• Title/Summary/Keyword: Estimation of population mean

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Efficient Estimation of the Mean for Populations with a Linear Trend : An Extension of Systematic Sampling (선형추세를 갖는 모집단에 대한 효율적인 모평균 추정 : 계통추출의 확장)

  • 김혁주;석은양
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.457-476
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    • 2000
  • In this study, we have proposed a sampling method and an estimation method for efficiently estimating the mean of a population which has a linear trend. These methods involve drawing a sample by the so-called "centered balanced systematic sampling", which is an extension of systematic sampling, and then estimating the population mean with an adjusted estimator, not with the sample mean itself. We used the concept of interpolation in determining the adjusted estimator.\Ve compared the efficiency of the proposed estimator with those of the estimators from existing methods, under the expected mean square error criterion based on the infinite superpopulation model introduced by Cochran(1946). The proposed method is for use in the case when the sample size n(2 5) is an odd number and k(the reciprocal of the sampling fraction) is an even number. A good result was also obtained in an example using computer simulation. simulation.

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Re-exploring teaching and learning of probability and statistics using Excel

  • Lee, Seung-Bum;Park, Jungeun;Choi, Sang-Ho;Kim, Dong-Joong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.7
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2016
  • The law of large numbers, central limit theorem, and connection among binomial distribution, normal distribution, and statistical estimation require dynamics of continuous visualization for students' better understanding of the concepts. During this visualization process, the differences and similarities between statistical probability and mathematical probability that students should observe need to be provided with the intermediate steps in the converging process. We propose a visualization method that can integrate intermediate processes and results through Excel. In this process, students' experiences with dynamic visualization help them to perceive that the results are continuously changed and extracted from multiple situations. Considering modeling as a key process, we developed a classroom exercise using Excel to estimate the population mean and standard deviation by using a sample mean computed from a collection of data out of the population through sampling.

EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF POPULATION MEAN IN STRATIFIED SAMPLING USING REGRESSION TYPE ESTIMATOR

  • Grover Lovleen Kumar
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2006
  • Here an efficient regression type estimator for a stratified population mean is proposed under the two-phase sampling scheme. While constructing the proposed estimator, it is assumed that the first auxiliary variable x is directly and highly correlated with the study variable y, and the second auxiliary variable z is directly and highly correlated with the first auxiliary variable x. However the variable z is not directly correlated with the variable y, but they are just correlated with each other only due to their direct and high correlation with the variable x. The proposed regression type estimator is found to be always more efficient than the existing estimators defined under the same situation.

Statistical Performance Estimation of a Multibody System Based on Design Variable Samples (설계변수 표본에 근거한 다물체계 성능의 통계적 예측)

  • Choi, Chan-Kyu;Yoo, Hong-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.33 no.12
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    • pp.1449-1454
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    • 2009
  • The performance variation of a multibody system is affected by a variation of various design variables of the system. And the effects of design variable variations on the performance variation must be considered in design of a multibody system. Accordingly, a variation analysis of a multibody system needs to be conducted in design of a multibody system. For a variation analysis of a performance, population mean and variance which are called statistical parameters of design variables are needed. However, an evaluation of statistical parameters of design variables is impossible in many practical cases. Therefore, an estimation of statistical parameters of the performance based on sample mean and variance which are called statistic of design variables is needed. In this paper, the variation analysis method for a multibody system based on design variable samples was proposed. And, using the proposed method, a variation analysis of the vehicle ride comfort based on sample statistic of design variables was conducted.

Item sum techniques for quantitative sensitive estimation on successive occasions

  • Priyanka, Kumari;Trisandhya, Pidugu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.175-189
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    • 2019
  • The problem of the estimation of quantitative sensitive variable using the item sum technique (IST) on successive occasions has been discussed. IST difference, IST regression, and IST general class of estimators have been proposed to estimate quantitative sensitive variable at the current occasion in two occasion successive sampling. The proposed new estimators have been elaborated under Trappmann et al. (Journal of Survey Statistics and Methodology, 2, 58-77, 2014) as well as Perri et al. (Biometrical Journal, 60, 155-173, 2018) allocation designs to allocate long list and short list samples of IST. The properties of all proposed estimators have been derived including optimum replacement policy. The proposed estimators have been mutually compared under the above mentioned allocation designs. The comparison has also been conducted with a direct method. Numerical applications through empirical as well as simplistic simulation has been used to show how the illustrated IST on successive occasions may venture in practical situations.

