• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood flow rate

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Flow rate prediction at Paldang Bridge using deep learning models (딥러닝 모형을 이용한 팔당대교 지점에서의 유량 예측)

  • Seong, Yeongjeong;Park, Kidoo;Jung, Younghun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.565-575
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    • 2022
  • Recently, in the field of water resource engineering, interest in predicting time series water levels and flow rates using deep learning technology that has rapidly developed along with the Fourth Industrial Revolution is increasing. In addition, although water-level and flow-rate prediction have been performed using the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) model that can predict time-series data, the accuracy of flow-rate prediction in rivers with rapid temporal fluctuations was predicted to be very low compared to that of water-level prediction. In this study, the Paldang Bridge Station of the Han River, which has a large flow-rate fluctuation and little influence from tidal waves in the estuary, was selected. In addition, time-series data with large flow fluctuations were selected to collect water-level and flow-rate data for 2 years and 7 months, which are relatively short in data length, to be used as training and prediction data for the LSTM and GRU models. When learning time-series water levels with very high time fluctuation in two models, the predicted water-level results in both models secured appropriate accuracy compared to observation water levels, but when training rapidly temporal fluctuation flow rates directly in two models, the predicted flow rates deteriorated significantly. Therefore, in this study, in order to accurately predict the rapidly changing flow rate, the water-level data predicted by the two models could be used as input data for the rating curve to significantly improve the prediction accuracy of the flow rates. Finally, the results of this study are expected to be sufficiently used as the data of flood warning system in urban rivers where the observation length of hydrological data is not relatively long and the flow-rate changes rapidly.

A Study on Scenario-based Urban Flood Prediction using G2D Flood Analysis Model (G2D 침수해석 모형을 이용한 시나리오 기반 도시 침수예측 연구)

  • Hui-Seong Noh;Ki-Hong Park
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.488-494
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, scenario-based urban flood prediction for the entire Jinju city was performed, and a simulation domain was constructed using G2D as a 2-dimensional urban flood analysis model. The domain configuration is DEM, and the land cover map is used to set the roughness coefficient for each grid. The input data of the model are water level, water depth and flow rate. In the simulation of the built G2D model, virtual rainfall (3 mm/10 min rainfall given to all grids for 5 hours) and virtual flow were applied. And, a GPU acceleration technique was applied to determine whether to run the flood analysis model in the target area. As a result of the simulation, it was confirmed that the high-resolution flood analysis time was significantly shortened and the flood depth for visual flood judgment could be created for each simulation time.

Preliminary Release Scheme by Flood Forecasting (홍수예측에 의한 예비방유 방안)

  • Sim, Myeong-Pil;Lee, Jae-Hyeong;Gwon, O-Ik
    • Water for future
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.235-248
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    • 1996
  • Apreliminary release scheme (PRS) is suggested for the operating rules during flood period to deal with conflicts between flood control and water conservation purposes. PRS can be used to decide the optimum releases, based on the forecast of an oncoming flood and flow rate at the control point downstream when comparing the variable restricted water level (VRWL) for flood control with the minimum required water level (MRWL) for conservation use. The model is applied to Chungju and Daechung reservoirs through simulations of the technique. This study illustrates the procedure to decide the time and size for preliminary releases. Also, effects of duration and magnitude of preliminary release are reviewed based on historicqal flood records. The simulation results indicate that the proposed PRS is effective for the managers to find optimal operating policies during flood period. The proposed scheme can be used with main release scheme using real-time operation on hour-to-hour basis to decide the release for a flood.

