• Title/Summary/Keyword: Contingency Analysis

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A multivariate latent class profile analysis for longitudinal data with a latent group variable

  • Lee, Jung Wun;Chung, Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.15-35
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    • 2020
  • In research on behavioral studies, significant attention has been paid to the stage-sequential process for multiple latent class variables. We now explore the stage-sequential process of multiple latent class variables using the multivariate latent class profile analysis (MLCPA). A latent profile variable, representing the stage-sequential process in MLCPA, is formed by a set of repeatedly measured categorical response variables. This paper proposes the extended MLCPA in order to explain an association between the latent profile variable and the latent group variable as a form of a two-dimensional contingency table. We applied the extended MLCPA to the National Longitudinal Survey on Youth 1997 (NLSY97) data to investigate the association between of developmental progression of depression and substance use behaviors among adolescents who experienced Authoritarian parental styles in their youth.

Contingency Selection Using Eigen-Sensitivity Analysis for Voltage Stability. (고유치감도 해석에 의한 전압안정도의 상정사고 선택)

  • Song, S.G.;Nam, H.K.;Shim, K.S.;Moon, Y.H.;Choi, H.K.;NamKung, J.Y.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2000.07a
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    • pp.66-68
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    • 2000
  • The Eigen analysis in large power system provides much useful information that is not got in nose curve. The branch participation factor is not quantitative information and is an indirect method calculating incremental change in branch reactive loss. But the Eigen sensitivity analysis to each mode is direct and provides of quantitative information but this method because of needing much time is used in large power system. In this paper the Hessenberg method is used to obtaining dominant eignvalues and corresponding eigenvectors of Jacobian matrix. Ranking the critical contingencies is done by computing the Eigen sensitivity of each dominant eignvalues for changes of each line. The proposed algorithm is tested on the New England 30-bus system and KEPCO system in the year of 2000, which comprises of 791-bus and 2500-branches.

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Preparation of Reliable Measurement Data by Using State Estimation (상태추정을 이용한 고 신뢰도 측정데이터 확보방안 연구)

  • Kim, Hong-Rae
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.1020-1025
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    • 2007
  • EMS(energy management system) and SCADA(supervisory control and data acquisition) systems are used for reliable and efficient operation of electrical power systems. Various functions in EMS such as power flow, contingency analysis, security analysis essentially need accurate data set for reliable operation. State estimation can be a tool for providing these data. In this paper, programs for observability analysis and bad data processing are developed. Fundamental algorithms are introduced and validity of the proposed techniques is inspected with test cases.

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The Analysis of 2004 Summer Peak Load in Korea Power system (2004년 하계 첨두부하 시 계통운영 실적 분석)

  • Song, Tae-Yong;Hwang, Bong-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11b
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    • pp.113-115
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    • 2004
  • This year korea power system had recorded highest peak load for 6 times and finally it made new peak load 51,264MW at July 29th 3:00 PM. The new peak load is increased 8.2% from the last year peak load 47,385MW and korea power system entered 50,000MW load era. The Korea Power Exchange (KPX) snapped power system data at the peak load time using state estimation function in the EMS. And authors converted the power system data at peak load to PSS/E power flow format. Using this PSS/E peak load power flow data, this paper explains demand analysis result shun capacitor operation, voltage distribution at the peak load. And the paper shows the simulation result of 2 contingency analysis using the snapped PSS/E peak load data.

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Patients' perception and satisfaction with apicoectomy (치근단절제술에 대한 환자의 인식과 만족도 조사)

  • Kim, Eui-Seong;Lee, Seung-Jong;Park, Jeong-Won;Shin, Su-Jung
    • Restorative Dentistry and Endodontics
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.114-118
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    • 2011
  • Objectives: This study was aimed to examine the patients' perception and satisfaction with the results of endodontic microsurgery which was apicoectomy with retrofilling. Materials and Methods: A questionnaire was given to 109 patients, who were recalled after a minimum of 3 months upon endodontic microsurgery in the Department of Conservative Dentistry, Yonsei University. A contingency table and correlation analysis were used to determine if there were any correlations between age/gender and the patients' responses (p = 0.05). Results: Approximately 60% of respondents answered they had never heard of surgical endodontic procedures. 63.3% of respondents chose the surgical option because they wanted to keep their natural teeth. If the patient required the same procedure on another tooth later, 100 out of 109 respondents answered they would choose microsurgery instead of extraction. Most patients (82.57%) appeared to be satisfied with the surgical procedure. Conclusions: Endodontic microsurgery consisting of apicoectomy and retrofilling seems to appeal to majority of patients as a satisfactory and valuable treatment choice.

