• Title/Summary/Keyword: Economic Risk

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A New Techno-Economic Modeling for ATM Based High-Speed Networks (ATM 기반 초고속 정보통신망 기술경제성 평가 모형)

  • 이영호;김정헌;김영부;이순석;강국창
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.115-129
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    • 2003
  • This paper Is concerned with a new techno-economic model Ing of ATM based h19h-speed networks. Coupled with advances of technology, the rapid development of new telecommunication services significantly increases the magnitude of risk in making an Investment decision. Naturally, the success of techno-economic modeling depends on how effectively we manage underlying risk factors such as cost and technology To deal with risk factors, we need to rely on modern decision and risk analysis while Implementing mathematical optimization for solving a complex capacity expansion problem of telecommunication systems during the planning period. We provide a case study that will enhance our understanding of the techno-economic analysis for emerging telecommunication systems.

The Relationship between Risk Perception and Purchasing Behavior of Clothing Gift among Adult Women (성인 여성의 의류선물 구매시 위험지각과 구매행동간의 관계)

  • 김수진;정명선
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.126-142
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    • 1998
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the relationship between perceived risk and purchasing behavior of clothing gift among adult women. Data were collected from 258 adult women reside in Kwangiu who have ever been to purchase clothing gift during recent six months using a qusetionaire. Frequency Analysis, Factor Analysis, Correlation Analysis, T-test were carried out in the collected data. The findings were as follows; 1. The types of risks that respondents perceived when they purchased clothing gift were identified as practical-economic risk, the social-psychological risk, the fashionable risk and the time-refunding risk. 2. The higher the self-satisfaction motivation was, the higher the social-psychological risk and the higher the practical motivation was, the higher the practical-economic risk (P<.001). 3. The degree of the perceived risks of the Low Planning Group was higher than that of the High Planning Group (P<.001). 4. When the respondents perceived social-psychological risk high, they considered brand, fashionability, and store type as more important selective criteria and when the practical-economic risk perceived high, practicality, store service were conidered more important (P<.05). 5. When respondents perceived social-psychological and fashionable risk high, they used both personal information and non-personal information high (P<.01). (Korean J Human Ecology 1(1) : 126∼142, 1998)

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Foreign Exchange Risk Premia and Goods Market Frictions

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.3-38
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    • 2015
  • Fama's (1984) volatility relations show that the risk premium in foreign exchange markets is more volatile than, and is negatively correlated with the expected rate of depreciation. This paper studies these relations from the perspective of goods markets frictions. Using a sticky-price general equilibrium model, we show that near-random walk behaviors of both exchange rates and consumption, in response to monetary shocks, can be derived endogenously. Based on this approach, the paper provides quantitative results on Fama's volatility relations.

Foreign Exchange Return Predictability: Rational Expectations Risk Premium vs. Expectational Errors

  • Moon, Seongman
    • East Asian Economic Review
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.467-505
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    • 2018
  • We propose a simple identification scheme for the causes of the violations of uncovered interest parity. Our method uses the serial dependence patterns of excess returns as a criterion for judging performance of economic models. We show that a mean reverting component in excess returns, representing a violation of uncovered interest parity, mainly contributes to generating different serial dependence patterns of excess returns: rational expectations risk premium models tend to generate negative serial dependence of excess returns, while expectational errors models tend to generate positive serial dependence.

전자상거래 환경에서 지각된 위험이 지각된 가치 및 재구매의도에 미치는 영향

  • ;Jeong, Cheol-Ho;Park, Gyeong-Hye
    • Proceedings of the Korea Database Society Conference
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    • 2010.06a
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2010
  • The mam purpose of this study is to find out how perceived risk elements influence to customers' perceived value and repurchase intention in the electronic commerce environment. To achieve the goal, we set 6 sub-dimensions - privacy risk, social risk, time loss risk, economic risk, psychological risk, and performance risk - based on comprehensive consideration of related studies, and established a research model included 2 factors such as perceived value and repurchase intention to measure performance in internet shopping malls. From 174 customers of the electronic commerce shopping malls survey data have been collected and analyzed based on the covariance structural model method. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Firstly, five perceived risk characteristics of privacy risk, time loss risk, economic risk, psychological risk, and performance risk are significantly positive effect on perceived value. Secondly, perceived value IS very significantly related to repurchase intention in electronic commerce shopping malls. Consequently, we discussed the strategies to create perceived value and repurchase intention in electronic commerce environment. Also we suggested the implications and further research directions.