Estimation and Variation of an Exposed Population of a Vulnerable Group to High Ozone Episodes (고농도 오존발생시 취약계층 노출 인구 현황 및 변화)

  • Kang, Jae-Eun;Bang, Jin-Hee;Oh, In-Bo;Kim, Yoo-Keun
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2014
  • The exposed population of a vulnerable group to high ozone episodes (exceeding 60 ppb/8h) was estimated in Busan metropolitan city from 2000 to 2010. The frequency of high ozone days at monitoring sites and the number of the population aged over 65 were used to calculate the accumulated (total, seasonal, and yearly) number of the exposed older population (EOP) to high ozone episodes during the study period based on administrative areas, by interpolation and zonal mean methods in ArcGIS software. The older population in this city had increased significantly from 2000 to 2010 (representing over 10% of the total population in 2010). The vulnerable areas (e.g. the eastern area of the city) of the EOP to high ozone episodes were different from the areas with frequent high ozone episodes (e.g., the western area) due to the increase of the older population in particular areas. The difference was more significant in spring than in any other season, and in 2010 than in previous years (2000 and 2005).

Logistic Regression Type Small Area Estimations Based on Relative Error

  • Hwang, Hee-Jin;Shin, Key-Il
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.445-453
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    • 2011
  • Almost all small area estimations are obtained by minimizing the mean squared error. Recently relative error prediction methods have been developed and adapted to small area estimation. Usually the estimators obtained by using relative error prediction is called a shrinkage estimator. Especially when data set consists of large range values, the shrinkage estimator is known as having good statistical properties and an easy interpretation. In this paper we study the shrinkage estimators based on logistic regression type estimators for small area estimation. Some simulation studies are performed and the Economically Active Population Survey data of 2005 is used for comparison.

Estimation of Surface Spectral Reflectance using A Population with Similar Colors (유사색 모집단을 이용한 물체의 분광 반사율 추정)

  • 이철희;서봉우;안석출
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2001
  • The studies to estimate the surface spectral reflectance of an object have received widespread attention using the multi-spectral camera system. However, the multi-spectral camera system requires the additional color filter according to increment of the channel and system complexity is increased by multiple capture. Thus, this paper proposes an algorithm to reduce the estimation error of surface spectral reflectance with the conventional 3-band RGB camera. In the proposed method, adaptive principal components for each pixel are calculated by renewing the population of surface reflectances and the adaptive principal components can reduce estimation error of surface spectral reflectance of current pixel. To evaluate performance of the proposed estimation method, 3-band principal component analysis, 5-band wiener estimation method, and the proposed method are compared in the estimation experiment with the Macbeth Color Checker. As a result, the proposed method showed a lower mean square error between the estimated and the measured spectra compared to the conventional 3-band principal component analysis method and represented a similar or advanced estimation performance compared to the 5-band wiener method.

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Unrelated Question Model in Sensitive Multi-Character Surveys

  • Sidhu, Sukhjinder Singh;Bansal, Mohan Lal;Kim, Jong-Min;Singh, Sarjinder
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.169-183
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    • 2009
  • The simplicity and wide application of Greenberg et al. (1971) prompts to propose a set of alternative estimators of population total for multi-character surveys that elicit simultaneous information on many. sensitive study variables. The proposed estimators take into account the already known rough value of the correlation coefficient between Y(the characteristic under study) and p(the measure of size). These estimators are biased, but it is expected that the extent of bias will be smaller, since the proposed estimators are suitable for situations in between those optimum for the usual estimators and the estimators based on multi-characters for no correlation. The relative efficiency of the proposed estimators has been studied under a super population model through empirical study. It has been found through simulation study that a choice of an unrelated variable in the Greenberg et al. (1971) model could be made based on its correlation with the auxiliary variable used at estimation stage in multi-character surveys.

Population persistence of the perennial kelp Eisenia arborea varies across local spatial scales

  • Gossard, Daniel J.;Steller, Diana L.
    • ALGAE
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.63-74
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    • 2022
  • Perennial stipitate kelps are globally distributed and individual species can inhabit broad latitudinal ranges, expressing notably longevous persistence. Despite the foundational role kelps provide to their communities, little is known about the variability in persistence of the stipitate kelps at local spatial scales. We studied the population persistence of Eisenia arborea, a heat- and wave force-tolerant perennial stipitate kelp with a distributional range extending from British Columbia to south of the range limit of all other northeast Pacific kelps, in Baja California Sur, Mexico. Persistence characteristics for E. arborea among sites were compared and used to test the hypothesis that stand persistence varied at local spatial scales around Isla Natividad, a Pacific island off the Baja California peninsula with documented spatiotemporal environmental heterogeneity. Collected individuals around the island were "aged" using the previously validated age estimation technique of counting annual cortical dark rings. After detecting no significant differences among sites in the covariation between estimated ages for collected individuals and stipe length, we utilized in-situ population-level stipe length measurements to more rapidly predict age structures within six stands around the island. Predicted age structures, and associated stand densities, revealed persistence characteristics and density varied at local scales and a strong positive relationship existed between stand density and stand mean and maximum ages. We speculate that stands responded differently to deterministic influences (e.g., the 2014-2016 marine heatwave and / or competition with Macrocystis) resulting in heterogenous local persistence of this foundation species.