• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expert Estimation

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컴퓨터 영상처리에 의한 윤활시스템의 상태진단

  • 서영백;박흥식;전태옥;이충엽
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Tribologists and Lubrication Engineers Conference
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    • 1997.04a
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    • pp.224-231
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    • 1997
  • Microscopic examination for the morphological estimation of wear debris on the oil-lubrcated moving system is an accepted method for machine condition and fault diagnosis. However wear particle anaysis has not been widely accepted industry because it is dependent on expert interpretation of particle morphology and relies on subjective assessment criteria. This paper was undertaken to estimate the morphology of wear debris on the oil-lubricated movig system by computer image analysis. The wear test was performed under different sliding conditions using a wear test device made in our laboratory and wear testing specimen of the pin-on-disk-type was rubbed in pararline series base oil. In order to describe characteristics of debris of various shape and size, four shape parameters (50% volumetric diameter, aspect, roundness and reflectivity) have been developed and outlined in the paper. A system using such techniques promises to obviate the need for subjective, human interpretation of particle morphology in machine condition monitoring.

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The Optimal Design of HFC by means of GAs (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 HFC의 최적설계)

  • 이대근;오성권;장성환
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.369-369
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    • 2000
  • Control system by means of fuzzy theory has demonstrated its robustness in applying to the high-order and nonlinear dynamic system in that it can utilizes the human expert knowledges in system design. In this paper, first, the design methodology of HFC combined PID controller with fuzzy controller by membership function of weighting coefficient is proposed. Second, Second, an auto-tuning algorithms utilizing the simplified reasoning method and genetic algorithms is presented to improve the performance of hybrid fuzzy controller. Especially, in order to obtain the optimal scaling factors and PID parameters of HFC using GA based on advanced initial individual, three kinds of estimation modes such as basic, contraction, and expansion mode are effectively utilized. The proposed HFC is evaluated and discussed in ITAE, overshoot and rising time to show applicability and superiority with simulation results.

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Evolutionary PSR Estimator for Classification of Sonar Target (소나표적의 식별을 위한 진화적 PSR 추정기)

  • Kim, Hyun-Sik
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2008.08a
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    • pp.149-150
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    • 2008
  • Generally, the propeller shaft rate (PSR) estimation algorithm for the classification of the sonar target has the following problems: it requires both accurate and efficient the fundamental finding method because it is essential and difficult to distinguish harmonic family from the frequency spectrum, and further, it requires an easy design procedure in terms of its structures and parameters. To solve these problems, an evolutionary PSR estimation algorithm using an expert knowledge and the evolution strategy, is proposed. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm effectively solves the problems in the realtime system application.

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A Study on the Cost Risk Analysis Method for Construction Projects (건설 프로젝트의 코스트 리스크 분석방법론에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Yeong-Su
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.4 no.4 s.16
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    • pp.201-211
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    • 2003
  • Considering about construction projects characteristics, there Is an existing uncertainty which causes inaccuracy or invalidity under decision making situation. Therefore, cost risk analysis of numerous construction projects are Inclined to depend on expert's experiences and subjective judgements. In Korean domestic construction works, however, there is no reasonable method or process for applying subjective elements. Only probabilistic analysis using objective calculation are being used now. This research suggests a cost risk analysis method to analyze quantitatively Cost Impact by risk, and it appraises expert's subjective elements for the purpose of enhancing validity of cost estimation. Moreover, a new cost risk analysis method is introduced for providing convenient user interface in practical business.

A Study on the Demand Forecasting for IMT-2000 Services (IMT-2000 서비스의 수요예측)

  • Im, Su Deok;Jo, Jung Jae;Hwang, Jin Su;Jo, Yong Hwan
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.24 no.12A
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    • pp.2025-2033
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, we forecast launching time of the commercial IMT-2000 service as feb. 2001, according to expert’s opinion, and most of they forecast rapid evolution. And, we propose two different models according to two cases for competition power of price for IMT-2000 service subscriber demand forecasting. In this paper, we combine the expert’s opinion method with the growth curve model for demand forecasting for new products in order to reduce error of the demand forecasting that haven’t past references. The estimation of needed coefficients for each growth curve model is based on experts’ subjective opinions.

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Estimation of non-working days due to weather condition using fuzzy numbers (퍼지값을 이용한 기후요소 작업불능일 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Heon;Choi, Hee-Bok;Shin, Yoon-Seok;Cho, Hun-Hee;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.349-352
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    • 2008
  • Weather condition is the uncontrolled factor to influence the project duration. Determining non-working days due to it incorrectly leads to often change the project duration and increase the total cost as well as causing the dispute among stakeholders. When making decision of non-working days, it is important to consider the expert's experience according to the characteristic of the site and local area. Therefore this paper presented the method to estimate non-working days due to wether condition by using fuzzy numbers reflecting expert's subjective experience.

