• Asia Marketing Journal
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.47-63
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• 2016

Rational choice theory holds that the alternative with largest expected utility in the choice set should always be chosen. However, it is often observed that an alternative with the largest expected utility is not always chosen while the choice task itself being avoided. Such a choice phenomenon cannot be explained by the traditional expected utility maximization principle. The current study posits shows that such a phenomenon can be attributed to the gap between the expected perceived gain (or loss) and the expected perceived value. This study mathematically analyses the relationship between the expectation of an alternative's gains or losses over the reference point and its expected value, when the perceived gains or losses follow continuous probability distributions. The proposed expected value (EV) function can explain the effects of loss aversion and uncertainty on the evaluation of an alternative based on the prospect theory value function. The proposed function reveals why the expected gain of an alternative should exceed some positive threshold in order for the alternative to be chosen. The model also explains why none of the two equally or similarly attractive options is chosen when they are presented together, but either of them is chosen when presented alone. The EV function and EG-EV curve can extract and visualize the core tenets of the prospect theory more clearly than the value function itself.

• 한국지능시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국퍼지및지능시스템학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 학술발표 논문집 제14권 제1호
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• pp.394-397
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• 2004

In this paper, we consider interval number-valued random variables and fuzzy number-valued random variables and discuss Choquet integrals of them. Using these properties, we define the Choquet expected value of fuzzy number-valued random variables which is a natural generalization of the Lebesgue expected value of Lebesgue expected value of fuzzy random variables. Furthermore, we discuss some application of them.

• 한국의류산업학회지
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• 제25권3호
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• pp.358-365
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• 2023

This study aims to investigate the moderating effect of appearance confidence in the relationship between the expected value of appearance management and beauty management behavior of college students. For data collection, 300 questionnaires were distributed among the students of a 4-year university in Gwangju, Republic of Korea from April 12 to 22, 2022; 273 copies were collected, and 259 copies were used as the final sample. SPSS 21.0 was used to analyze the collected data, and the results were as follows. First, the expected value of appearance management had a positive (+) effect on beauty management behavior. Second, the expected value of appearance management had a statistically significant positive (+) effect on beauty management behavior. Taken together, the results of the study show that the higher the level of social internalization, play and sympathy values, and appearance confidence of the expected value of appearance management, the higher the college students' beauty management behavior. Taken together, the results of the study show that the higher the level of social internalization, play conformity value, and appearance confidence of the expected value of appearance management, the higher the college students' beauty management behavior. This was confirmed to act as a reinforcing mechanism.

• 한국문헌정보학회지
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• 제26권
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• pp.167-185
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• 1994

The purpose of this study is to develop the optimal user/librarian interface in information searching. In order to achive the purpose, the 150 unskilled students as subjects have participated in the study. According to the change of the subjects' psychological information states by the access points within the library system, the subjects have been classified into the five types of model: the initial information state, the accepted identification information state, the bibliographic information state, the stack information state, and the location information state. Librarian's searching support is done for 10 minutes at the each access points. To develop the optimal user/librarian interface, the expected values of the models are calculated. The resultants are as follows: 1) The expected value of the initial information states model is 18.94: 2) The expected value of the accepted identification information model is 27.06: 3) The expected value of the bibliographic information state model is 27.06: 4) The expected value of the stack information state model is 22.38: 5) The expected value of the location information state model is 22.38. Those expected values are compared with each other. The model with the lowest expected value is chosen as the optimal user/librarian interface model. In the result, the user's initial information state model of the optimal user/librarian interface in information searching is developed. In order to search the information with the most effect, user must be interfaced with the librarian at his/her own initial information state.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제15권2호
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• pp.495-498
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• 2004

In this note, we consider several types of convergence theorems for the expected value of fuzzy variables defined by Liu and Liu [IEEE Trans. Fuzzy Systems, 10(2002), 445-450].

