• Korean System Dynamics Review
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.49-66
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• 2007

Due to criminal aspects spreading nation wide, their intelligence level increasing and becoming digitalized, the citizens' interest in and desire for crime security have increased. Until now, the preceding researches have been focused on finding the specific variables that have direct effects on the demand for police manpower through regression analysis and attempted to predict number of needs. However, there have never been any researches producing the accurate number of demands for crimes and human resources needed for each work load. Therefore, this research have analyzed each police station functions by interviewing the persons in charge and selected the main duty for each functions. From this, by using the method of system dynamics, this research was able to predict the standard number of manpower needed for each police station functions. Also, by making a model for each 235 police stations, the best efficient employment plan for police stations and district agencies have been further discussed based on the computer simulation results.

• Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.171-188
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• 2020

The Coronavirus disease (COVID-19), first identified in China in December 2019, has widely spread worldwide and is an ongoing pandemic. It is expected that the ripple effect of COVID-19 on the global economy including the agricultural sector will increase substantially if not properly controlled shortly. This study examines the potential impact of COVID-19 on the Korean beef cattle sector and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle using a dynamic partial equilibrium model. The agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming pessimistic GDP growth rate (-1.2% in 2020) with no direct supply shocks fell by up to 4.00% and 0.67%, respectively, compared to the baseline which represents the future without COVID-19 outbreak. On the other hand, the agricultural production value and farm labor demand for Korean beef cattle in the scenario assuming both pessimistic GDP growth rate and supply shocks (-12.7% beef imports and + 2.4% feed cost in 2020) increased by up to 12.08% and 1.99%, respectively, compared to the baseline.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2004.06a
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• pp.386-391
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• 2004

일반적으로 철도수요를 추정할 때에는 매표실적에 근거한 직접수요모형(Direct Demand Model)을 많이 사용하여왔다. 고속철도가 2004년 4월 개통됨으로써 실행된 수요가 나옴에 따라 이를 이용하여 KTX와 일반철도를 고려한 직접수요모형의 작성이 가능하게 되었다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 고속철도 운행 전${\cdot}$후의 실제수요를 이용하여 고속철도 개통 전${\cdot}$후의 직접수요모형을 추정하여보았다. 모형에 사용되는 변수로는 철도서비스, 사회경제지표 등을 사용하였다. 그 중 철도서비스, 즉 운행시간, 운행빈도, 운임 등을 집중적으로 사용하여 모형을 작성하였다. 이렇게 작성된 모형은 KTX와 일반철도, 일반철도 등급간에서 철도서비스 변수의 기여를 명시적으로 제시해준다. 개발된 모형을 이용하여 KTX 및 일반철도의 운행방향에 대하여 검토하였다.

• Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.483-499
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• 2009

This research is to establish a theme-type organic edu-farm model and provide ways to practically apply it so as to vitalize urban-rural exchange through the emerging concept of green tourism. This research also traces the practical development of organic edu-farm programs. Organic edu-farm(OEF) should be some of the ideas to develop organic agriculture resources according to the local features, and learn by direct and actual experience a life of organic farm. A few policy suggestions to put OEF model in practical use are proposed. What the state needs to do through direct involvement are to put efforts at demand expansion on organic farm products, to clean and beautify the green rural environmental settings, to build more urban-rural exchange facilities. What is more important, however, is financial support, to create the network and to develop program contents for each OEF operation unit. The OEF model proposed in this research will be applied as a relevant reference in planning and realizing sustainable green tourism at the village level.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.14 no.spc
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• pp.1232-1255
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• 2011

This paper proposes a model for demand forecasting that will require less effort in the process of utilizing the new product diffusion model while also allowing for more objective and timely application. Drawing upon the theoretical foundation provided by the hype cycle model and the consumer adoption model, this proposed model makes it possible to estimate the maximum market potential based solely on bibliometrics and the scale of the early market, thereby presenting a method for supplying the major parameters required for the Bass model. Upon analyzing the forecasting ability of this model by applying it to the case of the hybrid car market, the model was confirmed to be capable of successfully forecasting results similar in scale to the market potential deduced through various other objective sources of information, thus underscoring the potentials of utilizing this model. Moreover, even the hype cycle or the life cycle can be estimated through direct linkage with bibliometrics and the Bass model. In cases where the hype cycles of other models have been observed, the forecasting ability of this model was demonstrated through simple case studies. Since this proposed model yields a maximum market potential that can also be applied directly to other growth curve models, the model presented in the following paper provides new directions in the endeavor to forecast technology diffusion and identify promising technologies through bibliometrics.

• Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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• v.8 no.4
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• pp.109-124
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• 1999

The major objective of this research is to design and build the variable structure DEVS modeling & simulation framework. To do this, we have proposed the direct message passing mechanism between the model and its simulator to deal with the structural demand from the model during the simulation. In this approach, four types of basic messages are introduced for the vertical(creation/deletion of the child) and horizontal(creation/deletion of the brother) structural changes. Proposed methodology has been successfully applied to the multi-processor system and the forest fire information system.

• Membrane and Water Treatment
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• v.9 no.6
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• pp.455-462
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• 2018

The measurement and monitoring of the biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) play an important role in the planning and operation of wastewater treatment plants. The most basic method for determining biochemical oxygen demand is direct measurement. However, this method is both expensive and takes a long time. A five-day period is required to determine the biochemical oxygen demand. This study has been carried out in a wastewater treatment plant in Turkey (Hurma WWTP) in order to estimate the biochemical oxygen demand a shorter time and with a lower cost. Estimation was performed using artificial neural network (ANN) method. There are three different methods in the training of artificial neural networks, respectively, multi-layered (ML-ANN), teaching learning based algorithm (TLBO-ANN) and artificial bee colony algorithm (ABC-ANN). The input flow (Q), wastewater temperature (t), pH, chemical oxygen demand (COD), suspended sediment (SS), total phosphorus (tP), total nitrogen (tN), and electrical conductivity of wastewater (EC) are used as the input parameters to estimate the BOD. The root mean squared error (RMSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) values were used in evaluating performance criteria for each model. As a result of the general evaluation, the ML-ANN method provided the best estimation results both training and test series with 0.8924 and 0.8442 determination coefficient, respectively.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Food Culture
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• v.23 no.4
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• pp.421-426
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• 2008

The purpose of this study was to measure the effects of trust, knowledge, optimism, risk and benefits on consumer attitudes toward genetically modified foods. A total of 326 questionnaires were completed. Moderated regression analysis was used to measure the relationships among the variables. The analysis results for the data indicated a good model fit in Model 2 rather than Model 1, in which the direct effects of trust, optimism and benefits had statistically significant direct effects on the respondents' attitudes toward genetically modified foods, while the direct effects of knowledge and risk were not statistically significant. As expected, the interaction term of risk and benefit had a significant effect on consumer attitude. Moreover, the effect of risk on consumer's attitude toward genetically modified foods was statistically significant at all levels of benefit, except at the lower benefit level. Finally, the results of this study indicated that genetically modified food developers and marketers should attach importance to the interaction effect of benefits to understand the elements of market demand and customer loyalty.

• Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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• v.16 no.4
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• pp.697-702
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• 2012

With an elevator supply and demand increases, It has been enlarged various requirements for the safety of the elevator. Elevator safety requirements can be the ability to respond to emergencies quickly. Recently, QR code was attached to all elevator for the elevator safety and it is established by law for the Elevator rescue work. And also the elevator system is seeking to utilize more secure elevator with mandatory installation of CCTV and direct call devices. However, CCTV and direct call service is operating on an individual method and it has not been proposed integrated model. In this paper, we propose the safety elevator integration model with CCTV, direct call service and remote control based on smart phone. Using the proposed model, we can be improved the efficiency of maintenance and ability of prompt action in the event of a disaster.

• Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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• v.1 no.3
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• pp.374-385
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• 1998

This study is estimates telephone service demand based on empirical studies of telecommunication service demand model. First, the telephone charge(call price index) by each location and subscription fee bring about a negative effect to telephone distribution rate: while the other explanatory variables bring about a positive effect. Second, the flexibility of telephone charge in A location(relevant location) and the flexibility between the distance of A location and B location are negative values, while the flexibility of other explanatory variables is represented in a positive value. This means that the long distance call numbers from A location to B location are in inverse proportion against the phone charge(call price index) of A location and against the distance between A location and the distance of other locations except A location, while they are in direct proportion with an average call number per minute from A location to other locations except A location, and also with subscription numbers of A location, other subscribers in locations other than A location, and the total expenditures of A location.