A Study on a Reliability Prognosis based on Censored Failure Data

정시중단 고장자료를 이용한 신뢰성예측 연구

  • Baek, Jae-Jin (Department of Safety Engineering, University of Wuppertal) ;
  • Rhie, Kwang-Won (Department of Safety and Health Engineering, University of Hoseo) ;
  • Meyna, Arno (Department of Safety Engineering, University of Wuppertal)
  • 백재진 (부퍼탈대학교 안전공학과) ;
  • 이광원 (호서대학교 안전보건공학과) ;
  • Received : 2009.01.30
  • Accepted : 2009.07.29
  • Published : 2010.01.01

Abstract

Collecting all failures during life cycle of vehicle is not easy way because its life cycle is normally over 10 years. Warranty period can help gathering failures data because most customers try to repair its failures during warranty period even though small failures. This warranty data, which means failures during warranty period, can be a good resource to predict initial reliability and permanence reliability. However uncertainty regarding reliability prediction remains because this data is censored. University of Wuppertal and major auto supplier developed the reliability prognosis model considering censored data and this model introduce to predict reliability estimate further "failure candidate". This paper predicts reliability of telecommunications system in vehicle using the model and describes data structure for reliability prediction.

Keywords

References

  1. B. Pauli, Zuverlassigkeitsprognose Fur Eletronische Steuergerate im Kraftfahrzeug, Shaker Verlag, 1998.
  2. Verband der TUV e.V., TUV-Report 2007, Verband der TUV e.V., 2007.
  3. A. Meyna and B. Pauli, Taschenbuch der Zuverlassigkeits- und Sicherheitstechnik, Carl Hanser Verlag, Munchen, 2003.
  4. Reliability Prognoses for Vehicle Components with Incomplete Data. ATZ Worldwide, Vol.12, Vieweg Verlag, Wiesbaden, 2000.