• 제목/요약/키워드: Decision Maker

검색결과 384건 처리시간 0.031초

IMPLEMENTATION OF A DECISION SUPPORT SYSTEM FOR INTEGRATED RIVER BASIN WATER MANAGEMENT IN KOREA

  • Shim Soon-Do;Shim Kyu-Cheoul
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2004
  • This research presents a prototype development and implementation of Decision Support System (DSS) for integrated river basin water management for the flood control. The DSS consists of Relational Database Management System, Hydrologic Data Monitoring System, Spatial Analysis Module, Spatial and Temporal Analysis for Rainfall Event Tool, Flood Forecasting Module, Real-Time Operation of Multi Reservoir System, and Dialog Module with Graphical User Interface and Graphic Display Systems. The developed DSS provides an automated process of alternative evaluation and selection within a flexible, fully integrated, interactive, centered relational database management system in a user-friendly computer environment. The river basin decision-maker for the flood control should expect that she or he could manage the flood events more effectively by fully grasping the hydrologic situation throughout the basin.

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부정확한 대안평가하에서 모호선호관계를 이용한 다기준 의사결정 기법 (A Multi-Criteria Decision Making Method Based on Fuzzy Outranking Relation)

  • 조권익;김성희
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.37-44
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    • 1990
  • In selecting the best project in multi-criteria decision making problems, the imperfect information of consequence and the vague preference of the decision maker(DM) would make the decision analysis more complex together with the conflict of several criteria. In this context, a method is proposed to deal the fuzzy information mentioned before instead of reducing it to a single representative value. And, based on the given imprecise information, projects are ranked completely or partially according to DM's vague preference. The procedure consists, for each pair of projects, of calculating the degree of supporting over all criteria and the degree of opposing with respect to each criterion for their outranking relation. Together with weights for each criterion, these indices produce fuzzy outranking relations for each pair of projects. And a complete or partial ranking of projects is obtained according to outranking degrees considering the interdependence among projects.

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The Role of Investor Behavioral Biases in Investment Decisions

  • Singh, Tarika;Gupta, Monika
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제13권11호
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2015
  • Purpose - This study is an effort to assess the role of behavioral biases in investment decision making, specifically for mutual funds, and the moderating role of the investor. Individual investment behavior is concerned with choices about purchasing various securities. However, behavioral finance disputes the concept of perfect rationality and identifies psychological factors and their impact on decision-making. Research design, data, and methodology - A survey questionnaire was designed and used to collect responses using a judgmental sampling technique from 290 investors in the Gwalior Region. Cronbach's Alpha, factor analysis, and linear regression were all used to test the influence of behavioral biases on investment decision. Results - We found that the behavioral biases have a positive impact on investment decisions. Conclusions - This study's results identified three factors influencing investor behavior(rationale, investment skills, and profit making) and four factors influencing investor decisions (profit maker, market analysis, investment plan, seller). The overall results of the study also show that there is no significant relationship between investor behavior and investment decisions by gender in the market.

An interactive multicriteria simulation optimization method

  • Shin, Wan-Seon;Boyle, Carolyn-R.
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 1992년도 춘계공동학술대회 발표논문 및 초록집; 울산대학교, 울산; 01월 02일 May 1992
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    • pp.117-126
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    • 1992
  • This study proposes a new interactive multicriteria method for determining the best levels of the decision variables needed to optimize a stochastic computer simulation with multiple response variables. The method, called the Pairwise Comparison Stochastic Cutting Plane (PCSCP) method, combines good features from interactive multiple objective mathematical programming methods and response surface methodology. The major characteristics of the PCSCP algorithm are: (1) it interacts progressively with the decision maker (DM) to obtain his preferences, (2) it uses good experimental design to adequately explore the decision space while reducing the burden on the DM, and (3) it uses the preference information provided by the DM and the sampling error in the responses to reduce the decision space. This paper presents the basic concepts of the PCSCP method along with its performance for solving randomly selected test problems.

