• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood frequency analysis

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Numerical Analysis in Hydrograph Determination for Sluice Gate installed Levee (배수통문이 설치된 제방의 설계수위파형결정에 관한 수치해석)

  • Kim, Jin-Man;Choi, Bong-Hyuck;Oh, Eun-Ho;Cho, Won-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Geosynthetics Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2015
  • According to national regulations and its commentary, such as Rivers Design Criteria & Commentary (KWRA, 2009), Foundation Structure Guideline and its Commentary(MLTM, 2014 and KGS, 2009), the integrity evaluation of river levee includes slope stability evaluation of both riverside/protected low-land and piping stability evaluation with respect to foundation and levee body along with water level conditions. In this case the design hydro-graph can be the most important input factor for the integrity evaluation, however it is fact that the national regulations do not provide any proper determination methods regarding hydro-graph. The authors thus executed an integrity evaluation of sluice gate in levee by changing each hydro-graph factor, including rising ordinary water level, lasting flood water level, falling water level, and flood frequency, in order to suggest a determination method of reasonable hydro-graph. As a result, the authors suggested that at least over 57 hours of rising ordinary water level and over 53 hours of lasting flood water level should be considered for the design hydro-graph of sluice gate in levee at Mun-san-jae.

Numerical Analysis of Hydrograph Determination for Cohesive Soil Levee (조립토 하천제방의 수위파형결정에 관한 수치해석적 연구)

  • Kim, Jin-Man;Kim, Ji-Sung;Oh, Eun-Ho;Cho, Won-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2014
  • The integrity evaluation of river levee includes slope stability evaluation of riverside land and protected low-land, and safety of piping with respect to critical gradient and critical velocity based on related regulations, such as Design Criteria Rivers Commentary (2009), Structural Design Criteria Based Commentary (2009). The design hydro-graph is the most important design input factor for the integrity evaluation; it can be inaccurate due to the absence of its decision methods suggested by the national level. The authors in this paper evaluated numerical analytic levee integrity for piping and slope stability by changing each design hydro-graph, including rising ordinary water level, lasting flood water level, falling water level, and flood frequency for Mun-san-jae on Nak-dong River. Finally, the authors suggested that the levee integrity of piping and slope stability are very sensitive to the changes of increasing time of ordinary water level by 57 hours and lasting time of the flood water level by 53 hours, respectively, for Mun-san-jae.

Estimation of Future Design Flood Under Non-Stationarity for Wonpyeongcheon Watershed (비정상성을 고려한 원평천 유역의 미래 설계홍수량 산정)

  • Ryu, Jeong Hoon;Kang, Moon Seong;Park, Jihoon;Jun, Sang Min;Song, Jung Hun;Kim, Kyeung;Lee, Kyeong-Do
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.57 no.5
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2015
  • Along with climate change, it is reported that the scale and frequency of extreme climate events show unstable tendency of increase. Thus, to comprehend the change characteristics of precipitation data, it is needed to consider non-stationary. The main objectives of this study were to estimate future design floods for Wonpyeongcheon watershed based on RCP (Representative Concentration Pathways) scenario. Wonpyeongcheon located in the Keum River watershed was selected as the study area. Historical precipitation data of the past 35 years (1976~2010) were collected from the Jeonju meteorological station. Future precipitation data based on RCP4.5 were also obtained for the period of 2011~2100. Systematic bias between observed and simulated data were corrected using the quantile mapping (QM) method. The parameters for the bias-correction were estimated by non-parametric method. A non-stationary frequency analysis was conducted with moving average method which derives change characteristics of generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution parameters. Design floods for different durations and frequencies were estimated using rational formula. As the result, the GEV parameters (location and scale) showed an upward tendency indicating the increase of quantity and fluctuation of an extreme precipitation in the future. The probable rainfall and design flood based on non-stationarity showed higher values than those of stationarity assumption by 1.2%~54.9% and 3.6%~54.9%, respectively, thus empathizing the necessity of non-stationary frequency analysis. The study findings are expected to be used as a basis to analyze the impacts of climate change and to reconsider the future design criteria of Wonpyeongcheon watershed.

