• 제목/요약/키워드: Country Risk

검색결과 679건 처리시간 0.024초

국내 소비자 제품의 위해성 평가 모델 개발을 위한 해외 평가 모델 선행조사 및 사례 비교 (Prior Research and Case Study on Overseas Assessment Models for Developing Risk Assessment Model on Domestic Customer Products)

  • 한신호;이종민;김형기;서금희
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
    • /
    • 제15권3호
    • /
    • pp.207-215
    • /
    • 2015
  • Safety' can be used in a variety of ways and may also have different meanings when used in theoretical field and routinely used. In this paper, the 'safety' means that human injury, fire or physical accident condition does not occur while used by the end-user. The meaning of safety may be different by era and culture. Even in contemporary era, the meaning can be used differently by country, region and culture. As the rights of consumers are increasingly reinforced, we can expect the acceptable risk or safety level can rise higher. In this paper, the R-map of Japan and the European risk assessment guidelines (RAPEX) were reviewed considering domestic incidents database status and its applicability. Because it is difficult to make a model based on a R-map, a revised model was developed mainly based on European Assessment Model with a combination of the important characteristics of Japan model R-map. Also utilizing this revised model, the availability as a new risk assessment model was confirmed by comparing the test results for the same scenarios to the other risk assessment model (RAPEX/RAG).

Bank Capital and Lending Behavior of Vietnamese Commercial Banks

  • DANG, Van Dan;LE, Thi Tuyet Hoa;LE, Dinh Hac;NGUYEN, Hoang Dieu Hien
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권2호
    • /
    • pp.373-385
    • /
    • 2021
  • The objective of the study is to empirically investigate the impact of bank capital on the lending behavior of Vietnamese commercial banks from 2007 to 2019. Lending behavior is captured by two dimensions, including the quantity (loan growth) and quality (credit risk) of loans. Instead of investigating loan growth and credit risk separately, we combine these two aspects in our study and further develop the interaction term between capital buffers and credit risk to capture the asymmetric impact. We apply the dynamic model (regressed by the generalized method of moments) and the static models (regressed using the fixed effects, random effects, and the pooled regression approach) to perform regressions. The results show that banks with higher capital ratios tend to expand lending more, while the risk of credit portfolios is controlled at lower levels at these banks. Further analysis reveals that credit risk mitigates some aspects of the relationship between bank capital and loan expansion. The patterns remain robust across alternative measures and econometric techniques. The study provides insightful policy implications for bank managers and regulators in the process of upgrading capital resources to ensure the safety and soundness of the banking industry in an emerging country.

Bank Capital, Efficiency and Risk: Evidence from Islamic Banks

  • ISNURHADI, Isnurhadi;ADAM, Mohamad;SULASTRI, Sulastri;ANDRIANA, Isni;MUIZZUDDIN, Muizzuddin
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.841-850
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to evaluate the relationship between bank capital, efficiency, and risk in Islamic banks. We use data from 129 Islamic banks in the world, retrieved from various data sources. We retrieved specific banking data from Moody's Analytics BankFocus and Thomson Reuters Eikon, while data at the country level was obtained from the World Bank website. This study uses various estimates both Pooled OLS (Ordinary Least Square) and Random Effect (RE). However, to overcome the issue of serial correlation which could cause bias in the results of the study, we used fixed-effect (FE) cluster estimates. The research results confirm the previous findings that bank capital positively affects bank stability (natural logarithm of Z-Score) and negatively affects credit risk (loan loss provision to total liabilities). The findings also show that efficiency has the same effect. The interaction test of bank capital and efficiency shows that efficiency encourages banks to reduce risk, including when bank capital is relatively lower. This finding is expected to have implications for the authorities to boost bank efficiency in addition to establishing several regulations related to capital. The efficiency implemented by the bank will encourage banks to act prudently so that the bank can maintain its performance through risk mitigation.

