• 제목/요약/키워드: Dirichlet prior

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Dirichlet Process Mixtures of Linear Mixed Regressions

  • Kyung, Minjung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제22권6호
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    • pp.625-637
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    • 2015
  • We develop a Bayesian clustering procedure based on a Dirichlet process prior with cluster specific random effects. Gibbs sampling of a normal mixture of linear mixed regressions with a Dirichlet process was implemented to calculate posterior probabilities when the number of clusters was unknown. Our approach (unlike its counterparts) provides simultaneous partitioning and parameter estimation with the computation of the classification probabilities. A Monte Carlo study of curve estimation results showed that the model was useful for function estimation. We find that the proposed Dirichlet process mixture model with cluster specific random effects detects clusters sensitively by combining vague edges into different clusters. Examples are given to show how these models perform on real data.

Identifying differentially expressed genes using the Polya urn scheme

  • Saraiva, Erlandson Ferreira;Suzuki, Adriano Kamimura;Milan, Luis Aparecido
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.627-640
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    • 2017
  • A common interest in gene expression data analysis is to identify genes that present significant changes in expression levels among biological experimental conditions. In this paper, we develop a Bayesian approach to make a gene-by-gene comparison in the case with a control and more than one treatment experimental condition. The proposed approach is within a Bayesian framework with a Dirichlet process prior. The comparison procedure is based on a model selection procedure developed using the discreteness of the Dirichlet process and its representation via Polya urn scheme. The posterior probabilities for models considered are calculated using a Gibbs sampling algorithm. A numerical simulation study is conducted to understand and compare the performance of the proposed method in relation to usual methods based on analysis of variance (ANOVA) followed by a Tukey test. The comparison among methods is made in terms of a true positive rate and false discovery rate. We find that proposed method outperforms the other methods based on ANOVA followed by a Tukey test. We also apply the methodologies to a publicly available data set on Plasmodium falciparum protein.

Nonparametric Bayesian Estimation for the Exponential Lifetime Data under the Type II Censoring

  • Lee, Woo-Dong;Kim, Dal-Ho;Kang, Sang-Gil
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.417-426
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    • 2001
  • This paper addresses the nonparametric Bayesian estimation for the exponential populations under type II censoring. The Dirichlet process prior is used to provide nonparametric Bayesian estimates of parameters of exponential populations. In the past, there have been computational difficulties with nonparametric Bayesian problems. This paper solves these difficulties by a Gibbs sampler algorithm. This procedure is applied to a real example and is compared with a classical estimator.

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무관질문형 다지확률응답모형에서의 베이즈 선형추정량에 관한 연구 (A Bayes Linear Estimator for Multi-proprotions Randomized Response Model)

  • 박진우
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.53-66
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    • 1993
  • 다지확률응답모형인 경우에 대한 베이지안 접근방법을 연구하였다. O'Hagan (1987)의 베이 즈 선형추정량을 다지확률 응답모형의 경우로 확장하였다. 한편 수치비교방법에 의해 새로 이 연구된 베이즈 선형 추정량과 기존의 최대우도추정량과의 효율을 비교해 보았다. 이때 베이지안 방법의 사전분포로는 Dirichlet 분포를 사용하였다.

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A Bayesian Analysis of the Multinomial Randomized Response Model Using Dirichlet Prior Distribution

  • Kim, Jong-Min;Heo, Tae-Young
    • 한국통계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국통계학회 2005년도 춘계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.239-244
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we examine the problem of estimating the sensitive characteristics and behaviors in a multinomial randomized response (RR) model. We analyze this problem through a Bayesian perspective and develop a Bayesian multinomial RR model in survey study. The Bayesian inference of multinomial RR model is a new approach to RR models.

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Bayesian estimation for finite population proportions in multinomial data

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 2012
  • We study Bayesian estimates for finite population proportions in multinomial problems. To do this, we consider a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model each cell probability in each cluster. Our method does not require complicated computation such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each density of parameters. We draw samples using Gibbs sampler with grid method. We apply this algorithm to a couple of simulation data under three scenarios and we estimate the finite population proportions using two kinds of approaches We compare results with the point estimates of finite population proportions and their standard deviations. Finally, we check the consistency of computation using differen samples drawn from distinct iterates.

