• Title/Summary/Keyword: Decision Methods

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A Study on the Measurement of Technological Impact using Citation Analysis of Patent Information (특허정보분석을 이용한 기술파급효과 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi;Lee, Yong-Ho;Won, Dong-Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.687-705
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    • 2007
  • Nowadays it is more important to measure the technological impact of a concerned R&D technology on others, when deciding or selecting strategically, under the environment such as more complex, more uncertain and more costly. But there was very few of proper methods to measure quantitatively. So we studied on measuring the technological impact of one group of technologies on others, which means the flow of disembodied knowledge, using patent citation analysis. We reviewed the prior art of the measurement of technological impact, and designs the effective citation analysis method using patent information, analyzing the prior art of patent citation analysis method and ie index. Finally, we developed the disembodied knowledge flow matrix between technology groups, counting citation frequencies between them, using KISTI's US patent database(USPA) and the index to represent the technological impact to others using the developed matrix as well as the intrinsic nature of the technological groups clustering by network analysis. The results of this study is to present the insight of a technological impact on the others quantitatively and this study aims at using them to refer to R&D budgeting and decision making in case of R&D planning or to the basic information to understand technology conversion or fusion.

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Framework for Technology Valuation of Early Stage Technologies (초기단계 기술의 가치평가 방법론 적용 프레임워크)

  • Park, Hyun-Woo;Lee, Jong-Taik
    • Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.242-261
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    • 2012
  • Early stages of technology valuation have been often overlooked or under-represented. The early stage technologies are even riskier due to their inadequacy of commercial development and market applicability. More than 95% of patents fail to earn any revenues so that the majority of patents were valueless. Technology transfers from laboratories at universities and research institutes to industrial firms have increased to acquire value from invented technologies. Technology transfer, a process of transferring discoveries and innovations resulted from research to commercial sectors, typically comprises several steps: disclosing the discoveries and innovations, i.e., intellectual property (IP), evaluating the IP's economic prospects, securing a patent, copyright or trademark for the IP, commercializing the technology through licensing, forming a joint venture, or selling. At each of those stages in the research and development of technology, the value of technology would play a very important role of making decision on the movement toward the next step, however, the financial value of technology is not easy to determine due to a great amount of uncertainty in the course of research and development, and commercialization. This paper refers to technology embodied as devices, equipment, software or processes primarily developed at public research institutions such as universities. Sometimes it is also as the result of externally financed projects contracted with industry. Nearly always technology developed at public research entities results in laboratory prototypes. When it is required to define the technology transfer contract terms for the license of the university patrimonial rights to external funding companies or other interested parties, a question arises: what is the monetary value? In this paper, we present a method for technology valuation based on the identification of specific value points related to its development. The final technology value must be within previously defined value limits. This paper consists of the review of issues related to technology transfer and commercialization, the identification of characteristics of technologies in the early stage of technology development, the formulation of framework of methods to value the early stage technologies, and the conclusion and implication of the previous review.

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A Study on the Criteria Establishment for One-way road using AHP (AHP분석을 활용한 일방통행 선정기준 정립에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Je Jin;Kim, Min Chul;Kim, Jae Gon;Ha, Tae Jun
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.39-49
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    • 2017
  • Standards suitable for local conditions on deciding one-way road are desperately required to solve traffic congestions at the backside roads in the old downtown areas which were not designated as a road by urban planning. Therefore, this study intends to re-establish a standard to decide one-way road which is regarded to be of the greatest effect among traffic system control methods in order to control one-way road system more efficiently. Also, this paper suggests a standard for such decision to improve efficiency of using backside roads and expand designation of one-way road. AHP (analytic hierarchy process) was carried out among the traffic experts to find out the factors to decide one-way road system. Its result reveals that importance of causing accident to walking quantity and traffic was high. 10,000 cases out of all the possible scenarios of accident by combining detailed evaluation items and scales were extracted to draw the outcomes of analyzing the scenarios, which were schematized in a graph. As a result, division by three sections of point of inflection was verified into $1{\leq}$ section A<1.91, 1.9$1{\leq}$ section B<2.08, and $2.08{\leq}$ section C<3. In other words, priority of deciding one-way road should be given to section C, the highest total point, while posterior to section A, where relatively low points are distributed. The standard on deciding one-way road suggested in this paper may be used for designating one-way road and basic data to re-establish the relevant system in the future.

