• 제목/요약/키워드: Expected Time

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IGRINS Exposure Time Calculator

  • Le, Huynh Anh Nguyen;Pak, Soojong;Sim, Chae Kyung;Jaffe, Daniel T.
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.62.1-62.1
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    • 2013
  • We present the Exposure Time Calculator of IGRINS (Immersion Grating Infrared Spectrograph). The noises of IGRINS and the simulated emission line can be calculated from the combination of Telluric background emission and absorptions, the emission and transmission of the telescope and instrument optics, and the dark noise and the read noise of the infrared arrays. For the atmospheric transmissions, we apply the simulated spectra depending on the Precipitable Water Vapor (PWV) values. In case of calculation of noises, the user needs to input the expected target magnitude, the weather conditions, and the desired exposure time. In addition to the simulated emission line, the parameters of rest wavelength, line-flux, Doppler shift and line-width are needed. The output would be the expected signal-to-noise for each spectral resolution element. The source-code of IGRINS-ETC v2.1.1 is available to be downloaded on the World Wide Web.

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Comparisons of Acceptance Sampling Plans for the Exponential Lifetime Distribution

  • Jeong, Hyun-Seok;Yum, Bong-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.421-444
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    • 1994
  • Reliability acceptance sampling is concerned with whether to accept or reject a collection of items based upon the information obtained from life testing. Although various reliability acceptance sampling plans have been developed, little is known about their relatvie performances. This paper compares reliability acceptance sampling plans under Type II censoring, Hybrid censoring, and Time-Truncated Type II censoring assuming that the lifetimes of items in a lot follow an exponential distribution. The three plans are compared in terms of the power, the expected number of failures, and the expected time required to reach a decision. Computational experiments are conducted and the results are tabulated to provide guidelines for selecting an appropriate plan for a given situation.

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최적재고정책(最適在庫政策)을 위한 컴퓨터 시물레이숀 모델 (An application of the Computer Simulation Model for Stochastic Inventory System)

  • 신현표
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.79-83
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    • 1976
  • This paper deals with a computer simulation for the stochastic inventory system in which the decision rules are associated with the problem of forecasting uncertain demand, lead time, and amount of shortages. The model consists of mainly three parts; part I$\cdots$the model calculates the expected demand during lead time through the built-in subrou tine program for random number generator and the probability distribution of the demand, part II$\cdots$the model calculates all the possible expected shortages per lead time period, part III$\cdots$finally the model calculates all the possible total inventory cost over the simulation period. These total inventory costs are compared for searching the optimal inventory cost with the best ordering quantity and reorder point. An application example of the simulation program is given.

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지수 수명분포에 대한 Bayesian 합격판정 샘플링계획의 개발 및 비교에 관한 연구 (Development and Comparisons of Bayesian Acceptance Sampling Plans for the Exponential Lifetime Distribution)

  • 정현석;진휘철;염봉진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 1994
  • The Bayesian approach to reliability acceptance sampling has several advantages over the non-Bayesian approach. For instance, the former usually requires less amount of testing time and smaller sample sizes than the latter. In this article, a Bayesian acceptance sampling plan(ASP) based on a failure-free period life test is developed under the assumption of exponential lifetime distribution, and is compared with the corresponding Bayesian hybrid ASP in terms of the expected completion time. It is found that the proposed ASP tends to have a smaller expected completion time than the Bayesian hybrid ASP as the prior assessment of the reliability of a lot becomes optimistic, and vice versa. Tables of failure-free period Bayesian ASP's are also included.