Use of ultrasonography for improving reproductive efficiency in cows I. Accuracy of rectal palpation and ultrasonography for determining the presence of a functional corpus luteum in subestrous daitry cows (초음파 진단장치를 이용한 축우의 번식효율증진에 관한 연구 I. 무발정 젖소에서 기능성황체를 평가하기 위한 직장검사와 초음파검사의 진단정확성)

  • Son, Chang-ho;Kang, Byong-kyu;Choi, Han-sun;Kang, Hyun-gu;Oh, Ki-seok;Shin, Chang-rok
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Research
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.941-948
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    • 1996
  • The accuracy of rectal palpation and ultrasonography for predicting the presence of a functional corpus luteum in subestrous dairy cows was investigated, using the result of a radioimmunoassay for progesterone in plasma. Luteal status (high or low progesterone concentrations) was diagnosed in 820 cows, using rectal palpation and B-mode transrectal ultrasonography, and the results of rectal palpation and ultrasonography were compared in $2{\times}2$ contingency table with plasma progesterone concentrations. A $2{\times}2$ contingency table analysis allowed the calculation of sensitivity, specificity and predictive values for rectal palpation and ultrasonography. The sensitivity, specificity, predictive value of a positive test and predictive value of a negative test were 81.9%, 67.5%, 79.0% and 71.4% for rectal palpation, and 96.3%, 88.8%, 94.5% and 92.4% for ultrasonography, respectively. The percentages of observed agreement and expected agreement between rectal palpation and ultrasonography were 71.8% and 57.1%, respectively. An evaluation of agreement between rectal palpation and ultrasonography, the value of Kappa was 0.34. It was concluded that a ultrasonography was more sensitive and specific than rectal palpation in predicting the presence of a functional corpus luteum. Therefore, ultrasonographic examination is a reliable method for assessing the functional status of ovarian structures in subestrous dairy cows.

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A Study of Verification on Application of Directional OCR and OCGR for Power System with Small Scale Cogeneration (소형 열병합 발전소의 계통연계시 방향성 과전류 및 지락과전류 계전기의 적용 검증 연구)

  • Lee, Hee-Tae;Cho, Man-Young;Kim, Jae-Chul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.6
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    • pp.944-950
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    • 2008
  • When small cogenerators are operated in connected with power system, there are many positive aspects such as the reduction of power plant construction, making a improvement of power security etc. At the same time, there are some negative effects or difficulties such as we should make sure of protective coordination, especially, Actually these are not fault, but it is likely to consider the current as the fault. This is one of major causes of malfunctions for protective relays in power distribution system which is including interconnection point. Thus, in this paper, We showed that the directional protection is necessary to the dispersed generation system which is including connection point. We also executed contingency analysis to find out the magnitude of fault current and direction which are classified by fault points, length of line and kinds of faults using ETAP power system analysis program.

The survey on the Approach to the problem of Security-Constrained Price-Based Unit Commitment in the Deregulated Power Market (전력시장에서 안전도와 가격을 고려한 발전기 기동정지계획문제에 대한 조사연구)

  • Jang, Se-Hwan;Kim, Jin-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2006.07a
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    • pp.359-360
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    • 2006
  • This paper introduces a variable of methodology and models of solving Security-Constrained Price-Based Unit Commitment(SPUC) Problems in the Deregulated Power Market. The objective of SPUC is coordination between GENCOs and the ISO. GENCOs apply Price-Based Unit Commitment(PBUC) without security constraints and submit capacity bids to the ISO for maximizing their revenues. Using generation data and transmission data obtained from TRANSCOs, the ISO applies Security-Constrained Unit Commitment(SCUC), executes congestion management and contingency analysis for minimizing line flow violations and the risk supplying loads. Considering analysis data, the ISO should adjust GENCOS' bid. In this paper, we presents the result of survey and analyze on the approach of the SPUC problem.

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Preventive Control Algorithm Using Sensitivity Analysis in Voltage Stability Assessment. (감도 해석을 통한 전압안정도 예방제어 알고리듬 개발)

  • Han, Sang-Wook;Seo, Sang-Soo;Lee, Byong-Jun;Jang, Kyung-Chul;Kim, Tae-Kyun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2005.07a
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    • pp.483-485
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    • 2005
  • In 2003, there was a wide-area blackout in the United States and Canada. More than fifty million people underwent power failure and the estimated financial loss was about four billion dollars. By such wide-area blackouts, the interest in voltage stability has increased gradually. In order to maintain the voltage stability, the preventive control is essential for a contingency. In this paper, a proper preventive control is determined for defined severe contingencies. Among the preventive control methods (generation rescheduling, load curtailment, tap adjusting, injecting the shunt capacitor, and so on.), this paper presents the injection of shunt capacitors by the sensitivity analysis of the voltage stability assessment for preventive controls. The 2006-2010 KEPCO summer peak system is used in case studies.

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Estimation of Log-Odds Ratios for Incomplete $2{\times}2$ Tables with Covariates using FEFI

  • Kang, Shin-Soo;Bae, Je-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2007
  • The information of covariates are available to do fully efficient fractional imputation(FEFI). The new method, FEFI with logistic regression is proposed to construct complete contingency tables. Jackknife method is used to get a standard errors of log-odds ratio from the completed table by the new method. Simulation results, when covariates have more information about categorical variables, reveal that the new method provides more efficient estimates of log-odds ratio than either multiple imputation(MI) based on data augmentation or complete case analysis.

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