• 제목/요약/키워드: Failure Hazard

검색결과 370건 처리시간 0.023초

Association of Congestive Heart Failure and Death with Ankylosing Spondylitis : A Nationwide Longitudinal Cohort Study in Korea

  • Bae, Ki Hwan;Hong, Je Beom;Choi, Yoon Jin;Jung, Jin Hyung;Han, In-Bo;Choi, Jung Min;Sohn, Seil
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제62권2호
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2019
  • Objective : We attempted to discover that Ankylosing spondylitis (AS) has a comprehensive relationship with congestive heart failure and death. Methods : We used a nationwide database managed by the Korean National Health Insurance Service from 2010 to 2014. Twelve thousand nine hundred eighty-eight patients with a diagnosis of AS and 64940 age- and sex- stratified matching subjects without AS were enrolled in the AS and control groups. Incidence probabilities of 6 years congestive heart failure and death in each group were calculated. The Cox proportional hazard regression analysis was used to estimate the hazard ratio. We divided the AS and control groups into subgroups according to sex, age, income, and comorbidities. Results : During the follow-up period, 102 patients (0.79%) in the AS group and 201 patients (0.32%) in the control group developed congestive heart failure (p<0.0001). In addition, 211 (1.62%) subjects in the AS group died during the follow-up period compared to 639 (0.98%) subjects in the control group (p<0.0001). The adjusted hazard ratio of congestive heart failure and death in the AS group was 2.28 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.80-2.89) and 1.66 (95% CI, 1.42-1.95), respectively. The hazard ratios of congestive heart failure and death were significantly increased in all of the subgroups. Conclusion : The incidence rates of congestive heart failure and death were increased in AS patients.

Bayes Estimation for the Rayleigh Failure Model

  • Ko, Jeong-Hwan;Kang, Sang-Gil;Shin, Jae-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.227-235
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, we consider a hierarchical Bayes estimation of the parameter, the reliability and hazard rate function based on type-II censored samples from a Rayleigh failure model. Bayes calculations can be implemented easily by means of the Gibbs sampler. A numerical study is provided.

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Decision on Quality Investment Level Under Moral Hazard Environment

  • Zhang, Cui-Hua;Yu, Hai-Bin
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.20-31
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    • 2007
  • Moral hazard and adverse selection often exist in asymmetric information environment. In this paper, quality investment decision problem is studied under moral hazard. A basic model for quality investment level decision is developed with the supplier as a principal and the buyer as an agent. And then we regard the supplier and the buyer's rational limitations to set up a model when the buyer's quality evaluation and processing activities are hidden. The model is optimized and the results under different backgrounds are discussed and compared. Results show that the buyer's quality evaluation level and processing level are mostly influenced by the supplier's quality assurance payment. Both the supplier and the buyer choose different quality investment levels under moral hazard because of the supplier's payment to the buyer in case of internal failure and external failure.

강우에 의해 붕괴된 절토사면의 특성을 이용한 절토사면 위험등급 분류기준 (The Hazard Grade Classification Criterion using Character of Collapsed Cut Slope by Rainfall)

  • 유기정;구호본;백용
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2004년도 춘계학술발표회
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    • pp.600-605
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    • 2004
  • The road construction with horizontal expansion of country using and augmentation of traffic demand is advanced actively and it accompanies hereupon, the above of 70% of the country is formed at the mountain in our country where the hazard cut slope has been created. In this study, It is prepared a effective management countermeasure of cut slope introduced priority investigation decision method against hazard cut slope which is influenced by abnormally rainfall by an unusual change in the weather such as a guerilla rainfall character. In meaning link, It was executed collapse cause by failure character analysis in the cut slope which has failed for the last five years and it is prepared the hazard grade criterion from E to A grade according to collapse cause. It is decided that a maintenance management grade by the hazard grade classification criterion of cut slope. So It is possible to hazard cut slope. It is established failure protection counter countermeasure by effective maintenance management through the hazard grade c1assification criterion and it will be able to dispose to advanced nation level like Hong Kong and Japanese.

