• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cox regression hazard model

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Relative Risk of Dietary Patterns and Other Obesity Factors in Korean Males above 40 Years of Age (한국 40세 이상 남성의 식이패턴과 비만 요인들의 상대적 위험도)

  • Kwock, Chang Keun;Park, Junhyung;Lee, Min A;Kim, Eun Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.42 no.11
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    • pp.1753-1758
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    • 2013
  • A debate over the association between dietary patterns and obesity is not settled in the literature. Some studies suggest that there are significant differences in the mean body mass index (BMI) across dietary patterns, while others refute the result. Therefore, we extended this line of study to examine whether the influence of dietary pattern is strong enough to affect the incidence of obesity based on the criterion, BMI=25. We identified 3 dietary patterns using a cluster analysis of food intake data obtained from the food frequency survey conducted as a part of Korean genome epidemiologic study: 'variety', 'unrefined grain', and 'rice' dietary patterns. A Cox Hazard regression result showed that the all the dietary pattern variable parameters were not significant. Hence, it was concluded that the dietary patterns do not affect the incidence of obesity under the control of variables, such as age, energy intake, and etc.

Geriatric Syndrome and Mortality among Community-dwelling Older Adults in Korea: 3-year Follow-up Study (한국 노인의 노인증후군과 사망: 3년 추적연구)

  • Lee, Si Eun;Hong, Gwi-Ryung Son
    • Korean Journal of Adult Nursing
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.98-107
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of geriatric syndrome on mortality among community-dwelling older adults in Korea. Methods: Data were obtained from the Actual Living Condition of the Elderly and Welfare Need Survey, with a baseline study in 2008 and a 3-year follow-up of mortality data. The mortality risk was measured using the hierarchical Cox proportional hazard model. Results: In Cox regression analysis, male (Hazard Ratio [HR], 2.53; 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 2.12~3.01), old age (HR, 2.14; 95% CI, 1.82~2.53), low education level (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.04~1.65), limitation in instrumental activities of daily living (HR, 1.91; 95% CI, 1.60~2.28), depressive symptoms (HR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.01~1.43), and frailty (HR, 2.32; 95% CI, 1.78~3.03) significantly affected mortality risk. Conclusion: Based on the results of this study, nursing intervention programs should be provided to decrease preventable death in older adults.

Analysis of Married Women's Return to the Workforce Following First Childbirth (젊은 여성의 첫 출산 후 노동시장 복귀에 관한 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Kyung;Cho, You Hyun
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.181-207
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this study was to conduct a dynamic analysis of married women's return to the workforce following first childbirth. We have based our investigation on the data compiled by the KLIPS, where the workforce performance is the focal point of it's research, and by these materials, this study has analyzed the aspects of the factors that decide post-childbirth return to the workforce. We have applied the Cox Regression Hazard Model, where corroborative evidence are statistically applied. The following are the conclusions that were derived from this research: First, according to the study, academic background is a vital factor in reducing the gap and time of women's return to the workforce. Second, whether having active child-care after giving birth or not doubles the chances of women returning to the workforce. Third, if the pre-birth employment form was a wage-work and the rate of returning to the workforce was lower than the non-wage, relatively speaking, this reflects that the non-wage form of work, which provides a better possibility to return to the workforce after giving birth, could be another way to prevent women's career discontinuation.

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Impact of Individual and Combined Health Behaviors on All Causes of Premature Mortality Among Middle Aged Men in Korea: The Seoul Male Cohort Study

  • Rhee, Chul-Woo;Kim, Ji-Young;Park, Byung-Joo;Li, Zhong Min;Ahn, Yoon-Ok
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.45 no.1
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    • pp.14-20
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate and quantify the risk of both individual and combined health behaviors on premature mortality in middle aged men in Korea. Methods: In total, 14 533 male subjects 40 to 59 years of age were recruited. At enrollment, subjects completed a baseline questionnaire, which included information about socio-demographic factors, past medical history, and life style. During the follow-up period from 1993 to 2008, we identified 990 all-cause premature deaths using national death certificates. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of each health risk behavior, which included smoking, drinking, physical inactivity, and lack of sleep hours. Using the Cox model, each health behavior was assigned a risk score proportional to its regression coefficient value. Health risk scores were calculated for each patient and the HR of all-cause premature mortality was calculated according to risk score. Results: Current smoking and drinking, high body mass index, less sleep hours, and less education were significantly associated with all-cause premature mortality, while regular exercise was associated with a reduced risk. When combined by health risk score, there was a strong trend for increased mortality risk with increased score (p-trend < 0.01). When compared with the 1-9 score group, HRs of the 10-19 and 20-28 score groups were 2.58 (95% confidence intervals [CIs], 2.19 to 3.03) and 7.09 (95% CIs, 5.21 to 9.66), respectively. Conclusions: Modifiable risk factors, such as smoking, drinking, and regular exercise, have considerable impact on premature mortality and should be assessed in combination.

