• Title/Summary/Keyword: Flood evaluation

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An evaluation on power generation of water resources facilities in North Korea considering climate change (기후변화 영향을 고려한 유출변화에 따른 북한 수자원시설 발전량 평가)

  • Eo, Gyu;Lee, Chan Hee;Sim, Ou Bae;Ahn, Jaehyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.355-369
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    • 2018
  • The runoff will be changed in the future due to climate change, and this phenomenon affects the flood inflow to Water Resources Facilities (WRF) and its production. This study has evaluated the electric power generation of WRF in North Korea as climate change. The WRF can produce the electric power by rotating the hydraulic turbine using the energy of water. In other words, it converts the potential energy to the kinetic energy, then the kinetic energy to the electric energy. As a result of this study, the amount of power generation of WRF in North Korea decreased from 2011 to 2040, and increased from 2041 to 2100, comparing with present. In other words, the productivity will decrease at first (2011~2040) but increase (2041~2100). It is because there will be new facilities for climate change, and the capacities of them will be getting far better than the existing facilities. The existing North Korean WRFs are vulnerable to the effects of climate change, and it is judged that the new North Korean WRFs are advantageously located in the influence of climate change.

Safety Evaluation of Agricultural Reservoirs due to Raising Embankment by Field Monitoring and Numerical Analysis (현장계측과 수치해석에 의한 농업용저수지 제체의 안정성 평가)

  • Lee, Kwang Sol;Lee, Dal Won;Lee, Young Hak
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.2
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    • pp.31-44
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    • 2016
  • This study analyzed pore water pressure, earth pressure and settlement through field monitoring on the project site in which raising embankments are being built through backside extension, and compared the behaviors of seepage analysis, slope stability analysis and stress-strain during flood water levels and rapid drawdown under steady state and transient condition. The variation of pore water pressure showed an increase during the later period in both upstream and downstream slope, with downstream slope more largely increased than upstream slope overall. The variation of earth pressure increased according to the increase of embankment heights, while the change largely showed in the upstream slope, it was slowly increased in the downstream slope. The settlements largely increased until 23 m as embankment heights increased, and showed very little settlement overall. Under a steady state and transient conditions, the seepage quantity per day and leakage quantity per 100 m of embankment against total storage were shown to be stable for piping. The hydraulic gradient at the core before and after raising embankments was greater than the limit hydraulic gradient, showing instability for piping. The safety factor of upstream and downstream slopes were shown to be very large at a steady state, while the upstream slopes greatly decreased at a transit conditions, downstream slopes did not show any significant changes. The horizontal settlements, the maximum shear strain and stress are especially distributed at the connecting portion of the existing reservoir and the new extension of backside. Accordingly, the backside extension method should be designed and reinforced differently from the cases of other types reservoirs.

Reliability Evaluation of Parameter Estimation Methods of Probability Density Function for Estimating Probability Rainfalls (확률강우량 추정을 위한 확률분포함수의 매개변수 추정법에 대한 신뢰성 평가)

  • Han, Jeong-Woo;Kwon, Hyun-Han;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.6
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    • pp.143-151
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    • 2009
  • Extreme hydrologic events cause serious disaster, such as flood and drought. Many researchers have an effort to estimate design rainfalls or discharges. This study evaluated parameter estimation methods to estimate probability rainfalls with low uncertainty which will be used in design rainfalls. This study collected rainfall data from Incheon, Gangnueng, Gwangju, Busan, and Chupungryong gage station, and generated synthetic rainfall data using ARMA model. This study employed the maximum likelihood method and the Bayesian inference method for estimating parameters of the Gumbel and GEV distribution. Using a bootstrap resampling method, this study estimated the confidence intervals of estimated probability rainfalls. Based on the comparison of the confidence intervals, this study recommended a proper parameter estimation method for estimating probability rainfalls which have a low uncertainty.

A Study of Recovery Standards and Post-Evaluation Method for Long Term Community Preventive Recovery Plan (개선복구계획 수립기준 및 효과측정 연구)

  • Jung, Woo-Young;Jung, Sang-Man;Choi, Hyun-Kyu;Lee, Sang-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2009
  • Most damages of civil infrastructures under natural disasters are frequently occurred at surrounding areas of the river or the road. Every year, Recovery for these disaster damages are performed by the government. Recently, the government decide to change current recovery plan system because current recovery plan which doesn't consider future disaster impacts at a site has been proved to be ineffective. Accordingly, new permanency recovery plan system is needed and its corresponding ideas are presented in this research considering more detailed disaster damage classifications and cause assessments. The proposed permanency recovery plan would also provide more systematic and diverse recovery response strategies including both two concepts, for example Preparedness considered by risk assessment and management, and Mitigation investigated by hazard impact analyses.

