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An Empirical Study on the Comparison of LSTM and ARIMA Forecasts using Stock Closing Prices

  • Gui Yeol Ryu
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.18-30
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    • 2023
  • We compared empirically the forecast accuracies of the LSTM model, and the ARIMA model. ARIMA model used auto.arima function. Data used in the model is 100 days. We compared with the forecast results for 50 days. We collected the stock closing prices of the top 4 companies by market capitalization in Korea such as "Samsung Electronics", and "LG Energy", "SK Hynix", "Samsung Bio". The collection period is from June 17, 2022, to January 20, 2023. The paired t-test is used to compare the accuracy of forecasts by the two methods because conditions are same. The null hypothesis that the accuracy of the two methods for the four stock closing prices were the same were rejected at the significance level of 5%. Graphs and boxplots confirmed the results of the hypothesis tests. The accuracies of ARIMA are higher than those of LSTM for four cases. For closing stock price of Samsung Electronics, the mean difference of error between ARIMA and LSTM is -370.11, which is 0.618% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of LG Energy, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of SK Hynix, the mean difference is -830.7269 which is 1.00% of the average of the closing stock price. For closing stock price of Samsung Bio, the mean difference is -4143.298 which is 0.809% of the average of the closing stock price. The auto.arima function was used to find the ARIMA model, but other methods are worth considering in future studies. And more efforts are needed to find parameters that provide an optimal model in LSTM.

Analyzing the Child Care Practicum Experience of Foreign Students: Exploring Challenges and Benefits (외국인 유학생의 보육실습 경험 분석: 어려움과 가치를 중심으로)

  • Jeongwon Kang;Soyoung Kook;Myungeum Park
    • Korean Journal of Childcare and Education
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.19-39
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    • 2023
  • Objective: The purpose of this study was to analyze the experiences of foreign students in childcare practicum, with a specific focus on identifying the difficulties they encountered and the values they derived from their practicum experiences. The aim was to gain insights that can contribute to improving practicum support for these students. Methods: A total of 6 foreign students were selected as participants for this study using snowball sampling. The data collection period spanned from May 2021 to March 2023, during which semi-structured interviews were conducted and qualitatively analyzed. Results: Foreign students faced challenges in securing practicum placements prior to the start of their program. Communication difficulties necessitated the use of interpreters to interact with children. Additionally, documenting information in a language other than their mother tongue posed a challenge. Consequently, there was a need for tailored training support to address the specific needs of foreign students in childcare practicum. Despite these challenges, the students reported rewarding and valuable experiences during their practicum. These experiences included discovering the teaching identity in Korea, learning about desirable practices in the field, recognizing and addressing personal shortcomings, and developing a sense of vocation for the advancement of infant education in their home countries. Conclusion/Implications: If we actively listen to and provide appropriate support for the specific needs of foreign students in their childcare practicum, they have the potential to become excellent childcare teachers who can foster a harmonious and inclusive environment within our multicultural society.

Mentoring activity Effects for Multicultural Students : Using Logic Model (다문화학생을 위한 멘토링 활동 효과 : 논리모델을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Mijung;Kim, Jinhee;Park, Misuk
    • Asia-pacific Journal of Multimedia Services Convergent with Art, Humanities, and Sociology
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.435-442
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the effect of mentoring program using logic model in university students. We surveyed 40 mentors who participated mentoring program in 2014. Data collection were open-ended questions. Questions was made of with a steps in logic model and content analysis was carried out. The results are as follows: first, according to the step of the inputs, many students questioned said that public relations, selection process, matching, orientations, activity costs was proper. Secondly, in the activities, it was showed that mentor met firstly mentee with teacher in school and mentoring activities comprised 80% of studying and 20% of counseling and experiencing. third, in the outputs, most of participants expressed satisfaction in mentoring period, time, place. Lastly, in the outcomes, this program affected both mentor and mentee with cognitive, emotional and behavior development. Consequentially, this results have influence on improvement of following mentoring programs.