Features of Arbitration Rules of Chine se Arbitration Center Across the Straits and Implications of the Establishment of Arbitration Rules of South-North Commercial Arbitration Commission (중국 해협양안 중재센터(海峽兩岸仲裁中心) 중재규칙의 특징과 남북상사중재위원회 중재규칙 제정의 시사점)

  • Yang, Hyo-Ryoung
    • Journal of Arbitration Studies
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.111-135
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    • 2018
  • As the disputes in the investment and civil/commercial sectors of China and Taiwan have increased due to active cross-strait economic exchanges, the Chinese government is addressing cross-strait disputes through various dispute resolution methods. In recent years, the Arbitration Center Across the Straits (ACAS) has been established to resolve disputes between cross-strait parties, while ACAS Arbitration Rules have been enacted and enforced. ACAS Arbitration Rules are prepared by referring to the Arbitration Act of China and Taiwan, the relevant provisions and practices of the China International Economic and Trade Arbitration Commission (CIETAC) Arbitration Rules and the cross-strait practical affairs of the China International Economic and Trade Arbitration Commission, and the cross-strait practical affairs giving consideration to the specificity of the cross-strait relationship and the characteristics of economic and trade disputes. Therefore, this paper has compared the features and main contents of the ACAS Arbitration Rules with those of the CIETAC Arbitration Rules. This refers to arbitration proceedings such as form and effect of arbitration agreement, decision of place of arbitration, and organization of arbitral tribunal; the provision of consolidation of multiple contracts and arbitration, and the provision of joinder of arbitration parties, which are implementing the "principle of party autonomy" with streamlining arbitration proceedings and reducing costs; "common, simple, and small sum arbitration proceedings which require shorter arbitration proceedings depending on the size of the arbitration object; and regulations on the "interconnection of mediation and conciliation" which is characteristic of China's arbitration system. Based on the above-mentioned main contents of the ACAS Arbitration Rules in China, there are some implications to be considered in the establishment of the Arbitration Rules of the South-North Commercial Arbitration Commission which will be applied to solve commercial and investment disputes arising from the Inter-Korean Economic Cooperation process, suggesting implications such as the need for the rapid composition and operation of the South-North Commercial Arbitration Commission, requirements for selecting arbitrators, expansion of the object of arbitration, specification of concreteness in deciding the place of arbitration, need to create a variety of arbitration proceedings, and application plan of the International Center for Settlement of Investment Dispute (ICSID) or Third Power Arbitration Agency.

Study on the Distribution Characteristics of Storm Damage Area : The Case of Gyeonggi-do (수해지 분포 특성에 관한 연구 : 경기도 사례를 중심으로)

  • Kang, Sangjun;Jung, Juchul
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.5D
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2012
  • The main purpose of this study is to address flooding resilient land use management strategy based on the distributional characteristics of storm damage areas in Gyeonggi-do. The employed methods are 1) Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) to understand the spatial patterns of storm damage areas occurred from 2005 to 2009, 2) Local Indicator of Spatial Association (LISA) to examine spatial autocorrelation existed in storm damage areas for the year of 2009. The results show that 1) crop land damage is very sensitive to heavy precipitation, 2) damaged buildings are found in all over the Gyeonggi areas, but relatively more damages are in the regions closed to the City of Seoul, 3) damaged roads-bridges, streams, and reaches are found in mostly rural areas, 4) building and crop land damage occurs mostly in lowlands with different spatial patterns. These findings imply that 1) it will be useful to consider the average distances and slopes of damaged building and crop lands from streams for the decision making of land use management strategy, 2) further management efforts are required in the north, east, and south regions of Gyeonggi areas to prevent roads-bridge, stream, and reach damages, 3) the present land use pattern needs to be carefully investigated by considering the damage clustered areas for the year of 2009 based on watershed and municipality boundaries.

Prognostic Factor Analysis of Overall Survival in Gastric Cancer from Two Phase III Studies of Second-line Ramucirumab (REGARD and RAINBOW) Using Pooled Patient Data

