• Title/Summary/Keyword: Construction Cost Forecast

Search Result 57, Processing Time 0.023 seconds

The Common Temporary Work Management System Using Historical Database (실적 데이터베이스를 활용한 공통가설공사 관리 시스템 개발)

  • Park Kyoung-Ho;Lee Hoon-ku;Baik Jong-Keon;Kim Jae-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • autumn
    • /
    • pp.367-370
    • /
    • 2002
  • The Elements of common temporary work in Construction Project have ambiguous work scope between client and builder. Also problems of non-breakdown, non-standardization in common temporary work are obstructive when contract. Finally they will be reached claim factors on the construction project. Because the common temporary work information management system is not built, We have to develop common temporary work information management system based on historical cost database for Construction Management. This system will successively accomplish the project in pre-construction step to standardize work items and to forecast the cost of common temporary work. Therefore feasibility study will be possible with historical database in new project.

  • PDF

A Study on the Statistical Continuity of Electrical Construction Cost Index Applied Chain Method (전기공사비지수의 산정방식 변경에 따른 통계연속성 실증분석 연구)

  • Park, Houng-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.16 no.2
    • /
    • pp.46-53
    • /
    • 2015
  • Electrical construction cost index is composed of the cost of albor and material. The producer price index is used to the cost of material. The Bank of Korea restructured the formation method and the basic period of the producer price index in 2013. Because fixed-weighted method can't faithfully reflect industrial structure changes. The weighted value and price index of fixed-weighted method is fixed on the basicp eriod. Electrical construction cost index is changed from fixed-weighted method to chain-weighted method in september 2014, because of these on the need. But the change of organization in formation method changes the weighted value. So there is the need of analysis about the statistical continuity of electrical construction cost index. This study is focused on the time series analysis between fixed-weighted and chain-weighted electrical construction cost index. We uses unit root test, cointegration test, regression analysis of long and short term equation, fitness for the estimation of static forecast as time series analysis. We verify that chain-weighted electrical construction cost index can be replaced to fixed-weighted construction cost index accounting analyses result. So users of it recognize that chain-weighted electrical construction cost index has statistical continuity.

A Study on the Perceptions and Current Practices in Estimating Risk Cost of Contractor's Construction Budget - Focused on Building Projects - (종합건설사 실행예산 편성 시 리스크 비용 산정에 관한 인식 및 실태에 관한 연구 - 건축공사를 중심으로 -)

  • Choi, Jeong Won;Kim, Han Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.23 no.3
    • /
    • pp.13-24
    • /
    • 2022
  • Construction projects are exposed to various types of risks, which tend to increase. The increasing risks call for contractors' more attentions to forecasting and dealing with these risks. One of the measures to deal with contractors' risks is to forecast or estimate risk cost and include it in the construction budget. Although various researches in relation to risk cost have been observed, little attention has been paid to general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The objective of the study is to identify and discuss key characteristics and implications based on the survey and analysis of general contractors' perceptions and current practices in estimating risk cost of construction budget. The study shows that there is a gap between the perception and the practice of estimating risk cost, that is, high perception of the importance of risk cost and a relatively low level of practice. It suggests that historical cost data, guidelines and corporate-level standard procedures are required to improve the current practice in addition to sufficient time allocations for risk cost estimating. It discusses that there is a need for using sophisticated estimating techniques including bid data analytics despite a low level of the current adoption, and also proposes that research and development in the field of the sophisticated estimating techniques should be further implemented in order to increase their practicality.

