• Title/Summary/Keyword: Data uncertainty

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Probabilistic Evaluation on Prediction Accuracy of the Strains by Double Surface and Single Surface Constitutive Model (확률론에 의환 Double Surface와 Single Surface 구성모델의 변형을 예측 정도의 평가)

  • Jeong, Jin Seob;Song, Young Sun;Kim, Chan Kee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 1994
  • A probabilistic method was employed to compare the prediction accuracy of axial and volumetric strains of Lade's double surface model with that of single surface model. Several experiments were conducted to examine the variabilities of soil parameters for two models using Back-ma river sand. Mean values and standard deviations of soil parameters obtained from experimental data were used for the evaluation of the uncertainty of analyzed strains by the first order approximation. It is shown that the variabilities of parameters in the single surface model are more consistent than those of the double surface model. However, in the accuracy of axial strain by probabilistic analysis, double surface model is more stable than single surface model. It is also shown that two models are excellent in view of the accuracy of the volumetric strain. The method given in this paper may be effectively utilized to estimate the constitutive model because other results of the comparison of two models coincide with those of this paper.

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COSMIC STAR FORMATION HISTORY AND AGN EVOLUTION NEAR AND FAR: AKARI REVEALS BOTH

  • Goto, Tomotsugu;AKARI NEP team, AKARI NEP team;AKARI all sky survey team, AKARI all sky survey team
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.347-352
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    • 2012
  • Understanding infrared (IR) luminosity is fundamental to understanding the cosmic star formation history and AGN evolution, since their most intense stages are often obscured by dust. Japanese infrared satellite, AKARI, provided unique data sets to probe this both at low and high redshifts. The AKARI performed an all sky survey in 6 IR bands (9, 18, 65, 90, 140, and $160{\mu}m$) with 3-10 times better sensitivity than IRAS, covering the crucial far-IR wavelengths across the peak of the dust emission. Combined with a better spatial resolution, AKARI can measure the total infrared luminosity ($L_{TIR}$) of individual galaxies much more precisely, and thus, the total infrared luminosity density of the local Universe. In the AKARI NEP deep field, we construct restframe $8{\mu}m$, $12{\mu}m$, and total infrared (TIR) luminosity functions (LFs) at 0.15 < z < 2.2 using 4,128 infrared sources. A continuous filter coverage in the mid-IR wavelength (2.4, 3.2, 4.1, 7, 9, 11, 15, 18, and $24{\mu}m$) by the AKARI satellite allows us to estimate restframe $8{\mu}m$ and $12{\mu}m$ luminosities without using a large extrapolation based on a SED fit, which was the largest uncertainty in previous work. By combining these two results, we reveal dust-hidden cosmic star formation history and AGN evolution from z = 0 to z = 2.2, all probed by the AKARI satellite.

The Impact of SMEs' Smart Factory Systems Implementation on Management Accounting (중소제조기업 스마트공장시스템 도입이 관리회계에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.9
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    • pp.8-14
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    • 2020
  • The objective of this research is to investigate how implementation of smart factory systems(SFS) effects management accounting(MA). The results based on data collected from 108 Korea small and medium enterprises(SME) confirmed that SFS implementation caused significant MA changes. Estimated regression models revealed that the most important SFS characteristic were the analytical capabilities since it positively influenced MA changes in four dimensions: internal reporting, budgeting, application of modern accounting techniques and MA employee's job. In the segment of budgeting, the quality of implementation of specialized bedgeting software had significant and positive influence. The only negative correlation founded was the one between the uncertainty of business environment and adoption of modern accounting techniques. Results from this study provide that SME should put special focus on implementation of business analytics modules in order to achieve comprehensive benefits in MA prctices.