  • Fuchs, Charles S.;Muro, Kei;Tomasek, Jiri;Van Cutsem, Eric;Cho, Jae Yong;Oh, Sang-Cheul;Safran, Howard;Bodoky, Gyorgy;Chau, Ian;Shimada, Yasuhiro;Al-Batran, Salah-Eddin;Passalacqua, Rodolfo;Ohtsu, Atsushi;Emig, Michael;Ferry, David;Chandrawansa, Kumari;Hsu, Yanzhi;Sashegyi, Andreas;Liepa, Astra M.;Wilke, Hansjochen
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.132-144
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: To identify baseline prognostic factors for survival in patients with disease progression, during or after chemotherapy for the treatment of advanced gastric or gastroesophageal junction (GEJ) cancer. Materials and Methods: We pooled data from patients randomized between 2009 and 2012 in 2 phase III, global double-blind studies of ramucirumab for the treatment of advanced gastric or GEJ adenocarcinoma following disease progression on first-line platinum- and/or fluoropyrimidine-containing therapy (REGARD and RAINBOW). Forty-one key baseline clinical and laboratory factors common in both studies were examined. Model building started with covariate screening using univariate Cox models (significance level=0.05). A stepwise multivariable Cox model identified the final prognostic factors (entry+exit significance level=0.01). Cox models were stratified by treatment and geographic region. The process was repeated to identify baseline prognostic quality of life (QoL) parameters. Results: Of 1,020 randomized patients, 953 (93%) patients without any missing covariates were included in the analysis. We identified 12 independent prognostic factors of poor survival: 1) peritoneal metastases; 2) Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) performance score 1; 3) the presence of a primary tumor; 4) time to progression since prior therapy <6 months; 5) poor/unknown tumor differentiation; abnormally low blood levels of 6) albumin, 7) sodium, and/or 8) lymphocytes; and abnormally high blood levels of 9) neutrophils, 10) aspartate aminotransferase (AST), 11) alkaline phosphatase (ALP), and/or 12) lactate dehydrogenase (LDH). Factors were used to devise a 4-tier prognostic index (median overall survival [OS] by risk [months]: high=3.4, moderate=6.4, medium=9.9, and low=14.5; Harrell's C-index=0.66; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64-0.68). Addition of QoL to the model identified patient-reported appetite loss as an independent prognostic factor. Conclusions: The identified prognostic factors and the reported prognostic index may help clinical decision-making, patient stratification, and planning of future clinical studies.

Prognostic Factors and Scoring Systems for Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer Patients Harboring Brain Metastases Treated with Gamma Knife Radiosurgery

  • Eom, Jung-Seop;Cho, Eun-Jung;Baek, Dong-Hoon;Lee, Kyung-Nam;Shin, Kyung-Hwa;Kim, Mi-Hyun;Lee, Kwang-Ha;Kim, Ki-Uk;Park, Hye-Kyung;Kim, Yun-Sung;Park, Soon-Kew;Cha, Seong-Heon;Lee, Min-Ki
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.72 no.1
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    • pp.15-23
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    • 2012
  • Background: The survival of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients with brain metastases is reported to be 3~6 months even with aggressive treatment. Some patients have very short survival after aggressive treatment and reliable prognostic scoring systems for patients with cancer have a strong correlation with outcome, often supporting decision making and treatment recommendations. Methods: A total of one hundred twenty two NSCLC patients with brain metastases who received gamma knife radiosurgery (GKRS) were analyzed. Survival analysis was calculated in all patients for thirteen available prognostic factors and four prognostic scoring systems: score index for radiosurgery (SIR), recursive partitioning analysis (RPA), graded prognostic assessment (GPA), and basic score for brain metastases (BSBM). Results: Age, Karnofsky performance status, largest brain lesion volume, systemic chemotherapy, primary tumor control, and medication of epidermal growth factor receptor tyrosine kinase inhibitor were statistically independent prognostic factors for survival. A multivariate model of SIR and RPA identified significant differences between each group of scores. We found that three-tiered indices such as SIR and RPA are more useful than four-tiered scoring systems (GPA and BSBM). Conclusion: There is little value of RPA class III (most unfavorable group) for the same results of 6-month and 1-year survival rate. Thus, SIR is the most useful index to sort out patients with poorer prognosis. Further prospective trials should be performed to develop a new molecular- and gene-based prognostic index model.

Predictors of Intention to Undergo Mammography among Underutilizers (유방암 검진 미수검자의 검진의도 관련 요인)

