• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fixed model test

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The Impact of Stock-to-Flow Price Ratio on Housing Starts (재고-신규주택 상대가격이 주택공급에 미치는 영향)

  • Ji, Kyu Hyun;Choi, Sung Ho
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2020
  • This thesis investigates relationship between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in Seoul metropolitan form 2008 year to 2019 year. The paper tests the relationship through two time-series models such as a vector error correction model and Dynamic Panel regression model. The model results show evidence of positive correlation between Stock-to-Flow price and housing starts in the long run. By transforming the regional data into a panel data set and running a fixed effects model, we test the explanatory power of PBR on housing starts. The result of VECM confirms that one unit uprising PBR raises up apartment construction by 7.4%. This result supports that PBR is a major factor in choosing a start of housing construct. Base on the result of empirical model, We also suggest that the market self-regulation function of housing providers is operating in the entire metropolitan area market.

Random Regression Models Using Legendre Polynomials to Estimate Genetic Parameters for Test-day Milk Protein Yields in Iranian Holstein Dairy Cattle

  • Naserkheil, Masoumeh;Miraie-Ashtiani, Seyed Reza;Nejati-Javaremi, Ardeshir;Son, Jihyun;Lee, Deukhwan
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.29 no.12
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    • pp.1682-1687
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this study was to estimate the genetic parameters of milk protein yields in Iranian Holstein dairy cattle. A total of 1,112,082 test-day milk protein yield records of 167,269 first lactation Holstein cows, calved from 1990 to 2010, were analyzed. Estimates of the variance components, heritability, and genetic correlations for milk protein yields were obtained using a random regression test-day model. Milking times, herd, age of recording, year, and month of recording were included as fixed effects in the model. Additive genetic and permanent environmental random effects for the lactation curve were taken into account by applying orthogonal Legendre polynomials of the fourth order in the model. The lowest and highest additive genetic variances were estimated at the beginning and end of lactation, respectively. Permanent environmental variance was higher at both extremes. Residual variance was lowest at the middle of the lactation and contrarily, heritability increased during this period. Maximum heritability was found during the 12th lactation stage ($0.213{\pm}0.007$). Genetic, permanent, and phenotypic correlations among test-days decreased as the interval between consecutive test-days increased. A relatively large data set was used in this study; therefore, the estimated (co)variance components for random regression coefficients could be used for national genetic evaluation of dairy cattle in Iran.

Assisted GNSS Positioning for Urban Navigation Based on Receiver Clock Bias Estimation and Prediction Using Improved ARMA Model

  • Xia, Linyuan;Mok, Esmond
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • v.1
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    • pp.395-400
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    • 2006
  • Among the various error sources in positioning and navigation, the paper focuses on the modeling and prediction of receiver clock bias and then tries to achieve positioning based on simulated and predicted clock bias. With the SA off, it is possible to model receiver clock bias more accurately. We selected several types of GNSS receivers for test using ARMA model. To facilitate prediction with short and limited sample pseudorange observations, AR and ARMA are compared, and the improved AR model is presented to model and predict receiver clock bias based on previous solutions. Our work extends to clock bias prediction and positioning based on predicted clock bias using only 3 satellites that is usually the case under urban canyon situation. In contrast to previous experiences, we find that a receiver clock bias can be well modeled using adopted ARMA model. Test has been done on various types of GNSS receivers to show the validation of developed model. To further develop this work, we compare solution conditions in terms of DOP values when point positioning is conducted using 3 satellites to simulate urban positioning environment. When condition allows, height component is derived from other ways and can be set as known values. Given this condition, location is possible using less than 2 GNSS satellites with fixed height. Solution condition is also discussed for this background using mode of constrained positioning. We finally suggest an effective predictive time span based on our test exploration under varied conditions.

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The Development of Fatigue Load Spectrum and Fatigue Analysis for the Tilt Rotor UAV (틸트 로터 무인항공기의 피로하중 스펙트럼 생성 및 피로해석)

  • Im, Jong-Bin;Park, Young-Chul;Park, Jung-Sun;Lee, Jeong-Jin
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.654-659
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, the fatigue load spectrum for tilt rotor UAV is developed and fatigue analysis is achieved for flaperon joint. Tilt rotor UAV has two modes which are helicopter mode when UAV is taking off and landing and fixed wing mode when UAV is cruising. To make fatigue load spectrum, FELIX for helicopter mode and TWIST for fixed wing mode are used. And Fatigue analysis of flaperon joint is achieved using fatigue load spectrum we obtained. When S-N test data are analyzed, we use the Kriging meta model to get probability S-N curve for whole range of material life. The result which is life of flaperon joint obtained by suggested fatigue analysis procedure in this paper is compared with that obtained by MSC/Fatigue.

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A STUDY ON THE SENSOR PLACEMENT TO IDENTIFY MULTIPLE INPUT FORCES USING ORTHOGONALITY OF FREQUENCY RESPONSE MATRIX (다중 입력 규명을 위한 센서의 위치 선정에 관한 연구 ; 주파수 응답 행렬의 직교성 응용)

  • 박남규;박용화;박윤식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 1997
  • A study to determine a proper sensor placement was developed to improve force identification. Improper selection of response position cause erroneous result in force identification problem. This paper presents two methods to improve the conditioning of the system's FRM(Frequency Response Matrix) which affects the accuracy of result. The basic strategy of the two methods in selecting the response position is to let the smallest singular value be as large as possible by maximizing the orthogonality of FRM. The suggested methods are tested numerically with a fixed-fixed beam model. The test results show that the proposed methods are very effective in dealing with the force identification problem.