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구매가격 변동시 위험을 고려한 재고모형 (Risk-averse Inventory Model under Fluctuating Purchase Prices)

  • 유석천;박찬규;정욱
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제35권4호
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    • pp.33-53
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    • 2010
  • When purchase prices of a raw material fluctuate over time, the total purchasing cost is mainly affected by reordering time. Existing researches focus on deciding the right time when the demand for each period is replenished at the lowest cost. However, the decision is based on expected future prices which usually turn out to include some error. This discrepancy between expected prices and actual prices deteriorates the performance of inventory models dealing with fluctuating purchase prices. In this paper, we propose a new inventory model which incorporates not only cost but also risk into making up a replenishment schedule to meet each period's demand. For each replenishment schedule, the risk is defined to be the variance of its total cost. By introducing the risk into the objective function, the variability of the total cost can be mitigated, and eventually more stable replenishment schedule will be obtained. According to experimental results from crude oil inventory management, the proposed model showed better performance over other models in respect of variability and cost.

다중작업 환경에서 좌절감의 정량적 측정방법 (Quantitative Measurement of Frustration for Multitasking Environment)

  • 정선구;명노해
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.176-183
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, studies about multitasking becomes more important. During multitasking, operators can feel frustration when they are interrupted during the task and frustration can affect operator's emotional state and performance. However there is no research on measuring the frustration quantitatively in multitasking environment. In this paper, we suggested quantitative measurement of frustration during multitasking. In order to measure the frustration, we made a mathematical representation with emotional decay model and the initial intensity of frustration based on cognitive closure theory. The amount of initial intensity could be represented as the ratio of actual remaining time to expected remaining time. By the experiment, we measured the frustration during the experiment and compared this values with values of frustration dimension of NASA-TLX. Finally we got the linear regression model with a good accuracy ($R^2=0.986$). This study contributes to measuring the emotion quantitatively by the relation of expected and actual remaining time in multitasking environment.

Cost Optimization of Ineffective Periodic Preventive Maintenance

  • Jung, Gi-Mun;Park, Dong-Ho;Yum, Joon-Keun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 1999
  • This paper considers an imperfect repair model for which the repairable system is maintained preventively at periodic times and is replaced by a new system when a predetermined number of preventive maintenance has been applied. our main objective of this is to determine the optimal number of preventive maintenances before the system is replaced and the optimal length of interval between two consecutive preventive maintenances under a new repair model which is referred to as an ineffective preventive maintenance. Such a model assumes a periodic preventive maintenance in which the system is effectively maintained with a certain probability. Otherwise the system is not improved at all after each maintenance and thus the failure rate remains the same as before. The criteria to determine the optimal number of preventive maintenances and length of period is the expected cost rate per unit time for an infinite time span. We give the explicit expressions for the expected cost rate per unit time. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purposes.

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The Software Reliability Growth Models for Software Life-Cycle Based on NHPP

  • Nam, Kyung-H.;Kim, Do-Hoon
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.573-584
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    • 2010
  • This paper considers the differences in the software execution environments in the testing phase and the operational phase to determine the optimal release time and warranty period of software systems. We formulate equations for the total expected software cost until the end of the software life cycle based on the NHPP. In addition, we derive the optimal release time that minimizes the total expected software cost for an imperfect debugging software reliability model. Finally, we analyze the sensitivity of the optimal testing and maintenance design related to variation of the cost model parameters based on the fault data observed in the actual testing process, and discuss the quantitative properties of the proposed model.

연장된 보증이 있는 교체정책에 대한 베이지안 접근 (A Bayesian Approach to Replacement Policy with Extended Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.229-239
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    • 2013
  • This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.

최소수리비용이 고장시간의 함수일 때 연장된 보증 정책 (Extended warranty policy when minimal repair cost is a function of failure time)

  • 정기문
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1195-1202
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문에서는 최소수리의 비용이 시스템의 수명시간에 의존하는 경우에 연장된 보증이 주어진 수리가 가능한 시스템에 대하여 사용자 측면에서의 총기대비용을 구하였다. 이를 위해서 연장된 보증을 정의하고 사용자 측면에서 연장된 보증이 종료된 이후의 교체모형을 가정하였다. 특히, 시스템의 교체모형에서 사용자가 연장된 보증을 선택하기 위한 기준을 제시하였으며, 시스템의 고장시간이 와이블 분포를 따를 때 수치적 예를 통하여 이를 설명하였다.