• 제목/요약/키워드: Fuzzy Probability

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퍼지논리 및 다중신호를 이용한 화재감지시스템의 개발 (The Development of Fire Detection System Using Fuzzy Logic and Multivariate Signature)

  • 홍성호;김두현
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.49-55
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    • 2004
  • This study presents an analysis of comparison of P-type fire detection system with fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system. The fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system has input variables obtained by fire experiment of small scale with K-type temperature sensor and optical smoke sensor. And the antecedent part of fuzzy rules consists of temperature and smoke density, and the consequent part consists of fire probability. Also triangular fuzzy membership function is used for input variables and fuzzy rules. To calculate the final fire probability a centroid method is introduced. A fire experiment is conducted with controlling wood crib layer, cigarette to simulate actual fire and false alarm situation. The results show that peak fire probability is 25[%] for non-fire and is more than 80[%] for fire situation, respectively. The fuzzy logic-applied fire detection system suggested here is able to distinguish fire situation and non-fire situation very precisely.

Convergence in Probability for Weighted Sums of Fuzzy Random Variables

  • Joo, Sang-Yeol;Hyun, Young-Nam
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we give a sufficient condition for convergence in probability of weighted sums of convex-compactly uniformly integrable fuzzy random variables. As a result, we obtain weak law of large numbers for weighted sums of convexly tight fuzzy random variables.

퍼지확률이론과 손상지수를 이용한 지하암반공동에서의 스폴링 발생 평가 (Assessment of spalling occurrence using fuzzy probability theory and damage index in underground openings)

  • 방준호;이강현;이인모
    • 한국터널지하공간학회 논문집
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.15-29
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    • 2010
  • 스폴링 현상은 높은 현지응력하에서 확장균열의 발달로 암반공동 주변에서 발생하는 파괴형태이다. 기존 연구에 의하면 3가지 스폴링 기준은 범위로 제시되어 있어 기준자체의 애매모호함이 상존하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 퍼지확률이론을 적용한 새로운 스폴링 발생 종합 평가모델을 제안하였고 스폴링 발생현장에 평가모델을 적용한 결과 현장관측결과와 일치하는 결과를 보였으며, 정량적으로 스폴링 발생확률을 산정할 수 있었다. 특히, 3가지 스폴링 평가인자별 상대중요도를 고려한 가중치를 적용함으로써 실제 스폴링이 관측된 현장이 스폴링이 발생하지 않는 것으로 평가되는 오류를 해결하였다. 또한, Martin 등(1999)의 손상지수에 형상계수를 도입한 수정손상지수가 포함된 스폴링 평가인자를 스폴링 발생 종합 평가모델에 적용한 결과 합리적인 스폴링 발생확률을 산정할 수 있었다.

퍼지 적분을 도입한 계증구조 평가 알고리즘 (On the Evaluation Algrithm of Hierarchical Process using $\lambda$-Fuzzy Integral)

  • 여기태;노홍승;이철영
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.97-106
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    • 1996
  • One of the main problems in evaluating complex objects, such as an ill-defined system, is how to treat ambiguous aspect of the evaluation. Due to the Complexity and ambiguity of the objects, many types of evaluation attributes should be identified based on the rational dsision. One of these attributes is an analytical hierarchy process (AHP). the weight of evaluation attribtes in AHP however comes from the probability measure based on the additivity. Therefore, it is notapplicable to the objects which have the property of non-additivity. In the previous studies by other researchers they intriduced the Hierarchical Fuzzy Integral method or mergd AHP and fuzzy measure for the analysis of the overlaps among the evaluation objects. But, they need more anlyses in terms of transformation of the probability measure into fuzzy measure which fits for the additivity and overlapping coefficient which affects to the fuzzy measure. Considering these matters, this paper deals that, ⅰ) clarifying the relation between the fuzzy and probability measure adopted in AHP, ii) calculating directly the family of fuzzy measure from the overlapping coefficient and probability measure. A simple algorithm for the calculation of fuzzy measures and set family of those from the above results is also proposed. Finally, the effectiveness of the algorithm developed by applying this to the problems for estimation of safety in ship berthing and for evaluation of ports in competition is verified. This implied that the new algoritnm gives better description of the system evaluation.