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Effect of Dam Operation on the Spatial Variability of Downstream Flow (댐운영에 따른 하류하천 유량의 공간적 변동성 평가)

  • Jeong Eun Lee;Jeongwoo Lee;Chul-gyum Kim;Il-moon Chung
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.627-638
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to evaluate the spatial variability of downstream river flow resulting from the operation of the Gimcheon Buhang Dam in the Gamcheon watershed. The dam's effects on flood reduction during the flood season and on increasing streamflow during the dry season-two main functions of multipurpose dams-were quantitatively analyzed. Streamflow data from 2013 to 2021 for the study waterhsed were simulated on a daily basis using SWAT-K (Soil and Water Assessment Tool - Korea) model. Comparison of the simulated and observed values found goodness of fit values of 0.75 or higher for both the coefficient of determination and the Nash-Sutcliffe model efficiency coefficient. The spatial analysis of the dam's effect on flood reduction focused on the annual maximum flood: rates of flood reduction at the four stations ranged from 8.5% to 25.0%. The evaluation of streamflow increase during times of low flow focused on flow duration curves: in particular, compared to the case without an upstream dam, the average low flow at the four sites increased from 33% to 198%.

A Comprehensive Rainfall/Run-off Model for Upland Catchment Area. (산간유역에서의 강우량/유출량에 관한 종합 Model해석)

  • 홍진정
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.4724-4731
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    • 1978
  • Using hydrometric data from an upland river in North Wales, a relationship between rate of river flow and water stored within the catchment area (catchment storage) is assumed to exist, and is evaluated from an analysis of winter recession curves. This storage/river flow relationship, when combined with water balance equations, produces a set of equations which may be used for "routing" input of rainfall through a storage with defined outflow characteristics, providing a straightforward method of flood prediction and analysis from rainfall data. Recorded and predicted flood hydrographs are compared, and the effectiveness and limitations of the method are considered. The development of a complete mathematical model, embodying the storage/river flow relationship, and suitable for generation of continuous run-off records from rainfall and evaporation data, is also considered.

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Optimal parameter derivation for Muskingum method in consideration of lateral inflow and travel time (측방유입유량 및 유하시간을 고려한 Muskingum 최적 매개변수 도출)

  • Kim, Sang Ho;Kim, Ji-sung;Lee, Chang Hee
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.12
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    • pp.827-836
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    • 2017
  • The most important parameters of the Muskingum method, widely used in hydrologic river routing, are the storage coefficient and the weighting factor. The Muskingum method does not consider the lateral inflow from the upstream to the downstream, but the lateral inflow actually occurs due to the rainfall on the watershed. As a result, it is very difficult to estimate the storage coefficient and the weighting factor by using the actual data of upstream and downstream. In this study, the flow without the lateral inflow was calculated from the river flow through the hydraulic flood routing by using the HEC-RAS one-dimensional unsteady flow model, and the method of the storage coefficient and the weighting factor calculation is presented. Considering that the storage coefficient relates to the travel time, the empirical travel time formulas used in the establishment of the domestic river basin plan were applied as the storage coefficient, and the simulation results were compared and analyzed. Finally, we have developed a formula for calculating the travel time considering the flow rate, and proposed a method to perform flood routing by updating the travel time according to the inflow change. The rise and fall process of the flow rate, the peak flow rate, and the peak time are well simulated when the travel time in consideration of the flow rate is applied as the storage coefficient.

Experimental Study on the Inflow and Outflow Structures of Hwasun Flood Control Reservoir (화순 홍수조절지의 유입유출 구조물에 대한 수리모형실험 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Hwa;Jin, Kwang-Ho;Ryu, Jong-Hyun;Kim, Soo-Geun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.7
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    • pp.675-684
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    • 2012
  • Recently, a heavy rainfall under climate change causes the flood exceeded river's conveyance. Flood control methods under the limited river width are the increase of embankment, the construction of storage pockets and diversion channel, the dredging of river bed. Hwasun flood control reservoir of washland is designed as the storage pockets and the regulating gate for the control of water level. In this study, the propriety of design was investigated through hydraulic experiments for the circumstances to exclude the constant flood discharge during operation period. In the results, the over flow rate of side weir exceeded the flow of design and indicated to be able to discharge the designed flow in the regulating gate opened 1.1 m. The high velocity 7.1 m/s behind the gate has investigated to reduce under 3.3 m/s by the baffle block.

