• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence point

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A Study on the Confidence Region of the Stationary Point in a second Order Response Surface

  • Jorn, Hong S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.109-119
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    • 1978
  • When a response surface by a seconde order polynomial regression model, the stationary point is obtained by solving simultaneous linear equations. But the point is a function of random variables. We can find a confidence region for this point as Box and Hunter provided. However, the confidence region is often too large to be useful for the experiments, and it is necessary to augment additional design points in order to obtain a satisfactory confidence region for the stationary point. In this note, the author suggests a method how to augment design points "eficiently", and shows the change of the confidence region of the estimated stationary point in a response surface.e surface.

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Change-Point Estimation and Bootstrap Confidence Regions in Weibull Distribution

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.359-370
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    • 1999
  • We considered a change-point hazard rate model generalizing constant hazard rate model. This type of model is very popular in the sense that the Weibull and exponential distributions formulating survival time data are the special cases of it. Maximum likelihood estimation and the asymptotic properties such as the consistency and its limiting distribution of the change-point estimator were discussed. A parametric bootstrap method for finding confidence intervals of the unknown change-point was also suggested and the proposed method is explained through a practical example.

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On Confidence Intervals of High Breakdown Regression Estimators

  • Lee Dong-Hee;Park YouSung;Kim Kang-yong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.205-210
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    • 2004
  • A weighted self-tuning robust regression estimator (WSTE) has the high breakdown point for estimating regression parameters such as other well known high breakdown estimators. In this paper, we propose to obtain standard quantities like confidence intervals, and it is found to be superior to the other high breakdown regression estimators when a sample is contaminated

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An Improvement on Target Costing Technique

  • Wu, Hsin-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2003
  • The target costing technique, mathematically discussed by Sauers, only uses the $C_p index along with Taguchi loss function and $\bar{X}$-P control charts to setup goal control limits. The new specification limits derived from Taguchi loss function is linked through the $C_p value to $\bar{X}$-P control charts to obtain goal control limits. Studies have shown that the point estimator of the $C_p index, $C_p, could vary from time to time due to the sampling error. The suggested approach is to use confidence intervals, especially the lower confidence intervals, to replace the point estimator. Therefore, an improvement on target costing technique is presented by applying the lower confidence interval of the $C_p index and using both Taguchi and Spiring's loss functions together with $\bar{X}$-P charts to make this technique more robust in practice. An example is also provided to illustrate how the improved target costing technique works.

The effect of anchor extremity and question difficulty on anchoring effect (기준점의 극단성과 문항 난이도가 기준점 효과에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Myoungjin;Lee, Yoonhyoung;Kim, Kyungil
    • Korean Journal of Cognitive Science
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.77-93
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    • 2022
  • Previous studies have reported that a plausible reference point has a greater anchoring effect than an extreme reference point. It is also known that the anchoring effect decreases when the individual's level of knowledge related to a given item is high. However, there has been no study examining the interaction of the plausibility of the reference point and the difficulty of the given question. Therefore, in this study, the effect of the reference plausibility and the difficulty of the questions on the anchoring effect were examined. The relationship between the response confidence and the anchoring effect was also examined. To do so, easy and difficult questions, plausible and extreme reference points were selected through preliminary research. The experiment was conducted following the 'standard anchoring task procedure'. As results, the extremity of the reference point and the difficulty of the question affected the size of the anchoring effect respectively. The difficulty of the question also affected the confidence of the response. Specifically, when a plausible reference point was presented and when a difficult question was presented, the anchoring effects were increased. In addition, the lower the confidence in one's performances, the greater the influence of the reference point when an extreme reference point was presented. These results show that the plausibility of the given reference point and the difficulty of the item have different effects on the magnitude of the anchoring effect and the degree of confidence. The results of this study support the attitude change perspective regarding the anchoring effect, which suggests that the anchoring effect varies depending on the characteristics of the reference point and the individual's knowledge.