Development and Effectiveness Evaluation of Comprehensive Mobile-Based, Breastfeeding Promotion Program for Mothers with Gestational Diabetes (임신성 당뇨병 산모를 위한 모바일 기반 모유수유 증진 프로그램의 개발 및 효과 평가)

  • Kwak, Eunju;Park, Seungmi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.224-236
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to evaluate the effects of a mobile-based breastfeeding promotion program (M-BFGDM) that helps mothers with gestational diabetes. Methods: Forty-seven mothers participated in the study, of whom 22 were in the experimental group and 25 in the control group. To verify the effects, a lag design before and after the non-equivalence control group was used. The data collection for the experimental group was done before and after the intervention. Results: In the results, breastfeeding knowledge showed a significant difference in the interaction between measurement period and group (χ2 = 8.14, p = .017), whereas breastfeeding intention did not show a significant difference in the interaction (χ2 = 4.73, p = .094). There was no difference in self-efficacy interaction (F = 0.13, p = .856). The breastfeeding method showed no difference in interaction (F = 0.04, p = .952), whereas cross-analysis showed a significant difference in breastfeeding practice rate between the experimental group and the control group at 1 month postpartum (χ2 = 7.59, p = .006). Conclusion: A mobile-based breastfeeding promotion program was developed and applied for gestational diabetic mothers, resulting in an increase in breastfeeding knowledge and an improvement in breastfeeding practice rate one month after childbirth. In addition, M-BFGDM managed to create a breastfeeding practice environment with fewer time and place restrictions. A program study that complements motivation is needed to improve breastfeeding in pregnant diabetic mothers in the future.

Calculation and Projection of Methane Emissions from Waste Landfill for GHG Emission Reduction: Case Study of Puerto Cortes Landfill in Honduras (폐기물 매립지의 온실가스 감축을 위한 메탄가스 배출량 평가: 온두라스 Puerto Cortes 매립장 사례 분석)

  • Choong Gon Kim
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.13-19
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    • 2024
  • The objective of this study was to assess the feasibility of a landfill project aimed at reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) from Puerto Cortes Landfill in Honduras ("Project"). The feasibility study involved surveying the status, composition and amount of waste entering the landfill, and projecting GHG emissions from the landfill. A projection of the GHG emissions with the IPCC model and based on the survey results indicated that the period 2027 to 2041 would see a total GHG emission reduction of 506,835 ton-CO2/year, with a mean yearly GHG emission reduction of 33,789 ton-CO2, assuming landfill gas collection is implemented, The findings of the study are expected to serve as basic data for deciding about whether and how to proceed with the Project.

Incidence of incisional hernia following liver surgery for colorectal liver metastases. Does the laparoscopic approach reduce the risk? A comparative study

  • Ahmed Hassan;Kalaiyarasi Arujunan;Ali Mohamed;Vickey Katheria;Kevin Ashton;Rami Ahmed;Daren Subar
    • Annals of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.155-160
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    • 2024
  • Backgrounds/Aims: No reports to compare incisional hernia (IH) incidence between laparoscopic and open colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) resections have previously been made. This is the first comparative study. Methods: Single-center retrospective review of patients who underwent CRLM surgery between January 2011 and December 2018. IH relating to liver surgery was confirmed by computed tomography. Patients were divided into laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) and open liver resection (OLR) groups. Data collection included age, sex, presence of diabetes mellitus, steroid intake, history of previous hernia or liver resection, subcutaneous and peri-renal fat thickness, preoperative creatinine and albumin, American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score, major liver resection, surgical site infection, synchronous presentation, and preoperative chemotherapy. Results: Two hundred and forty-seven patients were included with a mean follow-up period of 41 ± 29 months (mean ± standard deviation). Eighty seven (35%) patients had LLR and 160 patients had OLR. No significant difference in the incidence of IH between LLR and OLR was found at 1 and 3 years, respectively ([10%, 19%] vs. [10%, 19%], p = 0.95). On multivariate analysis, previous hernia history (hazard ratio [HR], 2.22; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56-4.86) and subcutaneous fat thickness (HR, 2.22; 95% CI, 1.19-4.13) were independent risk factors. Length of hospital stay was shorter in LLR (6 ± 4 days vs. 10 ± 8 days, p < 0.001), in comparison to OLR. Conclusions: In CRLM, no difference in the incidence of IH between LLR and OLR was found. Previous hernia and subcutaneous fat thickness were risk factors. Further studies are needed to assess modifiable risk factors to develop IH in LLR.