Development of Real-Time Forecasting and Management System for the Youngsan Estuary Dam (영산강 하구둑 실시간 홍수예보 및 관리시스템 개발)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Park, Seung-Woo;Her, Young-Gu;Park, Chang-Eun;Kang, Moon-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.285-288
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    • 2002
  • For real-time flood forecasting and effective control flood at the Youngsan estuary dam, the Flood Forecasting and Control User Interface System II (FFCUS II) has been developed. This paper describes the features and application of FFCUS II. FFCUS II is composed of the database management subsystem, the model subsystem, and the graphic user interface. The database management subsyem collects rainfall data and stream flow data, updates, processes, and searches the data. The model subsystem predicts the inflow hydrograph, the tide, forecasts flood hydrograph, and simulates the release rate from the sluice gates. The graphic user interface subsystem aids the user's decision-making process by displaying the operation results of the database management subsystem and model subsystem.

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A Feasibility Study on Supplying Stream Minimum Flow Using Detention Storage in Developing Planned District (단지계획지구 홍수저류지의 하천유지유량 공급방안 연구)

  • Noh Jaekyoung;Park Hyun-goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.1219-1223
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    • 2005
  • This study was accomplished to confirm the possibility of supplying stream minimum flow from detention storage which was determined to reduce peak flows of flood within developing planned district. The results analyzed was summarized as follows; Firstly, Sin-gil district situated in Ansan city was selected, of which watershed area has $0.56km^2$. And detention storage was determined to $5,370m^3$ from analyzing flood volume by the SCS unit hydrograph method. Secondly, using Visual Basic ver 6.0, a detention storage water balance model was developed, in which simulation was based on conditioning storage inflow and outflow according to streamflow volume or rate state. And streamflow was simulated using the DAWAST model. Thirdly, detention operation scenarios were consisted of the combinations with inflow referencing streamflow of 5mm/day, 10mm/day and outflow referencing streamflow of 1mm/day, 2mm/day. The developed detention storage water balance model was operated to simulate daily water storages of detention sized on flood by scenarios. Stream minimum flows were able to be supplied during 209 days to 237 days per a year, total volume of stream minimum flows supplied for this period was analyzed to reach 27 to $55\% of yearly streamflow volume. If inflow criteria of streamflows to detention was considered to be established on a theoretical condition, it is expected to supply stream minimum flows of 20 to $30\% of yearly streamflow from stream to detention. Also to maximize function of supplying urban stream minimum flow from detention storages, sewage waters within developing planned district have to be treated and entered to detention inflow together with streamflows to enrich function of detention planned to reduce flood volumes.

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Study on the Flow Characteristics at Natural Curved Channel by 2D and 3D Models (2·3차원 모형을 이용한 자연하도 만곡부에서의 흐름특성 연구)

  • Ahn, Seung-Seop;Jung, Do-Joon;Lee, Sang-Il;Kim, Wi-Seok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.471-478
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the flow characteristic analysis at the curved-channel of the actual channel section is compared and reviewed using the 2D RMA-2 model and the 3D FLOW-3D model. the curve section with curve rate 1.044 in the research section is analyzed applying the frequency of he project flood of 100 years. According to the result, the issue for the application of the FLOW-3D Model's three-dimensional numeric analysis result to the actual river is found to be reviewed with caution. Also, application of the 3D model to the wide basin's flood characteristic is determined to be somewhat risky. But, the applicability to the hydraulic property analysis of a partial channel section and the impact analysis and forecast of hydraulic structure is presumed to be high. In addition, if the parameters to reflect the vegetation of basin and the actual channel, more accurate topological measurement data and the topological data with high closeness to the current status are provided, the result with higher reliability is considered to be drawn.