• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.127-142
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• 2004

Feedback loop dominance is a key concept to understand structural driving forces of system behavior. In this paper, we propose two kinds of shifts in dominant feedback loops: continuous shifts (CS) and discrete shifts (DS). With the help of questionnaires, we verified three hypotheses regarding cognitive biases in perceiving the shifts in dominant feedback loops: 1) failure in perceiving continuous shifts, 2) tendency of decision making based on discrete shifts, and 3) different perception on the dominant feedback loops between level variables and rate variables. We discussed the implication of these cognitive biases on time delay and timing strategy in decision-making processes.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2016년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.156-157
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• 2016

Construction projects have shown a dramatic increase in size and complexity during the recent years that precise management has been recognized as one of key factors leading the project to success. It has been investigated that management in construction sites is generally done based on the experience of site engineers. Such experience based decision making lacks reliability that could bring disastrous results such as delay and cost overruns. The purpose of this study is to suggest a process progress pattern analysis method that is expected to be used as an objective reference for site managers to aid the decision making done regarding process progress management.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제47권3호
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• pp.362-379
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• 2015

In this study, Nuclear Power Plant (NPP) construction schedule delay risk assessment methodology is developed and the construction delay risk is assessed for turnkey international NPP projects. Three levels of delay factors were selected through literature review and discussions with nuclear industry experts. A questionnaire survey was conducted on the basis of an analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and Relative Importance Index (RII) methods and the schedule delay risk is assessed qualitatively and quantitatively by severity and frequency of occurrence of delay factors. This study assigns four main delay factors to the first level: main contractor, utility, regulatory authority, and financial and country factor. The second and the third levels are designed with 12 sub-factors and 32 sub-sub-factors, respectively. This study finds the top five most important sub-sub-factors, which are as follows: policy changes, political instability and public intervention; uncompromising regulatory criteria and licensing documents conflicting with existing regulations; robust design document review procedures; redesign due to errors in design and design changes; and worldwide shortage of qualified and experienced nuclear specific equipment manufacturers. The proposed combined AHP-RII methodology is capable of assessing delay risk effectively and efficiently. Decision makers can apply risk informed decision making to avoid unexpected construction delays of NPPs.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제17권1호
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• pp.66-71
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• 2007

급속도로 변화하는 환경에 적응하고 환경의 변화에 대한 신속한 응답능력을 향상시키고, 에이전트간 의사결정의 지속시간을 줄이기 위하여, 사용자의 선호도와 선택(alternative)의 유도가 요구된다. 본 논문에서는 사회적(Pareto) 최적성이라는 관점에서 에이전트들이 제안한 해를 가지고 퍼지 의사결정에 기반한 멀티에이전트의 효율적인 조정방안을 제안한다. 이 방법은 가중치를 사용하여 최적의 선택을 생성하고 승자 에이전트의 속성 중요도를 계산한 다음 속성들의 우선순위를 나타냈다. 그리고 기존의 방법과 가중치를 사용한 방법을 분석해보았다.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제11권3호
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• pp.43-54
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• 2010

최근 증가하고 있는 도시환경정비사업, 재개발 사업 등과 같이 민 관이 함께 주관시행주체로서 참여하는 도시재생사업은 관리영역 혹은 주관주체에 따라 다수의 독립된 프로젝트로 구분할 수 있으며 각 프로젝트는 고유의 업무 프로세스에 의해 수행된다. 다수의 프로젝트가 병행 혹은 순차적으로 진행됨에 따라 프로그램 거버넌스 개념이 적용된 관리방안으로써 사업단 계별 검토와 협의가 요구되는 지점(Gate)을 시행주체와 다수의 참여자가 공통으로 인지하고 프로젝트의 특성을 반영하여 설정하는 것이 중요하다. 또한 사업단계별 이해관계자의 역할과 책임이 규정되고 의사결정을 위한 객관적인 필요정보가 공유될 수 있을 때 신뢰가 형성되며 결국 이해관계자간의 상충구도에서 협력구도로의 전환을 기대할 수 있을 것이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 도시재생사업과 같은 메가프로젝트(Mega Project)의 시행주체가 사업관리를 효과적으로 수행할 수 있도록 사업단계별 주요 의사결정 지원도구로서 게이트웨이 리뷰(Gateway Review) 체계 구축을 제시한다.