A Study on the Field Application of Nays2D Model for Evaluation of Riverfront Facility Flood Risk (친수시설 홍수위험도 평가를 위한 Nays2D 모형의 현장 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Ku, Young Hun;Song, Chang Geun;Park, Yong-Sung;Kim, Young Do
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.579-588
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    • 2015
  • Recent climage changes have resulted in increases in rainfall intensity and flood frequency as well as the risk of flood damage due to typhoons during the summer season. Water-friendly facilities such as ecological parks and sports facilities have been established on floodplains of rivers since the river improvement project was implemented and increases in the flood levels of rivers due to typhoons can lead to direct flood damage to such facilities. To analyze the hydraulic influence of these water-friendly facilities on floodplains or to evaluate their stability, numerical analysis should be performed in advance. In addition, it is crucial to address the drying and wetting processes generated by water level fluctuations. This study uses a Nays2D model, which analyzes drying and wetting, to examine its applicability to simple terrain in which such fluctuations occur and to natural rivers in which drying occurs. The results of applying this model to sites of actual typhoon events are compared with values measured at water level observatories. Through this comparison, it is determined that values of coefficient of determination ($R^2$), mean absolute error (MAE), and root-mean-square error (RMSE) are 0.988, 0.208, and 0.239, respectively, thus showing a statistically high correlation. In addition, the results are used to calculate flood risk indices for evaluation of such risk for water-friendly facilities constructed on floodplains.

Assessment of Flood Vulnerability to Climate Change Using Fuzzy Model and GIS in Seoul (퍼지모형과 GIS를 활용한 기후변화 홍수취약성 평가 - 서울시 사례를 중심으로 -)

  • Kang, Jung-Eun;Lee, Moung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.119-136
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    • 2012
  • The goal of this study is to apply the IPCC(Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) concept of vulnerability to climate change and verify the use of a combination of vulnerability index and fuzzy logic to flood vulnerability analysis and mapping in Seoul using GIS. In order to achieve this goal, this study identified indicators influencing floods based on literature review. We include indicators of exposure to climate(daily max rainfall, days of 80mm over), sensitivity(slope, geological, average DEM, impermeability layer, topography and drainage), and adaptive capacity(retarding basin and green-infra). Also, this research used fuzzy model for aggregating indicators, and utilized frequency ratio to decide fuzzy membership values. Results show that the number of days of precipitation above 80mm, the distance from river and impervious surface have comparatively strong influence on flood damage. Furthermore, when precipitation is over 269mm, areas with scare flood mitigation capacities, industrial land use, elevation of 16~20m, within 50m distance from rivers are quite vulnerable to floods. Yeongdeungpo-gu, Yongsan-gu, Mapo-gu include comparatively large vulnerable areas. This study improved previous flood vulnerability assessment methodology by adopting fuzzy model. Also, vulnerability map provides meaningful information for decision makers regarding priority areas for implementing flood mitigation policies.

Determination of Optimal Location of Washlands Considering Design Frequency (설계빈도변화를 고려한 천변저류지 최적위치 선정)

  • Baek, Chun-Woo;Ahn, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.7
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    • pp.559-569
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    • 2009
  • Due to environmental, economical and the other limitations, it has been more difficult to construct new large hydraulic structure such as dam. For this reason, it has been tried to use small hydraulic structure such as washland as alternative of hydraulic facility. Because the flood control effect of small hydraulic structure are affected by runoff volume, hydrograph, storage capacity and weir crest elevation, and design frequency must be predetermined for the design of the hydraulic structure. Multiple washlands will be required to satisfy enough peak reduction effect so that considering washlands as a network, rather than individually, are critical to analysis of flood reduction effect. In this study, new index for determination of optimal location for washlands is presented and the existing model for this determination is modified by adopting the new index. Developed new model is applied to Ansung river basin for examination and the new model shows its' applicability as a decision making criteria for the determination of optimal location for washlands.

