• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure prediction

검색결과 1,188건 처리시간 0.026초

Diffusion-weighted Magnetic Resonance Imaging for Predicting Response to Chemoradiation Therapy for Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma: A Systematic Review

  • Sae Rom Chung;Young Jun Choi;Chong Hyun Suh;Jeong Hyun Lee;Jung Hwan Baek
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • 제20권4호
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    • pp.649-661
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    • 2019
  • Objective: To systematically review the evaluation of the diagnostic accuracy of pre-treatment apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) and change in ADC during the intra- or post-treatment period, for the prediction of locoregional failure in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). Materials and Methods: Ovid-MEDLINE and Embase databases were searched up to September 8, 2018, for studies on the use of diffusion-weighted magnetic resonance imaging for the prediction of locoregional treatment response in patients with HNSCC treated with chemoradiation or radiation therapy. Risk of bias was assessed by using the Quality Assessment Tool for Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2. Results: Twelve studies were included in the systematic review, and diagnostic accuracy assessment was performed using seven studies. High pre-treatment ADC showed inconsistent results with the tendency for locoregional failure, whereas all studies evaluating changes in ADC showed consistent results of a lower rise in ADC in patients with locoregional failure compared to those with locoregional control. The sensitivities and specificities of pre-treatment ADC and change in ADC for predicting locoregional failure were relatively high (range: 50-100% and 79-96%, 75-100% and 69-95%, respectively). Meta-analytic pooling was not performed due to the apparent heterogeneity in these values. Conclusion: High pre-treatment ADC and low rise in early intra-treatment or post-treatment ADC with chemoradiation, could be indicators of locoregional failure in patients with HNSCC. However, as the studies are few, heterogeneous, and at high risk for bias, the sensitivity and specificity of these parameters for predicting the treatment response are yet to be determined.

유압 피스톤 펌프의 수명 예측 연구 (A Study on Life Prediction of Hydraulic Piston Pump)

  • 김경수;이지환;강명철;유범상
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.607-613
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    • 2018
  • Hydraulic systems are widely used in the field of defense, construction machinery, agricultural machinery, and general industries, due to various advantages such as quick response speed and precision control. The defense equipments such as light rescue vehicle is operated in very harsh environments, so hydraulic components used in defense equipment are required to have very high reliability. In particular, hydraulic piston pump is very important component in a hydraulic systems, so life prediction of pump is essential. Therefore, in this study, we analyze the potential failure and the main failure mode of the hydraulic piston pump for the light rescue vehicle through the FMEA analysis, and predict the life of the pump by the accelerated life test considering the usage conditions.

유한요소법과 FLSD를 이용한 관재 하이드로포밍 공정에서의 성형 한계 예측 (Forming Limit Prediction in Tube Hydroforming Processes by Using the FEM and FLSD)

  • 김상우;김정;이정환;강범수
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.527-532
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    • 2005
  • Among the failure modes which can occur in tube hydroforming such as wrinkling, bursting or buckling, the bursting by local instability under excessive tensile stresses is irrecoverable phenomenon. Thus, the accurate prediction of bursting condition plays an important role in producing the successfully hydroformed part without any defects. As the classical forming limit criteria, strain-based forming limit diagram (FLD) has widely used to predict the failure in sheet metal forming. However, it is known that the FLD is extremely dependant on strain path throughout the forming process. Furthermore, The application of FLD to hydroforming process, where strain path is no longer linear throughout forming process, may lead to misunderstanding for fracture initiation. In this work, stress-based forming limit diagram (FLSD), which is strain path-independent and more general, was applied to prediction of forming limit in tube hydroforming. Combined with the analytical FLSD determined from plastic instability theory, finite element analyses were carried out to find out the state of stresses during hydroforming operation, and then FLSD is utilized as forming limit criterion. In addition, the approach is verified by a series of bulge tests in view of bursting pressure and shows a good agreement. Consequently, it is shown that the approach proposed in this paper will provide a feasible method to satisfy the increasing practical demands for judging the forming severity in hydroforming processes.

유한요소법과 FLSD를 이용한 관재 하이드로포밍 공정에서의 성형 한계 예측 (Forming Limit Prediction in Tube Hydroforming Processes by using the FEM and ELSD)

  • 김상우;김정;이정환;강범수
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.92-96
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    • 2005
  • Among the failure modes which can be occurred in tube hydroforming such as wrinkling, bursting or buckling, the bursting by local instability under excessive tensile stresses is irrecoverable phenomenon. Thus, the accurate prediction of bursting condition plays an important role in producing the successfully hydroformed part without any defects. As the classical forming limit criteria, strain-based forming limit diagram has widely used to predict the failure in sheet metal forming. However, it is known that the FLD is extremely dependant on strain path throughout the forming process. Furthermore, the path-dependent limitation of FLD makes the application to hydroforming process, where strain path is no longer linear throughout forming process, more careful. In this work, stress-based forming limit diagram (FLSD), which is strain path-independent and more general, was applied to prediction of forming limit in tube hydroforming. Combined with the analytical FLSD determined from plastic instability theory, finite element analyses were carried out to find out Ihe state of stresses during hydroforming operation, and then FLSD is utilized as forming limit criterion. In addition, the approach is verified with a series of bulge tests in view of bursting pressure and shows a good agreement. Consequently, it is shown that the approach proposed in this paper will provide a feasible method to satisfy the increasing practical demands for judging the farming severity in hydroforming processes.