필리핀 연안수역의 선박교통관제서비스와 해양안전에 관한 설문조사 (Part 1) (Questionnaire on Marine Safety and Vessel Traffic Services in Philippine Coastal Waters (Part 1))

  • 올란도 디마일릭;정재용;김철승
    • 해양환경안전학회지
    • /
    • 제19권2호
    • /
    • pp.171-178
    • /
    • 2013
  • 이 연구는 필리핀 연안수역의 해양안전과 선박교통관제서비스에 대한 설문조사 결과의 일부를 나타낸 것이다. 이 연구는 응답자의 경력과 육 해상 경험, 친숙해역, 위험요소별 위험지역별 선박운항자의 주관적 위험인식을 조사하였다. 설문은 202명이 응답해 주었고 설문 데이터는 엑셀 프로그램과 통계 프로그램을 이용하여 분석하였다. 전체 응답자의 97 %가 다양한 종류와 크기의 선박에서 승선한 경험이 있었고 88 %는 선박 항해에 직접적으로 종사한 사람이었으며 마닐라 지역(NCR지역)에서 가장 높은 응답률이 있었다. 위험요소별 위험지역별 위험인식 부분에서 위험수준 3단계 '때때로 위험 증가'와 위험수준 4단계 '자주 위험 증가'라는 높은 위험 지표를 보였다. 이 연구에서 가장 높은 위험 요소는 위험수준 5단계 '매우 자주 위험 증가'에 해당되는 "법과 규정의 위반" 으로 나타났다. 그리고 전체 친숙 해역 중 가장 높은 위험 인식을 보인 마닐라 베이 지역(NCR 지역)에서도 역시 위험수준 5단계로 나타났다. 그러므로 각 지역내에서 실행가능한 법과 규정의 광범위한 검토(해상교통체계와 구조물들의 강화, 이해당사자들의 교육(국가의 혼잡 수역, 특히 마닐라 베이 지역))의 실행이 이 연구에 의해 권고된다. 이 연구의 궁극적인 목적은 안전 관련 정보를 수집 분석하여 국내 해상교통안전의 개선과 향상의 지침으로 활용될 기술과 모델을 개발하는 것이다.

Risk of Carbon Leakage and Border Carbon Adjustments under the Korean Emissions Trading Scheme

  • Oh, Kyungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Trade
    • /
    • 제26권2호
    • /
    • pp.45-64
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose - This paper examines South Korea's potential status as a carbon leakage country, and the level of risk posed by the Korean emissions trading scheme (ETS) for Korean industries. The economic effects of border carbon adjustments (BCAs) to protect energy-intensive Korean industries in the process of achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030 through the Korean ETS are also analyzed. Design/methodology - First, using the Korean Input-Output (IO) table, this paper calculates the balance of emissions embodied in trade (BEET) and the pollution terms of trade (PTT) to determine Korean industries' carbon leakage status. Analyses of the risk level posed by carbon reduction policy implementation in international trade are conducted for some sectors by applying the EU criteria. Second, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model, three BCA scenarios, exemption regulations (EXE), reimbursement (REB), and tariff reduction (TAR) to protect the energy-intensive industries under the Korean ETS are addressed. Compared to the baseline scenario of achieving carbon reduction targets by 2030, the effects of BCAs on welfare, carbon leakage, outputs, and trading are analyzed. Findings - As Korea's industrial structure has been transitioning from a carbon importing to a carbon leaking country. The results indicate that some industrial sectors could face the risk of losing international competitiveness due to the Korean ETS. South Korea's industries are basically exposed to risk of carbon leakage because most industries have a trade intensity higher than 30%. This could be interpreted as disproving vulnerability to carbon leakage. Although the petroleum and coal sector is not in carbon leakage, according to BEET and PTT, the Korean ETS exposes this sector to a high risk of carbon leakage. Non-metallic minerals and iron and steel sectors are also exposed to a high risk of carbon leakage due to the increased burden of carbon reduction costs embodied in the Korean ETS, despite relatively low levels of trade intensity. BCAs are demonstrated to have an influential role in protecting energy-intensive industries while achieving the carbon reduction target by 2030. The EXE scenario has the greatest impact on mitigation of welfare losses and carbon leakage, and the TAF scenario causes a disturbance in the international trade market because of the pricing adjustment system. In reality, the EXE scenario, which implies completely exempting energy-intensive industries, could be difficult to implement due to various practical constraints, such as equity and reduction targets and other industries; therefore, the REB scenario presents the most realistic approach and appears to have an effect that could compensate for the burden of economic activities and emissions regulations in these industries. Originality/value - This paper confirms the vulnerability of the Korean industrial the risk of carbon leakage, demonstrating that some industrial sectors could be exposed to losing international competitiveness by implementing carbon reduction policies such as the Korean ETS. The contribution of this paper is the identification of proposed approaches to protect Korean industries in the process of achieving the 2030 reduction target by analyzing the effects of BCA scenarios using a CGE model.