A Study on the Economic Assessment Through Case Study of Remodeling (건축물 리모델링 사례 분석을 통한 경제성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 김천학;양극영
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.1 no.2
    • /
    • pp.154-164
    • /
    • 2001
  • This research is aiming to specify the requirement of the investment such as intial cost, running cost earning rate to make effective investment considering the purpose of remodeling and economical value of store building enough to meet the initial purpose of remodeling. The review of earning for economical evaluation was performed by the on-site auditing on the structure and function of the building and applying the assessment simulation program, which is to find the possible business model to identify the requirement of building owner through case study. After the research, the following results are obtained. First, it is important that many aspects should be carefully analysis and the best method should be selected as characteristics of remodeling can be defer each other in their implementations. Second, though the remodeling of exist building to promote the functions has been applied, no suitable assessment tool has bee developed for deciding the level of remodeling in the view of economical efficiency so far. Third, the economical benefit was evaluated by analysing annual earning rate which is applied by investment items and recovery period for the investment. More specific date base should be established to apply the suggested economic acessments in business enough ti forecast the future circumstances. More researches should be promoted on the area continuously as well as the integrated economic evaluation of remodeling on existing building.

  • PDF

Evaluation Method for Value Analysis in the Remodelling of Apartment Building - Focused on Economical Efficiency and User Demand - (건축물의 리모델링 가치분석을 위한 평가방법 - 경제성 평가와 사용자 요구분석을 중심으로 -)

  • 정동환;소광호;김천학;김의식;양극영
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
    • /
    • 2002.11a
    • /
    • pp.103-109
    • /
    • 2002
  • This research is aiming to specify the requirement of the investment such as initial cost, running cost earning rate to make effective investment considering the purpose of remodeling and economical value of store building enough to meet the initial purpose of remodeling. The review of earning rate for economical evaluation was performed by the on-site auditing on the structure and function of the building and applying the assessment simulation program, which is to find the possible business model to identify the requirement of building owner through case study. After the research, the following results are obtained. First, it is important that many aspects should be carefully analysis and the best method should be selected as characteristics of remodeling can be defer each other in their implementations. Second, though the remodeling of exist buildings to promote the functions has been applied. no suitable assessment tool has bee developed for deciding the level of remodeling in the view of economical efficiency so far. Third, the economical benefit was evaluated by analysing annual earning rate which is applied by investment items and recovery period for the investment. More specific data bate should be established to apply the suggested economic accession in business enough to forecast the future circumstances. More researches should be promoted on this area continuously as well as the integrated economic evaluation of remodeling on existing building.

  • PDF

A Prospect of Explosives Demolition Based on Comparative Analysis of Demolition Cost. (해체공사비 비교분석을 통한 발파해체 공법의 전망)

  • Cho Tae-Wan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.5 no.4 s.20
    • /
    • pp.130-138
    • /
    • 2004
  • The demolition works of high building in korea are expecting to increase rapidly in the near future, and its general demolition methods can be divided into mechanical demolition method and explosive demolition method. The selection of the right demolition method relies on many variable elements according to environmental and geographical elements. But, generally, the most important element of those is a economical profit. Accordingly, This study estimates each demolition cost dividing into mechanical demolition method and explosive demolition method of high building in city. And the estimating of the demolition cost makes it possible to do comparative analysis for the economical efficiency of each method more objectively than any other selective elements. Also, the analysis for the economical efficiency helps to forecast the activated time of the explosive demolition method in domestic.

Repair Cost Estimation Model of the Building Exterior and Outdoor Facilities in Apartment Housing (공동주택 건물 외부공간 및 옥외시설의 공종별 수선비용 산정모델)

  • Lee, Kang-Hee;Chae, Chang-U
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • v.16 no.3
    • /
    • pp.129-135
    • /
    • 2016
  • Purpose: Building figuration is imperative to perceive the its value, environmental clean status and form. Therefore, maintenance activities of the building exterior are required to keep the housing condition and value. Each household should pay the repair cost which is brought out in the future. For this repair cost, the estimation model would needed to forecast and provide the required cost. This study aimed at providing the estimation model of the repair cost, using the repair survey data between the 2011 and 2014 in Seoul. Method: For these, it took various estimation function of repair cost such as 1st function, inverse function and so on. These above functions would be applied into the building exterior and outdoor facilities which figure the building shape and characteristics. Result: Results of this study are shown ; First, among 11 estimation models, the power function has a better statistics and goodness-of-fit than any other models. Second, the estimation model with a variable of household has a pattern in upward to the right. On the contrary, the model with management area is little downward to the right. Both of them are depended on the estimated parameter of the power function and the parameter smaller than 1.