Identification of Factors Affecting the Occurrence of Temporal Patterns of Rainfall in Gamcheon Watershed (감천유역에 대한 강우양상 발생 영향인자의 규명 및 해석)

  • Ahn, Ki-Hong;Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.77-85
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    • 2009
  • In South Korea, seasonal, local and temporal climatic characteristics are variable in rainfall patterns. To design or assess the reliability of hydrosystem, information about the rainfall event under consideration is important. In this process, the complete description of a design storm involves the specification of rainfall duration, depth, and its temporal pattern. Generally, to use an appropriate temporal pattern for a design storm is of great importance in the design and evaluation of hydrological safety for hydrosystem. For purpose of selecting of factors affecting the occurrence of rainfall patterns, Huff's dimensionless method was executed and examined by statistical contingency tables analysis through which the inter-dependence of the occurrence frequency of rainfall patterns with respect to geographical location, rainfall duration and depth, and seasonality is investigated. This analysis result can be used to establish flood policies and to design or assess the reliability of hydrosystem.

Areal average rainfall estimation method using multiple elevation data of an electromagnetic wave rain gauge (전파강수계의 다중 고도각 자료를 이용한 면적 평균 강우 추정 기법)

  • Lim, Sanghun;Choi, Jeongho;Kim, Won
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.417-425
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    • 2020
  • In order to predict and prevent hydrological disasters such as flood, it is necessary to accurately estimate rainfall. In this paper, an areal average rainfall estimation method using multiple elevation observation data of an electromagnetic wave rain gauge is presented. The small electromagnetic rain gauge system is a very small precipitation radar that operates at K-band with dual-polarization technology for very short distance observation. The areal average rainfall estimation method is based on the assumption that the variation in rainfall over the observation range is small because the observation distance and time are very short. The proposed method has been evaluated by comparing with ground instruments such as tipping-bucket rain gauges and a Parsivel. The evaluation results show that the methodology works fairly well for the rainfall events which are shown here.

Comparison and Evaluation on DEM Error by the Resolution of Airborne Laser Scanning Data (항공레이저 측량 자료의 해상도에 따른 DEM 오차 비교평가 연구)

  • Lee, Geun-Sang;Koh, Deuk-Koo;Chae, Hyo-Seok;Shin, Young-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2003
  • As airborne laser scanning technique is developed with high vertical accuracy recently, there come many studies on DEM(digital elevation model creation, building extraction, flood risk mapping and 3D virtual city modeling. This study applied point comparative method, contour comparative method and digital map with scale 1/5,000 to calculate RMSE of DEM in according to resolution that was constructed using rawdata being acquired by airborne laser scanning. As a result, point comparative method showed lower DEM standard error than contour comparative method, it is a reason that contour comparative method was not carried out detailed grid calculation for point comparative method. Also, digital map with scale 1/5,000 showed higher DEM standard error than point comparative method and contour comparative method in below 25.4m that is average horizontal distance among contour line, and showed similar result with contour comparative method in over 25.4m.

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A Study on Runoff Analysis of Urban Watershed by Hydrologic Infiltration Experiment of Permeable Pavement (투수성 포장의 침투 실험을 통한 도시유역 유출 변화 연구)

  • Koo, Young Min;Jo, Jae An;Kim, Young Do;Park, Jae Hyeon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.559-571
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    • 2013
  • Recently, due to increase of the impervious layer, the storage of surface layer has been reduced. Otherwise the peak runoff and the total surface runoff have been raised. Because of larger amount of the peak runoff and the rapid time of concentration, the flood damage of the urban watershed was increased. The groundwater level is descended by reducing the amount of rainfall that infiltrated into the soil. Thereby the hydrologic cycle is degenerated by the dry stream. Therefore, in this study, the evaluation and the quantitative analysis of the percolation effect were performed through the infiltration experiment of permeable pavement, which is one of the ways that can reduce the problem of the dry stream. Also the SWMM model is used to analyze the effect of the hydrologic cycle for permeable pavement in Changwon stream and Nam stream watersheds, with the coefficient of permeability from the infiltration experiments.

A Study on the Development of Digital Contents for Land Estimation (토지평가 디지털컨텐츠 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Song Eun-Jee
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.147-155
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    • 2003
  • The problem of the objective adequacy on land estimation has been seriously discussed with the Issue of paradigm conversion on land policy as the economy situation has been worse enough to be confused due to the sale price which could not be predicted in Korea. Especially as the data of the government land value is not recognized as the official one, the separate alternation has been adopted to calculate the value of land compensation or development allotment. Rather it has raised a question in argument that the system of the declared value does not accomplish its basic function properly on the contrary of the original purpose to unify the computation of the government land value. To reconsider the adequacy of government land value, the most crucial factor is to select the items of land estimation reasonably. In addition, it is urgently required to develop the system of digital contents to provide the data of land evaluation which most of people could trust, who are facing of the flood of information through internet.

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Evaluation of Reservoir Storage Effect Using Non-linear Reservoir Model (비선형 저수지 모형을 이용한 저수지의 저류효과 평가)

  • Yoo, Chul-Sang;Jun, Chang-Hyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.407-416
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    • 2011
  • This study expressed the reservoir's storage-discharge relation as a non-linear reservoir model and theoretically quantified the reservoir storage effect. Among those non-linear functions like exponential function, logarithmic function and power function considered, the exponential function of the storage-discharge relation was found to be the most valid. The non-linear reservoir model proposed was applied to the Chungju Dam and the Soyang River Dam, whose storage effects during flood were estimated to be about 23 hours and 43 hours, respectively. This result indicates that the Choongju Dam, even though its size and total storage volume are similar to those of the Soyang River Dam, does not achieve enough storage effect as its basin size and the inflow amount are much larger.