• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood warning

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Estimation of Flash Flood Guidance considering Uncertainty of Rainfall-Runoff Model (강우-유출 모형의 불확실성을 고려한 돌발홍수기준)

  • Lee, Keon-Haeng;Kim, Hung-Soo;Kim, Soo-Jun;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2010
  • The flash flood is characterized as flood leading to damage by heavy rainfall occurred in steep slope and impervious area with short duration. Flash flood occurs when rainfall exceeds Flash Flood Guidance(FFG). So, the accurate estimation of FFG will be helpful in flash flood forecasting and warning system. Say, if we can reduce the uncertainty of rainfall-runoff relationship, FFG can be estimated more accurately. However, since the rainfall-runoff models have their own parameter characteristics, the uncertainty of FFG will depend upon the selection of rainfall-runoff model. This study used four rainfall-runoff models of HEC-HMS model, Storage Function model, SSARR model and TANK model for the estimation of models' uncertainties by using Monte Carlo simulation. Then, we derived the confidence limits of rainfall-runoff relationship by four models on 95%-confidence level.

Development and Verification of Inundation Model Considering Storm Sewers in Urban Area (도시배수체계와 연계한 침수모형의 개발 및 검증)

  • Han, Kun-Yeun;Lee, Chang-Hee;Kim, Ji-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.159-162
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    • 2005
  • Urban flooding is usually caused by the surcharge of storm sewers. For that reason, domestic studies about urban flooding are concentrated on the simulation of urban drainage system. However these approaches that find the pipes which have insufficient drainage capacity are very approximate and unreasonable ways. In this study, an accurate mathematical modeling is developed to analyze the impacts of an urban inundation for both flood prevention and flood-loss reduction planning and it is verified by using the simulation of July 2001 flooding in Seoul. The result of this study can be used to construct fundamental data for a flood control plan and establish a urban flood forecasting/warning system.

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Comparison of the Rainfall-Runoff Models for Flood Forecasting in Watershed (하천 수계의 홍수 예측을 위한 강우-유출 모형의 비교)

  • 심순보;박노혁
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.237-247
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    • 1996
  • In this study two rainfall-runoff models, the NWS-PC model and the Storage Function Model (SFM), were compared to see their applicability in the flood forecasting at the river system. The SFM has been adopted in the flood-forecasting and warning system for the major rivers in Korea since 1974, and the NWS-PC model, a physically based model, has been developed to simulate soil moisture changing as well as the surface and subsurface flow at the watershed and in the river streams. Case studies were carried out using flood event data observed at the Mihochun watershed in Geum-river basin during 1985 to 1995. Simulated results from both models were compared with the observed data with respect to the RMS errors and relative errors for peak flow discharges and total runoff volumes to show the advantages and disadvantages of both models and to suggest the way to improve their performances.

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Flooding Area Estimation and Evacuation Path Analysis (침수취약지역 추정과 주민들의 대피경로 분석)

  • Park, Jong-Duk;Choi, Jin-Mu
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2011
  • Recently urban area has suffered from frequent flood event by local heavy rain. This study performed flood tests for the Jungnang river using HEC-RAS model. Based on 1m LiDAR data, river geometry data were produced using HEC-GeoRAS. For 100-year frequency flood, 200-year frequency flood, and PMF, flooding areas were estimated. Ten sub-zones of the entire flooding area were identified based on the nearest refugees and used to analyze evacuation paths to the refugees. The results showed that approximately 70% of flooded area were residential, commercial, and transportation areas so that much loss of life and property could be possible. Path analysis showed that the shortest path distances to refugees were about 1000m average. Evacuation warning given at a proper period could minimize loss of life and property. This study provides the guideline for flood evacuation plan in urban area.

Development and Verification of Inundation Modeling with Urban Flooding Caused by the Surcharge of Storm Sewers (도시배수체계와 연계한 내수침수모형의 개발 및 검증)

  • Kim, Ji-Sung;Han, Kun-Yeun;Lee, Chang-Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.12 s.173
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    • pp.1013-1022
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    • 2006
  • Urban flooding is usually caused by the surcharge of storm sewers. For this reason, previous studies on urban flooding are mainly concentrated on the simulation of urban drainage systems. However these approaches that find the pipes which have insufficient drainage capacity are very approximate and unreasonable ways in establishing both flood prevention and flood-loss reduction planning. In this study, a two-dimensional model linked the existing ILLUDAS model is developed to calculate the accurate and resonable solution about urban flood inundation and it is verified by using the simulation of July 2001 flood in Seoul. In the urban area with a small difference of ground elevations, the two-dimensional flood propagation phases must be considered to make a accurate analysis for inundated area and depth. The result of this study can be used to construct fundamental data for a flood control plan and establish a urban flood forecasting/warning system.

Development of a New Flood Index for Local Flood Severity Predictions (국지홍수 심도예측을 위한 새로운 홍수지수의 개발)

  • Jo, Deok Jun;Son, In Ook;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.1
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    • pp.47-58
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    • 2013
  • Recently, an increase in the occurrence of sudden local flooding of great volume and short duration due to global climate changes has occasioned the significant danger and loss of life and property in Korea as well as most parts of the world. Such a local flood that usually occurs as the result of intense rainfall over small regions rises quite quickly with little or no advance warning time to prevent flood damage. To prevent the local flood damage, it is important to quickly predict the flood severity for flood events exceeding a threshold discharge that may cause the flood damage for inland areas. The aim of this study is to develop the NFI (New Flood Index) measuring the severity of floods in small ungauged catchments for use in local flood predictions by the regression analysis between the NFI and rainfall patterns. Flood runoff hydrographs are generated from a rainfall-runoff model using the annual maximum rainfall series of long-term observations for the two study catchments. The flood events above a threshold assumed as the 2-year return period discharge are targeted to estimate the NFI obtained by the geometric mean of the three relative severity factors, such as the flood magnitude ratio, the rising curve gradient, and the flooding duration time. The regression results show that the 3-hour maximum rainfall depths have the highest relationships with the NFI. It is expected that the best-fit regression equation between the NFI and rainfall characteristics can provide the basic database of the preliminary information for predicting the local flood severity in small ungauged catchments.

