• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.49-66
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• 2007

Due to criminal aspects spreading nation wide, their intelligence level increasing and becoming digitalized, the citizens' interest in and desire for crime security have increased. Until now, the preceding researches have been focused on finding the specific variables that have direct effects on the demand for police manpower through regression analysis and attempted to predict number of needs. However, there have never been any researches producing the accurate number of demands for crimes and human resources needed for each work load. Therefore, this research have analyzed each police station functions by interviewing the persons in charge and selected the main duty for each functions. From this, by using the method of system dynamics, this research was able to predict the standard number of manpower needed for each police station functions. Also, by making a model for each 235 police stations, the best efficient employment plan for police stations and district agencies have been further discussed based on the computer simulation results.

• 한국유기농업학회지
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• 제28권2호
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• pp.171-188
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• 2020

The Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), first identified in China in December 2019, has widely spread worldwide and is an ongoing pandemic. It is expected that the ripple effect of COVID-19 on the global economy including the agricultural sector will increase substantially if not properly controlled shortly. This study examines the potential impact of COVID-19 on the Korean beef cattle sector and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle using a dynamic partial equilibrium model. The agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming pessimistic GDP growth rate (-1.2% in 2020) with no direct supply shocks fell by up to 4.00% and 0.67%, respectively, compared to the baseline which represents the future without COVID-19 outbreak. On the other hand, the agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming both pessimistic GDP growth rate and supply shocks (-12.7% beef imports and + 2.4% feed cost in 2020) increased by up to 12.08% and 1.99%, respectively, compared to the baseline.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.386-391
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• 2004

일반적으로 철도수요를 추정할 때에는 매표실적에 근거한 직접수요모형(Direct Demand Model)을 많이 사용하여왔다. 고속철도가 2004년 4월 개통됨으로써 실행된 수요가 나옴에 따라 이를 이용하여 KTX와 일반철도를 고려한 직접수요모형의 작성이 가능하게 되었다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 고속철도 운행 전${\cdot}$후의 실제수요를 이용하여 고속철도 개통 전${\cdot}$후의 직접수요모형을 추정하여보았다. 모형에 사용되는 변수로는 철도서비스, 사회경제지표 등을 사용하였다. 그 중 철도서비스, 즉 운행시간, 운행빈도, 운임 등을 집중적으로 사용하여 모형을 작성하였다. 이렇게 작성된 모형은 KTX와 일반철도, 일반철도 등급간에서 철도서비스 변수의 기여를 명시적으로 제시해준다. 개발된 모형을 이용하여 KTX 및 일반철도의 운행방향에 대하여 검토하였다.

• 한국유기농업학회지
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.483-499
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• 2009

This research is to establish a theme-type organic edu-farm model and provide ways to practically apply it so as to vitalize urban-rural exchange through the emerging concept of green tourism. This research also traces the practical development of organic edu-farm programs. Organic edu-farm(OEF) should be some of the ideas to develop organic agriculture resources according to the local features, and learn by direct and actual experience a life of organic farm. A few policy suggestions to put OEF model in practical use are proposed. What the state needs to do through direct involvement are to put efforts at demand expansion on organic farm products, to clean and beautify the green rural environmental settings, to build more urban-rural exchange facilities. What is more important, however, is financial support, to create the network and to develop program contents for each OEF operation unit. The OEF model proposed in this research will be applied as a relevant reference in planning and realizing sustainable green tourism at the village level.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제14권spc호
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• pp.1232-1255
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• 2011

본 연구에서는 신제품 확산 모델 활용에 있어서 보다 적은 노력이 필요하지만 객관적이고 신속한 활용을 가능하게 만들어줄 모형을 제안한다. 기대주기 모델과 소비자 수용 모델이라는 이론적 배경을 바탕으로, 서지분석학과 초기 시장의 규모만으로 최대 잠재 시장을 추정해냄으로써 대표적인 확산 모형인 배스 모형(Bass model)에 필요한 주요 모수를 제공하는 방법을 제시했다. 모형의 예측력을 하이브리드자동차 사례를 통해 분석한 결과, 모형의 예측결과는 여러 가지 객관적인 정보를 통해 추정한 잠재 시장과 유사한 규모를 성공적으로 예측해 내어 모형의 활용 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다. 제안된 모형이 제공한 최대 잠재 시장은 다른 성장곡선모형에도 바로 적용 가능하다는 점을 볼 때 제안된 모형은 서지분석학을 통한 기술 확산 예측과 유망기술 탐색에 새로운 방향을 제시했다고 할 것이다.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.109-124
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• 1999

The major objective of this research is to design and build the variable structure DEVS modeling & simulation framework. To do this, we have proposed the direct message passing mechanism between the model and its simulator to deal with the structural demand from the model during the simulation. In this approach, four types of basic messages are introduced for the vertical(creation/deletion of the child) and horizontal(creation/deletion of the brother) structural changes. Proposed methodology has been successfully applied to the multi-processor system and the forest fire information system.