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퍼지 클러스터링을 이용한 확률분포함수 기반의 다중문턱값 선정법 (Selection Method of Multiple Threshold Based on Probability Distribution function Using Fuzzy Clustering)

  • 김경범;정성종
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제16권5호통권98호
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    • pp.48-57
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    • 1999
  • Applications of thresholding technique are based on the assumption that object and background pixels in a digital image can be distinguished by their gray level values. For the segmentation of more complex images, it is necessary to resort to multiple threshold selection techniques. This paper describes a new method for multiple threshold selection of gray level images which are not clearly distinguishable from the background. The proposed method consists of three main stages. In the first stage, a probability distribution function for a gray level histogram of an image is derived. Cluster points are defined according to the probability distribution function. In the second stage, fuzzy partition matrix of the probability distribution function is generated through the fuzzy clustering process. Finally, elements of the fuzzy partition matrix are classified as clusters according to gray level values by using max-membership method. Boundary values of classified clusters are selected as multiple threshold. In order to verify the performance of the developed algorithm, automatic inspection process of ball grid array is presented.

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A novel story on rock slope reliability, by an initiative model that incorporated the harmony of damage, probability and fuzziness

  • Wang, Yajun
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.269-294
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    • 2017
  • This study aimed to realize the creation of fuzzy stochastic damage to describe reliability more essentially with the analysis of harmony of damage conception, probability and fuzzy degree of membership in interval [0,1]. Two kinds of fuzzy behaviors of damage development were deduced. Fuzzy stochastic damage models were established based on the fuzzy memberships functional and equivalent normalization theory. Fuzzy stochastic damage finite element method was developed as the approach to reliability simulation. The three-dimensional fuzzy stochastic damage mechanical behaviors of Jianshan mine slope were analyzed and examined based on this approach. The comprehensive results, including the displacement, stress, damage and their stochastic characteristics, indicate consistently that the failure foci of Jianshan mine slope are the slope-cutting areas where, with the maximal failure probability 40%, the hazardous Domino effects will motivate the neighboring rock bodies' sliding activities.

A Modified Random Early Detection Algorithm: Fuzzy Logic Based Approach

  • Yaghmaee Mohammad Hossein
    • Journal of Communications and Networks
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.337-352
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, a fuzzy logic implementation of the random early detection (RED) mechanism [1] is presented. The main objective of the proposed fuzzy controller is to reduce the loss probability of the RED mechanism without any change in channel utilization. Based on previous studies, it is clear that the performance of RED algorithm is extremely related to the traffic load as well as to its parameters setting. Using fuzzy logic capabilities, we try to dynamically tune the loss probability of the RED gateway. To achieve this goal, a two-input-single-output fuzzy controller is used. To achieve a low packet loss probability, the proposed fuzzy controller is responsible to control the $max_{p}$ parameter of the RED gateway. The inputs of the proposed fuzzy controller are 1) the difference between average queue size and a target point, and 2) the difference between the estimated value of incoming data rate and the target link capacity. To evaluate the performance of the proposed fuzzy mechanism, several trials with file transfer protocol (FTP) and burst traffic were performed. In this study, the ns-2 simulator [2] has been used to generate the experimental data. All simulation results indicate that the proposed fuzzy mechanism out performs remarkably both the traditional RED and Adaptive RED (ARED) mechanisms [3]-[5].

A Probabilistic Fuzzy Logic Approach to Identify Productivity Factors in Indian Construction Projects

  • Princy, J. Darwin;Shanmugapriya, S.
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.39-55
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    • 2017
  • Preeminent performance of construction industry are unattainable with poor productivity resulting in time and cost over runs. Enhancement in productivity cannot be achieved without identifying and analyzing factors that adversely affect productivity. The objective therefore is to propose a productivity analysis model to quantify the probability of effect of factors influencing productivity by using fuzzy logic incorporated with relative importance index method, for various types of construction projects. To achieve this objective, a questionnaire survey was carried out targeting respondents of Indian construction industry, from four distinct projects, namely, residential, commercial, infrastructure and industrial projects. Based on questionnaire administered, the relative importance and ranks of factors demonstrated using relative importance index method. Probability assessment model to analyze productivity was then developed by using Fuzzy Logic Toolbox of MATLAB. The applicability of the proposed model was tested in seven construction projects and the probability of impact of factors on productivity evaluated. The results of application of model in the construction firms infers that the most contributing factor groups for most of the projects were discerned to be manpower, motivation and time group.

Expert Opinion Elicitation Process Using a Fuzzy Probability

  • Yu, Donghan
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 1997
  • This study presents a new approach for expert opinion elicitation process to assess an uncertainty inherent in accident management. The need to work with rare event and limited data in accident management leads analysis to use expert opinions extensively. Unlike the conventional approach using point-valued probabilities, the study proposes the concept of fuzzy probability to represent expert opinion. The use of fuzzy probability has an advantage over the conventional approach when an expert's judgment is used under limited dat3 and imprecise knowledge. The study demonstrates a method of combining and propagating fuzzy probabilities. finally, the proposed methodology is applied to the evaluation of the probability of a bottom head failure for the flooded case in the Peach Bottom BWR nuclear power plant.

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