• 한국정보처리학회논문지
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• 제7권12호
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• pp.3821-3828
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• 2000

많은 소프트웨어 프로젝트는 시험이나 운영단계에서 고장 시간이나 고장 수 데이타 보다는 그룹 고장 데이타 (여러 고장 간격에서 또는 가변적인 시간 간격에서의 고장 들)가 수집된다. 본 논문은 그룹 고장 데이타에 대해 가변적인 미래의 시간에서 누적 고장 수를 예측할 수 있는 신경망 모델을 제시한다. 신경망의 입-출력으로 무엇을 선택하고 어떤 순서로 훈련을 수행하느냐에 따라 신경망의 예측력에 영향을 미친다. 따라서, 신경망의 입-출력에 대한 11개의 훈련제도가 고려되었으며, 모델의 성능을 평가하기 위해 다음 단계 평균 상대 예측 오차 (AE)와 정규화된 AE (NAE) 측도에 의해 최적의 훈련제도가 선택되고, 다른 잘 알려진 신경망 모델과 통계적 소프트웨어 신뢰성 성장 모델과 비교되었다. 실험 결과, 가변적인 미래의 시간 간격에서 누적 고장 수를 예측하기 위해서는 신경망 모델에 가변 시간간격 정보가 필요함을 보였다.

• 대한통합의학회지
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• 제7권4호
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• pp.119-130
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• 2019

Purpose : The purpose of this study was to investigate the meta-analysis on the effects of action observation training on stroke patients' walking. Methods : Domestic databases (DBpia, KISS, NDSL, and RISS) were searched for studies that conducted randomized controlled trials (RCTs) associated with action observation training in adults after stroke. The search outcomes were items associated with the walking function. The 18 studies that were included in the study were analyzed using R meta-analysis. A random-effect model was used for the analysis of the effect size because of the significant heterogeneity among the studies. Sub-group and meta-regression analysis were also used. Egger's regression test was conducted to analyze the publishing bias. Cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis were also done to analyze a data error. Results : The mean effect size was 2.77. The sub-group analysis showed a statistical difference in the number of training sessions per week. No statistically significant difference was found in the meta-regression analysis. Publishing bias was found in the data, but the results of the trim-and-fill method showed that such bias did not affect the obtained data. Also, the cumulative meta-analysis and sensitivity analysis showed no data errors. Conclusion : The meta-analysis of the studies that conducted randomized clinical trials revealed that action observation training effectively improved walking of the chronic stroke patients.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제34권5호
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• pp.735-744
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• 2021

제품의 수명을 유지시키는 것은 품질관리의 주요 목표 중 하나이다. 실제 공정에서는 시간 및 비용의 문제로 인해 모든 표본의 수명을 측정할 수 없는 경우가 많이 발생하기 때문에, 대부분 중도절단된 자료를 포함시켜 표본을 구성한다. 이 논문에서는 제1형의 우측중도절단된 수명 자료가 로그정규분포를 따르는 경우, 제품 수명의 평균을 모니터링하는 두 가지 누적합 관리도 절차를 제안한다. 하나는 우도비에 기초한 누적합 관리도이고, 다른 하나는 이항분포에 기초한 누적합 관리도 절차이다. 모의실험을 통해 평균런길이를 비교하는 방법으로 제안된 두 관리도 절차의 성능을 비교하였다. 모의실험 결과, 중도절단율이 낮은 경우, 형상모수값이 작은 경우, 평균의 감소 변화량이 큰 경우에는 우도비 누적합 관리도가 더 효율적이며, 반대로 중도절단율이 높은 경우, 형상모수값이 큰 경우, 평균의 감소 변화량이 적은 경우에는 이항 누적합 관리도가 더 효율적인 것으로 나타났다.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제50권3호
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• pp.349-371
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• 2022

Purpose: Compared to the rapid growth rate of the domestic automotive LED industry so far, the predictive analysis method for demand forecasting or market outlook was insufficient. Accordingly, product characteristics are analyzed through the life trend of LEDs for automotive exterior lamps and the relative strengths of p and q using the Bass model. Also, future demands are predicted. Methods: We used sales data of a leading company in domestic market of automotive LEDs. Considering the autocorrelation error term of this data, parameters m, p, and q were estimated through the modified estimation method of OLS and the NLS(Nonlinear Least Squares) method, and the optimal method was selected by comparing prediction error performance such as RMSE. Future annual demands and cumulative demands were predicted through the growth curve obtained from Bass-NLS model. In addition, various nonlinear growth curve models were applied to the data to compare the Bass-NLS model with potential market demand, and an optimal model was derived. Results: From the analysis, the parameter estimation results by Bass-NLS obtained m=1338.13, p=0.0026, q=0.3003. If the current trend continues, domestic automotive LED market is predicted to reach its maximum peak in 2021 and the maximum demand is $102.23M. Potential market demand was $1338.13M. In the nonlinear growth curve model analysis, the Gompertz model was selected as the optimal model, and the potential market size was $2864.018M. Conclusion: It is expected that the Bass-NLS method will be applied to LED sales data for automotive to find out the characteristics of the relative strength of q/p of products and to be used to predict current demand and future cumulative demand.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제26권6호
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• pp.1565-1572
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• 2015

