• Title/Summary/Keyword: Consumption prediction

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A Study on Occupancy Estimation Method of a Private Room Using IoT Sensor Data Based Decision Tree Algorithm (IoT 센서 데이터를 이용한 단위실의 재실추정을 위한 Decision Tree 알고리즘 성능분석)

  • Kim, Seok-Ho;Seo, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.23-33
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    • 2017
  • Accurate prediction of stochastic behavior of occupants is a well known problem for improving prediction performance of building energy use. Many researchers have been tried various sensors that have information on the status of occupant such as $CO_2$ sensor, infrared motion detector, RFID etc. to predict occupants, while others have been developed some algorithm to find occupancy probability with those sensors or some indirect monitoring data such as energy consumption in spaces. In this research, various sensor data and energy consumption data are utilized for decision tree algorithms (C4.5 & CART) for estimation of sub-hourly occupancy status. Although the experiment is limited by space (private room) and period (cooling season), the prediction result shows good agreement of above 95% accuracy when energy consumption data are used instead of measured $CO_2$ value. This result indicates potential of IoT data for awareness of indoor environmental status.

An Analysis of the Prediction Accuracy of HVAC Fan Energy Consumption According to Artificial Neural Network Variables (인공신경망 변수에 따른 HVAC 에너지 소비량 예측 정확도 평가 - 송풍기를 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Jee-Heon;Seong, Nam-Chul;Choi, Won-Chang;Choi, Ki-Bong
    • Journal of the Architectural Institute of Korea Structure & Construction
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    • v.34 no.11
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2018
  • In this study, for the prediction of energy consumption in the ventilator, one of the components of the air conditioning system, the predicted results were analyzed and accurate by the change in the number of neurons and inputs. The input variables of the prediction model for the energy volume of the fan were the supply air flow rate, the exhaust air flow rate, and the output value was the energy consumption of the fan. A predictive model has been developed to study with the Levenbarg-Marquardt algorithm through 8760 sets of one-minute resolution. Comparison of actual energy use and forecast results showed a margin of error of less than 1% in all cases and utilization time of less than 3% with very high predictability. MBE was distributed with a learning period of 1.7% to 2.95% and a service period of 2.26% to 4.48% respectively, and the distribution rate of ${\pm}10%$ indicated by ASHRAE Guidelines 14 was high.8.

Implementation of low power algorithm for near distance wireless communication and RFID/USN systems

  • Kim, Song-Ju;Hwang, Moon-Soo;Kim, Young-Min
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • A new power control algorithm for wireless communication which can be applied to various near distance communications and USN/RFID systems is proposed. This technique has been applied and tested to lithium coin battery operated UHF/microwave transceiver systems to show extremely long communication life time without battery exchange. The power control algorithm is based on the dynamic prediction method of arrival time for incoming packet at the receiver. We obtain 16mA current consumption in the TX module and 20mA current consumption in the RX module. The advantage provided by this method compared to others is that both master transceiver and slave transceiver can be low power consumption system.

Fuel Consumption Prediction and Life Cycle History Management System Using Historical Data of Agricultural Machinery

  • Jung Seung Lee;Soo Kyung Kim
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.27-37
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    • 2022
  • This study intends to link agricultural machine history data with related organizations or collect them through IoT sensors, receive input from agricultural machine users and managers, and analyze them through AI algorithms. Through this, the goal is to track and manage the history data throughout all stages of production, purchase, operation, and disposal of agricultural machinery. First, LSTM (Long Short-Term Memory) is used to estimate oil consumption and recommend maintenance from historical data of agricultural machines such as tractors and combines, and C-LSTM (Convolution Long Short-Term Memory) is used to diagnose and determine failures. Memory) to build a deep learning algorithm. Second, in order to collect historical data of agricultural machinery, IoT sensors including GPS module, gyro sensor, acceleration sensor, and temperature and humidity sensor are attached to agricultural machinery to automatically collect data. Third, event-type data such as agricultural machine production, purchase, and disposal are automatically collected from related organizations to design an interface that can integrate the entire life cycle history data and collect data through this.