Attitudes and Practice of Cervical Cancer Screening among Female University Students from 25 Low, Middle Income and Emerging Economy Countries

  • Pengpid, Supa;Peltzer, Karl
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
    • /
    • 제15권17호
    • /
    • pp.7235-7239
    • /
    • 2014
  • Cervical cancer, the third commonest cancer in women worldwide, can be prevented through early detection by cervical screening (Pap smear). The aim of this study was to investigate the attitudes and practice of cervical cancer screening among female undergraduate university students from 25 low, middle income and emerging economy countries. Using anonymous questionnaires, data were collected from 9,194 female undergraduate university students aged 18-26 years (mean age 20.9, SD=2.0) from 26 universities in 25 countries across Asia, Africa and the Americas. Overall, 11.6% of the female students indicated that they had conducted one or more times a cervical (Pap) smear test; 8.3% among 18-20 year-olds and 15.6% among 21-26 year-old students. There was considerable country variation on having had a cervical (Pap) smear test among 21-26 year-old female university students, ranging from 59.2% in Colombia and 50.9% in Barbados to 0% in India and 1.0% in Tunesia. Logistic regression showed that cervical cancer screening importance or positive attitude were highly associated with the cervical screening practice. Moreover, risky sexual behaviour and tobacco use, two cervical cancer risk factors, were associated with screening. Cervical cancer screening practices were found to be inadequate and e fforts should be made to develop programmes that can increase the uptake of cervical cancer screening.

Workers' Compensation Insurance and Occupational Injuries

  • Shin, Il-Soon;Oh, Jun-Byoung;Yi, Kwan-Hyung
    • Safety and Health at Work
    • /
    • 제2권2호
    • /
    • pp.148-157
    • /
    • 2011
  • Objectives: Although compensation for occupational injuries and diseases is guaranteed in almost all nations, countries vary greatly with respect to how they organize workers' compensation systems. In this paper, we focus on three aspects of workers' compensation insurance in Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) countries - types of systems, employers' funding mechanisms, and coverage for injured workers - and their impacts on the actual frequencies of occupational injuries and diseases. Methods: We estimated a panel data fixed effect model with cross-country OECD and International Labor Organization data. We controlled for country fixed effects, relevant aggregate variables, and dummy variables representing the occupational accidents data source. Results: First, the use of a private insurance system is found to lower the occupational accidents. Second, the use of risk-based pricing for the payment of employer raises the occupational injuries and diseases. Finally, the wider the coverage of injured workers is, the less frequent the workplace accidents are. Conclusion: Private insurance system, fixed flat rate employers' funding mechanism, and higher coverage of compensation scheme are significantly and positively correlated with lower level of occupational accidents compared with the public insurance system, risk-based funding system, and lower coverage of compensation scheme.