APPLICATION OF IT TO REDUCE FLOOD DAMAGE DURING HEAVY RAINFALL DISASTER IN JAPAN

  • Kang, Sang-Hyeok;Motoyuki ushiyama, Motoyuki-Ushiyama
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.187-192
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    • 2003
  • The rainfall observation systems have largely been improved in Japan. The Japan Meteorological Agency, prefecture governments, and other administrative bodies have also increased the number of rain gauges thru out the country. The density of observatories is now one per several $\km^2$. Heavy rainfall information systems have been improved. Besides it, the Internet was popularized in the late 1990s, and has been used to transmit data of heavy rainfall. Internet accessible cellular phones have been popular in Japan since 1999. Such phones are expected to be useful in the field of disaster warning announcements, because they can automatically notify users bye-mail of pending disasters. The use of the Internet during natural disasters is groundbreaking in Japan today. However, in order to use disaster information effectively on Internet it is necessary to investigate how to use the information during the rainfall disaster. Therefore in our study we suggest methods on the effective construction and their use of information technology on Internet.

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Development of a shot noise process based rainfall-runoff model for urban flood warning system (도시홍수예경보를 위한 shot noise process 기반 강우-유출 모형 개발)

  • Kang, Minseok;Yoo, Chulsang
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2018
  • This study proposed a rainfall-runoff model for the purpose of real-time flood warning in urban basins. The proposed model was based on the shot noise process, which is expressed as a sum of shot noises determined independently with the peak value, decay parameter and time delay of each sub-basin. The proposed model was different from other rainfall-runoff models from the point that the runoff from each sub-basin reaches the basin outlet independently. The model parameters can be easily determined by the empirical formulas for the concentration time and storage coefficient of a basin and those of the pipe flow. The proposed model was applied to the total of three rainfall events observed at the Jungdong, Guro 1 and Daerim 2 pumping stations to evaluate its applicability. Summarizing the results is as follows. (1) The unit response function of the proposed model, different from other rainfall-runoff models, has the same shape regardless of the rainfall duration. (2) The proposed model shows a convergent shape as the calculation time interval becomes smaller. As the proposed model was proposed to be applied to urban basins, one-minute of calculation time interval would be most appropriate. (3) Application of the one-minute unit response function to the observed rainfall events showed that the simulated runoff hydrographs were very similar to those observed. This result indicates that the proposed model has a good application potential for the rainfall-runoff analysis in urban basins.

An Analysis for Goodness of Fit on Trigger Runoff of Flash Flood and Topographic Parameters Using GIS (GIS를 이용한 돌발홍수의 한계유량과 유역특성인자의 적합도 분석)

  • Oh, Myung-Jin;Yang, In-Tae;Park, Byung-Soo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.14 no.3 s.37
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    • pp.87-95
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    • 2006
  • Recently, local heavy rain for a short term is caused by unusual changing in the weather. This phenomenon has, several times, caused an extensive flash flood, casualties, and material damage. This study is aimed at calculating the characteristics of flash floods in streams. For this purpose, the analysis of topographical characteristics of water basin through applying GIS techniques will be conducted. The flash flood prediction model we used is made with GCIUH (geomorphoclimatic instantaneous unit hydrograph). The database is established by the use of GIS and by the extraction of streams and watersheds from DEM. The streams studied are included small, middle and large scale watersheds. For the first, for the establishment or criteria on the flash flood warning, peak discharge and trigger runoff must be decided. This study analyzed the degree or aptitude of topographical factors to the trigger runoff calculated by GCUH model.

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A Review of Urban Flooding: Causes, Impacts, and Mitigation Strategies (도시 홍수: 원인, 영향 및 저감 전략 고찰)

  • Jin-Yong Lee
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.489-502
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    • 2023
  • Urban floods pose significant challenges to cities worldwide, driven by the interplay between urbanization and climate change. This review examines recent studies of urban floods to understand their causes, impacts, and potential mitigation strategies. Urbanization, with its increase in impermeable surfaces and altered drainage patterns, disrupts natural water flow, exacerbating surface runoff during intense rainfall events. The impacts of urban floods are far-reaching, affecting lives, infrastructure, the economy, and the environment. Loss of life, property damage, disruptions to critical services, and environmental consequences underscore the urgency of effective urban flood management. To mitigate urban floods, integrated flood management strategies are crucial. Sustainable urban planning, green infrastructure, and improved drainage systems play pivotal roles in reducing flood vulnerabilities. Early warning systems, emergency response planning, and community engagement are essential components of flood preparedness and resilience. Looking to the future, climate change projections indicate increased flood risks, necessitating resilience and adaptation measures. Advances in research, data collection, and modeling techniques will enable more accurate flood predictions, thus guiding decision-making. In conclusion, urban flooding demands urgent attention and comprehensive strategies to protect lives, infrastructure, and the economy.