• 제목/요약/키워드: Demand Analysis

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공적분분석을 이용한 우리나라 수산물 수입함수 추정 (An Estimation of Korea's Import Demand Function for Fisheries Using Cointegration Analysis)

  • 김기수;김우경
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.97-110
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    • 1998
  • This paper tries to estimate Korea's import demand function for fisheries using cointegration analysis. The estimation function consists of one dependent variable-import quantity of fisheries(FTIW) and two independent variables-relative price(RP) between importable and domestic products and real income(GDP). As it has been empirically found out that almost all of time series of macro-variables such as GDP, price index are nonstationary, existing studies which ignore this fact need to be reexamined. Conventional econometric method can not analyze nonstationary time series in level. To perform the analysis, time series should be differenciated until stationarity is guaranteed. Unfortunately, the difference method removes the long run element of data, and so leads to difficulties of interpretation. But according to new developed econometric theory, cointegration approach could solve these problems. Therefore this paper proceeds the estimation on the basis of cointegration analysis, because the quartly variables from 1988 to 1997 used in the model is found out to be nonstationary. The estimation results show that all of the variables are statistically significant. Therefore Korea's import demand for fisheries has been strongly affected by the variation of real income and the relative price.

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중학교 수학 교과서에 제시된 기하영역의 수학 과제 분석 (An analysis of mathematical tasks in the middle school geometry)

  • 권지현;김구연
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.111-128
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to examine and analyze the cognitive demand of the mathematical tasks suggested in the middle school textbooks. In particular, it aimed to reveal the overall picture of the level of cognitive demand of the mathematical tasks in the strand of geometry in the textbooks. We adopted the framework for mathematical task analysis suggested by Stein & Smith(1998) and analyzed the mathematical tasks accordingly. The findings from the analysis showed that 95 percent of the mathematical tasks were at high level and the rest at low level in terms of cognitive demand. Most of the mathematical tasks in the textbooks were algorithmic and focused on producing correct answers by using procedures. In particular, the high level tasks were presented at the end of each chapter or unit for wrap up rather than as key resources.

Energy Balance Flow 구축에 의한 에너지효율향상 효과분석 (Effect Analysis on Energy Efficiency Improvement for Establishing Energy Balance Flow)

  • 김용하;조현미;신형철;김형중;우성민;김영길
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2011년도 제42회 하계학술대회
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    • pp.679-680
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    • 2011
  • This paper is developed to Energy Balance Flow show the flow of total energy resource be used nationally. The Energy Balance Flow is applicable of demand management factor through the analysis of foreign energy model of supply and demand and energy statistic data in the country. This study is based on and developed to Energy system management model is able to appraisal efficient of energy cost cutting, CO2 emission reduction and Energy saving at the national level calculated effect reached amount of primary energy to change of energy flow followed application of demand side management factor is able to appraisal quantitatively at the total energy to model of demand and supply.

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농업용 저수지 관개 취약성 특성 곡선 산정 (Evaluation of Irrigation Vulnerability Characteristic Curves in Agricultural Reservoir)

  • 남원호;김태곤;최진용;김한중
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권6호
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    • pp.39-44
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    • 2012
  • Water supply capacity and operational capability in agricultural reservoirs are expressed differently in the limited storage due to seasonal and local variation of precipitation. Since agricultural water supply and demand basically assumes the uncertainty of hydrological phenomena, it is necessary to improve probabilistic approach for potential risk assessment of water supply capacity in reservoir for enhanced operational storage management. Here, it was introduced the irrigation vulnerability characteristic curves to represent the water supply capacity corresponding to probability distribution of the water demand from the paddy field and water supply in agricultural reservoir. Irrigation vulnerability probability was formulated using reliability analysis method based on water supply and demand probability distribution. The lower duration of irrigation vulnerability probability defined as the time period requiring intensive water management, and it will be considered to assessment tools as a risk mitigated water supply planning in decision making with a limited reservoir storage.

설문조사를 통한 신규 통신서비스의 수요예측 방안

  • 김지표;홍정식;안재경;강원철;이병철;한권훈
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 1998년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.245-248
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    • 1998
  • In this paper, as a forecasting method, the market survey for forecasting demand is introduced for the estimation of subscriber line demand in the optical access networks. The market survey method for the new multimedia services is attempted to collect information directly from customers using the questionnaires for home-users and business-users in local loops. Analysis rationale of questionnaires is suggested to estimate the number of subscriber lines. Also, two measures are presented to quantify the credibility on survey responses; one is the probability that the customer will use the multimedia services and the other is the rate that the subscriber line demand will be actually realized. The former measure is calculated based on the information on customers and the Logit analysis. The latter is obtained by the degree of customer's knowledge about specific services and the customer's willingness to use the services. Based on the values of two measures, the number of subscriber line demand can be developed for installing the optical access networks.