A Study on the Implementation of an optimized Algorithm for association rule mining system using Fuzzy Utility (Fuzzy Utility를 활용한 연관규칙 마이닝 시스템을 위한 알고리즘의 구현에 관한 연구)

  • Park, In-Kyu;Choi, Gyoo-Seok
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2020
  • In frequent pattern mining, the uncertainty of each item is accompanied by a loss of information. AAlso, in real environment, the importance of patterns changes with time, so fuzzy logic must be applied to meet these requirements and the dynamic characteristics of the importance of patterns should be considered. In this paper, we propose a fuzzy utility mining technique for extracting frequent web page sets from web log databases through fuzzy utility-based web page set mining. Here, the downward closure characteristic of the fuzzy set is applied to remove a large space by the minimum fuzzy utility threshold (MFUT)and the user-defined percentile(UDP). Extensive performance analyses show that our algorithm is very efficient and scalable for Fuzzy Utility Mining using dynamic weights.

The Estimation of Benzo(a)pyrene Emission from Fuel Combustion in the Seosan Area (서산지역에서 연료연소에 의해 배출된 benzo(a)pyrene의 배출량 산정)

  • Kim, Ok;Song, Youngho;Lee, Jinheon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2017
  • Objectives: This study estimated the emission quantity of benzo(a)pyrene(BaP) produced by fuel combustion in the Seosan area, and analyzed the uncertainty regarding the emissions. Methods: It was based on data from a national agency and from public institutions. Emissions were estimated by using national-level guidelines. The total estimated emissions were analyzed by performing Monte Carlo analysis. Results: The full emission quantity of BaP which was discharged by fuel combustion in the Seosan area stood at 1,194.79 g/yr. The point source emissions came to 184.16 g/yr (95% CI; 158.40-209.39). The line source emissions reached 315.33 g/yr (95% CI; 284.99-344.03). The area source emissions accounted for 695.31 g/yr (95% CI; 605.10-793.88). Chemical and compound manufacturing was the highest with 639.13 g/yr (95% CI; 542.95-728.24) in terms of emissions and oil refinery emissions were high with 153.10 g/yr (95% CI; 129.19~177.46). It was found in the Seosan area that the major source of BaP is the manufacturing of chemicals and chemical products. Conclusion: The emission quantity of BaP which was discharged by the fuel combustion in Seosan area reached 1,194.79 g/yr. Research needs to be continued for the definite estimation of emission of BaP henceforth.

Generation of radar rainfall data for hydrological and meteorological application (II) : radar rainfall ensemble (수문기상학적 활용을 위한 레이더 강우자료 생산(II) : 레이더 강우앙상블)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Jang, Sang-Min;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • A recent increase in extreme weather events and flash floods associated with the enhanced climate variability results in an increase in climate-related disasters. For these reasons, various studies based on a high resolution weather radar system have been carried out. The weather radar can provide estimates of precipitation in real-time over a wide area, while ground-based rain gauges only provides a point estimate in space. Weather radar is thus capable of identifying changes in rainfall structure as it moves through an ungauged basin. However, the advantage of the weather radar rainfall estimates has been limited by a variety of sources of uncertainty in the radar reflectivity process, including systematic and random errors. In this study, we developed an ensemble radar rainfall estimation scheme using the multivariate copula method. The results presented in this study confirmed that the proposed ensemble technique can effectively reproduce the rainfall statistics such as mean, variance and skewness (more importantly the extremes) as well as the spatio-temporal structure of rainfall fields.

Systematic Experimental and Numerical Analyses on Added Resistance in Waves (선박의 파랑 중 부가저항에 대한 실험과 수치계산의 비교 연구)