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Weighting assessment on evaluation indicators of dam rehabilitation using the AHP analysis (AHP분석을 통한 댐 재개발 평가항목 중요도 평가)

  • Choi, Ji-Hyeok;Kim, Jong-Suk;Kwon, Ji-Hye;Moon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.5
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    • pp.381-389
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we developed evaluation indicators of dam rehabilitation considering climate change in order to prepare for safety of aging dam facilities in accordance with changes in rainfall intensity. The validity and appropriateness of each indicator, and the evaluation criteria were selected for quantitative indicators for each detail through domestic and international case studies, literature review, and expert advice. The survey was carried out to estimate the importance of each indicator for dam rehabilitation. The subjective assessment of the respondents was rearranged using pairwise comparison from the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP). The reliability of the survey results was evaluated through consistent verification. In addition, a comparative assessment was carried out which evaluated the reliability importance estimation result to refine the criteria to distinguish rating scales between expert and non-expert groups on dam-related fields.

Development of Expert System for Designing Power Transmission Gears (II) (동력전달용 치차설계 전문가 시스템 개발연구 II)

  • 정태형;변준형;이동형
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.122-131
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    • 1992
  • An expert system is developed which can design the power transmission involute cylindrical gears on the basis of strength and durability. Bending strength, surface durability, scoring, and wear probability are considered as the basis. The basic components of the expert system are knowledge base, inference engine, and working memory. The knowledges in knowledge base are classified hierarchically into the knowledges used in selection of gear type, selection of materials, and determination of K factor and are represented by rules. In the inference engine two inference methods are implemented with the depth first search method. For-ward chaining method is introduced in the selection of gear type and materials and in the determination of K factor. Backward chaining method is introduced in the detailed design of module and face width in accordance with the validation of strength. And inference efficiency is achieved by constructing the part needing a lot of numerical calculations in strength estimation separately from inference mechanism. The working memory is established to save the results during inference temporarily. In addition, design database of past design results is built for consultation during design and knowledge acquisition facility, explanation facility, and user interface are included for the usefulness of user. This expert system is written with the PROLOG programming language and the FORTRAN language in numerical calculation part which interfaced with PROLOG and can also be executed on IBM-PC compatible computer operated by MS-DOS alone.

Developmental disability Diagnosis Assessment Systems Implementation using Multimedia Authorizing Tool (멀티미디어 저작도구를 이용한 발달장애 진단.평가 시스템 구현연구)

  • Byun, Sang-Hea;Lee, Jae-Hyun
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 2008
  • Serve and do so that graft together specialists' view application field of computer and developmental disability diagnosis estimation data to construct developmental disability diagnosis estimation system in this Paper and constructed developmental disability diagnosis estimation system. Developmental disability diagnosis estimation must supply information of specification area that specialists are having continuously. Developmental disability diagnosis estimation specialist system need multimedia data processing that is specialized little more for developmental disability classification diagnosis and decision-making and is atomized for this. Characteristic of developmental disability diagnosis estimation system that study in this paper can supply quick feedback about result, and can reduce mistake on recording and calculation as well as can shorten examination's enforcement time, and background of training is efficient system fairly in terms of nonprofessional who is not many can use easily. But, as well as when multimedia information that is essential data of system construction for developmental disability diagnosis estimation is having various kinds attribute and a person must achieve description about all developmental disability diagnosis estimation informations, great amount of work done is accompanied, technology about equal data can become different according to management. Because of these problems, applied search technology of contents base (Content-based) that search connection information by contents of edit target data for developmental disability diagnosis estimation data processing multimedia data processing technical development. In the meantime, typical access way for conversation style data processing to support fast image search, after draw special quality of data by N-dimension vector, store to database regarding this as value of N dimension and used data structure of Tree techniques to use index structure that search relevant data based on this costs. But, these are not coincided correctly in purpose of developmental disability diagnosis estimation because is developed focusing in application field that use data of low dimension such as original space DataBase or geography information system. Therefore, studied save structure and index mechanism of new way that support fast search to search bulky good physician data.

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Developing an Automatic System for Making a Placing Drawing and Quantity taking-off Cut and Bent Re Bar with Work Zone Information (설치 위치 정보를 포함한 배근시공상세도 작성 및 가공철근 자동 물량산출 시스템 개발)

  • Park, Hyeon-Yong;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Kang, Tai-Kyoung;Lee, Yoo-Sub
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2008
  • Reinforcing steel work plays an important role in terms of its structural performance or weight of construction cost for reinforced concrete structures. Precise estimation of re-bar quantity gives a basis for managing the reinforcing steel work effectively. However, the estimation process is still performed ineffectively based upon the expert's experience or manpower in spite of the advanced technology or improvement efforts. Therefore, the purpose of this research is to develop a prototype system for taking-off the quantity of reinforcing steel bars quickly and accurately in an order consistent with the specific members identified on the drawings. An estimate algorithm considering the connection, settlement and coating thickness of re-bars was suggested regarding to their replacement conditions which places more emphasis on constructibility. Also, this system produces the shop drawings automatically with the calculation results with work zone information.