• Membrane and Water Treatment
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.455-462
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• 2018

The measurement and monitoring of the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) play an important role in the planning and operation of wastewater treatment plants. The most basic method for determining biochemical oxygen demand is direct measurement. However, this method is both expensive and takes a long time. A five-day period is required to determine the biochemical oxygen demand. This study has been carried out in a wastewater treatment plant in Turkey (Hurma WWTP) in order to estimate the biochemical oxygen demand a shorter time and with a lower cost. Estimation was performed using artificial neural network (ANN) method. There are three different methods in the training of artificial neural networks, respectively, multi-layered (ML-ANN), teaching learning based algorithm (TLBO-ANN) and artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN). The input flow (Q), wastewater temperature (t), pH, chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended sediment (SS), total phosphorus (tP), total nitrogen (tN), and electrical conductivity of wastewater (EC) are used as the input parameters to estimate the BOD. The root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) values were used in evaluating performance criteria for each model. As a result of the general evaluation, the ML-ANN method provided the best estimation results both training and test series with 0.8924 and 0.8442 determination coefficient, respectively.

• 한국식생활문화학회지
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• 제23권4호
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• pp.421-426
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• 2008

The purpose of this study was to measure the effects of trust, knowledge, optimism, risk and benefits on consumer attitudes toward genetically modified foods. A total of 326 questionnaires were completed. Moderated regression analysis was used to measure the relationships among the variables. The analysis results for the data indicated a good model fit in Model 2 rather than Model 1, in which the direct effects of trust, optimism and benefits had statistically significant direct effects on the respondents' attitudes toward genetically modified foods, while the direct effects of knowledge and risk were not statistically significant. As expected, the interaction term of risk and benefit had a significant effect on consumer attitude. Moreover, the effect of risk on consumer's attitude toward genetically modified foods was statistically significant at all levels of benefit, except at the lower benefit level. Finally, the results of this study indicated that genetically modified food developers and marketers should attach importance to the interaction effect of benefits to understand the elements of market demand and customer loyalty.

• 한국항행학회논문지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.697-702
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• 2012

승강기 보급의 확산과 더불어 다양한 수요가 증가되고 있으며 그와 더불어 승강기 안전에 대한 요구가 필요하다. 승강기 안전요구는 무엇보다 비상사태에 빠르게 대응할 수 있는 능력이라 할 수 있다. 최근 승강기 안전을 위해 QR코드를 모든 승강기에 부착하여 승강기 구조 시 활용할 수 있도록 법제화 하였으며 CCTV와 직접통화장치 설치의 의무화를 통해 보다 안전한 승강기 활용을 모색하고 있다. 그러나 승강기 CCTV 및 직접통화장치는 개별적으로 운영되고 있으며 이를 통합한 모델을 제시되고 있지 않고 있다. 이에 본 논문에서는 CCTV와 직접통화장치의 통합과 더불어 스마트폰기반의 원격제어모델을 구축함으로써 보다 효율적이고 안전한 승강기 모델을 제시하고자 한다. 제시된 세 가지 기능의 통합은 재난발생시 보다 정확하고 신속한 대처를 가능하게하고 유지보수의 효율성을 높일 수 있을 것이다.

• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제1권3호
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• pp.374-385
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• 1998

This study is estimates telephone service demand based on empirical studies of telecommunication service demand model. First, the telephone charge(call price index) by each location and subscription fee bring about a negative effect to telephone distribution rate: while the other explanatory variables bring about a positive effect. Second, the flexibility of telephone charge in A location(relevant location) and the flexibility between the distance of A location and B location are negative values, while the flexibility of other explanatory variables is represented in a positive value. This means that the long distance call numbers from A location to B location are in inverse proportion against the phone charge(call price index) of A location and against the distance between A location and the distance of other locations except A location, while they are in direct proportion with an average call number per minute from A location to other locations except A location, and also with subscription numbers of A location, other subscribers in locations other than A location, and the total expenditures of A location.