Digital Tourism Security System for Nepal

  • Shrestha, Deepanjal;Wenan, Tan;Khadka, Adesh;Jeong, Seung Ryul
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제14권11호
    • /
    • pp.4331-4354
    • /
    • 2020
  • Nepal is a sensitive and disaster-prone country where safety and security risk are of high concern for travelers. Digital technologies can play a vital role in addressing safety and security issues in the country. This research work proposes a Digital tourism security system design for addressing the safety and security issues in tourism industry of Nepal. The study uses Design science research methodology to identify artifacts, interactions, information flow and dependencies between them which are then mapped with existing prevalent technology to provide design solutions. Data is obtained from interview of tourist and experts as a primary source and technical documents/draft, software documentations, surveys as secondary source. Generalized information model, Use cases model, Network architecture model, Layered taxonomy model and Digital tourism technology reference model are the outcomes of the study. The work is very important as it talks specifically about implementation and integration of digital technologies in tourism security governance at federal, provincial, municipal and rural level. The research supplements as a knowledge document for design and implementation of digital tourism security system in practice. As there is very less work on digital systems in tourism security of Nepal, this work is a pioneer and first of its kind.

플랜트, 건축, 토목 공종별 해외건설 리스크평가 비교분석 (A Comparative Analysis of Risk Assessment Depending on International Project Types)

  • 백승원;한승헌;정우용
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
    • /
    • 제20권5호
    • /
    • pp.125-136
    • /
    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 국내 대형 건설 기업이 수행한 124건의 해외사업에 대해 입찰 전 예측 리스크, 수주 후 실제 리스크, 예비비 반영률, 원가 상승률 등을 조사하였다. 이를 기반으로 플랜트, 건축, 토목 공종별 예측 리스크 수준, 실제 리스크 수준, 입찰 전 예측 리스크와 예비비 간 관계, 실제 리스크와 원가 상승률의 상관성을 분석하여 다음과 같은 결론을 얻었다. 첫째, 플랜트와 토목 사업은 건축 사업에 비해 예측 리스크와 실제 리스크 수준이 높았다. 특히, 플랜트와 토목 사업에서는 국가 리스크가 가장 높았으나 건축사업에서는 프로젝트 리스크가 가장 높았던 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 플랜트와 토목 사업이 건축 사업보다 예비비를 많이 설정하였으나 입찰 전 예측 리스크 수준과는 상관성이 없었다. 이는 우리 기업의 예비비 산정에 문제가 있음을 내포하고 있다. 셋째, 세 개 공종 모두 실제 리스크 발생 수준과 원가 상승률 사이에 유의미한 상관성이 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 리스크 관리가 실행원가 관리에 중요한 요소임을 보여준다. 본 연구에서 도출된 결과는 국내 기업들의 공종별로 차별화된 보다 실전적인 리스크 관리를 지원할 것으로 기대된다.

포트폴리오 이론을 적용한 한국 인바운드 관광 효율화 전략 연구 (A Study on Korean Inbound Tourism Market Efficiency Strategy Using Portfolio Theory)

  • 손세형;박재은;김은미;구철모;한인구
    • 지식경영연구
    • /
    • 제21권4호
    • /
    • pp.265-285
    • /
    • 2020
  • 인바운드(Inbound) 관광시장은 오늘날 관광산업의 핵심 분야로 인식되고 있으나 각국의 다양한 경제, 사회, 문화적 변수 등에 의해 변동성이 크게 나타난다. 변동성의 원인은 인바운드 국가에 따라 다양하게 나타나며 변동성을 최소화하여 안정화된 관광산업의 활성화를 도모하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 포트폴리오 이론을 적용하여 최소화된 위험수준에서 최대의 증가율을 거둘 수 있는 최적의 국가별 조합을 도출하였으며 주요 방한 인바운드 국가를 대상으로 입국객 수와 인당 평균 소비지출액을 적용하여 양적지표와 질적지표를 모두 고려하였다. 분석결과 입국객 수 기준으로 최적의 국가별 조합은 영국, 미국, 독일, 중국, 일본 순으로 구성되었으며, 인당 평균지출액 기준으로 최적의 국가별 조합은 태국, 중동, 싱가폴, 일본, 러시아, 홍콩, 독일 순으로 구성되었다. 이러한 결과는 한국 인바운드 관광시장을 전략적으로 운영할 수 있는 방안을 수립하는데 기여할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.