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Pursuit of Shopping Value and Risk Perception in Consumers Participating in Internet Auction (소비자의 쇼핑 가치와 위험지각 연구 - 인터넷 경매에서 경매 이용자를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Young-Hee;Lee, Eun-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.45 no.5
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    • pp.95-119
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the shopping values(utilitarian and hedonic values) sought and the risks(economic, functional, socio-psychological, and privacy) perceived by consumers who participate in Internet auctions by determining the factors that affect their shopping values and risk perceptions. Empirical data were collected by an Internet survey of netizens who were interested in and had experience in Internet auctions. Questionnaires were distributed to the subjects through an Internet survey site and at an Internet auction cafe. A total of 300 questionnaires were analyzed. The results showed that consumers showed a slightly greater pursuit of a utilitarian value than a hedonic outcome in their Internet auction practices; however the outcomes pursued by consumers in their teens and twenties tended to be more hedonic than utilitarian. Consumers with a higher level of innovation, self-confidence in purchase, and need for information searching showed a greater pursuit of utilitarian and hedonic outcomes. The group of consumers with a higher expectation for legal protection pursued a more utilitarian outcome, whereas the group of consumers with higher influence from the reference group pursued a more hedonic outcome. The consumers showed that they perceived functional risk as boing most serious, followed by privacy risk, economic risk, and socio-psychological risk. Subjects with higher degrees of innovation, self-confidence in purchase and self-control perceived economic risk as critical. Functional risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers with self-control and a need for information searching, whereas socio-psychological risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers showing more self-control. Privacy risk was perceived to be highest in the group of consumers with a higher degree of innovation and lowest in both groups of higher and lower affection. Both economic and privacy risks were perceived to be lower in the group of lower pursuit of a hedonic outcome.

Application of Risk Analysis for Economic Evaluation of Railroad Investments (위험도 분석을 이용한 철도투자사업 경제성평가 적용방안)

  • Lee, Ho;Suh, Sun-Duck
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.44-51
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    • 2001
  • To account for uncertainties involved in an economic analysis of project, sensitivity analysis are usually being done in Korea. Though useful for policy analysis, but it larks explicit consideration of probability of occurring certain events considered in the sensitivity analysis. Risk analysis otherwise can explicitly account for the probability of certain event which has dire impact on project viability, such as cost, discount rate, and size of benefit. This paper reports experience of applying risk analysis method for economic evaluation of railroad investment. Probability distribution of event has paramount impact on the risk analysis results, while not many prior researches dealt with these issues. Probability distribution of rolling stock cost and operating cost, in addition to those cost variables, are developed considering railway demand in this study. Case study results are reported. Issues in applying risk analysis are reported in addition to further research direction.

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Impacts of Perceived Risks for Smart Shoes on the Purchase Intention by Types of Smart Shoess (스마트슈즈 위험지각이 스마트슈즈 유형별 구매의도에 미치는 영향)

  • Jung, Ju Ri;Oh, Kyung Wha
    • Fashion & Textile Research Journal
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.84-97
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    • 2021
  • This study examines the impact of perceived risks for smart shoes based on purchase intention by type of smart shoes as well as how they are mediated by fashion innovativeness and technology innovativeness. It also compares the differences between awareness, interest and perceived risk of smart shoes by gender and age. This study was conducted based on men and women in their 20s to 50s who provided 246 samples for data analysis using SPSS 25.0. The results show significant differences in the awareness, interests and perceived economic risk of smart shoes by gender and age. The perceived performance risk had a positive effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for GPS. Perceived aesthetic-psychological risk had a negative effect on all types of smart shoes. Perceived economic risk had a negative effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for entertainment; in comparison, perceived social risk had a positive effect on the purchase intention of smart shoes for GPS and entertainment. Fashion innovativeness and technology innovativeness also mediated the relationship between perceived economic risk as well as the purchase intention of smart shoes for healthcare, GPS and entertainment.

Developing of Construction Project Risk Analysis Framework by Claim Payout and its Application

  • Kim, Ji-Myong;Park, Young Jun;Kim, Young-Jae;Yu, YeongJin
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2015.10a
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    • pp.192-194
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    • 2015
  • The growing size and complex process in construction project recently leads to increase risk and the losses as well. Even though researchers have identified the major risk indicators, there is lack of comprehensive and quantitative research for identifying the relationship between the risk indicators and economic losses associated with construction projects. To address this shortage of research, this study defines risk indicators and create a framework to assess the influence of economic losses from the indicators. An insurance company's claim payout record was accepted as the dependent variable to reflect the real economic losses. Based on the claims, we categorized the causes and results of accidents. To establish framework, built environment vulnerability indicators and geographical vulnerability indicators were employed as the risk indicators. A Pearson correlation analysis was adopted to validate the relationship with loss ratio and risk indicators. Consequently, this framework and its results may offer significant references for under writers of insurance companies and loss prevention activities.

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Determinants of Variance Risk Premium (경제지표를 활용한 분산프리미엄의 결정요인 추정과 수익률 예측)

  • Yoon, Sun-Joong
    • Economic Analysis
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.1-33
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    • 2019
  • This paper examines the economic factors that are related to the dynamics of the variance risk premium, and specially, which economic factors are related to the forecasting power of the variance premium regarding future index returns. Eleven general economic variables, eight interest rate variables, and eleven sentiment-associated variables are used to figure out the relevant economic variables that affect the variance risk premium. According to our empirical results, the won-dollar exchange rates, foreign reserves, the historical/implied volatility, and interest rate variables all have significant coefficients. The highest adjusted R-squared is more than 65 percent, indicating their significant explanatory power of the variance risk premium. Next, to verify the economic variables associated with the predictability of the variance risk premium, we conduct forecasting regressions to predict future stock returns and volatilities for one to six months. Our empirical analysis shows that only the won-dollar exchange rate, among the many variables associated with the dynamics of the variance risk premium, has a significant forecasting ability regarding future index returns. These results are consistent with results found in previous studies, including Londono (2012) and Bollerslev et al. (2014), which show that the variance risk premium is related to global risk factors.