• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expected flood damage

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Study on Construction of Flood Hazard Information Support System based on Scenario (시나리오 기반 홍수위험정보지원시스템 구축 방안 연구)

  • Goo, Sin-Hoi;Jin, Kyeong-Hyeok;Cheong, Tae-Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2010.04a
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    • pp.389-393
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    • 2010
  • The Objective of this study was to develop a system for visualizing inundation area by using 1-D numerical model analyzing damage information such as inundation area, facilities, land usages, population, building, loads. In this study, we have reviewed hydraulic models to select a flood model for simulation of discharges, water depths and velocities. The study area is Namhan River from Youngwol to Paldang Dam which had a flood damage on upper and below regions of Chungju Dam by a storm event in 2006. At the first, we developed the DB system base on GIS thematic map, ortho images, cadastral maps to analyze flood damages and support decisions making. Changing the boundary conditions such as discharge at the gauging stations, flood simulations were performed and then damages were extracted from the databases information support system based on 1-D numerical hydraulic model, it is expected to be able to analyze flood damages and support a decision making for reduce flood relate damages. In the future, the system developed in this study could be applied for flood forecasting system of small scaled streams.

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Development of regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments in the metropolises (대도시에서의 인적·물적 홍수피해 추정을 위한 회귀함수 개발)

  • Lim, Yeon Taek;Lee, Jong Seok;Choi, Hyun Il
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1119-1130
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    • 2020
  • Flood disasters have been recently increasing worldwide due to climate change and extreme weather events. Since flood damage recovery has been conducted as a common coping strategy to flood disasters in the Republic of Korea, it is necessary to predict the regional flood damage costs by rainfall characteristics for a preventative measure to flood damage. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to present the regression functions for human and economic flood damage assessments for the 7 metropolises in the Republic of Korea. A comprehensive regression analysis was performed through the total 48 simple regression models on the two types of flood damage records for human and economic costs over the past two decades from 1998 to 2017 using the four kinds of nonlinear equations with each of the six rainfall variables. The damage assessment functions for each metropolis were finally selected by the evaluation of the regression results with the coefficient of determination and the statistical significance test, and then used for the human and economic flood damage assessments for 100-year rainfall in the 7 metropolises. The results of this study are expected to provide the basic information on flood damage cost assessments for flood damage mitigation measures.

Panel Data Analysis between Flood Damage and Recovery Cost (Panel Data 분석을 통한 홍수피해와 복구비 관계분석)

  • Park, Doo-Ho;Kim, Sun-Young
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • This paper addresses the correlation between the flood damage cost and recovery cost. National data (15 regions) for 20 years, panel data, has been analyzed for this test. Model specification of panel data analysis depends on the characteristics of data set and "fixed" or "random" effects model can be used. The results are represented in both models. As we expected all independent variables show positive relationship with recovery cost, except for the number of death and suffers. The damage of public facilities, such as rivers and road are the major factors on the damage and recovery cost, which means that flood damage can not be decreased without decreasing damages of public facilities from floods. Especially, the recovery cost is always higher than the damage cost and investment for flood control. Unlikely, government investment for flood control is the highest and recovery cost is the always lower than da mage cost andinvestment in Japan. Which means that proper investment can reduce economic damage cost of flood and recovery cost.

Techniques of flood damage investigation and flood losses data management (홍수재해조사 및 재해자료관리 기법)

  • 김양수
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2000
  • Almost every year, Korean suffered from the repetitive natural disasters such as typhoons and floods. During last 10 years, Korea experienced annual average of $50 million property damages caused by inundation. To estabilish the flood disaster counter plan, knowledge for flood damage causes based on the field investigations of inundated area is required. The field investigations is focused on technique to document and analyze the meteorological conditions leading to torrential rains, the causes and patterns of flooding, the performance of flood control structures in affected areas, the extent damages and the effectiveness of local emergency response and recovery actions. We did comparative analysis of field investigation techniques. As a major goal of flood hazard map design, one of non structural disaster countermeasures, it was expected to reduce flood damage losses by requiring local governments to implement land-use regulation that would result in safe building practices in flood hazard areas. This requires local governments to develop flood hazard maps to assess how to manage particularly vulnerable floodplain areas. In this study we suggested a design manual and the management system of flood hazard map.