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제27권3_4호
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• pp.773-778
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• 2009

Recently, Xue et al. [Computers and Mathematics with Applications 55 (2008) 1215-1224] proposed a formula for the expected value of a function of a fuzzy variable based on the assumption that the fuzzy variable has a continuous membership function. In conclusion, they remained the case where the membership function of the fuzzy variable is discontinuous for the future research, and then expected to get similar results. Thus this note is to propose a new formula for the expected value of a function of a general fuzzy variable which is not restricted on having a continuous membership function. Furthermore, we give an example which cannot be applied to the formula that Xue et al. proposed. We also use the same example given by Xue et al. to show how to apply the new formula.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.889-901
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• 2003

In this paper, we consider the optimal replacement policies following the expiration of the combination warranty. The combination warranty can be divided into the renewing combination warranty and the non-renewing combination warranty. The criterion used to determine the optimal replacement period is the overall value function based on the expected cost and the expected downtime. Thus, we obtain the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time for our model. And then the overall value function suggested by Jiagn and Ji(2002) is applied to obtain the optimal replacement period. The numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.171-180
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• 2016

바젤 위원회는 시장위험의 측정 도구로 Value-at-Risk(VaR)와 expected shortfall(ES)을 사용할 것을 제안하였다. 여러 문헌에서 VaR와 ES의 다양한 추정 방법들이 연구 되었다. 본 연구에서는 준모수적인 방법인 conditional autoregressive value at risk(CAViaR), conditional autoregressive expectile(CARE) 방법들, 그리고 Gaussian 준최대가능도 추정량(QMLE)를 이용한 방법을 사후 검정을 통해서 비교하고자 한다. 각 방법의 타당성을 확인하기 위해서, VaR에 대한 사후 검정은 unconditional coverage(UC)와 conditional coverage(CC) 검정을 사용하고 ES에 대한 검정은 붓스트랩 방법을 사용한다. S&P500 지수와 현대 자동차 주식가격 지수에 대하여 실증 자료 분석이 수행되었다.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.587-596
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• 2008

This paper develops the optimal periodic preventive maintenance policies following the expiration of warranty: renewing warranty and non-renewing warranty. After the warranty period is expired, the system undergoes the PM periodically and is minimally repaired at each failure between two successive PMs. Firstly, we determine the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time for the periodic PM model. Then the overall value function suggested by Jiang and Ji(2002) is applied to obtain the optimal PM period and the optimal PM number. Finally, the numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

• 정보관리연구
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.1-29
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• 1988

본연구(本硏究)는 정보(情報)의 누증(累增)과 사회구조(社會構造)의 다양화(多樣化)로 효율적(效率的)인 정보(情報)의 입수(入手), 처리(處理), 적합(適合)한 정보(情報)의 경제적(經濟的)인 선택(選擇) 등의 직면한 문제를 해결하기 위하여 도움을 줄 수 있는 의사결정지원(意思決定支援)시스템을 주로 다루었다. 의사결정이론(意思決定理論)의 분석(分析)과 그 논의점(論議點) 등을 분석(分析)하여 발전추세(發展趨勢) 점검해 보았고, 실제 의사결정(意思決定)을 지원할 수 있는 지원(支援)시스템을 개발하기 위하여 의사결정(意思決定)의 모델링의 이론(理論)을 조사해서 정보관리(情報管理) 의사결정(意思決定)시스템 개념의 모델을 제시했다. 결론적(結論的)으로 의사결정(意思決定) 구조분석기술(構造分析技術)은 '확율이론(確率理論)과 여러 상황(狀況)의 기회(機會)노드를 연결해서 불확실(不確實)한 상황(狀況)에서 합리적인 의사결정을 수행하기 위한 것이므로 정보가치(情報價値)의 금전적(金錢的)인 기대(期待)값과 기대이윤가치(期待利潤價値)를 산출(算出)하여 정보관리실(情報管理室) 운영(運營)에 필요한 다양한 결정을 유도해낼 수 있을 것이다.