Enhanced Markov-Difference Based Power Consumption Prediction for Smart Grids

  • Le, Yiwen;He, Jinghan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1053-1063
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    • 2017
  • Power prediction is critical to improve power efficiency in Smart Grids. Markov chain provides a useful tool for power prediction. With careful investigation of practical power datasets, we find an interesting phenomenon that the stochastic property of practical power datasets does not follow the Markov features. This mismatch affects the prediction accuracy if directly using Markov prediction methods. In this paper, we innovatively propose a spatial transform based data processing to alleviate this inconsistency. Furthermore, we propose an enhanced power prediction method, named by Spatial Mapping Markov-Difference (SMMD), to guarantee the prediction accuracy. In particular, SMMD adopts a second prediction adjustment based on the differential data to reduce the stochastic error. Experimental results validate that the proposed SMMD achieves an improvement in terms of the prediction accuracy with respect to state-of-the-art solutions.

Prediction of the Carbon Dioxide Emission Change Resulting from the Changes in Bovine Meat Consumption Behavior in Korea (우리나라 쇠고기 소비 행태 변화에 의한 이산화탄소 배출 변화량 예측)

  • Yeo, Min Ju;Kim, Yong Pyo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.356-367
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    • 2015
  • A consumption based study on the carbon dioxide ($CO_2$) emission change due to the changes in the bovine meat consumption behavior in Korea was carried out. It was found that if the consumption of bovine meat be reduced by half, the reduction amount of $CO_2$ emissions be over 0.8 $MtCO_2e$ in all senarios in 2023. This amount is equivalent to over 50% of the greenhouse gases (GHGs) emission reduction target in agriculture and forestry, and fishery, a significant reduction. It was also found that the $CO_2$ emission reduction amount in consumption-based approach was the largest when the consumption of the imported bovine meat be reduced, though the difference was not that large.

Prediction of Vehicle Fuel Consumption on a Component Basis (가솔린 차량의 각 요소별 연료소모량 예측)

  • 송해박;유정철;이종화;박경석
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.203-210
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    • 2003
  • A simulation study was carried to analyze the vehicle fuel consumption on component basis. Experiments was also carried out to identify the simulation results, under FTP-75 Hot Phase driving conditions. and arbitrary driving conditions. A good quantitative agreement was obtained. Based on the simulation, fuel energy was used in pumping loss(3.7%), electric power generation(0.7%), engine friction(12.7%), engine inertia(0.7%), torque converter loss(4.6%), drivetrain friction(0.6%), road-load(9.2%), and vehicle inertia(13.4%) under FTP-75 Hot Phase driving conditions. Using simulation program, the effects of capacity factor and idle speed on fuel consumption were estimated. A increment of capacity factor of torque converter resulted in fuel consumption improvement under FTP-75 Hot Phase driving conditions. Effect of a decrement of idle speed on fuel consumption was negligible under the identical driving conditions.

A Study on Prediction of Power Consumption Rate of Middle School Building in Changwon City by Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 통한 창원시 중학교 전력소비량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hyeong-Kyu;Park, Hyo-Seok;Choi, Jeong-Min;Cho, Sung-Woo
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2013
  • As the existing school building power consumption is expressed by total power consumption, in the view of energy saving is disadvantage. The the power consumption of school building is divided as cooling, heating, lighting and others. The cooling power consumption, heating power consumption, lighting power consumption can be calculated using real total power consumption that gained from Korea Electric Power Corporation(KEPCO). The power consumption for cooling and heating can be calculated using heat transmittance, wall area and floor area, and for lighting is calculated by artificial lighting calculation. but this calculation methods is difficult for laymen. This study was carried out in order to establish the regression equation for cooling power consumption, heating power consumption, lighting power consumption and other power consumption in school building. In order to verify the validity of the regression equation, it is compared regression equation results and calculation results based on real power consumption. As the results, difference between regression result and calculation results for cooling and heating power consumption showed 0.6% and 3.6%.

A Study on Forecasting Method for a Short-Term Demand Forecasting of Customer's Electric Demand (수요측 단기 전력소비패턴 예측을 위한 평균 및 시계열 분석방법 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Min;Yang, Il-Kwon;Song, Jae-Ju
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.