pricing model (ROPM). This study has two main contributions. The first is in the methodology. The process of modeling volatility, which is the most complicated stage in ROPM, is greatly simplified by using the stock price as a covariate representing the volatility of the real option's basic asset. The second contribution is the application of technology. In this study, the economic value of poly-silicon, a core material in the photovoltaic industry and recently surging in demand, is evaluated as a manufacturing technology. In a case study of a company in the photovoltaic industry, the stochastic process of a basic asset follows geometric Brownian motion (GBM), and the option value of firm A's poly-silicon manufacturing technology is estimated at 3.4 trillion won.