Analysis of Flood Level Variation in Oship Stream Using HEC-RAS: Focuses on the Impact of the Typhoon Sanba (HEC-RAS를 이용한 오십천의 수위변화 해석: 태풍산바의 영향을 중심으로)

  • Jun, Kye-Won
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.498-504
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    • 2013
  • Recently, the frequency of typhoons have increased due to the effects of climate change. As a result, in mountain streams, it has caused streamflow increase upstream and frequent water surface elevation downstream. This study analyzed the effects of the heavy rainfalls caused by Typhoon Sanba, which had a direct impact on Korea between September 17 and 18, on the water level variations downstream in mountainous streams. In addition, the drainage basin of Samcheok Oship stream was chosen as the object of this study. This study analyzed the flood level by applying HEC-RAS model. The observed water level measured in 2012 and the water level simulated by HEC-RAS model showed similar results. In addition, the simulation results showed the maximum flood level was 5.32m the mean flow velocity was 2.33m/sec and the maximum channel water depth was 7.51m. The analysis showed that the heavy rainfalls caused by Typhoon Sanba had an impact on the water surface elevation in Oship stream. The final results from this study will give a reasonable and important data to perform the Design of Hydraulic Structure.

The Analysis of Flooding by Virtual Flood Scenario (가상 홍수시나리오에 의한 홍수범람 해석)

  • 윤희천;엄대용;이용욱;김정우
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.181-189
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    • 2003
  • A virtual flood scenario has been constructed to investigate the overflowing process in the flooding area. The topography is constructed using the airborne LIDAR data. In addition, the frequency and scale of the flooding and the destruction condition of the flooding defensive structure are used as input to the scenarios. Through the scenario, the inundation depth with respect to time and maximum depth has been analyzed. This analysis shows the water level variation with time which show the flooding process. Moreover, a flooding map is drawn using the results from the scenario, distribution of the defensive structure, vulnerable area, and expected destruction points in the study area. It is expected that this study can be effectively used to examine the flooding process and flood disaster management. Furthermore, it could provide important basic information for the land development and the city planning of a possible flooding area.

Local Analysis of the spatial characteristics of urban flooding areas using GWR (지리가중회귀모델을 이용한 도시홍수 피해지역의 지역적 공간특성 분석)

  • Sim, Jun-Seok;Kim, Ji-Sook;Lee, Sung-Ho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2014
  • In recent years, the frequency and scale of the natural disasters are growing rapidly due to the global climate change. In case of the urban flooding, high-density of population and infrastructure has caused the more intensive damages. In this study, we analyzed the spatial characteristics of urban flooding damage factors using GWR(Geographically Weighted Regression) for effective disaster prevention and then, classified the causes of the flood damage by spatial characteristics. The damage factors applied consists of natural variables such as the poor drainage area, the distance from the river, elevation and slope, and anthropogenic variables such as the impervious surface area, urbanized area, and infrastructure area, which are selected by literature review. This study carried out the comparative analysis between OLS(Ordinary Least Square) and GWR model for identifying spatial non-stationarity and spatial autocorrelation, and in the results, GWR model has higher explanation power than OLS model. As a result, it appears that there are some differences between each of the flood damage areas depending on the variables. We conclude that the establishment of disaster prevention plan for urban flooding area should reflect the spatial characteristics of the damaged areas. This study provides an improved understandings of the causes of urban flood damages, which can be diverse according to their own spatial characteristics.

An Analysis on the Changes of flow Duration Characteristics due to Dam Construction (댐 건설에 따른 하류 유황의 변화 분석)

  • Kim, Tae-Gyun;Yoon, Yong-Nam;Ahn, Hae-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.6
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    • pp.807-816
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of the present study was to evaluate the changes of flow duration characteristics of a large river basin due to construction of a dam. The changes of water surface are quantified from remote sensing film taken before and after dam construction. Gongiu gauging station was selected to analyze the changes of flow duration, and annual exceedance series of Gongju and Kyuam gauging station were selected to estimate the changes of flood quantile before and after dam construction. From the analysing results, it was found that the construction of dam contributes to make new duration stable and to decrease flood flow. In conclusion, it was confirmed that the construction of the dam is useful for water supply and flood prevention.