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검사시스템 설계를 위한 컴퓨터 그래픽에 근거한 대화형 의사결정 지원시스템의 개발 (Development of an Interactive Graphic-Aided Decision Su, pp.rt System for Designing Inspection Plans)

  • 신완선;조원양
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.168-184
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    • 1997
  • The primary objective of this paper is to develop an interactive computer graphic aided decision su, pp.rt system for the design of inspection plans for complex production systems. This research first develops a computer simulator, called Simulator for Inspection Systems(SIS), in order to represent the production system as a network model. The simulator elicits fundamental information about the system from the decision maker(DM) in an interactive manner. A decision su, pp.rt system is then proposed by combining SIS and Compromise Programming. The system simulates a set of possible inspection strategies implicitly, observes all the important measurements about the inspection system, and employs the compromise programming a, pp.oach to help the DM determine the best compromising allocation of inspection effort considering his/her preferences. Finally, the performance of the proposed system is evaluated using two test cases. The pros and cons of the system are also discussed.

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불명확한 상황에서의 다중속성 경영의사결정을 지원하기 위한 지능적 의사결정지원시스템 (An Intelligent DSS to Assist in Multi-Attributed Managerial Decision Under Fuzziness)

  • 홍일유
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.52-85
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    • 1995
  • This paper develops a new approach to dealing with qualitative reasoning processes involved in managerial decisions, drawing upon choice strategies that have been developed within the general framework of multi-criteria decision making. Issues such as choices under uncertainty and preference formulation are addressed. An MCDM DSS intended to assist in high-level management decisions must focus on helping the decision maker to properly define the problem by providing a structure to it and to dynamically evaluate the alternative courses of action. A conceptual architecture is developed and presented to propose a general model for designing decision support systems specifically designed to assist in MCDM in a managerial context. A commercial loan approval judgment case is described to illustrate the real-world situation where decisions are made under fuzziness and usually require a high degree of intuition and subjective judgment. Development of a prototype system intended to partially represent application of the architecture is described.

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방사성 폐기물관리에 모호집합론적 접근법의 적용 (Use of Fuzzy Set Theoretical Approach in Radioactive Waste Management)

  • 문주현;김성호
    • 한국에너지공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국에너지공학회 1998년도 추계 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.64-68
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    • 1998
  • This paper discusses the potential application of fuzzy set theory to the decision-making in the area of radioactive waste management. the approach proposed in this study is based on the concepts of fuzzy set theory and the hierarchical structure analysis. The linguistic variables and fuzzy numbers are used to aggregate the decision maker's subjective assessments of the decision criteria and of the decision alternatives with respect to these criteria. For each alternative, the fuzzy appropriateness index is evaluated to obtain the final score. Using total integral value method, one of methods for ranking fuzzy numbers, the fuzzy appropriateness indices are ranked. As a case problem, selection of the most suitable option for spent fuel storage is illustrated.

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Eigenvector를 이용한 다속성의사결정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Multi-Attribute Decision Making based on Eigenvector)

  • 안동규
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제18권34호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1995
  • The practical problem of multi-attribute decision making are formed by the uncertain attribute that the attribute by the alternatives cannot be defined or judged crisphy but only as vague. In this case the final judgements are also represented by vague which have to be ordered to determine the optimal alternative. The problem is more complex if the evaluations of alternatives according to each attribute are expresed vague. This paper described the results of a study done to determine how well multi-attribute decision marking perform in helping a decision maker arrive at a preferred solution to a multi-attribute problem with vague attribute. Particular area of research has concentrated on the issue of combining quantitative and qualitative data supplied by estimation. Futher study considers some method for suitable evaluation of qualitative data.

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의사결경지원을 위한 지식표현 및 확률추론

  • 김성식
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈A:수학교육
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.75-90
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    • 1993
  • 의상결정 문제가 의사결정자의 취향에 좌우되는 볼확실한 상황에서 의사결정은 하나가 아닌 일련의 관련된 결정들로 구성된다. 규칙기준 전문가 시스템은 그와같은 의사결정 문제를 표현할 수 없다. 이 논문은 그와같은 문제들은 해결하기 위하여 모델기준 지식표현과 확률추론을 결합하여 자문시스템 IDPI를 제시하고 그와같은 방법을 사용하여 대학생들을 위한 진로자문 시스템을 구현한다.

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회계정보의 표현양식이 의사결정자의 예측정확성에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Level of Correctness of Decision Making using two Alternative Information Presenting Methods)

  • 박재용;박성규
    • 경영과정보연구
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    • 제4권
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    • pp.573-593
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the level of correctness accounting information with the two alternative forms of presenting information outputs. Specifically two different methods of presenting accounting information, the table form and the graphical form were employed to test the level of correctness of the accounting information user's decision making. Using college students as a surrogate decision maker, this research have found that there is no statistically significant difference in the correctness of decision making between the two groups, one group using the table form of accounting information and another group using the graphical form of accounting information.

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