Timing and Risk Factors of Adoption for Legally-Free Foster Children after Having Parental Rights Terminated in the U. S. (미국 위탁아동의 친권상실선고 이후 입양 결정요인에 관한 생존분석)

  • Song, Min-Kyoung
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare
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    • v.59 no.1
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    • pp.301-327
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the timing and the risk factors associated with the adoption of legally-free foster children. The sample of the study was drawn from foster care files of Adoption and Foster Care Analysis and Reporting System(AFCARS) in 32 states between October 1998 (FY 1999) and September 2002(FY 2002). The timing post-TPR to adoption was examined by plotting the Kaplan-Meier cumulative hazard function for adoption and by plotting the KM hazard functions stratified by child's race and child's age at TPR. Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for adoption of legally-free foster children after TPR. The hazard of adoption was very low immediately after TPR but increased steadily starting at 3 months and then declined after 20 months. The cumulative hazard functions for White non-Hispanic children and Black non-Hispanic children crossed over at 13 months after TPR. Racial minority status, older age, and disability were negatively associated with the hazard of adoption. Physical abuse, sexual abuse had the lower hazard for adoption compared by neglect. Caretaker's inability to cope had the slightly lower hazard for adoption whereas inadequate housing showed the slightly greater hazard for adoption. Characteristics of foster care services turned into be powerful predictors of adoption. Specifically, legally-free children placed in pre-adoptive homes, those who shared the same racial/ethnic background with their foster caretakers, and those who were placed in two-parent families have a greater likelihood of adoption. The findings highlight the importance of foster care service provisions after TPR to facilitate adoption of legally-free foster children. Furthermore, a more substantial resources and targeted support for foster children who experience physical abuse and sexual abuse in need of adoption should be provided for moving the foster children into permanency.

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Survival analysis on the business types of small business using Cox's proportional hazard regression model (콕스 비례위험 모형을 이용한 중소기업의 업종별 생존율 및 생존요인 분석)

  • Park, Jin-Kyung;Oh, Kwang-Ho;Kim, Min-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.257-269
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    • 2012
  • Global crisis expedites the change in the environment of industry and puts small size enterprises in danger of mass bankruptcy. Because of this, domestic small size enterprises is an urgent need of restructuring. Based on the small business data registered in the Credit Guarantee Fund, we estimated the survival probability in the context of the survival analysis. We also analyzed the survival time which are distinguished depending on the types of business in the small business. Financial variables were also conducted using COX regression analysis of small businesses by types of business. In terms of types of business wholesale and retail trade industry and services were relatively high in the survival probability than light, heavy, and the construction industries. Especially the construction industry showed the lowest survival probability. In addition, we found that construction industry, the bigger BIS (bank of international settlements capital ratio) and current ratio are, the smaller default-rate is. But the bigger borrowing bond is, the bigger default-rate is. In the light industry, the bigger BIS and ROA (return on assets) are, the smaller a default-rate is. In the wholesale and retail trade industry, the bigger bis and current ratio are, the smaller a default-rate is. In the heavy industry, the bigger BIS, ROA, current ratio are, the smaller default-rate is. Finally, in the services industry, the bigger current ratio is, the smaller a default-rate is.

Association between Health Risk Factors and Mortality over Initial 6 Year Period in Juam Cohort (주암 코호트에서 초기 6년간 건강위험인자와 사망의 관련성)

  • Kim, Sang-Yong;Lee, Su-Jin;Sohn, Seok-Joon;Choi, Jin-Su
    • Journal of agricultural medicine and community health
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.13-26
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    • 2007
  • Objectives: This study was conducted to investigate the association between health risk factors and mortality in Juam cohort. Methods: The subjects were 1,447 males and 1,889 females who had been followed up for 68.5 months to 1 January 2001. Whether they were alive or not was confirmed by the mortality data of the National Statistical Office. A total of 289 persons among them died during the follow-up period. The Cox's proportional hazard regression model was used for survival analysis. Results: Age, type of medical insurance, self cognitive health level, habit of alcohol drinking, smoking, exercise and BMI level were included in Cox's proportional hazard model by gender. The hazard ratio of age was 1.07(95% CI: 1.05-1.10) in men, 1.09(95% CI: 1.06-1.12) in women. The hazard ratio of medical aid(lower socioeconomic state) was 1.43(95% CI 1.02-2.19) in women. The hazard ratios of current alcohol drinking and current smoking were respectively 1.69(95% CI: 1.01-2.98), 1.52(95% CI: 1.02-2.28) in women. The hazard ratio of underweight was 1.56(95% CI 1.08-2.47) in men. The hazard ratios of underweight, normoweight, overweight, and obesity were respectively 1.63(95% CI: 1.02-2.67), 1.0(referent), 0.62(95% CI: 0.32-1.63), 1.27(95% CI: 0.65-3.06), which supported the U-shaped relationship between body mass index and mortality among the men over 65. Conclusions: The health risk factors increasing mortality were age, underweight in male, age, lower socioeconomic state, current alcohol drinking, current smoking in female. To evaluate long-term association between health risk factors and mortality, further studies need to be carried out.

