• 제목/요약/키워드: Distribution of Life

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배전 변압기의 통계적 기대 수명 평가 및 초기 고장제거 적정성 검토 (Distribution Transformer Statistical Expected Life Evaluation and Removal Adequacy Review)

  • 조종은;김상봉;이온유;김강식
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2022
  • Recently, the amount of maintenance is increasing due to the aging of power facilities, but the budget is constrained. Therefore, the importance of asset management that selects replacement priorities based on the failure probability and enhances investment effects is increasing. Because the number of distribution transformers is very large, the proportion of investment cost is very high. Therefore, it is important to select the investment priority by evaluating the reliable remaining life based on the failure probability. This paper evaluates the statistical expected life using the failure data of distribution transformers for the last 11 years and the current operation data. The hazard rate of distribution transformer and MV cable was compared with each other and the adequacy of early failure removal was reviewed and the statistical expected life corresponding to the cumulative failure probability B3% was calculated.

가속 수명 시험을 이용한 자동차용 배기 벨로우즈의 수명 해석 (Reliability Analysis of Exhaust Bellows Based on ALT)

  • 김형민;위신환;김태수;김성현
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회A
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    • pp.1667-1672
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    • 2007
  • In order to assess the reliability of the exhaust bellows for automobiles, accelerated life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is crack or breakage of inner flexible tube by shaken displacement at shear direction. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of exhaust bellows is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 13.3 on condition of shaken displacement and $600^{\circ}C$

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Shelf-life prediction of fresh ginseng packaged with plastic films based on a kinetic model and multivariate accelerated shelf-life testing

  • Jong-Jin Park;Jeong-Hee Choi;Kee-Jai Park;Jeong-Seok Cho;Dae-Yong Yun;Jeong-Ho Lim
    • 한국식품저장유통학회지
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.573-588
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to monitor changes in the quality of ginseng and predict its shelf-life. As the storage period of ginseng increased, some quality indicators, such as water-soluble pectin (WSP), CDTA-soluble pectin (CSP), cellulose, weight loss, and microbial growth increased, while others (Na2CO3-soluble pectin/NSP, hemicellulose, starch, and firmness) decreased. Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using the quality attribute data and the principal component 1 (PC1) scores extracted from the PCA results were applied to the multivariate analysis. The reaction rate at different temperatures and the temperature dependence of the reaction rate were determined using kinetic and Arrhenius models, respectively. Among the kinetic models, zeroth-order models with cellulose and a PC1 score provided an adequate fit for reaction rate estimation. Hence, the prediction model was constructed by applying the cellulose and PC1 scores to the zeroth-order kinetic and Arrhenius models. The prediction model with PC1 score showed higher R2 values (0.877-0.919) than those of cellulose (0.797-0.863), indicating that multivariate analysis using PC1 score is more accurate for the shelf-life prediction of ginseng. The predicted shelf-life using the multivariate accelerated shelf-life test at 5, 20, and 35℃ was 40, 16, and 7 days, respectively.

파레토 및 어랑 형상모수에 의존한 수명분포를 따르는 소프트웨어 신뢰성 모형에 대한 신뢰도 특성요인 비교 연구 (A Comparison of Reliability Factors of Software Reliability Model Following Lifetime Distribution Dependent on Pareto and Erlang Shape Parameters)

  • 김희철;문송철
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2017
  • Software reliability is one of the most elementary and important problems in software development In order to find the software failure occurrence, the instantaneous failure rate function in the Poisson process can have a constant, incremental or decreasing tendency independently of the failure time. In this study, we compared the reliability performance of the software reliability model using the parameters of Pareto life distribution with the intensity decreasing pattern and the shape parameter of Erlang life distribution with the intensity increasing and decreasing pattern in the software product testing. In order to identify the software failure environment, the parametric estimation was applied to the maximum likelihood estimation method. Therefore, in this paper, we compare and evaluate software reliability by applying software failure time data. The reliability of the Erlang and Pareto life models is shown to be higher than that of the Pareto lifetime distribution model when the shape parameter is higher and the Erlang model is more reliable when the shape parameter is higher. Through this study, the software design department will be able to help the software design by applying various life distribution and shape parameters, and providing basic knowledge using software failure analysis.

