• Title/Summary/Keyword: Expected Time

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Simultaneous Inference in Steady-State Simulation (안정상태 시뮬레이션의 다수측도 동시추정)

  • 방준식
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.27-36
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    • 1994
  • In many real-world simulation studies the several measures of performance are of interest simultaneously. There exist very limited number of studies that explain and suggest the methods or procedures of inferencing the system performances at the same time. This study presents a procedure for determining the number of simulation observations required to achieve the prespecified confidence level for several measures of system performance. Mean values are selected as the measures, for instance, expected ordering cost, expected holding cost, and expected shortage cost for a given period of time in the study of inventory problems. Basically, the batch means approach is applied and extended to develop an algorithm to carry out the procedure handling more than single parameter. The efficacy of the presented method is assessed through the experiments. The empirical results based on some stochastic systems such as queues and inventory problems show that the suggested method produces as excellent result in terms of the precision of estimated means and the number of observations required.

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Point and interval estimation for a simple step-stress model with Type-I censored data from geometric distribution

  • Arefi, Ahmad;Razmkhah, Mostafa
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.29-41
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    • 2017
  • The estimation problem of expected time to failure of units is studied in a discrete set up. A simple step-stress accelerated life testing is considered with a Type-I censored sample from geometric distribution that is a commonly used distribution to model the lifetime of a device in discrete case. Maximum likelihood estimators as well as the associated distributions are derived. Exact, approximate and bootstrap approaches construct confidence intervals that are compared via a simulation study. Optimal confidence intervals are suggested in view of the expected width and coverage probability criteria. An illustrative example is also presented to explain the results of the paper. Finally, some conclusions are stated.

Generation of lsoresponse Time Regions in Visual Tasks (시각작업시 등반응시간영역의 생성)

  • Jung, Eui-S.;Chung, Min-K.;Kee, Do-Hyung
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.53-64
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    • 1993
  • Successful completion of a visual task in a predetermined time is very crucial to many operations such as piloting an aircraft. Although existing ergonomic interface models often provide a function of vision tests, it determines only the visibility at any given location. To complement this problem in existing models, the isoresponse time region considering the factors related to visual tasks is presented. Using a multiple regression model, equal response time regions were obtained within which mean response time is expected to be the same and is asymmetrical in shape. Among the factors considered, expectancy significantly decreased response time, and when cued, the effects of field heterogeneity, target uncertainty, density, size contrast and peripheral position on search time were less significant than those in unexpected cases. Response time and error rate, gender and visual acuity were not significantly correlated, and response time and age was positively correlated. These results are expected to be directly applicable to designing various visual tasks in real-life situations.

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Development of an Analysis Tool for Production Time for Components Machined by Turning (선삭 가공 부품의 생산 시간 분석 툴 개발)

  • Jin-Woo Choi
    • Design & Manufacturing
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2024
  • In this study, a tool was developed for analyzing production lead time in turning operations. It is expected to help to reduce machining time and to identify, for example, tool change intervals. The tool was developed using Visual Basic.Net and features a user-friendly graphical user interface (GUI) that allows users to easily input cutting conditions and calculate the usage time and feeding distance for each cutting tool based on a G-code program. Object-oriented programming techniques were also used to encapsulate and classify complex logic, thereby efficiently organizing and managing the functions and data structures of this analysis tool. The analysis tool provides various outputs. It calculates the use time of each detailed process of the turning operation, the use time of each tool, the use time of each type of feeding, and also generates the data needed for cutting time analysis, which can be visualized in charts. The analysis tool developed in this study is expected to significantly contribute to improving the efficiency of manufacturing processes and increasing productivity, particularly, in the manufacturing of components requiring massive material removal, such as aircraft parts.

Optimal Life Testing Procedure for a System with Exponentially Distributed Failure Times

  • Yun, Sang-Un
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 1982
  • The choice if constants that define a life testing procedure is considered in terms of the test termination time (censoring time) and the number of items to be tested subject to a given range of variance of the expected life time, where the failure time of life testing is exponentially distributed.

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Design of Recurrent Time Delayed Neural Network Controller Using Fuzzy Compensator (퍼지 보상기를 사용한 리커런트 시간지연 신경망 제어기 설계)

  • 이상윤;한성현;신위재
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers Conference
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    • 2002.04a
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    • pp.463-468
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we proposed a recurrent time delayed neural network controller which compensate a output of neural network controller. Even if learn by neural network controller, it can occur an bad results from disturbance or load variations. So in order to adjust above case, we used the fuzzy compensator to get an expected results. And the weight of main neural network can be changed with the result of learning a inverse model neural network of plant, so a expected dynamic characteristics of plant can be got. As the results of simulation through the second order plant, we confirmed that the proposed recurrent time delayed neural network controller get a good response compare with a time delayed neural network controller.

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Condition based age replacement policy of used item

  • Lim, J.H.;Lipi, T.F.;Zuo, M.J.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.131-143
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    • 2011
  • In most of literatures of age replacement policy, the authors consider the case that a new item starts operating at time zero and is to be replaced by new one at time T. It is, however, often to purchase used items because of the limited budget. In this paper, we consider age replacement policy of a used item whose age is $t_0$. The mathematical formulas of the expected cost rate per unit time are derived for both infinite-horizon case and finite-horizon case. For each case, we show that the optimal replacement age exists and is finite and investigate the effect of the age of the used item.

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A Random Replacement Model with Minimal Repair

  • Lee, Ji-Yeon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we consider a random replacement model with minimal repair, which is a generalization of the random replacement model introduced Lee and Lee(1994). It is assumed that a system is minimally repaired when it fails and replaced only when the accumulated operating time of the system exceeds a threshold time by a supervisor who arrives at the system for inspection according to Poisson process. Assigning the corresponding cost to the system, we obtain the expected long-run average cost per unit time and find the optimum values of the threshold time and the supervisor's inspection rate which minimize the average cost.

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A Study on Optimal Preventive Maintenance Policy When Failure Rate is Exponentially Increasing After Repair (수리 후 고장률이 지수적으로 증가하는 경우에 최적 예방보전 정책)

  • Kim, Tae-Hui;Na, Myung-Hwan
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2011
  • This paper introduces models for preventive maintenance policies and considers periodic preventive maintenance policy with minimal repair when the failure of system occurs. It is assumed that minimal repairs do not change the failure rate of the system. The failure rate under prevention maintenance received an effect by a previously prevention maintenance and the slope of failure rate increases the model where it considered. Also the start point of failure rate under prevention maintenance considers the degradation of system and that it increases quotient, it assumed. Per unit time it bought an expectation cost from under this prevention maintenance policy. We obtain the optimal periodic time and the number for the periodic preventive maintenance by using Nakagawa's Algorithm, which minimizes the expected cost per unit time.

A Note on Age Replacement Policy of Used Item at Age $t_0$

  • Lim, J.H.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2009
  • In most of literatures of age replacement policy, the authors consider the case that a new item starts operating at time zero and is to be replaced by new one at time T. It is, however, often to purchase used items because of the limited budget. In this paper, we consider age replacement policy of a used item whose age is $t_0$. The mathematical formulas of the expected cost rate per unit time are derived for both infinite-horizon case and finite-horizon case. For each case, we show that the optimal replacement age exists and is finite and investigate the effect of the age of the used item.

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