• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision theory

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Medical Newcomb Problem and Causal Decision Theory (의학의 뉴컴 문제와 인과적 결정 이론)

  • Yeo, Yeong-Seo
    • Korean Journal of Logic
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.89-114
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    • 2009
  • We have many causal beliefs, and they play an important role in our decision making. Unlike evidential decision theory, causal decision theory claims that an account of rational choice must use causal beliefs to identify the considerations that make a choice rational. I claim that evidential decision theory is refuted by the original Newcomb's problem but not by the medical Newcomb problem. The latter is taken to be the best example to point out the weakness of evidential decision theory. However, by the explicit statement about causal relations, I argue that the medical Newcomb problem loses its strength in refuting evidential decision theory. With this argument, this paper clarifies the difference between evidential decision theory and causal decision theory.

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Research on Decision Making and Marital power Structure (의사결정과 권력구조에 관한 이론적 고찰)

  • 이정우;장병옥
    • Journal of Families and Better Life
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.177-189
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    • 1987
  • The Purpose of this study is to present basic data for the more reasonable and successful home management through understanding decision-making pattern that is the degree of their participation in the decision-making and their joint decision-making. Also, this study is the preliminary research for more scientific and wider studies on the Decision-Making and Marital Power Structure in Korea. This study make investigation into decision-making and marital power which is published on the Journal of Korean home Economics Association and the Journal of Korean Home Management Association and thesis for a degree form 1960's to 1987. As a result, the higher wife's age, education level are the more their participation, The increase of the wife's participation in the decision-Making can be regarded as the affirmative phenomenon in the decision-making can be regarded as the affirmative phenomenon that their status are raised in home management and joint decision are carried out. In 1970's, not only the generalization of the empirical studies have been increased but also the general theories(resource theory, exchange theory, system theory ) have been developed.

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Fuzzy Sets and Decision Marking in Nuclear Science

  • Ruan, D.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1058-1061
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    • 1993
  • Fuzzy set theory has been extensively researched in various fields of engineering. In nuclear science, a significant influence of fuzzy sets can be noticed. However, applications of fuzzy set theory to nuclear engineering is novel. In this paper, we start with a basic statement of the decision-making process based on fuzzy set theory, and then apply it to nuclear science with some practical applications (a fuzzy decision making in an accidental release to the atmosphere as well as in a problem of land suitability classification). We believe that the use of fuzzy set theory in nuclear science has potential advantages.

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Potential-based Reinforcement Learning Combined with Case-based Decision Theory (사례 기반 결정 이론을 융합한 포텐셜 기반 강화 학습)

  • Kim, Eun-Sun;Chang, Hyeong-Soo
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.15 no.12
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    • pp.978-982
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    • 2009
  • This paper proposes a potential-based reinforcement learning, called "RLs-CBDT", which combines multiple RL agents and case-base decision theory designed for decision making in uncertain environment as an expert knowledge in RL. We empirically show that RLs-CBDT converges to an optimal policy faster than pre-existing RL algorithms through a Tetris experiment.

Prospect Theory based NPC Decision Making Model on Dynamic Terrain Analysis (동적 지형분석에서의 전망이론 기반 NPC 의사결정 모델)

  • Lee, Dong Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose a NPC decision making model based on Prospect Theory which tries to model real-life choice, rather than optimal decision. For this purpose, we analyse the problems of reference point setting, diminishing sensitivity and loss aversion which are known as limitations of the utility theory and then apply these characteristics into the decision making in game. Dynamic Terrain Analysis is utilized to evaluate the proposed model and experimental result shows the method have effects on inducing diverse personality and emergent behavior on NPC.

Decision making for Shipping Network based on Adaptive Cumulative Prospect Theory

  • Pham Thi Yen;Nguyen Phung Hung;Truong Ngoc Cuong;Hwan-Seong Kim
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 2023.05a
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    • pp.256-257
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    • 2023
  • This paper aims to propose optimal method to assess and cumulate the daily profit for liner shipping to support the shipping lines in making optimal decision with the highest average daily profit. This paper not only explains the actual calculated results align with decision-makers' behavior from concepts indicated in cumulative prospect theory but also contributes to an easy-to-apply method for liner shipping network predictability in and provides optimal decision-making is helpful for shipping managers for the best effective selection of the most appropriate alternative under uncertainties.