베이지안기법에 의한 임무 신뢰도 예측 (Mission Reliability Prediction Using Bayesian Approach)

  • 전치혁;양희중;정의승
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 1993
  • A Baysian approach is proposed is estimating the mission failure rates by criticalities. A mission failure which occurs according to a Poisson process with unknown rate is assumed to be classified as one of the criticality levels with an unknown probability. We employ the Gamma prior for the mission failure rate and the Dirichlet prior for the criticality probabilities. Posterior distributions of the mission rates by criticalities and predictive distributions of the time to failure are derived.

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A Bayes Sequential Selection of the Least Probale Event

  • Hwang, Hyung-Tae;Kim, Woo-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.25-35
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    • 1982
  • A problem of selecting the least probable cell in a multinomial distribution is studied in a Bayesian framework. We consider two loss components the cost of sampling and the difference in cell probabilities between the selected and the least probable cells. A Bayes sequential selection rule is derived with respect to a Dirichlet prior, and it is compared with the best fixed sample size selection rule. The continuation sets with respect to the vague prior are tabulated for certain cases.

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국면전환 임계 자기회귀 분석을 위한 베이지안 방법 비교연구 (A Comparison Study of Bayesian Methods for a Threshold Autoregressive Model with Regime-Switching)

  • 노태영;조성일;이령화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.1049-1068
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    • 2014
  • 자기회귀 모형(autoregressive model)은 일변량(univaraite) 시계열자료의 분석에서 널리 사용되는 방법 중 하나이다. 그러나 이 방법은 자료에 일정한 추세가 있다고 가정하기 때문에 자료에 분절(structural break)이 존재할 때 적절하지 않을 수 있다. 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위한 방법으로 국면전환(regime-switching) 모형인 임계자기회귀 모형(threshold autoregressive model)이 제안되었는데 최근 지연 모수(delay parameter)을 포함한 이 국면전환(two regime-switching) 모형으로 확장되어 많은 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 본 논문에서는 이 국면전환 임계자기회귀 모형을 베이지안(Bayesian) 관점에서 살펴본다. 베이지안 분석을 위해 모수적 임계자기 회귀 모형 뿐만 아니라 디리슐레 과정(Dirichlet Process) 사전분포를 이용하는 비모수적 임계자기 회귀 모형을 고려하도록 한다. 두 가지 베이지안 임계자기 회귀 모형을 바탕으로 사후분포를 유도하고 마코프 체인 몬테 카를로(Markov chain Monte Carlo) 방법을 통해 사후추론을 실시한다. 모형 간의 성능을 비교하기 위해 모의실험을 통한 자료 분석을 고려하고, 더 나아가 한국과 미국의 국내 총생산(Gross Domestic Product)에 대한 실증적 자료 분석을 실시한다.

ON CONSISTENCY OF SOME NONPARAMETRIC BAYES ESTIMATORS WITH RESPECT TO A BETA PROCESS BASED ON INCOMPLETE DATA

  • Hong, Jee-Chang;Jung, In-Ha
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈B:순수및응용수학
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 1998
  • Let F and G denote the distribution functions of the failure times and the censoring variables in a random censorship model. Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) verified consistency of $F_{\alpha}$, he NPBE of F with respect to the Dirichlet process prior D($\alpha$), in which they assumed F and G are continuous. Assuming that A, the cumulative hazard function, is distributed according to a beta process with parameters c, $\alpha$, Hjort(1990) obtained the Bayes estimator $A_{c,\alpha}$ of A under a squared error loss function. By the theory of product-integral developed by Gill and Johansen(1990), the Bayes estimator $F_{c,\alpha}$ is recovered from $A_{c,\alpha}$. Continuity assumption on F and G is removed in our proof of the consistency of $A_{c,\alpha}$ and $F_{c,\alpha}$. Our result extends Susarla and Van Ryzin(1978) since a particular transform of a beta process is a Dirichlet process and the class of beta processes forms a much larger class than the class of Dirichlet processes.

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