• Title/Summary/Keyword: Fault-Tree Analysis

Search Result 325, Processing Time 0.022 seconds

A Study on the Development of Safety Standard through the Risk Assessment for Fuel Cell System Applied to UAV (무인 비행체용 연료전지 시스템 위험요소 분석을 통한 안전기준 개발 연구)

  • TAEHEON KIM;JAEUK CHOI;INROK CHO;JUNGWOON LEE
    • Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy
    • /
    • v.35 no.1
    • /
    • pp.56-65
    • /
    • 2024
  • Fuel cell powered unmanned aerial vehicles (UAV) are globally being developed for various application according to hydrogen roadmap. However, safety standards for hydrogen fuel cell for UAV have not been established. Therefore, in this study, we derive safety data based on risk assessment to develop safety standards for fuel cells for UAV. We use fault tree analysis method which is broadly used in hydrogen facilities as a risk assessment tool. We set hydrogen leaks and fires as top events and derived the basic events. Safety data for the basic events were derived by quoting overseas safety standards related to fuel cells. The safety data will be used for developing fuel cell inspection standard according to Act on Hydrogen Economy Promotion and Hydrogen Safety Management.

Study of Explanatory Power of Deterministic Risk Assessment's Probability through Uncertainty Intervals in Probabilistic Risk Assessment (고장률의 불확실구간을 고려한 빈도구간과 결정론적 빈도의 설명력 연구)

  • Man Hyeong Han;Young Woo Chon;Yong Woo Hwang
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
    • /
    • v.39 no.3
    • /
    • pp.75-83
    • /
    • 2024
  • Accurately assessing and managing risks in any endeavor is crucial. Risk assessment in engineering translates the abstract concept of risk into actionable strategies for systematic risk management. However, risk validation is met with significant skepticism, particularly concerning the uncertainty of probability. This study aims to address the aforementioned uncertainty in a multitude of ways. Firstly, instead of relying on deterministic probability, it acknowledges uncertainty and presents a probabilistic interval. Secondly, considering the uncertainty interval highlighted in OREDA, it delineates the bounds of the probabilistic interval. Lastly, it investigates how much explanatory power deterministic probability has within the defined probabilistic interval. By utilizing fault tree analysis (FTA) and integrating confidence intervals, a probabilistic risk assessment was conducted to scrutinize the explanatory power of deterministic probability. In this context, explanatory power signifies the proportion of probability within the probabilistic risk assessment interval that lies below the deterministic probability. Research results reveal that at a 90% confidence interval, the explanatory power of deterministic probability decreases to 73%. Additionally, it was confirmed that explanatory power reached 100% only with a probability application 36.9 times higher.

Development of the SIS Evaluation Method Based on Reliability Analysis (신뢰도 분석에 근거한 SIS 평가 방법론 개발)

  • Kim In-Won;Jin Sang-Hwa;Song Kwang Ho;Yeo Yeong-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
    • /
    • v.6 no.1 s.17
    • /
    • pp.66-73
    • /
    • 2002
  • In this study a new SIS evaluation method based on the reliability analysis has been developed. It evaluates the Safety Integrity Level (SIL) using the Fault Tree Analysis (FTA), and when the SIL falls short of the systems target level, through the reliability analysis and system retrofit, this method will satisfy the aimed SIL. A hazard evaluation was carried out on the 415V Diesel BUS to verify the SIL evaluation method based on the reliability analysis. The availability of the original 415V Diesel BUS was $99.40\%$, which comes under the category of SIL 2. After exchanging the diesel generator and the isolator switch using the developed evaluation method, the availability rose to $99.94\%$, SIL 3. By applying the method presented in this study, not only will it reduce the maintenance cost due to the prevention of accidents and reduction of loss, but also maximize the reliability of the system.