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Expected Annual Damage Estimation with Uncertainty (불확실성을 고려한 연피해 기대치 산정)

  • Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Yoo Jin;Lee, Ji-Won
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2003
  • The flood damage reduction studies have been performed by the channel improvement plan and the levee has mainly constructed with the freeboard concept. However, the freeboard concept might be an inappropriate choice as a safety factor of the levee because many uncertainties are involved in the procedure of the channel improvement plan studies. So, we considered the uncertainties In the discharge-probability, stage-discharge, and stage-damage functions and estimate the expected annual damage. The Monte Carlo technique for uncertainty analysis is used. As our results, the expected annual damage with uncertainty shows the larger value than without uncertainty. Since the expected annual damage with uncertainty already considers the safety factor it is the proper result. However, the expected annual damage without uncertainty does not consider the safety factor yet. Thus, if the expected annual damage without uncertainty considers the freeboard concept, it could be compared with the expected annual damage with uncertainty for the evaluation of the overestimation or underestimation of the levee construction.

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A Study on Flood Area Typology Using the Inundation Trace Map - A Case Study of Busan Metropolitan City - (침수흔적도를 활용한 침수지역 유형화에 관한 연구 -부산광역시를 사례로-)

  • Yoo, Chang;Hong, Soon Heon;Choi, Hyun;Nam, Kwang Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.393-400
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    • 2013
  • Recently, expected casuality or property damage, such as flood damage, environmental destruction, etc, is increased because of the local heavy rain or flood by climatic changes. Especially, there are lots of property damages caused by increase of flood frequency and expansion of flood area because impervious rate is increased by urban sprawling development. Therefore, this research intends to analyze reasons of flood damage by each form and suggest protective measures through the typology of flood area for Haeundae-gu, Suyoung-gu, Saha-gu in Busan Metropolitan City with Busan's inundation trace map which has made from 2009. To achieve them, flood area was divided into water flooding type, river flooding type and seawater flooding type. And, protective measures focusing on previous prevention gave the relationship by dividing into managing system aspect, infrastructure building aspect and system aspect, so it approached flooding problems more objectively and scientifically. And, this research intends to suggest vitalizing measures for the utilization of inundation trace map in the future.

Calculation of optimal design flood using cost-benefit analysis with uncertainty (불확실성이 고려된 비용-편익분석 기법을 도입한 최적설계홍수량 산정)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Choi, Kwang Bae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.405-419
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    • 2022
  • Flood frequency analysis commonly used to design the hydraulic structures to minimize flood damage includes uncertainty. Therefore, the most appropriate design flood within a uncertainty should be selected in the final stage of a hydraulic structure, but related studies were rarely carried out. The total expected cost function introduced into the flood frequency analysis is a new approach for determining the optimal design flood. This procedure has been used as UNCODE (UNcertainty COmpliant DEsign), but the application has not yet been introduced in South Korea. This study introduced the mathematical procedure of UNCODE and calculated the optimal design flood using the annual maximum inflow of hydroelectric dams located in the Bukhan River system and results were compared with that of the existing flood frequency. The parameter uncertainty was considered in the total expected cost function using the Gumbel and the GEV distribution, and the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm was used to sample the parameters. In this study, cost function and damage function were assumed to be a first-order linear function. It was found that the medians of the optimal design flood for 4 Hydroelectric dams, 2 probability distributions, and 2 return periods were calculated to be somewhat larger than the design flood by the existing flood frequency analysis. In the future, it is needed to develop the practical approximated procedure to UNCODE.

Development of an Open Source-based Spatial Analysis Tool for Storm and Flood Damage (풍수해 대비 오픈소스 기반 공간분석 도구 개발)

  • Kim, Minjun;Lee, Changgyu;Hwang, Suyeon;Ham, Jungsoo;Choi, Jinmu
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.37 no.5_3
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    • pp.1435-1446
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    • 2021
  • Wind and flood damage caused by typhoons causes a lot of damage to the Korean Peninsula every year. In order to minimize damage, a preliminary analysis of damage estimation and evacuation routes is required for rapid decision-making. This study attempted to develop an analysis module that can provide necessary information according to the disaster stage. For use in the preparation stage, A function to check past typhoon routes and past damage information similar to typhoon routes heading north, a function to extract isolated dangerous areas, and a function to extract reservoir collapse areas were developed. For use in the early stages of response and recovery, a function to extract the expected flooding range considering the current flooding depth, a function to analyze expected damage information on population, buildings, farmland, and a function to provide evacuation information were included. In addition, an automated web map creation method was proposed to express the analysis results. The analysis function was developed and modularized based on Python open source, and the web display function was implemented based on JavaScript. The tools developed in this study are expected to be efficiently used for rapid decision-making in the early stages of monitoring against storm and flood damage.

