• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제56권8호
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• pp.485-496
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• 2023

최근 우리나라는 댐 운영에 있어서 다양한 가뭄 대책을 활용하여 가뭄 시 물 부족의 위험 리스크를 줄이기 위해 노력하고 있다. 이를 중심으로 다양한 연구들이 수행되었지만 가뭄 대책의 효과를 경제적인 측면에서 살펴본 연구는 현재 전무한 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 ARIMA와 Copula 기반의 장기간 모의 유입량 생성 모형과 댐별 가뭄 대책을 반영한 댐 운영 모형을 활용하여 전국의 다목적댐을 대상으로 가뭄 대책 시행에 따른 경제적 효과를 평가하였다. 경제적 편익 산정 결과 연계 운영·대체 공급과 비상공급대책의 단위 유량 당 기대 편익이 각각 1,176원과 1,139원으로 가장 높 으며, 비상 용량 활용과 용수공급조정의 편익은 956원과 875원으로 추정된다. 추가로 미래에 가뭄이 심화된다는 가정을 기반으로 가뭄 대책의 경제적 편익의 변화에 대하여 살펴본 결과 유입량 감소로 인한 가뭄 리스크의 변화는 모든 가뭄 대책의 경제적 편익을 높이는 효과를 보였다. 용수공급조정의 경제적 효과는 기존 대비 2.6% 상승하였으나, 연계 운영·대체 공급의 경제적 효과는 기존 대비 11.7% 상승하였다. 이는 가뭄의 위험도가 증가할수록 연계 운영과 대체 공급과 같은 댐 네트워크 기반의 대책이 주요한 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구는 향후 가뭄 대책의 선정과 활용에 있어서 기본자료로 활용될 것으로 기대된다.

• 대한자원환경지질학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한자원환경지질학회 2000년도 춘계 공동학술발표회
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• pp.115-116
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• 2000

• 노동경제논집
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• 제15권
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• pp.321-339
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• 1992

• 해양환경안전학회지
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.259-267
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• 2016

The study performs a risk analysis on container ship accidents using accident data collected over the six years from 2006 to 2011, presents the resulting risk level, and suggests three risk mitigation measures to reduce the overall risk, for the safer operation of container ships. More specifically, starting from the initial accident of collision, we developed 13 different accident scenarios using event tree analysis based on which the overall risk level was obtained and presented as a FN curve. Since diverse human factors are the main cause of most of the ship accidents, our study focuses on the effect of reducing human causes on the resulting risk level. For the research we considered the injuries for the calculation of fatality with the help of MAIS. The results show that collision was the main type of accident, accounting for 62 % of all accidents, and the measures employed were proven to be effective in the sense that the risk level was much lowered and the average number of fatalities was also reduced. With more data accumulated, more precise risk level will be calculated with which the practical risk mitigating measures will be also developed. For future study, economic loss and environmental damage as consequences need to be considered.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.33-45
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• 2016

Construction sites have gradually become bigger and bigger according to Korea economic growth. Also use of tower crane and other heavy equipment has been increased. The increased use of heavy equipment like tower crane is leading to fatality incident. This study will verify hazards to influence tower crane incident through structural and positive verification and find which hazard influence incident risk. The result of this study is as follows. First, while there is a significant difference between safety managers and tower crane operators for working environment, safety management, personal manage among risk factors, we can not find any evidence on the difference in perception of tower crane incident risk between them. Second, task manage risk and personal manage risk has a significant positive effect on perception of tower crane incident risk. Third, while site environment risk has a significant positive moderating effect of task type between risk factors and perception of tower crane incident risk, personal environment risk has a significant negative moderating effect between them.

• 한국항만경제학회지
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• 제36권3호
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• pp.55-74
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• 2020