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Convergence Point Adjustment Improving Visual Discomfort for a Zoom on a Stereoscopic Camera

  • Ha, Jong Soo;Kim, Dae Woong;Kim, Dong Hyun
    • Journal of the Optical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.633-640
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    • 2016
  • In a dual lens stereoscopic camera, a convergence point determines the stereopsis effects of a video. When a user zooms an object, a convergence point is fixed since it is not coupled with a zoom function. Due to the fixed convergence point, it is possible for a zoom to cause the excessive binocular disparity resulting in visual discomfort. In this paper, to solve this problem, we build the relational model including all phenomena possible to arise and propose the adjustment methods of a convergence point by the positions of a focus, an object and a convergence point. We also evaluate the experiments measuring a binocular disparity and the subjective test to investigate the visual comfort. The results show that one of the proposed methods produced more comfortable 3D images to viewers than the others.

An empirical study on the influence of product portfolio and interest rate on the lapse rate in the life insurance industry (생명보험산업에서 상품 판매비중과 금리가 해약률에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Se-Chang;Ouh, Seung-Cheol;Kang, Jung-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyse the influence of product portfolio and interest rate on the lapse ratio. This issue is very important because of the recent introduction of IFRS and CFP. The fixed-effect model and the random-effect model are estimated with using panel data and the Hausman test is employed in order to select a model. The results of this study is summarized as follows. Firstly, the random effect model is selected. According to the model, the lapse rate increases as the portfolio of savings plan, sickness, and death increases and the interest rate is high. Secondly, health insurance and variable insurance product show a negative relationship with the lapse rate.

On the Small Sample Distribution and its Consistency with the Large Sample Distribution of the Chi-Squared Test Statistic for a Two-Way Contigency Table with Fixed Margins (주변값이 주어진 이원분할표에 대한 카이제곱 검정통계량의 소표본 분포 및 대표본 분포와의 일치성 연구)

  • Park, Cheol-Yong;Choi, Jae-Sung;Kim, Yong-Gon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.83-90
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    • 2000
  • The chi-squared test statistic is usually employed for testing independence of two categorical variables in a two-way contingency table. It is well known that, under independence, the test statistic has an asymptotic chi-squared distribution under multinomial or product-multinomial models. For the case where both margins fixed, the sampling model of the contingency table is a multiple hypergeometric distribution and the chi-squared test statistic follows the same limiting distribution. In this paper, we study the difference between the small sample and large sample distributions of the chi-squared test statistic for the case with fixed margins. For a few small sample cases, the exact small sample distribution of the test statistic is directly computed. For a few large sample sizes, the small sample distribution of the statistic is generated via a Monte Carlo algorithm, and then is compared with the large sample distribution via chi-squared probability plots and Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests.

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Cost Behavior of Private University Hospital in Korea (사립대학병원의 원가행태)

  • Choi, Hwang-Gyu;Hwang, In-Kyoung
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.73-93
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    • 2006
  • This study aims at providing necessary informations for management decision-making to the hospital manager, such as ratios of fixed and variable cost to total operating expense, and variable cost ratio to operating revenues, and determinant factors affecting cost behavior. A study model and related hypotheses were established, data were collected from 41 private university hospitals for the 6years from 1998 to 2003, and regression analyses were performed to test the hypotheses. The results of the analyses and conclusions are as follows; First, labor cost and administration cost within the same number of beds have not only fixed quality of the cost, but variable quality of that. Also, the ratio of the variable costs to operating revenue of the metropolitan was estimated 76.9% and that of other area hospitals was 80.1%. Second, the major factors affecting the increase rate of the operating expense were the increase rates of the number of inpatients, the number of employee, and the number of hospital operating bed. This result implies that maintaining a optimal hospital bed size and efficient operation of the beds are important strategic factors of hospital management.

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Capital Structure Adjustment in Korean Retail Firms

  • Kim, Sang-Su;Lee, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2017
  • Purpose - Capital structure adjustment costs influence the test of the standard trade-off theory of capital structure. We investigate whether there exist economically significant capital adjustment costs in the Korean retail industry. Research design, data, and methodology - This paper adopts the model of Leary and Roberts(2005) to obtain the hazard rate of capital structure variations. The retail firms traded in the KOSPI and KOSDAQ markets are analyzed from 2000 to 2016. Results - The empirical analysis shows infrequent capital structure adjustments in the Korean retail firms. The duration analysis emphasizes that the fixed adjustment cost plays an important role in the determination of capital structure adjustments for the Korean retail firms. Yet, even after taking account of infrequent capital structure adjustments, the trade off theory only weakly explains the capital structure variations of the Korean retail firms. Conclusions - This paper confirms the existence of capital structure adjustment costs for the Korean retail firms. Our results argue for the significance of fixed adjustment costs in capital structure adjustments. Such emphasis on the fixed cost is inconsistent with the existing studies. The trade off theory does not successfully explain capital structure policy in the Korean retail firms even after considering adjustment costs.