Flood Damage Reduction Plan Using HEC-FDA Model (HEC-FDA 모형을 이용한 홍수피해 저감계획)

  • Lee, Jongso;Kim, Duckhwan;Kim, Jungwook;Han, Daegun;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2015
  • This study is estimated the flood damage probability of the flood discharge, the flood stage estimation and Economic Analysis for Flood Control about considering of uncertainty. Sum River Basin has chosen and the probability precipitation is estimated by using the concept of critical rainfall duration depending on the frequency of each flood stage estimation point. For calculating the expected annual damage, the functions of long term hazard, discharge-frequency, stage-discharge and depth-damage are established for 8 areas in Sum River Basin. The expected annual damaged is obtained which is based on the sampling informations through more than 500,000 simulation from the functions of considered uncertainty. The result about the optimum frequency and Investment Priorities are estimated by conducting the evaluation about planning the levee of various of Design Frequency. In analysis result, 12% of B/C value has increased if the uncertainty has concerned. Also the optimum frequency or Investment Priorities are possible to be changed. If the political and social analysis perform together it would be helpful to have a reasonable decision other than only the economical analysis as actual Flood damaged reduction planning.

Determination of optimal flood using total expected cost function (총 기대비용함수를 이용한 최적설계홍수량 결정)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Choi, Kwang Bae;Seo, Dong Il;Cheon, Young Il
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.287-287
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    • 2022
  • 홍수빈도분석의 실용적 측면의 목적은 특정 재현기간에 대하여 발생 가능한 홍수량을 설계홍수량(design flood)으로 설정함으로써 댐, 제방, 배수시설, 하수관거 등의 치수기능을 가진 치수시설물이 설계홍수량 내에서 홍수로 인한 피해를 발생시키지 않도록 그 규모와 기능을 설계함에 있다. 특히 우리나라의 경우 유량자료의 부족으로 강우빈도분석을 수행하여 재현기간별 확률강우량을 먼저 산정하고 이를 강우-유출모형을 통해 확률홍수량으로 전환한 뒤 하천등급에 따른 재현기간 기준에 따라 설계홍수량을 산정하고 있다. 그러나 이와 같이 결정된 설계홍수량이 특정유역에서 발생될 수 있는 피해규모에 대해 얼마나 적정한 지의 여부를 과학적으로 판단하기 위한 연구는 국내·외에서 찾아보기 어려우며, 이러한 문제를 개선하기 위한 기초 이론을 제공하는 것이 본 연구의 가장 중요한 목표이다. 홍수빈도분석을 통해 산정된 설계홍수량의 적정성 여부를 과학적으로 판단하기 위해 최근에 진행된 해외의 몇몇 연구에서는 총 기대비용함수(total expected cost function)의 개발에 근거한 최적설계홍수량을 활용할 수 있음을 제안한 바 있다. 이 개념은 계획된 설계홍수량 이상에서 발생될 수 있는 피해함수(damage function) 및 기대피해함수(expected damage function)와 비용함수(cost function)가 결정되면, 이로부터 총 비용을 나타내는 총 기대비용함수(total expected cost function)을 도출하고 총 기대비용함수가 최소가 되는 최적설계홍수량(optimal design flood)을 산정하여 이를 계획된 설계홍수량(tentative design flood) 비교함으로써 계획된 설계홍수량의 적정성을 판단하는 과정을 기초이론으로 활용한다. 본 연구에서는 불확실성으로 발생되는 범위를 고려한 최적설계홍수량을 산정하기 위하여 Metropolis-Hastings 알고리즘을 사용하였으며, 자료의 종류에 따른 홍수량의 변화를 분석하기 위하여 년최대계열 및 부분시계열 자료를 각각 적용하였다. 한강유역에서 가평대성, 여주 및 한강대교 수위표 지점에서 측정된 자동관측유량장치에 의한 홍수량 자료를 활용하였으며, 최적설계홍수량이 기존 설계홍수량에 비해 크게 산정됨을 알 수 있었다.

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