• Journal of Information Processing Systems
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• v.19 no.6
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• pp.803-816
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• 2023

Explainable artificial intelligence is a method that explains how a complex model (e.g., a deep neural network) yields its output from a given input. Recently, graph-type data have been widely used in various fields, and diverse graph neural networks (GNNs) have been developed for graph-type data. However, methods to explain the behavior of GNNs have not been studied much, and only a limited understanding of GNNs is currently available. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an explanation method for node classification using graph convolutional networks (GCNs), which is a representative type of GNN. The proposed method finds out which features of each node have the greatest influence on the classification of that node using GCN. The proposed method identifies influential features by backtracking the layers of the GCN from the output layer to the input layer using the gradients. The experimental results on both synthetic and real datasets demonstrate that the proposed explanation method accurately identifies the features of each node that have the greatest influence on its classification.

• Proceedings of the Korean Society of Computer Information Conference
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• 2024.01a
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• pp.39-40
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• 2024

본 연구는 SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations)을 활용하여 신용카드 사용자의 연체 가능성을 예측하는 기계학습 모델의 해석 가능성을 강화하는 방법을 제안한다. 대규모 신용카드 데이터를 분석하여, 고객의 나이, 성별, 결혼 상태, 결제 이력 등이 연체 발생에 미치는 영향을 명확히 하는 것을 목표로 한다. 본 연구를 토대로 금융기관은 더 정확한 위험 관리를 수행하고, 고객에게 맞춤형 서비스를 제공할 수 있는 기반을 마련할 수 있다.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• v.21 no.3
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• pp.15-21
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• 2021

The type of crimes is diverse and the number of crimes is increasing as society changes. This phenomenon is showing a higher trend in places with higher population density. Accordingly, many organizations install CCTV to reduce crime and provide key evidence of crime. Nevertheless, it is still weak to deal with crimes such as video manipulation targeting CCTV. Although blockchain-based CCTV image integrity techniques are applied to prevent manipulation, they only guarantee the manipulation integrity of the entire video and can't explain how certain sections of the video has been manipulated. Therefore, in this research, we propose a system for supporting explainable CCTV video integrity based on a block chain.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.36 no.4
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• pp.239-248
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• 2022

The prediction of algal bloom is an important field of study in algal bloom management, and chlorophyll-a concentration(Chl-a) is commonly used to represent the status of algal bloom. In, recent years advanced machine learning algorithms are increasingly used for the prediction of algal bloom. In this study, XGBoost(XGB), an ensemble machine learning algorithm, was used to develop a model to predict Chl-a in a reservoir. The daily observation of water quality data and climate data was used for the training and testing of the model. In the first step of the study, the input variables were clustered into two groups(low and high value groups) based on the observed value of water temperature(TEMP), total organic carbon concentration(TOC), total nitrogen concentration(TN) and total phosphorus concentration(TP). For each of the four water quality items, two XGB models were developed using only the data in each clustered group(Model 1). The results were compared to the prediction of an XGB model developed by using the entire data before clustering(Model 2). The model performance was evaluated using three indices including root mean squared error-observation standard deviation ratio(RSR). The model performance was improved using Model 1 for TEMP, TN, TP as the RSR of each model was 0.503, 0.477 and 0.493, respectively, while the RSR of Model 2 was 0.521. On the other hand, Model 2 shows better performance than Model 1 for TOC, where the RSR was 0.532. Explainable artificial intelligence(XAI) is an ongoing field of research in machine learning study. Shapley value analysis, a novel XAI algorithm, was also used for the quantitative interpretation of the XGB model performance developed in this study.

• 한국정보교육학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2021.08a
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• pp.149-157
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• 2021

Ahead of the introduction of artificial intelligence education into the revised curriculum in 2022, various class cases based on artificial intelligence should be developed. In this study, we designed an artificial intelligence education program based on explainable artificial intelligence using design-based research. Artificial intelligence, which covers three areas of basic, utilization, and ethics of artificial intelligence and can be easily connected to real-life cases, is set as a key topic. In general design-based studies, more than three repetitive processes are performed, but the results of this study are based on the results of the primary design, application, and evaluation. We plan to design a program on artificial intelligence that is more complete based on the third modification and supplementation by applying it to the school later. This research will help the development of artificial intelligence education introduced at school.

• Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.41-50
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• 2024

Korea is facing a significant problem with historically low fertility rates, which is becoming a major social issue affecting the economy, labor force, and national security. This study analyzes the factors contributing to the regional gap in fertility rates and derives policy implications. The government and local authorities are implementing a range of policies to address the issue of low fertility. To establish an effective strategy, it is essential to identify the primary factors that contribute to regional disparities. This study identifies these factors and explores policy implications through machine learning and explainable artificial intelligence. The study also examines the influence of media and public opinion on childbirth in Korea by incorporating news and online community sentiment, as well as sentiment fear indices, as independent variables. To establish the relationship between regional fertility rates and factors, the study employs four machine learning models: multiple linear regression, XGBoost, Random Forest, and Support Vector Regression. Support Vector Regression, XGBoost, and Random Forest significantly outperform linear regression, highlighting the importance of machine learning models in explaining non-linear relationships with numerous variables. A factor analysis using SHAP is then conducted. The unemployment rate, Regional Gross Domestic Product per Capita, Women's Participation in Economic Activities, Number of Crimes Committed, Average Age of First Marriage, and Private Education Expenses significantly impact regional fertility rates. However, the degree of impact of the factors affecting fertility may vary by region, suggesting the need for policies tailored to the characteristics of each region, not just an overall ranking of factors.

• Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.186-191
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• 2023

Data processing techniques play a critical role in decision-making, including handling missing and outlier data, prediction, and recommendation models. This requires a clear explanation of the validity, reliability, and accuracy of all processes and results. In addition, it is necessary to solve data problems through explainable models using decision trees, inference, etc., and proceed with model lightweight by considering various types of learning. The multi-layer mining classification method that applies the sixth principle is a method that discovers multidimensional relationships between variables and attributes that occur frequently in transactions after data preprocessing. This explains how to discover significant relationships using mining on transactions and model the data through regression analysis. It develops scalable models and logistic regression models and proposes mining techniques to generate class labels through data cleansing, relevance analysis, data transformation, and data augmentation to make explanatory decisions.

• Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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• v.11 no.8
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• pp.36-41
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• 2021

Although the technology for prediction or analysis using artificial intelligence is constantly developing, a black-box problem does not interpret the decision-making process. Therefore, the decision process of the AI model can not be interpreted from the user's point of view, which leads to unreliable results. We investigated the problems of artificial intelligence and explainable artificial intelligence using Blockchain to solve them. Data from the decision-making process of artificial intelligence models, which can be explained with Blockchain, are stored in Blockchain with time stamps, among other things. Blockchain provides anti-counterfeiting of the stored data, and due to the nature of Blockchain, it allows free access to data such as decision processes stored in blocks. The difficulty of creating explainable artificial intelligence models is a large part of the complexity of existing models. Therefore, using the point cloud to increase the efficiency of 3D data processing and the processing procedures will shorten the decision-making process to facilitate an explainable artificial intelligence model. To solve the oracle problem, which may lead to data falsification or corruption when storing data in the Blockchain, a blockchain artificial intelligence problem was solved by proposing a blockchain-based explainable artificial intelligence model that passes through an intermediary in the storage process.

• KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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• v.11 no.8
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• pp.339-346
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• 2022

Recently, the resource depletion and climate change problem caused by the massive usage of fossil fuels for electric power generation has become a critical issue worldwide. According to this issue, interest in renewable energy resources that can replace fossil fuels is increasing. Especially, photovoltaic power has gaining much attention because there is no risk of resource exhaustion compared to other energy resources and there are low restrictions on installation of photovoltaic system. In order to use the power generated by the photovoltaic system efficiently, a more accurate photovoltaic power forecasting model is required. So far, even though many machine learning and deep learning-based photovoltaic power forecasting models have been proposed, they showed limited success in terms of interpretability. Deep learning-based forecasting models have the disadvantage of being difficult to explain how the forecasting results are derived. To solve this problem, many studies are being conducted on explainable artificial intelligence technique. The reliability of the model can be secured if it is possible to interpret how the model derives the results. Also, the model can be improved to increase the forecasting accuracy based on the analysis results. Therefore, in this paper, we propose an explainable photovoltaic power forecasting scheme based on BiLSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory) and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations).

• Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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• v.26 no.4
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• pp.97-115
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• 2023

In recent years, the structure of the population has been changing rapidly, with a declining birthrate and aging population, and the inequality of population distribution is expanding. At this point, changes in population estimation methods are required, and more accurate estimates are needed at the subregional level. This study aims to estimate the population in 2040 at the 500m grid level by applying an explainable machine learning to Busan in order to respond to this need for a change in population estimation method. Comparing the results of population estimation by applying the explainable machine learning and the cohort component method, we found that the machine learning produces lower errors and is more applicable to estimating areas with large population changes. This is because machine learning can account for a combination of variables that are likely to affect demographic change. Overestimated population values in a declining population period are likely to cause problems in urban planning, such as inefficiency of investment and overinvestment in certain sectors, resulting in a decrease in quality in other sectors. Underestimated population values can also accelerate the shrinkage of cities and reduce the quality of life, so there is a need to develop appropriate population estimation methods and alternatives.