The Establishment of an Activity-Based EVM - PMIS Integration Model (액티비티 기반의 EVM - PMIS 통합모델 구축)

  • Na, Kwang-Tae;Kang, Byeung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.199-212
    • /
    • 2010
  • To establish an infrastructure for technology and information in the domestic construction industry, several construction regulations pertaining to construction information have been institutionalized. However, there are major problems with the domestic information classification system, earned value management (EVM) and project management information system (PMIS). In particular, the functions of the current PMIS have consisted of a builder-oriented system, and as EVM is not applied to PMIS, the functions of reporting, analysis and forecast for owners are lacking. Moreover, owners cannot confirm information on construction schedule and cost in real time due to the differences between the EVM and PMIS operation systems. The purpose of this study is to provide a framework that is capable of operating PMIS efficiently under an e-business environment, by providing a proposal on how to establish a work breakdown structure (WBS) and an EVM - PMIS integration model, so that PMIS may provide the function of EVM, and stakeholders may have all information in common. At the core of EVM - PMIS integration is the idea that EVM and PMIS have the same operation system, in order to be an activity-based system. The principle of the integration is data integration, in which the information field of an activity is connected with the field of a relational database table consisting of sub-modules for the schedule and cost management function of PMIS using a relational database management system. Therefore, the planned value (PV), cost value (CV), actual cost (AC), schedule variance (SV), schedule performance index (SPI), cost variance (CV) and cost performance index (CPI) of an activity are connected with the field of the relational database table for the schedule and cost sub-modules of PMIS.

A Study on the Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling Considering LCA and LCC (LCA 및 LCC를 고려한 환경친화적 리모델링의 평가방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Gwan-Ho;Kim, Nam-Gyu;Rhee, Eon-Ku
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.1
    • /
    • pp.57-67
    • /
    • 2003
  • This study aims to presents Evaluation Method of Green Remodeling that analyze the value of environment through expense, using the method of life cycle cost and life cycle assessment simultaneously. The results of this study are summarized as follows. Evaluation Model developed in this study can convert economical value of environment into cost by integrating. In addition, the model can apply as a useful tool to estimation of economical design alternative as well as quantification of environmental loads and costs. Evaluation Model presented In this study observe energy consumption and the environmental load emission with qualification, it can forecast effect of environmental cost that cost estimation is expected to be added to energy cost rate by being possible. Synthetically, when Estimation Model and computer program that developed in this study is applies to the construction industry; reasonable management of environmental load is convenient at each step of Green Remodeling. In addition, at preliminary design phase, practical use may be possible by reasonable yardstick about various alternatives and improvement of design alternatives likewise by grasping environmental effect.

BIM Based Time-series Cost Model for Building Projects: Focusing on Construction Material Prices (BIM 기반의 설계단계 원가예측 시계열모델 -자재가격을 중심으로-)

  • Hwang, Sung-Joo;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
    • /
    • v.12 no.2
    • /
    • pp.111-120
    • /
    • 2011
  • High-rise buildings have recently increased over the residential, commercial and office facilities, thus an understanding of construction cost for high-rise building projects has been a fundamental issue due to enormous construction cost as well as unpredictable market conditions and fluctuations in the rate of inflation by long-term construction periods of high-rise projects. Especially, recent violent fluctuations of construction material prices add to problems in construction cost forecasting. This research, therefore, develops a time-series model with the Box-Jenkins methodologies and material prices time-series data in Korea in order to forecast future trends of unit prices of required materials. BIM (Building Information Modeling) approaches are also used to analyze injection time of construction resources and to conduct quantity takeoff so that total material price can be forecasted. Comparative analysis of Predictability of tentative ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) models was conducted to determine optimal time-series model for forecasting future price trends. Proposed BIM based time series forecasting model can help to deal with sudden changes in economic conditions by estimating future material prices.