An Effect of Sex education for Knwledge and Attitude toward Sex in Elementary School Students (성교육이 초등학생의 성에 대한 지식과 태도에 미치는효과)

  • Kim Yeong-Hee;Lee Myung-Hwa
    • The Journal of Korean Academic Society of Nursing Education
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.255-275
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    • 1997
  • This study was conducted to find out the effect of sexual education for knowledge and attitude toward sex are elementary school students. Therefore, the present study aims to understand the changes of the knowledge are the attitude toward sex before and after the sex education, in elementary school students and then finally to provide some basic data to suggest directions for sex education. The subjects were 500 male and female elementary students from the fifth and sixth grades of 4 public elementary schools in Pusan. The subjects were assigned to a experimental (250) and a control (250) group. The research tools were sex education program and consists of physiology(menache, ejaculation), psycological(pleasure of growth), sociological(hetero sexual relationship) are about set The sex education program was given to experimental group for 6 hours by the trained school nurse's lecture using slide film and OHP film. The data were obtained before and after the sex education. Data collection was done during the period betwen Feb. 3. 1997. to Feb. 20. 1997. The collected data were analyed using frequency, percentages, $X^2$-test, means, standard deviation, t-test, ANOVA, MANCOVA with SPSS program. The results were obtained as follows : 1. The first hypotheses attained that the experimental group(19.72) is higher than the control group(12.12) on the knowledge toward sex(F=467.30, P=.000). At the physical area, the experimental group(8.84) is higher than the control group(3.96) (F=687.39, P=.000). At the psychological area the experimental group (5.18) is higher than the control group(2.63) (F=411.66, P=.000). At the social area, the experimental group (5.70) is higher than the control group (5.54), this is not significant difference (F=.67, P=.413). 2. The second hypotheses attained that the experimental group(60.42) is higher than the control group(52.48) on the attitude toward sex(F=215.70, P=.000). At the physical area, the experimental group(23.10) is higher than the control group(20.68) (F=128.68, P=.000), At the psychological area, the experimental group(20.11) is higher than the control group(16.40) (F=108.64, P=.000). At the social area, the experimental group(17.22) is higher than the control group(16.00), this is area are significant differences (F=70.37, P=.000). 3. Knowledge toward sex according to sex, religon, atmosphere of family, mother age and educational background are significant differance (P<0.05). Attitude toward sex according to sex is significant differance (P<0.05).

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A Study on the Sleep/Activity pattern in New Born Baby (신생아의 수면/활동 양상에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Yung-Eun;Lee, Hwa-Ja;Kim, Young-Hae;Baek, Kyung-Sun;Jung, Haang-Mee;Park, Hae-Sun
    • Korean Parent-Child Health Journal
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.60-72
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    • 2000
  • Studies are needed to determine the standard norms for sleep/activity patterns in new born baby and there have been no established reports of discrepancy of sleep/activity patterns in new born baby among various races. The purpose of this study is to determine whether the NCASA(Nursing Child Assessment Sleep Activity Record) would be suitable to evaluate and to provide the basic resources for a Korean model of sleep/activity patterns during the new born baby, and to provide a basis for nursing intervention for mothers of new born baby. The subjects of this study were 38 normal new born baby who visited the postpartum care center and two general hospitals located in pusan from January 1 to April 28, 2000. They all agreed to participate in this study. The method of data collection was through convenient sampling. Data were collected through questionnaires including demographic data, birth hi story, and general informations concerning the infant, mother and family. The instrument of this study was the NCASA translated by the Korean parent Child Health Academic Association. The collected data were analysed by mean. standard deviation, frequency, and percentage by use of SPSS/PC. The conclusions obtained from this study are summarized as follows: 1. The mean amount of daytime sleep was 10.23 hours. The mean amount of nighttime sleep was 5.53 hours. The mean amount of total daily sleep was 15.77 hours. The mean of the longest sleep period was 4.49 hours. The mean regularity of daytime sleep was 49.69%. The mean regularity of nighttime sleep was 66.98%. The mean regularity of total daily sleep was 55.81%. The mean frequency of nighttime wakenings was 3.09 times. 2. The mean amount of daytime awake periods was 6.12 hours. The mean amount of nighttime awake periods was 2.11 hours. The mean amount of daily total awake periods was 8.23 hours. The mean of the longest awake periods was 3.76 hours. 3. The mean frequency of daytime feeding was 5.71 times. The mean frequency of nighttime feeding was 2.65 times. The mean frequency of total daily feeding was 8.36 times. The mean frequency regularity of feeding was 62.50%. 4. The mean amount of a mother's day time was 16.36 hours. The mean amount of a mother's night time was 7.64 hours. In conclusion, The new born baby slept more during the daytime compare than nighttime and more active during the daytime. On the other hand. although nighttime sleeping the length of the mother was normal, but sleep was interrupted by the infant over 3 times on average. Therefore this research study will contribute to nursing practice and nursing research by its implication through postnatal educational nursing programs at hospital and nursing intervention programs that would help individual caring of early infant mothers at home.