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Cost and reliability of retrofit alternatives for schools located on seismic zones

  • De Leon-Escobedo, David;Garcia-Manjarrez, Jose Luis
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.505-514
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    • 2021
  • A formulation based on structural reliability and cost effectiveness is proposed to provide recommendations to select the best retrofit strategy for schools with reinforced concrete frames and masonry walls, among three proposed alternatives. The cost calculation includes the retrofit cost and the expected costs of failure consequences. Also, the uncertainty of the seismic hazard is considered for each school site. The formulation identifies the potential failure modes, among shear and bending forces for beams, and flexure-compression forces for columns, for each school, and the seismic damages suffered by the schools after the earthquake of September 17, 2017 are taken into account to calibrate the damaged conditions per school. The school safety level is measured through its global failure probability, instead of only the local failure probability. The proposed retrofit alternatives are appraised in terms of the cost/benefit balance under future earthquakes, for the respective site seismic hazard, as opposed to the current practice of just restoring the structure original resistance. The best retrofit is the one that corresponds to the minimum value of the expected life cycle cost. The study, with further developments, may be used to develop general recommendations to retrofit schools located at seismic zones.

열차집중제어장치와 전자연동장치 인터페이스의 안전성평가에 관한 연구 (A Study on Safety Assessment of CTC/EI Interface)

  • 신석균;이기서
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기기기및에너지변환시스템부문B
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    • 제54권7호
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    • pp.309-316
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we analyzed a dangerous failure and a safety requirement based on HIA (Hazard Identification and Analysis) of an interface model between CTC (Centralized Traffic Control) system and El (Interlocking) system, and assigned SU (Safety Integrity Level) by way of an risk estimation of the interface, which employed PHA (Preliminary Hazard Analysis) for the interface of the track control system, being managed as separated system between the centralized traffic control system and the interlocking system, An estimation which satisfies a safety reference of the international standard has been achieved through a quantification of the system failure rate and the dangerous failure rate of the interface model.

사출성형기의 고장모드 영향분석(FMEA)을 활용한 위험 우선순위 (Risk Priority Number using FMEA by the Plastic Moulding Machine)

  • 신운철;채종민
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제30권5호
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    • pp.108-113
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    • 2015
  • Plastic injection moulding machine is widely used for many industrial field. It is classified into mandatory safety certification machinery in Industrial Safety and Health Act because of its high hazard. In order to prevent industrial accidents by plastic injection moulding machine, it is necessary for designer to identify hazardous factors and assess the failure modes to mitigate them. This study tabulates the failure modes of main parts of plastic injection moulding machine and how their failure has affect on the machine being considered. Failure Mode & Effect Analysis(FMEA) method has been used to assess the hazard on plastic injection moulding machine. Risk and risk priority number(RPN) has been calculated in order to estimate the hazard of failures using severity, probability and detection. Accidents caused by plastic injection moulding machine is compared with the RPN which was estimated by main regions such as injection unit, clamping unit, hydraulic and system units to find out the most dangerous region. As the results, the order of RPN is injection unit, clamping unit, hydraulic unit and system units. Barrel is the most dangerous part in the plastic injection moulding machine.

지진에 대한 사면의 재해위험지도 작성 - 울산시 울주군 지역을 중심으로- (Seismic Landslide Hazard Maps in Ul-Ju Ul-san Korea)

  • 조성원
    • 한국지진공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지진공학회 2000년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집 Proceedings of EESK Conference-Spring
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    • pp.89-96
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    • 2000
  • Landslide damage comprise most part of the damages from the earthquake and it only causes the damage to lives and structures directly but also cease the operation of social system by road or lifeline failure. For these reasons hazard assesment on the landslides has been recognized very important. And hazard maps have been used to visualize the hazard of the landslide. In this study as first step for application of hazard map to domestic cases hazard maps are made for the Ul-Joo Ul-san Korea, Where the Yan-san faults are located. For building hazard maps the degree of hazard are evaluated based on Newmark displacement and the resulting maps are constructed by GIS technique. In hazard assesment maximum ground acceleration obtained from attenuation equation of wave propagation and design earthquake acceleration suggested by Ministry of construction are used for acceleration term. Hazard maps are made by GIS programs Arc/Info and Arc/View based on the digital maps and data from lab tests and elastic wave surveys The maps show the possible landslide regions significantly and the displacements of slide are proportional to the slope angles.

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도로절개면 투자우선순위 결정기법 개발 (Development of Rock Slope Risk Rating System for the Determination of the Priority of Investment)

  • 구호본;박혁진;민기복;정의진;김춘식;박성욱
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2000년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.411-418
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    • 2000
  • With the limited amount of budget and time, it is required to determine the priority of investment when there are a large number of hazardous slopes. In this paper, the Rock Slope Risk Rating System is developed based on the combination of the hazard of failure and the damage potential. By applying the proposed rating system to 253 rock slopes in Korean National Highway, it was possible to determine the priority of investment on road cut slopes.

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