Change-Point Problems in a Sequence of Binomial Variables

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 1996
  • For the Change-point problem in a sequence of binomial variables we consider the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) of unknown change-point. Its asymptotic distribution is quite limited in the case of binomial variables with different numver of trials at each time point. Hinkley and Hinkley (1970) gives an asymptotic distribution of the MLE for a sequence of Bernoulli random variables. To find the asymptotic distribution a numerical method such as bootstrap can be used. Another concern of our interest in the inference on the change-point and we derive confidence sets based on the liklihood ratio test(LRT). We find approximate confidence sets from the bootstrap distribution and compare the two results through an example.

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Comparison of the Kaplan-Meier and Nelson Estimators using Bootstrap Confidence Intervals

  • Cha, Young Joon;Lee, Jae Man
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.42-51
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    • 1995
  • The bootstrap confidence intervals are a computer-based method for assigning measures of accuracy to statistical estimators. In this paper we examine the small sample behavior of the Kaplan-Meier and Nelson-type estimators for the survival function using the bootstrap and asymptotic normal-theory confidence intervals. The Nelson-type estimator is nearly always better than the Kaplan-Meier estimator in the sense of achieved error rates. From the point of confidence length, the reverse is true. Also, we show that the bootstrap confidence intervals are better than the asymptotic normal-theory confidence intervals in terms of achieved error rates and confidence length.

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Confidence Measure of Depth Map for Outdoor RGB+D Database (야외 RGB+D 데이터베이스 구축을 위한 깊이 영상 신뢰도 측정 기법)

  • Park, Jaekwang;Kim, Sunok;Sohn, Kwanghoon;Min, Dongbo
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.19 no.9
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    • pp.1647-1658
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    • 2016
  • RGB+D database has been widely used in object recognition, object tracking, robot control, to name a few. While rapid advance of active depth sensing technologies allows for the widespread of indoor RGB+D databases, there are only few outdoor RGB+D databases largely due to an inherent limitation of active depth cameras. In this paper, we propose a novel method used to build outdoor RGB+D databases. Instead of using active depth cameras such as Kinect or LIDAR, we acquire a pair of stereo image using high-resolution stereo camera and then obtain a depth map by applying stereo matching algorithm. To deal with estimation errors that inevitably exist in the depth map obtained from stereo matching methods, we develop an approach that estimates confidence of depth maps based on unsupervised learning. Unlike existing confidence estimation approaches, we explicitly consider a spatial correlation that may exist in the confidence map. Specifically, we focus on refining confidence feature with the assumption that the confidence feature and resultant confidence map are smoothly-varying in spatial domain and are highly correlated to each other. Experimental result shows that the proposed method outperforms existing confidence measure based approaches in various benchmark dataset.

An Integrated Sequential Inference Approach for the Normal Mean

  • Almahmeed, M.A.;Hamdy, H.I.;Alzalzalah, Y.H.;Son, M.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.415-431
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    • 2002
  • A unified framework for statistical inference for the mean of the normal distribution to derive point estimates, confidence intervals and statistical tests is proposed. This optimal design is justified after investigating the basic information and requirements that are possible and impossible to control when specifying practical and statistical requirements. Point estimation is only credible when viewed in the larger context of interval estimation, since the information required for optimal point estimation is unspecifiable. Triple sampling is proposed and justified as a reasonable sampling vehicle to achieve the specifiable requirements within the unified framework.

Interval Estimation of the Difference of two Population Proportions using Pooled Estimator

  • Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.389-399
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    • 2002
  • In order to examine whether the difference between two point estimates of population proportions is statistically significant, data analysts use two techniques. The first is to explore the overlap between two associated confidence intervals. Second method is to test the significance which is introduced at most statistical textbooks under the common assumptions of consistency, asymptotic normality, and asymptotic independence of the estimates. Under the null hypothesis which is two population proportions are equal, the pooled estimator of population proportion is preferred as a point estimator since two independent random samples are considered to be collected from one population. Hence as an alternative method, we could obtain another confidence interval of the difference of the population proportions with using the pooled estimate. We conclude that, among three methods, the overlapped method is under-estimated, and the difference of the population proportions method is over-estimated on the basis of the proposed method.