  • PDF

A Qualitative Formal Method for Requirements Specification and Safety Analysis of Hybrid Real-Time Systems (복합 실시간 계통의 요구사항 명세와 안전성 분석을 위한 정성적 정형기법)

  • Lee, Jang-Soo;Cha, Sung-Deok
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
    • /
    • v.27 no.2
    • /
    • pp.120-133
    • /
    • 2000
  • Major obstruction of using formal methods for hybrid real-time systems in industry is the difficulty that engineers have in understanding and applying the quantitative methods in an abstract requirements phase. While formal methods technology in safety-critical systems can help increase confidence of software, difficulty and complexity in using them can cause another hazard. In order to overcome this obstruction, we propose a framework for qualitative requirements engineering of the hybrid real-time systems. It consists of a qualitative method for requirements specification, called QFM (Qualitative Formal Method), and a safety analysis method for the requirements based on a causality information, called CRSA (Causal Requirements Safety Analysis). QFM emphasizes the idea of a causal and qualitative reasoning in formal methods to reduce the cognitive burden of designers when specifying and validating the software requirements of hybrid safety systems. CRSA can evaluate the logical contribution of the software elements to the physical hazard of systems by utilizing the causality information that is kept during specification by QFM. Using the Shutdown System 2 of Wolsong nuclear power plants as a realistic example, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach.

  • PDF

Process Hazard Review and Consequence Effect Analysis for the Release of Chlorine Gas from Its Storage Tank (염소저장탱크에서의 가스 누출시 공정위험검토 및 결과영향분석)

  • Ko, Jae-Sun;Kim, Hyo
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.17 no.3
    • /
    • pp.61-73
    • /
    • 2003
  • Most of the accidents occurred from the chemical plants are related to the catastrophic gas release events when the large amount of toxic materials is leaked from its storage tank or transmitting pipe lines. In this case, the greatest concerns are how the spreading behaviors of leakages are depended on the ambient conditions such as air stability and other environmental factors. Hence, we have focused on the risk assessments and consequential analysis for chlorine as an illustrative example. As appeared in the result, Fire & Explosion Index depicted it a bit dangerous with presenting the comprehensive degrees of hazard 90.7. And as a result of Phast6.0/ALOHA, the trends of each scenario appeared considerably identical although there are some differences in the resulting effects according to the input data for the Gas Model. The consequence analysis is performed numerically based on the dense gas mode. In the future, using more correct input data, material properties, and topographical configuration, the method of this research will be useful for the guideline of the risk assessment when the release of toxicants breaks out.

Construction of Logic Trees and Hazard Curves for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis (확률론적 지진해일 재해도평가를 위한 로직트리 작성 및 재해곡선 산출 방법)

  • Jho, Myeong Hwan;Kim, Gun Hyeong;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.31 no.2
    • /
    • pp.62-72
    • /
    • 2019
  • Due to the difficulties in forecasting the intensity and the source location of tsunami the countermeasures prepared based on the deterministic approach fail to work properly. Thus, there is an increasing demand of the tsunami hazard analyses that consider the uncertainties of tsunami behavior in probabilistic approach. In this paper a fundamental study is conducted to perform the probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) for the tsunamis that caused the disaster to the east coast of Korea. A logic tree approach is employed to consider the uncertainties of the initial free surface displacement and the tsunami height distribution along the coast. The branches of the logic tree are constructed by reflecting characteristics of tsunamis that have attacked the east coast of Korea. The computational time is nonlinearly increasing if the number of branches increases in the process of extracting the fractile curves. Thus, an improved method valid even for the case of a huge number of branches is proposed to save the computational time. The performance of the discrete weight distribution method proposed first in this study is compared with those of the conventional sorting method and the Monte Carlo method. The present method is comparable to the conventional methods in its accuracy, and is efficient in the sense of computational time when compared with the conventional sorting method. The Monte Carlo method, however, is more efficient than the other two methods if the number of branches and the number of fault segments increase significantly.