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Decision-Making of Determining the Start Time of Charging / Discharging of Electrical Vehicle Based on Prospect Theory

  • Liu, Lian;Lyu, Xiang;Jiang, Chuanwen;Xie, Da
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.803-811
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    • 2014
  • The moment when Electrical Vehicle (EV) starts charging or discharging is one of the most important parameters in estimating the impact of EV load on the grid. In this paper, a decision-making problem of determining the start time of charging and discharging during allowed period is proposed and studied under the uncertainty of real-time price. Prospect theory is utilized in the decision-making problem of this paper for it describes a kind of decision making behaviors under uncertainty. The case study uses the parameters of Springo SGM7001EV and adopts the historical realtime locational marginal pricing (LMP) data of PJM market for scenario reduction. Prospect values are calculated for every possible start time in the allowed charging or discharging period. By comparing the calculated prospect values, the optimal decisions are obtained accordingly and the results are compared with those based on Expected Utility Theory. Results show that with different initial State-of-Charge ($SoC_0$) and different reference points, the optimal start time of charging can be the one between 12 a.m. to 3 a.m. and optimal discharging starts at 2 p.m. or 3p.m. Moreover, the decision results of Prospect Theory may differ from that of the Expected Utility Theory with the reference points changing.

The Financial Behavior of Investment Decision Making Between Real and Financial Assets Sectors

  • HALA, Yusriadi;ABDULLAH, Muhammad Wahyuddin;ANDAYANI, Wuryan;ILYAS, Gunawan Bata;AKOB, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.635-645
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    • 2020
  • This research was conducted to achieve several objectives and focus research was based on financial behavior theory and prospect theory as grounded theory e.g., investigate the financial decision-making behavior between financial and real assets investment, and confirm the relationship existing between herding behavior and overconfidence factors to the level of loss and regret aversion, and financial literacy into real assets investment decisions. The study used 220 real estate auction respondents as investor samples at the State Assets and Auction Service Office Makassar, South Sulawesi, Indonesia. Data was collected through the use of a questionnaire consisting of 23 questions to measure the variables. Moreover, the research data passed through several feasibility tests like the inner and outer modeling by Partial Least Square - Structural equation model (PLS-SEM) while the hypotheses formulated were also tested to determine the magnitude of the variable relationship. Through the use of the direct and intervening test, loss and regret aversion variables have a positive and significant effect while financial literacy variables have no significant effect. There is a slight difference in the decision-making process for real assets and financial assets investors. Investment decision making behavior in the financial assets sector requires less complicated decisions compared to the decisions related to real assets investments.

A Study on the Perception of Equity & the Decision-Making Styles: Application of Summated/Global Measure (도시 주부의 공평성 인지와 의사결정 유형에 관한 연구: 합산적/총체적 측정방법의 적용)

  • 이정우;강기연
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.41-54
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    • 2000
  • While equity theory started as a theory focusing upon the relationship between employee and employer, over the years the theory has been expanded to various other types of relationships including marital relationships. The present research among 251 housewives examines the perception of equity and the decision-making styles from the perspective of equity theory. The perception of equity was measured by the revised TUW scales and the Walster's global measure. Also, decision-making styles was assessed by means of the 'final-say' scale In line with the predictions, the results clearly showed that the perception of equity was a strong predictor variable to the joint decision-making.

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Determination of the Input/Output Relations and Rule Generation for Fuzzy Combustion Control System of Refuse Incinerator using Rough Set Theory (Rough Set 이론을 이용한 쓰레기 소각로의 퍼지제어 시스템을 위한 입출력 관계 설정 및 규칙 생성)

  • 방원철;변증남
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1997.11a
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    • pp.81-86
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    • 1997
  • It is proposed, for fuzzy combustion control system of refuse incinerator to find the relationship between inputs and outputs and to generate rules to control by using rough set theory. It is not easy to find out the corresponding inputs for each output and the control rules with incomplete or imprecise information consisting expert knowledge, process and manipulator values in the field, and operation manual for the given system. Most decision problems can be formulated employing decision table formalism. A decision table on fuzzy combustion control system for refuse incinerator is simplified and produces control(rules). The I/O realtions and the control rules found by rough set theory are compared with the previous result.

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