• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fuzzy Probability

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Optimal Operation Scheduling Using Possibility Fuzzy Theory on Cogeneration Systems Connected with Auxiliary Equipment (각종 보조설비가 연계된 열병합발전시스템에서 가능성 퍼지이론을 적용한 최적운전계획수립)

  • Kim, Sung-Il;Jung, Chang-Ho;Lee, Jong-Beon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1995.11a
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    • pp.128-130
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents the optimal operation scheduling on cogeneration systems connected with auxiliary equipment by using the possibility fuzzy theory. The probability fuzzy theory is a method to obtain the possibility of the solution from the fuzzification of coefficients. Simulation is carried out to obtain the boundary of heat production in each time interval. Simulation results shows effectively the flexible operation boundary to establish operation scheduling.

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Utilizing Soft Computing Techniques in Global Approximate Optimization (전역근사최적화를 위한 소프트컴퓨팅기술의 활용)

  • 이종수;장민성;김승진;김도영
    • Proceedings of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.449-457
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    • 2000
  • The paper describes the study of global approximate optimization utilizing soft computing techniques such as genetic algorithms (GA's), neural networks (NN's), and fuzzy inference systems(FIS). GA's provide the increasing probability of locating a global optimum over the entire design space associated with multimodality and nonlinearity. NN's can be used as a tool for function approximations, a rapid reanalysis model for subsequent use in design optimization. FIS facilitates to handle the quantitative design information under the case where the training data samples are not sufficiently provided or uncertain information is included in design modeling. Properties of soft computing techniques affect the quality of global approximate model. Evolutionary fuzzy modeling (EFM) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) are briefly introduced for structural optimization problem in this context. The paper presents the success of EFM depends on how optimally the fuzzy membership parameters are selected and how fuzzy rules are generated.

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Correlation coefficient between generalized intuitionistic fuzzy sets (일반화된 직관적 퍼지집합들의 상관계수)

  • Park Jin-Han;Park Yong-Beom;Lee Bu-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.61-64
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    • 2006
  • Based on the geometrical representation of a generalized intuitionistic fuzzy set, we take into account all three parameters describing generalized intuitionistic fuzzy set, propose a method to calculate the correlation coefficient for generalized intuitionistic fuzzy sets in finite set and probability space, respectively, and discuss some properties of correlation and correlation coefficient of generalized intuitionistic fuzzy sets.

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FUZZY RISK MEASURES AND ITS APPLICATION TO PORTFOLIO OPTIMIZATION

  • Ma, Xiaoxian;Zhao, Qingzhen;Liu, Fangai
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.27 no.3_4
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    • pp.843-856
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    • 2009
  • In possibility framework, we propose two risk measures named Fuzzy Value-at-Risk and Fuzzy Conditional Value-at-Risk, based on Credibility measure. Two portfolio optimization models for fuzzy portfolio selection problems are formulated. Then a chaos genetic algorithm based on fuzzy simulation is designed, and finally computational results show that the two risk measures can play a role in possibility space similar to Value-at-Risk and Conditional Value-at-Risk in probability space.

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New Fuzzy Modeling Method by Fuzzy Equalization (퍼지 균등화에 의한 새로운 퍼지 모델링 방법)

  • Kwak, K.C.;Shin, D.C.;Song, C.K.;Kim, J.S.;Ryu, J.W.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1999.07b
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    • pp.957-959
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we proposed a new fuzzy modeling method by Fuzzy Equalization(FE) based on probability theory. FE concerns a process of building membership function without learning using back-propagation of neural network. Therefore, we compare the proposed method with Adaptive Network-based Inference System based on hybrid learning. Finally, we will show better performance and its usefulness for a new fuzzy modeling to automobile mpg prediction.

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Reliability and Safety Analysis of Structure System of Retaining Walls (옹벽구조시스템의 신뢰성 및 안전도 해석)

  • Jung, Chul-Won;Yun, Boung-Jo
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.223-234
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    • 1998
  • In this study, an attempt is made to apply the concept of fuzzy-bayesian theory to the integrity assessment of structure system, and uncertainty states are represented in terms of fuzzy sets which define several linguistic variables such as "very good", "good", "average", "poor", "very poor", etc. Especially, the concept of fuzzy conditional probability aids to derive a new reliability analysis which includes the subjective assessment of engineers without introducing any additional correction factors. The fuzzy concept are also used as reliability indexes for the condition assessment based on the proposed models, the proposed fuzzy theory-based approach with the results of PEM and AFOSM are applied to retaining wall.

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Assessment of Fuzzy Measure Possibility for the Electromagnetic Field of unbalanced two coupled Three-phase Transmission line Considering toad-Voltage Characteristics (부하의 전압특성을 고려한 3상 2회선 불평형 송전선로에서의 전자계에 대한 퍼지척도 가능성평가)

  • 송현선;김상철
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2001
  • This paper presents a study on the assessment of fuzzy measure possibility for the electromagnetic field of unbalanced system. It takes into account m untransposed transmission line and unbalanced load. A three phase load flow program was developed which employs a Newton-Raphson method as a tool to analyze system unbalanced. This research presents a method of handling two coupled three phase transmission system unbalance analysis and unbalanced power demand as a function of voltages. In assessment of fuzzy measure possibility for the electromagnetic field, this paper use probability of fuzzy and measure of fuzziness technique.

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A fuzzy reasonal analysis of human reliability represented as fault tree structure

  • 김정만;이상도;이동춘
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 1997
  • In conventional probability-based human reliability analysis, the basic human error rates are modified by experts to consider the influences of many factors that affect human reliability. However, these influences are not easily represented quantitatively, because the relation between human reliability and each of these factors in not clear. In this paper, the relation is expressed quantitatively. Furthermore, human reliability is represented by error possibilities proposed by Onisawa, which is a fuzzy set on the interval [0,1]. Fuzzy reasoning is used in this method in order to obtain error possibilities. And, it is supposed that many basic events affected by the above factors are connected to the top event through Fault Tree structure, and an estimate of the top event expressed by a member- ship function is obtained by using the fuzzy measure and fuzzy integral. Finally, a numerical example of human reliability analysis obtained by this method is given.

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Fuzzy Project Scheduling of the R&D System under the Mechatronics Environment (메카트로닉스 환경하의 R&D System의 퍼지프로젝트 일정계획)

  • 이근희;이재성;주일권
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.24
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    • pp.169-177
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    • 1991
  • The Existing Protect schedulings are mathematical nodes upon which probability control is based. In fact, under the mechatronics environment in the new product design and development, statistical information is very poor or sometimes non-existent. Probabilistic PERT/CPM methods are not always satisfying because those methods suppose that it is possible to apply central- limit theorem and there exists a critical path which is much mart critical than all the other paths. Fuzzy project scheduling is possibility based scheduling. For this reason, the Fuzzy Project Scheduling essential to design, development and control the new product under the mechatranics environment. This paper deals with a modeling on the project scheduling which use fuzzy set theory. Fuzzy concepts in the project scheduling are shown to be very useful and easy to work with in the R & D system.

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