• 감성과학
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.293-304
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• 2013

Procrastination is an irrational choice to delay high-priority work in order to avoid its unpleasantness, despite the fact that the negativity will not cease if the work still remains undone. We hypothesized that (1) people underestimate the future negativity (i.e., delay neutralization) and (2) in order to complete work in a timely manner, one should project oneself into the future so as to recognize that the negativity associated with an activity does not diminish over time. Especially, negative future thinking that is unrelated to the consequence was hypothesized to reduce delay neutralization of negativity. In the present study, undergraduate students made a series of choices between delayed-but-longer and immediate-but-shorter assignment by employing an inter-temporal choice paradigm. We tracked how positive and negative episodic future thinking influenced the degree to which negativity is neutralized over time (Experiment 1). Following this, we confined the experimental condition to negative thinking about the future (Experiment 2). Participants neutralized negativity involved in assignment as a function of time, suggesting that procrastination arises from the delay neutralization of the negativity. Critically, such neutralization was significantly reduced when participants imagined a negative future event, but this did not occur when they imagined a positive future event (Experiment 1), or when participants did not think about the future (Experiment 1, 2). Our findings suggest that, prior to making a decision between work and indulgence, imagining negative future events can be an effective way to reduce the neutralization of delayed negativity and, in turn, procrastination.

• 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.25-33
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• 2020

Multipath routing protocols with unmanned aerial vehicles have been proposed to improve reliability in tactical ad hoc networks. Most of existing studies tend to establish the paths with multiple metrics. However, these approaches suffer from link loss and congestion problems according to the network condition because they apply same metric for both ground and air path or employ the simple weight value to combine multiple metrics. To overcome this limitation, in this study, we propose new routing metrics for path over unmanned aerial vehicles and use the multi-criteria decision making (MCDM) method to determine the weight factors between multiple metrics. For the case studies, we extend the ad-hoc on-demand distance vector protocol and propose a strategy for modifying the route discovery and route recovery procedure. The simulation results show that the proposed mechanism is able to achieve high end-to-end reliability and low end-to-end delay in tactical ad hoc networks.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2015년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회
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• pp.119-120
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• 2015

Appropriate management of the finish works in construction project is one of most important activities that must be conducted considering the total duration of the project. Masonry work is a fundamental process that is performed in the preliminary steps of finish works. However, it has been investigated that the analysis of delay factors affecting masonry work has been neglected in the domestic construction site. Therefore, this study deducts delay factors affecting masonry work by literature review and survey on site engineers and labors. This study has been conducted as a preliminary step of developing a construction project interference management system which is expected to suggest objective information for the decision making in construction sites.

• 한국건축시공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국건축시공학회 2009년도 춘계 학술논문 발표대회 학계
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• pp.185-188
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• 2009

Recently clients requirements and social requirements are complex and large sized in construction projects. Futhermore, processes and steps are more complexed than before. Unsuitable reflection of clients brings mistaken opinions. A phase of middle change makes delay and change. It brings problems of waste expense and time. 80, first stage of planning and schematic design processes have to reflect of clients opinion actively. by increasing of constructions project competitiveness. Recently, BIM(Building Information Modeling is being researched frequently. Through visualization of information proceed step by step and it helps cognition of adapting information. 80, this paper finds and suggests solution of reflecting clients opinion and requirements and non professional clients and positively support of client participation watching based on BIM.

• 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한안전경영과학회 2007년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.73-80
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• 2007

Recently, the strategy of the age of limitless competition for existence of manufacturing company appears for the enhancement of productivity through the automatic system, the reduction for the cost for standardization and the decision making process for the information system. Especially the critical success factors in manufacturing company can be summarized for the establishment of production visibility through the production management, material & work-in-process management, the establish of the flexible manufacturing system for the changed order priority and the establish of the quality system for improvement of product and process quality. The existing production management systems supply only simple information about production results on real time, can delay quick decision making. And it can prevent acquiring the information about various customer needs and the communication problems with other systems. In this paper, it will show MES system, a solution for the problems of existing production management systems. And through a case study of D company, it will reveal improvement effect on shipment error using MES system and economic analysis for MES itself.