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도시가계의 주류 소비지출 분석 (A System-wide analysis of Korean urban households' alcoholic demand)

  • 김원년
    • 한국인구학
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.271-291
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    • 2002
  • 도시가구의 원시자료를 활용하여 가구의 인구학적 특성을 감안한 수요체계의 추정을 통한 수요탄력성을 산출한 결과 주류소비의 총지출 탄력성은 0.71 정도로 비교적 필수적인 지출항목으로 판명되었다. 한편 가격탄력성은 기간중 평균 1.93으로 주류소비는 가격에 매우 탄력적이며 그 추세는 최근에 들어 보다 더욱 탄력적으로 변하는 경향이 확인되었다.

최대전력관리장치 보급확대를 위한 수요관리 프로그램 개발 (DSM Program of Domestic Diffusion for Demand Controller)

  • 이학주;이한별;박재덕;금병선
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2005년도 학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.345-347
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    • 2005
  • The electric demands increase, financial need for new power plant constructions and environmental problem have led to search for more efficient energy production and load management. To minimize the construction of power plants and reduce total power consumption include installation of demand controller to industrial applications. Accordingly to maximize the load control by the diffusion of demand controller, govermental economic supports as well as the analysis of energy saving effects. This paper presents the cost-effectiveness analysis for DSM program evaluation and case study to analyze demand controller DSM program.

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수요반응자원이 포함된 전력시장의 쿠르노 경쟁모형 해석 (Analysis of Cournot Model of Electricity Market with Demand Response)

  • 이광호
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권1호
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2017
  • In order to reduce costs of electricity energy at periods of peak demand, there has been an exponential interest in Demand Response (DR). This paper discusses the effect on the participants' behavior in response to DR. Under the assumption of perfect competition, the equilibrium point of the electricity market with DR is derived by modeling a DR curve, which is suitable for microeconomic analysis. Cournot model is used to analyze the electricity market of imperfect competition that includes strategic behavior of the generation companies. Strategic behavior with DR makes it harder to compute equilibrium point due to the non-differential function of payoff distribution. This paper presents a solution method for achieving the equilibrium point using the best response function of the strategic players. The effect of DR on the electricity market is illustrated using a test system.

Preferences for Supercomputer Resources Using the Logit Model

  • Hyungwook Shim;Jaegyoon Hahm
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2023
  • Public research, which requires large computational resources, utilizes the supercomputers of the National Supercomputing Center in the Republic of Korea. The average utilization rate of resources over the past three years reached 80%. Therefore, to ensure the operational stability of this national infrastructure, specialized centers have been established to distribute the computational demand concentrated in the national centers. It is necessary to predict the computational demand accurately to build an appropriate resource scale. Therefore, it is important to estimate the inflow and outflow of computational demand between the national and specialized centers to size the resources required to construct specialized centers. We conducted a logit model analysis using the probabilistic utility theory to derive the preferences of individual users for future supercomputer resources. This analysis shows that the computational demand share of specialized centers is 59.5%, which exceeds the resource utilization plan of existing specialized centers.

투광형 박막 BIPV 창호 적용에 따른 냉난방 및 조명 부하 저감에 관한 연구 (A Study on Analysis for Energy Demand of the Heating, Cooling and Lighting in Office Building with Transparent Thin-film a-Si BIPV Window)

  • 윤종호;안영섭;박장우;김빛나
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.91-96
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the annual energy demand including heating, cooling and lighting according to kind of windows with transparent thin-film a-Si Building Integrated Photovoltaic(a-Si BIPV) for office building. The analysis results of the annual energy demand indicated that the a-si BIPV window was reduced by 8.4% than the clear gazing window. The base model A was combinate with a-Si BIPV window area of 67% and clear window area of 33% among the total exterior area. The model B is to be applied with low-e clear glass instead of clear glass of the base model A. The model B was reduced to annual energy demand of 1% more than the model A. Therefore, By using a-si BIPV solar module, the cooling energy demand can be reduced by 53%(3.4MWh) and the heating energy demand can be increase by 58%(2.4MWh) than clear glazing window in office building. Also, Model C applied to the high efficient lighting device to the model B was reduced to annual energy demand of 14.4% more than the Model D applied to the high efficient lighting device to the model A. The Model E applied with daylight dimming control system to the Model C was reduced to annual energy demand of 5.9% more than Model C.