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확률분포를 이용한 복합재료의 강도예측 (Prediction of Laminate Composite Strength Using Probabilistic Approach)

  • 조영준;강태진;이경우
    • Composites Research
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.33-39
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    • 2000
  • 복합재료 적층판의 최종강도를 점증적 파손 해석방법을 사용하여 예측하였다. 플라이 강도를 확률분포로 가정했을 경우와 상수로 가정했을 경우 각각의 최종강도를 예측하였다. 복합재료의 강도에 대한 확률분포인 Weibull 분포를 이용하여 임의의 강도 값을 얻은 후 이 값을 Tsai-Hill 파손식에 대입하여 파손여부를 판정하고 파손이 일어나면 재료의 물성을 떨어뜨렸다. 이 방법에 의해서 얻어진 결과를 플라이의 강도를 상수로 가정하여 해석한 경우와의 차이에 대하여 고찰하였다. 결과적으로 두 경우 모두 실험치와 약간의 오차를 보였지만 파손의 경향성에 있어서는 확률분포를 이용한 강도해석이 실험값과 더 근사한 결과를 보였다.

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정시중단 고장자료를 이용한 신뢰성예측 연구 (A Study on a Reliability Prognosis based on Censored Failure Data)

  • 백재진;이광원
    • 한국자동차공학회논문집
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2010
  • Collecting all failures during life cycle of vehicle is not easy way because its life cycle is normally over 10 years. Warranty period can help gathering failures data because most customers try to repair its failures during warranty period even though small failures. This warranty data, which means failures during warranty period, can be a good resource to predict initial reliability and permanence reliability. However uncertainty regarding reliability prediction remains because this data is censored. University of Wuppertal and major auto supplier developed the reliability prognosis model considering censored data and this model introduce to predict reliability estimate further "failure candidate". This paper predicts reliability of telecommunications system in vehicle using the model and describes data structure for reliability prediction.

PWM 전력 컨버터에서 DC 링크 커패시터의 개선된 온라인 고장 진단 (An Improvement On-Line Failure Diagnosis of DC Link Capacitor in PWM Power Converters)

  • 손진근;나채동
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.40-46
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    • 2010
  • DC link electrolytic capacitors are widely used in various PWM power converter system, such as adjustable speed driver(ASD) or DC/DC converter. Electrolytic capacitors, which is the most of the time affected by aging effect, plays a very important role for the power electronics system quality and reliability. This objective of this paper is to propose a improvement method to detect the rise of equivalent series resistor(ESR) in order to realize the online failure prediction of electrolytic capacitor for DC link of PWM power converter. The ESR detection scheme is based on the determination of the electrolytic capacitor AC losses calculated from voltage/current measurement using AC coupling. Therefore, the preposed online failure prediction method has the merits of easy ESR computation and circuit simplicity compare with BPF method. Simulation results show the veridity of the proposed on-line ESR estimation method.

퍼지신뢰성이론에 의한 피로수명 예측 (Fatigue Life Prediction using Fuzzy Reliability theory)

  • 심확섭;이치우;장건의
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1995년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.672-675
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    • 1995
  • Because of a sudden growth of the research of fatigue failure, recent machines or structures have been designed by damage tolerance design in many fields. Consequently, it is the most primary factor to clarity the specific character of fatique failure in the design of machines or structures considering reliability. A statistical analysis is required to analyze the outcome of an experiment or a life estimate by reason of that fatigue failure contains lots of random elements. Reliability analysis which has tukenn the place of the existing analyses in the consideration of the uncertainty of a material, is a very efficient way. Even reliability analysis, however, is not a perfect way to analyses the uncertainties of all the materials. This thesis would refer to a newly conceived data analysis that the coefficient of a system could cause the ambiguity of the relationship of an input and output.

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평면 변형 장출 시헙법(PSST)을 이용한 프레스라인에서의 성형 불량 예측 (A Predication of Failure in the Stamping Line by Using the Plane Strain Stretch Test)

  • 한수식;박기철;진조관
    • 한국소성가공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소성가공학회 1997년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.15-18
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    • 1997
  • The plane strain stretch test (PSST) developed by POSCO as an activity of customer service was applied to the establishment of the formability criteria and the prediction of failure during the stamping processes. The PSST was applied to the actual parts such as oil pan and shock mount and the criteria of PSST value for each forming parts were established. These value can provide the possibility of prediction of failure before the stamping process. These results show that the PSST can precisely predict the stamping formability of steel sheets.

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A Novel Unweighted Combination Method for Business Failure Prediction Using Soft Set

  • Xu, Wei;Yang, Daoli
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.1489-1502
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    • 2019
  • This work introduces a novel unweighted combination method (UCSS) for business failure perdition (BFP). With considering features of BFP in the age of big data, UCSS integrates the quantitative and qualitative analysis by utilizing soft set theory (SS). We adopt the conventional expert system (ES) as the basic qualitative classifier, the logistic regression model (LR) and the support vector machine (SVM) as basic quantitative classifiers. Unlike other traditional combination methods, we employ soft set theory to integrate the results of each basic classifier without weighting. In this way, UCSS inherits the advantages of ES, LR, SVM, and SS. To verify the performance of UCSS, it is applied to real datasets. We adopt ES, LR, SVM, combination models utilizing the equal weight approach (CMEW), neural network algorithm (CMNN), rough set and D-S evidence theory (CMRD), and the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) and SS (CFBSS) as benchmarks. The superior performance of UCSS has been verified by the empirical experiments.