  • Kye, Su-Yeon;Park, Kee-Ho;Choi, Kui-Son;Bae, Mi-Jin;Moon, In-Ok;Yun, Young-Ok;Lim, Min-Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Health Education and Promotion
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.75-86
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    • 2009
  • Objectives: To identify the factors associated with the intention to undergo mammography among Korean women without a prior screening experience. Methods: Among 1,039 women of the general population, we selected 145 women (mean age: 54.2 years, age range : 40-78 years) without any prior experience with mammography. They were recruited for the 'Cancer Information Needs Assessment Survey' by using the method of random multi-stage cluster sampling. Data on the socio-demographic characteristics, intention to undergo mammography based on the Precaution Adoption Process Model, level of self belief and self efficacy for breast cancer screening, motivation for decision to undergo breast cancer screening were obtained by conducting a household survey. Results: Of the study subjects, 49.7% were classified as "unengaged" and "decided not to act" regarding breast cancer screening. Women with the intention to undergo mammography were more likely to be younger (OR 0.11, 95%CI 0.04-0.36), to have been recommended to undergo screening by others (OR 3.27, 95%CI 1.36-7.87), to have a high level of perceived sensitivity (OR 3.15, 95%CI 1.27-7.82), and to have a high level of self efficacy (OR 1.09, 95%CI 0.97-1.23). Exposure to campaigns and information regarding breast cancer screening, whether cancer patients are or not in around, perceived severity, perceived benefit, and perceived cost were factors that were not significantly associated with the intention to undergo mammography. Conclusion: It is necessary to develop tailored intervention strategies for women who have never undergone breast cancer screening on the basis of their demographic characteristics and factors that positively influence the intention to undergo mammography.

A Study on High-level FSA for Korean-flagged General Cargo Ships (국적일반화물선 초기안전성평가(High-level FSA) 연구(1))

  • Lee, Jong-Kap;Na, Seong;Kim, Hong-Tae;Kim, Kyoung-Mi
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.213-220
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    • 2010
  • Following the application of Formal Safety Assessment(FSA) to bulk carriers, crude oil tankers and large passenger ships, an urgent need to consider the safety of general cargo ships has recently been raised through the International Maritime Organization(IMO)(IMO, 2006a), and related FSA studies are being carried out by International Association of Classification Societies(IACS) as a preparatory work for the discussion on the issue of general cargo ship safety in the IMO committee. FSA is a structured and systematic methodology which is based on the techniques of risk analysis and cost benefit assessment to assist in the decision-making process, and aims at enhancing maritime safety, including protection of life, health, the marine environment and property. FSA can be used as a tool to facilitate the development of regulatory changes equitable to the various parties, with a view to aiding the achievement of consensus, and to help in the evaluation of new regulations and in making a comparison between existing and possibly improved regulations(IMO, 2007). This study aims at verifying the usefulness of FSA methods as a tool to conduct a safety assessment of general cargo ships flying the Korean flag, and providing useful information on 'the safety of general cargo ships' for IMO committee's discussion on the matter at a future session. FSA comprises five steps, however, steps 1(Hazard identification) and 2 (Risk analysis) from the FSA study for the Korean-flagged general cargo ships are discussed in this paper.

A Study on the Marketing System Construction and Merchandising of Tongyoung Marine Ranching (통영바다목장의 유통체제 구축과 상품화계획에 관한 연구)

  • 강종호;류정곤
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.34 no.2
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    • pp.91-107
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    • 2003
  • Distribution of fish products from Tongyoung Marine ranching can be classified by three routes such as street-stall, live fish transportation vehicles, and wholesale markets neighboring unloading ports. These methods of distribution, however, have been restricted by limited distribution right, difficulties to differentiate fish prices from other surfaces, simple marketing channels. The ratio of cultured live fish circulated in market is increasing while naturally caught live fish is decreasing and the fresh fish shows a little of increasing rate. Consumers purchasing routes mainly depend on the live fish transportation merchants. For fresh fish traditional market plays an important role in trade. Convenience for consumers and quality of products are main factors in making decision of purchases. Bargaining power, however, belongs to the live fish transportation merchants. The demand of special markets for live fish was very strong, and the convenience and quality are relatively important required factors. Catch from Tongyoung Marine ranching has very good reputation as the possibility of being a good brand. Expecting possibility of quality differentiation was higher than price differentiation specially. The possible conclusion of a contract of a supply was suspicious however. Preliminary quality evaluation revealed that the catch is better than the cultured but worse than naturally grown fish. A merchandising is to be in a better position in the formation of prices by giving $\ulcorner$brand image$\lrcorner$ to potential consumers. The target markets are retail stores such as restaurants for raw fish and final consumers. The staple markets are retail stores. Possible items of products are live fish, fresh fish for cook, and fresh fish for raw fish. It is necessary for the catch to be informed as new functional products that have been improved in safety and quality, since the product positioning is similar but not well known to consumers. To secure a brand it is required to register a trademark, eco-label product design or packing, use real name in tranction, introduce recall system, and put label. Price higher than naturally grown live fish should be targeted. Establishing broad distribution channel, wholesale market, franchise are required. To secure enough catch and control shipment of products facilities of containing live fish are necessary. Instead of dealing with live fish only, it would be better to. sell fresh fish and live fish simultaneous. Strategically promotion focuses on advertisement of Marin ranching at first and then focuses on the catch from the marine ranching.

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