Survival Analysis of Gastric Cancer Patients with Incomplete Data

  • Moghimbeigi, Abbas;Tapak, Lily;Roshanaei, Ghodaratolla;Mahjub, Hossein
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: Survival analysis of gastric cancer patients requires knowledge about factors that affect survival time. This paper attempted to analyze the survival of patients with incomplete registered data by using imputation methods. Materials and Methods: Three missing data imputation methods, including regression, expectation maximization algorithm, and multiple imputation (MI) using Monte Carlo Markov Chain methods, were applied to the data of cancer patients referred to the cancer institute at Imam Khomeini Hospital in Tehran in 2003 to 2008. The data included demographic variables, survival times, and censored variable of 471 patients with gastric cancer. After using imputation methods to account for missing covariate data, the data were analyzed using a Cox regression model and the results were compared. Results: The mean patient survival time after diagnosis was $49.1{\pm}4.4$ months. In the complete case analysis, which used information from 100 of the 471 patients, very wide and uninformative confidence intervals were obtained for the chemotherapy and surgery hazard ratios (HRs). However, after imputation, the maximum confidence interval widths for the chemotherapy and surgery HRs were 8.470 and 0.806, respectively. The minimum width corresponded with MI. Furthermore, the minimum Bayesian and Akaike information criteria values correlated with MI (-821.236 and -827.866, respectively). Conclusions: Missing value imputation increased the estimate precision and accuracy. In addition, MI yielded better results when compared with the expectation maximization algorithm and regression simple imputation methods.

Prediction of Tumor Progression During Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy and Survival Outcome in Patients With Triple-Negative Breast Cancer

  • Heera Yoen;Soo-Yeon Kim;Dae-Won Lee;Han-Byoel Lee;Nariya Cho
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.24 no.7
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    • pp.626-639
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    • 2023
  • Objective: To investigate the association of clinical, pathologic, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) variables with progressive disease (PD) during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) and distant metastasis-free survival (DMFS) in patients with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). Materials and Methods: This single-center retrospective study included 252 women with TNBC who underwent NAC between 2010 and 2019. Clinical, pathologic, and treatment data were collected. Two radiologists analyzed the pre-NAC MRI. After random allocation to the development and validation sets in a 2:1 ratio, we developed models to predict PD and DMFS using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard regression, respectively, and validated them. Results: Among the 252 patients (age, 48.3 ± 10.7 years; 168 in the development set; 84 in the validation set), PD was occurred in 17 patients and 9 patients in the development and validation sets, respectively. In the clinical-pathologic-MRI model, the metaplastic histology (odds ratio [OR], 8.0; P = 0.032), Ki-67 index (OR, 1.02; P = 0.044), and subcutaneous edema (OR, 30.6; P = 0.004) were independently associated with PD in the development set. The clinical-pathologic-MRI model showed a higher area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) than the clinical-pathologic model (AUC: 0.69 vs. 0.54; P = 0.017) for predicting PD in the validation set. Distant metastases occurred in 49 patients and 18 patients in the development and validation sets, respectively. Residual disease in both the breast and lymph nodes (hazard ratio [HR], 6.0; P = 0.005) and the presence of lymphovascular invasion (HR, 3.3; P < 0.001) were independently associated with DMFS. The model consisting of these pathologic variables showed a Harrell's C-index of 0.86 in the validation set. Conclusion: The clinical-pathologic-MRI model, which considered subcutaneous edema observed using MRI, performed better than the clinical-pathologic model for predicting PD. However, MRI did not independently contribute to the prediction of DMFS.

Analysis of Survivability for Combatants during Offensive Operations at the Tactical Level (전술제대 공격작전간 전투원 생존성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Jaeoh;Cho, HyungJun;Kim, GakGyu
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.921-932
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzed military personnel survivability in regards to offensive operations according to the scientific military training data of a reinforced infantry battalion. Scientific battle training was conducted at the Korea Combat Training Center (KCTC) training facility and utilized scientific military training equipment that included MILES and the main exercise control system. The training audience freely engaged an OPFOR who is an expert at tactics and weapon systems. It provides a statistical analysis of data in regards to state-of-the-art military training because the scientific battle training system saves and utilizes all training zone data for analysis and after action review as well as offers training control during the training period. The methodologies used the Cox PH modeling (which does not require parametric distribution assumptions) and decision tree modeling for survival data such as CART, GUIDE, and CTREE for richer and easier interpretation. The variables that violate the PH assumption were stratified and analyzed. Since the Cox PH model result was not easy to interpret the period of service, additional interpretation was attempted through univariate local regression. CART, GUIDE, and CTREE formed different tree models which allow for various interpretations.