글로벌화와 정보통신기술의 발전과 더불어 공급사슬은 더욱 광역화되고 복잡해지고 있으며, 이는 공급사슬위험의 발생과 피해를 확대시키고 있다. 공급사슬위험관리는 리스크의 요인분석과 선제적이고 전략적 접근에 따라 기업의 성과에 커다란 영향을 미치게 된다. 본 연구는 공급사슬의 리스크 요인이 위험관리전략과 기업성과에 미치는 영향을 실증적으로 분석하는 데 목적이 있다. 실증분석을 위해 공급사슬위험요인으로 공급, 수요, 운영, 네트워크, 외부환경으로 분류하였으며, 위험관리전략으로 적극적 전략과 소극적 전략으로 구분하였으며, 기업성과로는 재무와 운영성과로 연구모형을 설정하여 설문조사를 통해 확보한 자료를 구조방정식 모델의 경로분석을 실시하였다. 연구결과 운송물류위험요인의 유형에 따라 물류위험전략의 선택에 차이가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 위험수용전략에 유의한 영향을 미치는 위험요인으로는 외부환경과 인적자원리스크이며, 위험회피전략에 유의한 영향을 미치는 위험요인으로 외부환경리스크가 채택되었다. 위험감소전략에 유의한 영향을 미치는 위험요인으로는 운영과 경제/재무이며, 위험전가전략에 유의한 영향을 미치는 위험요인은 운영과 재무리스크로 나타났다. 기업들은 운영과 인적자원리스크와 같은 내부적인 리스크에 대하여 소극적인 수용 또는 전가전략을 채택하는 경향이 높은 것으로 나타나 위험관리에 있어 보다 선제적이고 적극적인 노력이 요구된다고 할 수 있다. 분석의 결과 기업들은 대내외적인 리스크 요인에서 외부적 요인보다는 내부적 리스크 요인에 대하여 적극적인 리스크 관리를 추진해 나가고 있으며, 이러한 추진전략은 기업의 성과에도 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 향후 기업들은 기업운영에 영향을 미치는 다양한 리스크 요인에 대한 철저한 분석을 통해 보다 적극적이고 선제적으로 위험관리 전략을 추진해 나가야 할 것이다.

• 한국의류학회지
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.73-83
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• 1992

This paper examined risk reduction methods utilized by consumers in apparel buying situation in multidimensional conceptual framework, and analyzed the relationships between risk types, consumer demographic variables and preferences of risk reduction methods. Samples of 224 consumers were deliberately selected to include various demographic characteristics such as sex, age, educational level, occupation, income level. The results of the principal axis factor analysis indicated that 26 item risk reduction methods could be summarized into 6 meaningful factors; Marketer-dominated Information Sources Use (MIS), Prepurchase Deliberation / Observation i Dependence on Past Buying Experience (DOE), Independent Information Sources Use (lIS), Interpersonal Information Sources Use (PIS), Brand Loyalty (BL), Label Reading / Guarantee Buying (RG). DOE were used most whereas IIS used least. Correlations of various types of risk perceived with the preference of risk reduction methods were significant especially for positive relationship between psychologi-cal and/or economic risk and DOE, and between social risk and/or fashionability loss and MIS. Results of ANOVA and Duncan test suggested that sex, age, educational level, occupation of consumers can act as ones of determinant variables on making differences in the use of risk reduction methods.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권9호
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• pp.377-388
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• 2020

The research identifies hypotheses evaluating the impact of board characteristics on the risk of the commercial bank as well as examining the determinants of bank risk in Vietnam over a 10-year period, starting from 2008. Also, in this research, the differences between the roles of women and men in decision-making are tested. Based on this decision, risks of the banks may arise. Ordinary least squares(OLS) regression, Random effect method, and Fixed effect method are used to estimate the factors that have an impact on bank risk for dataset of all commercial banks in Vietnam. The results found that equity-to-asset ratio, bank performance and the economic growth have an inverse relationship with bank risk, while the size of bank has a positive relationship with the bank risk. One of the highlights of this paper is a demonstration of the relationship between CEO's gender and bank risk. The test result shows that the bank led by a female faces a higher overall risk level and credit risk than a bank led by a male. Based on this result, the paper also makes recommendations to Government, the State Bank of Vietnam and the commercial banks for effective risk management.

• 산업공학
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.421-428
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• 2001

The economic effects of informatization are differently occurred according to industry types. Thus an evaluation methodology which reflects the industry type characteristics of informatization is needed. In this paper, we develop and analyze the indices for evaluating economic effects through informatization according to industry types, such as manufacturing, construction, financial services and marketing services. The factors related to performance of enterprise informatization can be defined as cost factors, effect factors, risk factors and influence factors. Effect factors are defined as quantitative or qualitative performance of informatization and classified into operational effect factors and strategic effect factors. The influence factor is defined as characteristics of informatization for industry types, that is, value chain of business and business products or services. Economic effect indices are classified according to the activity of business value chain. Economic effects indices of this research can be expected to play a role of general and standardized factors for economic evaluation of industry informatization.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.215-238
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• 2006

The purpose of this study is to develop the measures of the perceived risks involved in e-commerce. To do this, we first review the literature and examine the sub-constructs of the perceived risks. The risks classified are economic risk, product performance risk, social risk, technology/time loss risk, and privacy risk. Based on these findings, we identify the appropriate items for assessing these various risks. Then, we evaluate, basically using a structural equation model, the important several attributes of the measurs such as various validities and reliability. This study finally provides the rigorously tested measuring instruments of the construct of the perceived risks.