In this paper, we analyze the polio incidence data based on the Poisson autoregressive models, focusing particularly on change-point detection. Since the data include some strongly deviating observations, we employ the robust cumulative sum (CUSUM) test proposed by Kang and Song (2015) to perform the test for parameter change. Contrary to the result of Kang and Lee (2014), our data analysis indicates that there is no significant change in the case of the CUSUM test with strong robustness and the same result is obtained after ridding the polio data of outliers. We additionally consider the comparison of the forecasting performance. All the results demonstrate that the robust CUSUM test performs adequately in the presence of seemingly outliers.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제20권A호
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• pp.131-138
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• 2000

A past monthly data is not faithful so much for a short term. But, the stochastic generation technique was provide of a long-term data. Thus this study is used a data which generated a monthly inflow amounts data by Thomas-Fiering model. This model is needed a certain process which determination of distribution, decision of continuous durability, etc. It was generated a inflow data every one month as Thomas-Fiering method. The generated inflow data was used input data for a monthly cumulative analysis. This analysis obtained a storage capacities which would be required during droughts having various return periods. It was presented a equation of fitting regression that was carried out regression analysis of 5, 10, 20, 50 years period.

• 상하수도학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.383-394
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• 2023

Currently, there is no definitive regulation for the appropriate frequency of data sampling in water distribution networks, yet it plays a crucial role in the efficient operation of these systems. This study proposes a new methodology for determining the optimal frequency of data acquisition in water distribution networks. Based on the decomposition of signals using harmonic series, this methodology has been validated using actual data from water distribution networks. By analyzing 12 types of data collected from two points, it was demonstrated that utilizing the factors and cumulative periodograms of harmonic series enables similar accuracy at lower data acquisition frequencies compared to the original signals. Type your abstract here.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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• pp.340-343
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• 2003

This study presents a practical procedure for the Bayesian inversion of geophysical data by Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling and geostatistics. We have applied geostatistical techniques for the acquisition of prior model information, and then the MCMC method was adopted to infer the characteristics of the marginal distributions of model parameters. For the Bayesian inversion of dipole-dipole array resistivity data, we have used the indicator kriging and simulation techniques to generate cumulative density functions from Schlumberger array resistivity data and well logging data, and obtained prior information by cokriging and simulations from covariogram models. The indicator approach makes it possible to incorporate non-parametric information into the probabilistic density function. We have also adopted the MCMC approach, based on Gibbs sampling, to examine the characteristics of a posteriori probability density function and the marginal distribution of each parameter. This approach provides an effective way to treat Bayesian inversion of geophysical data and reduce the non-uniqueness by incorporating various prior information.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.159-168
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• 2003

This paper is concerned with the compression of EEG signals using wavelet-packet based techniques. EEG data compression is desirable for a number of reasons. Primarily it decreases for transmission time, archival storage space, and in portable systems, it decreases memory requirements or increases channels and bandwidth. Upon wavelet decomposition, inherent redundancies in the signal can be removed through thresholding to achieve data compression. We proposed the energy cumulative function for deciding of the threshold value and it works very innovative of EEG data.

• 대한기계학회논문집A
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• 제37권7호
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• pp.945-951
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• 2013

본 논문은 도시형 자기부상열차에 사용되는 대차프레임의 피로강도를 평가하는 방법을 제안하였다. 가상의 하중 시나리오로부터 구조해석을 수행하여 응력해석결과를 Goodman 선도상의 피로한계선도와 비교하였으며, UIC 규격에 적용되는 3단계의 피로조건을 적용하여 피로누적손상도(cumulative fatigue damge, D)를 계산하였다. 피로해석결과, Goodman 선도상에서 대차 프레임 사용소재인 A6005 알루미늄 합금 Butt 용접부의 피로한계선도를 초과하지 않았다. 가장 높은 피로손상도는 캐스팅 블록 및 전자석 폴 연결부로서 $1{\times}10^7$ cycles 기준으로 D=0.808로 계산되어 파손기준을 초과하지 않음을 확인하였다. 피로해석과 동일 조건으로 실시된 수직, 좌우, 전후 방향의 피로시험에서 대차 프레임의 어느 위치에서도 균열이 발생되지 않았으며, 이는 피로안전측으로 계산된 해석결과와 부합되는 결과이다.