  • Park, Dong-Min;Seo, Min-Guk;Lee, Jaehoon;Yang, Kyung-Kyu;Kim, Yonghwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.459-479
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    • 2014
  • This paper considers experimental and numerical studies on added resistance in waves. As the numerical methods, three different methods, strip method, Rankine panel method and Cartesian-grid method, are applied. The computational results of vertical motion response and added resistance are compared with the experimental data of Series 60($C_B=0.8$) hull, S175 containership and KVLCC2 hull. To investigate the influence of above-still water hull form, a Rankine panel method is extended to two nonlinear methods: weakly-nonlinear and weak-scatterer approaches. As nonlinear computational models, three ships are considered: original KVLCC2 hull, 'Ax-bow' and 'Leadge-bow' hulls. Two of the three models are modified hull forms of original KVLCC2 hull, aiming the reduction of added resistance. The nonlinear computational results are compared with linear results, and the improvement of computational result is discussed. As experimental approach, a series of towing-tank experiment for ship motions and added resistance on the three models (original KVLCC2 hull, 'Ax-bow' and 'Leadge-bow') are carried out. For the original KVLCC2 hull, uncertainty analysis in the measurement of vertical motion response and added resistance is performed in three waves conditions: ${\lambda}/L=0.5$, 1.1, 2.0. From the experimental results, the effects of hull form on added resistance are discussed.

Models of Reliability Assessment of Ultrasonic Nondestructive Inspection (초음파 비파괴검사의 신뢰도 평가 모델)

  • Park, I.K.;Park, U.S.;Kim, H.M.;Park, Y.W.;Kang, S.C.;Choi, Y.H.;Lee, J.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Nondestructive Testing
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.607-611
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    • 2001
  • Ultrasonic inspection system consist of the operator, equipment and procedure. The reliability of results in ultrasonic inspection is affected by its ability. Furthermore, the reliability of nondestructive testing is influenced by the inspection environment, materials and types of defect. Therefore, it is very difficult to estimate the reliability of NDT due to the various factors. In this study, the probability of detection by logistic probability model and Monte Carlo simulation is used for the reliability assessment of ultrasonic inspection. The utility of the NDT reliability assesment is verified by the analysis of the data from round robin test nth these models.

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How Sensitive is the Earth Climate to a Runaway Carbon Dioxide? (기후는 이산화탄소 증가에 얼마나 민감한가?)

  • Choi, Yong-Sang
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.239-247
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    • 2011
  • The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change and the corresponding national low-carbon policy should be grounded on the scientific understanding of climate sensitivity to the increase in CO2 concentration. This is, however, precluded by the fact that current estimates of the climate sensitivity highly vary. To understand the scientific background, limitations, and prospects of the climate sensitivity study, this paper reviews, as objectively as possible, the most recent results on the sensitivity issue. Theoretically, the climate sensitivity hinges on climate feedbacks from various atmospheric and surface physical processes. Especially cloud and sea-ice processes associated with shortwave radiation are known to have largest uncertainty, resulting in an inaccurate estimation of climate sensitivity. For this reason, recent observational studies using satellite data suggest sensitivity lower than or similar to those estimated by climate models (2-5 K per doubled CO2).

A Study on the Degree of Self-care Activities of Stroke Patients, the Family Burden, and the Educational Needs of Primary Caregivers (뇌졸중 환자의 자가간호 수행과 가족 부담감 및 교육적 요구에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Bok-Hee;Kim, Mi-Hyang;Seo, Nam-Sook;So, Hyang-Sook
    • The Korean Journal of Rehabilitation Nursing
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.243-256
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the degree of self-care activities of stroke patients, the family burden, and the educational needs of primary caregivers. A descriptive survey research was conducted in 97 stroke patients and their respective primary caregivers. Data were collected by the interviews using a structured questionnare from July 26th to August 5th, 1999. NIH stroke status was $12.15{\pm}8.40$, the degree of self-care activities of stroke patients was $26.85{\pm}9.39$. The score of objective burden of primary caregivers was $31.24{\pm}4.81$ and subjective burden was $24.30{\pm}6.99$. The score of the educational needs was $89.78{\pm}9.99$. We present several imformations about clients from these scores as follows: The patients were convalescent and their depentant level of self- care was middle range; The objective burden was higher than the subjective burden; And the educational needs of family caregivers were very high. The Elain Mattis Educational Wants of Family Caregivers of Disabled Adults Questionnaire was used to assess the educational needs of primary caregivers of stroke patients. The results of this research are offered to help nurses understand the feelings of uncertainty about the new and unexpected role that family caregivers face and to help nurses meet the needs of families preparing to care stroke survivors at home.

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