On a Method to Analyze and Verify the Functional Safety of ISO 26262 Based on Systems Engineering Framework (기능안전규격 ISO 26262의 효과적 구현을 위한 시스템공학 기반 요구사항 분석/검증 방법)

  • Lim, Gwan-Taik;Lee, Jae-Chon
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
    • /
    • v.15 no.3
    • /
    • pp.61-69
    • /
    • 2013
  • According to ISO 26262 (the international standard on functional safety for automotive industry), the functional safety should be considered during the whole automotive systems life cycle from the design phase throughout the production phase. In order to satisfy the standard, the automotive and related industry needs to take appropriate actions while carrying out a variety of development activities. This paper presents an approach to coping with the standard. Analyzing the standard indicates that the safety issues of the automotive systems should be handled with a system's view whereas the conventional approach to solving the issues has been practiced with focus on the component's level. The aforementioned system's view implies that the functional safety shall be incorporated in the system design from both the system's life-cycle view and the hierarchical view for the structure. In light of this, the systems engineering framework can be quite appropriate in the functional safety development and thus has been taken in this paper as a problem solving approach. Of various design issues, the analysis and verification of the safety requirements for functional safety is a key study subject of the paper. Note, in particular, that the conventional FMEA (failure mode effects analysis) and FTA (fault tree analysis) methods seem to be partly relying on the insufficient experience and knowledge of the engineers. To improve this, a systematic method is studied here and the result is applied in the design of an ABS braking system as a case study.

Development of a Computer Code for Common Cause Failure Analysis (공통원인 고장분석을 위한 전산 코드 개발)

  • Park, Byung-Hyun;Cho, Nam-Zin
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.24 no.1
    • /
    • pp.14-29
    • /
    • 1992
  • COMCAF, a computer code for the common-cause failure analysis, is developed to treat the common-cause failures in nuclear power plants. In the treatment of common-cause failures, the minimal cut sets of the system are obtained first without changing the fault-tree structure. The occurrence probabilities of the minimal cut sets are then calculated accounting for the common-cause failures among components in the same minimal cut set or in different minimal cut sets. The basic parameter model is used to model the common-cause failures between similar or identical components. For dissimilar components, the assumption of symmetry used in the basic parameter model is applied to the basic events affecting two or more components. The top event probability is evaluated using the inclusion-exclusion method. In addition to the common-cause failures of components in the same minimal cut sets, failures of components in the different minimal cut sets are also easily accounted for by this method. This study applied this common-cause failure analysis to the PWR auxiliary feedwater system. The results in the top event probability for the system are compared with those of no common-cause failures.

  • PDF

Studies for Reliability-corrected Cost Estimation Methodology of Launch Vehicle Development (신뢰성 보정된 발사체 개발비용 추정방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Rae;Yoo, Dong-Seo;Chang, Young-Keun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
    • /
    • v.40 no.4
    • /
    • pp.364-374
    • /
    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study is to perform the reliability-corrected development cost estimation of the launch vehicle at the conceptual design phase. In order to estimate the launch vehicle development cost, the estimation method based on the independent variable such as the rocket performance and dry mass has been mainly implemented up to now. This approach has made the approximate cost estimation possible, however, the cost variation according to the reliability requirement could not be reflected. In this paper, the cost estimation methodology that introduces the reliability factor in addition to the performance and mass in the TRANSCOST model is presented in order to improve the limitation of current cost estimation method. The development cost of KSLV(Korea Space Launch Vehicle)-II is estimated on the basis of this newly implemented concept with reliability as an added parameter.

Two-Layer Approach Using FTA and BBN for Reliability Analysis of Combat Systems (전투 시스템의 신뢰성 분석을 위한 FTA와 BBN을 이용한 2계층 접근에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Ji-Won;Lee, Jang-Se
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.333-340
    • /
    • 2019
  • A combat system performs a given mission enduring various threats. It is important to analyze the reliability of combat systems in order to increase their ability to perform a given mission. Most of studies considered no threat or on threat and didn't analyze all the dependent relationships among the components. In this paper, we analyze the loss probability of the function of the combat system and use it to analyze the reliability. The proposed method is divided into two layers, A lower layer and a upper layer. In lower layer, the failure probability of each components is derived by using FTA to consider various threats. In the upper layer, The loss probability of function is analyzed using the failure probability of the component derived from lower layer and BBN in order to consider the dependent relationships among the components. Using the proposed method, it is possible to analyze considering various threats and the dependency between components.