가스켓용 고무소재의 특성수명 예측 (Prediction of Characteristics Life of the Rubber Gasket)

  • 박준형;이세희;장현덕;김광섭;양정삼
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.213-235
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we carried out an accelerated degradation test that is commonly used to predict characteristics life of rubber gaskets for a pole transformer. The potential failure mode applied for the test is rubber elongation and the corresponding failure mechanism is heat. From the result, we found that Weibull distribution is the fatigue life distribution in NBR and H-NBR. After estimating characteristics life in commonly used temperature, the average life span of $B_{50}$ in NBR is 7.7 years under $50^{\circ}C$ and the life span in H-NBR is 28 years.

마그네슘합금의 피로파손수명의 누적확률분포특성과 신뢰성에 미치는 경계조건의 영향 (Effect of Boundary Conditions on Reliability and Cumulative Distribution Characteristics of Fatigue Failure Life in Magnesium Alloy)

  • 최선순
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.594-599
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    • 2011
  • 본 논문은 마그네슘합금 AZ31의 피로파손수명의 확률론적 특성과 신뢰성에 미치는 경계조건의 영향을 평가하였다. 경계조건으로 시편두께와 응력비 그리고 최대피로하중을 적용하였으며, 각 경계조건별로 세부 실험조건에 대한 피로균열전파실험을 수행하여 피로파손수명에 대한 통계 데이터를 획득하였다. 마그네슘합금의 피로파손수명의 통계적 해석을 위하여 3-모수 와이블분포를 사용하였다. 시편두께가 두꺼울수록, 응력비가 클수록, 그리고 최대피로하중이 작을수록 통계적 피로파손수명이 길게 나타났다. 반면에 시편두께가 얇을수록, 응력비가 작을수록, 그리고 최대피로하중이 클수록 신뢰성이 급격히 감소하였다.

The Distribution of Work-Life Integration against COVID-19 and its Implications: Focusing on Remote Work in Switzerland

  • CHOI, Choongik;LEE, Kwang-Hoon
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.95-105
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: This study aims to explore the distribution of work-life integration against COVID-19 and its Implications by analyzing remote work in Switzerland. Research design, data and methodology: The study performed literature review and descriptive analyses using various data such as perception surveys, statistics, and related documents. Results: The infectious disease was a turning point for many people in Switzerland by changing where and how people want to live. Since the COVID-19 crisis demonstrated that disease could be spread by proximity, negative perception about urban areas expanded, and rural areas are increasingly preferred due to fresh and clean air and a more ecological lifestyle. In addition, increased remote work, a change brought about by COVID-19, has subsequently led to changes in household habits and needs. Distance from work is no longer an important factor when someone chooses where to live. A trend is now emerging where households wanting to improve the quality of life leave the city center and move to the suburbs. Conclusions: Paradoxically, such trend accelerated by the COVID-19 crisis has an unintendedly positive impact on the distribution of work-life integration across society while providing more flexibility in terms of place and time management and lowering the burden on roads and infrastructure.

On the Estimation of Parameters in ALT under Generalized Exponential Distribution

  • Yoon, Sang-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권4호
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    • pp.923-931
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    • 2005
  • The two parameter generalized exponential distribution was recently introduced by Gupta and Kundu (1999). It is observed that the generalized exponential distribution can be used quite effectively to analyze skewed data set. This paper develops the accelerated life test model using generalized exponential distribution and considers maximum likelihood estimation of parameters under the tampered random variable model. To show the performance of proposed maximum likelihood estimates, some simulation will be performed. Using a real data set, an example will be given.

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A new class of life distributions based on unknown age

  • El-Di, M.M. Mohie;Abu-Youss, S.E.;Al, Nahed S.A.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.27-34
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    • 2015
  • Based on increasing concave ordering a new class of life distribution is introduced. The new class of life distribution is named used better than aged in increasing concave ordering and is denoted by UBAC(2). The implication of our proposed class of life distribution with other classes is given. The properties of UBAC(2) under convolution, discrete mixture and formation of a coherent system are studied. Finally a characterization of the proposed class of life distributions by Laplace transform is discussed.

환경 온도변화에 대한 자동차용 엔진마운트의 수명 예측 (Lifetime prediction of the engine mount about the environment temperature variation)

  • 김형민;위신환;윤신일;신익재;김규로
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.65-76
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    • 2013
  • In order to assess the reliability of engine mount for a vehicles, life test model and procedure are developed. By using this method, failure mechanism and life distribution are analyzed. The main results are as follows; i) the main failure mechanism is degradation failure of engine mount rubber by fatigue failure at dynamic load. ii) temperature is a second factor to affect a failure. iii) the life distribution of engine mount module is fitted well to Weibull life distribution and the shape parameter is 18.4 and the accelerated life model of that is fitted well to Arrhenius model.