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Examining the Moderating Effect of Involvement in the Internet Purchase Decision Process (인터넷 구매결정과정에서의 관여도의 조절효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kwahk, Kee-Young;Ji, So-Young
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.15-40
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    • 2008
  • With the explosive growth of the Internet, Internet shopping malls have become recognized as one of the major purchasing channels for consumers, as well as one of the competitive distribution channels for companies that allow them to contact with customers without intermediaries. It has motivated information systems(IS) researchers to examine the factors influencing consumer behavior and the purchase decision process in the context of Internet shopping malls. Despite the extensive research that has been conducted on the purchase decision process of consumers in online shopping malls, the results have demonstrated a need for further understanding of consumer behavior due to the unique features of virtual space and the characteristics of online consumers. Previous studies from marketing and consumer behavior domains have suggested that the concept of involvement plays an important role in explaining consumers' purchase behavior. Despite the critical role of involvement and the explosive growth of e-commerce, little research has examined the role of involvement in the Internet shopping mall context. With this motivation, this study has two research objectives. First, it introduces and tests an theoretical model capable of better explaining consumers' intention to purchase in the Internet shopping mall context. The proposed model extends and integrates existing models on purchase intention by incorporating purchase experience, innovativeness, and perceived self-control as the consumer factors, along with perceived risk, information provision, and perceived price as the Internet shopping mall factors. Second, this study examines how involvement differences may affect consumers' intention to purchase. For this purpose, two factors from involvement theory, involvement type and involvement level, are introduced into the research model as moderating variables. In order to test the proposed model, the overall approach employed was a field study using the structural equation model. We developed our data collection instrument by adopting existing validated questions wherever possible. All question items were measured with a seven-point, Likert-type scale, with anchors ranging from 'strongly disagree' to 'strongly agree.' Two IS researchers reviewed the instrument and checked its face validity. We collected empirical data for this study over a period of two weeks from subjects who had purchase experiences through Internet shopping malls. A total of 473 complete and valid responses were obtained. We carried out data analysis using a two-step methodology with AMOS 4.0. The first step in the data analysis was to establish the convergent and discriminant validity of the constructs. In the second step, we examined the structural model based on the cleansed measurement model. The empirical results partly support the proposed model and identify the moderating effect of involvement differences. Theoretical and practical implications of the study are discussed, along with its limitations.

A Comparative Study on Physique and Health status of Elementary School Children between Ethnic Koreans in the People's Republic of China and Kojae Area in Korea (중국 연변지역 조선족 아동의 보건의료 및 건강상태 비교 - 한국 경남 거제지역과의 비교 -)

  • Nam, Eun-Woo;Lee, Kyu-Sik;Li, Zhao-Cheng;Ryu, Hwang-Gun;Bae, Sung-Kwon;Park, Kum-Ok
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.21-45
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this study is to compare the health status of Korean and Chosun-Jok elementary children. To accurately achieve the purpose, a survey was conducted in Yanbian area in China and Kojae in Korea during the period of June 15 to July in 1995. This survey was performed by using two survey methods. The first was the parents' survey method. It asked structured questions about their children. The second method focused on the actual health of the children. It used the collection of children's physical records in school. Guided by the school teachers, each child distributed the questionnaires to their parents. We used stratified-cluster sampling method to determine subjects. 1,083 questionnaires of 1,749 were used to analyze the data (666 questionnaires were incomplete and were not used in the analysis). Each questionnaire matched the data of their physical record. : Body Weight, Body Height, Chest-Circumstance, Eyesight, Dental Health. Using the data, we compared the BMI(Body Mass Index) the Koreans and Chosun-Jok in China. The results of this study were as follows : Comparing the general average physique of contained body height, body weight and chest circumstance of Korean and Chosun-Jok, the general physique of Chosun-Jok is inferior to that of Korean regardless of age and sex. Meanwhile, the average physical constitution of Korean compared the Chosun-Jok (i.e. eyesight and dental hygiene), revealed that the physical constitution of Chosun-Jok is superior to that of Korean without concern of age and sex. Average BMI of Chosun-Jok is lower than that of Koreans. But, it seemed that most of the students in both groups maintain an adequate health level. In the case of children from 10 to 12 years old, females are superior to males through all data contained of the body weight, the chest circumstance, and the body height. It seems that females and males have a different maximum growth age. Most of the parents preferred a good physique as a good health condition for their children. The physique of each child was affected with some variables, including the number of family members, and the educational level of the parents. According to the above results, the students' physique in Korea is superior to that of Chosun-Jok in China. But, Koreans are inferior to Ethnic Koreans in China in the students' physical constitution. In conclusion, we consider Chosun-Jok in China to maintain an adequate health level in their physique and physical constitution.

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