• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence interval

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AN IMPROVED CONFIDENCE INTERVAL FOR THE POPULATION PROPORTION IN A DOUBLE SAMPLING SCHEME SUBJECT TO FALSE-POSITIVE MISCLASSIFICATION

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.275-284
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    • 2007
  • Confidence intervals for the population proportion in a double sampling scheme subject to false-positive misclassification are considered. The confidence intervals are obtained by applying Agresti and Coull's approach, so-called "adding two-failures and two successes". They are compared in terms of coverage probabilities and expected widths with the Wald interval and the confidence interval given by Boese et al. (2006). The latter one is a test-based confidence interval and is known to have good properties. It is shown that the Agresti and Coull's approach provides a relatively simple but effective confidence interval.

On the Efficient Teaching Method of Confidence Interval in College Education

  • Kim, Yeung-Hoon;Ko, Jeong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1281-1288
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to consider the efficient methods for introducing the confidence interval. We explain various concepts and approaches about the confidence interval estimation. Computing methods for calculating the efficient confidence interval are suggested.

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Confidence Intervals for a Proportion in Finite Population Sampling

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.501-509
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    • 2009
  • Recently the interval estimation of binomial proportions is revisited in various literatures. This is mainly due to the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the well-known Wald confidence interval. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, the Agresti-Coull confidence interval, the Wilson confidence interval and the Bayes confidence interval resulting from the noninformative Jefferys prior were recommended by Brown et al. (2001). However, unlike the binomial distribution case, little is known about the properties of the confidence intervals in finite population sampling. In this note, the property of confidence intervals is investigated in anile population sampling.

Choosing between the Exact and the Approximate Confidence Intervals: For the Difference of Two Independent Binomial Proportions

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.363-372
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    • 2009
  • The difference of two independent binomial proportions is frequently of interest in biomedical research. The interval estimation may be an important tool for the inferential problem. Many confidence intervals have been proposed. They can be classified into the class of exact confidence intervals or the class of approximate confidence intervals. Ore may prefer exact confidence interval s in that they guarantee the minimum coverage probability greater than the nominal confidence level. However, someone, for example Agresti and Coull (1998) claims that "approximation is better than exact." It seems that when sample size is large, the approximate interval is more preferable to the exact interval. However, the choice is not clear when sample, size is small. In this note, an exact confidence and an approximate confidence interval, which were recommended by Santner et al. (2007) and Lee (2006b), respectively, are compared in terms of the coverage probability and the expected length.

The Weighted Polya Posterior Confidence Interval For the Difference Between Two Independent Proportions (독립표본에서 두 모비율의 차이에 대한 가중 POLYA 사후분포 신뢰구간)

  • Lee Seung-Chun
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.171-181
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    • 2006
  • The Wald confidence interval has been considered as a standard method for the difference of proportions. However, the erratic behavior of the coverage probability of the Wald confidence interval is recognized in various literatures. Various alternatives have been proposed. Among them, Agresti-Caffo confidence interval has gained the reputation because of its simplicity and fairly good performance in terms of coverage probability. It is known however, that the Agresti-Caffo confidence interval is conservative. In this note, a confidence interval is developed using the weighted Polya posterior which was employed to obtain a confidence interval for the binomial proportion in Lee(2005). The resulting confidence interval is simple and effective in various respects such as the closeness of the average coverage probability to the nominal confidence level, the average expected length and the mean absolute error of the coverage probability. Practically it can be used for the interval estimation of the difference of proportions for any sample sizes and parameter values.

Confidence intervals on variance components in multiple regression model with one-fold nested error strucutre (중첩오차를 갖는 중회귀모형에서 분산의 신뢰구간)

  • 박동준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.495-498
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    • 1996
  • Regression model with nested error structure interval estimations about variability on different stages are proposed. This article derives an approximate confidence interval on the variance in the first stage and an exact confidence interval on the variance in the second stage in two stage regression model. The approximate confidence interval is based on Ting et al. (1990) method. Computer simulation is provided to show that the approximate confidence interval maintains the stated confidence coefficient.

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Confidence Intervals on Variance Components in Two Stage Regression Model

  • Park, Dong-Joon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 1996
  • In regression model with nested error structure interval estimations about variability on different stages are proposed. This article derives an approximate confidence interval on the variance in the first stage and an exact confidence interval on the variance in the second stage in two stage regression model. The approximate confidence interval is vased on Ting et al. (1990) method. Computer simulation is procided to show that the approximate confidence interval maintains the stated confidence coeffient.

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Confidence Intervals for the Difference of Binomial Proportions in Two Doubly Sampled Data

  • Lee, Seung-Chun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.309-318
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    • 2010
  • The construction of asymptotic confidence intervals is considered for the difference of binomial proportions in two doubly sampled data subject to false-positive error. The coverage behaviors of several likelihood based confidence intervals and a Bayesian confidence interval are examined. It is shown that a hierarchical Bayesian approach gives a confidence interval with good frequentist properties. Confidence interval based on the Rao score is also shown to have good performance in terms of coverage probability. However, the Wald confidence interval covers true value less often than nominal level.

Confidence Interval for Capability Process Indices by the Resampling Method (재표집방법에 의한 공정관리지수의 신뢰구간)

  • 남경현
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we utilize the asymptotic variance of $C_{pk}$ to propose a two-sided confidence interval based on percentile-t bootstrap method. This confidence interval is compared with the ones based on the standard and percentile bootstrap methods. Simulation results show that percentile-t bootstrap method is preferred to other methods for constructing the confidence interval.l.

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Comparison of confidence intervals for testing probabilities of a system (시스템의 확률 값 시험을 위한 신뢰구간 비교 분석)

  • Hwang, Ik-Soon
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.5 no.5
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    • pp.435-443
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    • 2010
  • When testing systems that incorporate probabilistic behavior, it is necessary to apply test inputs a number of times in order to give a test verdict. Interval estimation can be used to assert the correctness of probabilities where the selection of confidence interval is one of the important issues for quality of testing. The Wald interval has been widely accepted for interval estimation. In this paper, we compare the Wald interval and the Agresti-Coull interval for various sizes of samples. The comparison is carried out based on the test pass probability of correct implementations and the test fail probability of incorrect implementations when these confidence intervals are used for probability testing. We consider two-sided confidence intervals to check if the probability is close to a given value. Also one-sided confidence intervals are considered in the comparison in order to check if the probability is not less than a given value. When testing probabilities using two-sided confidence intervals, we recommend the Agresti-Coull interval. For one-sided confidence intervals, the Agresti-Coull interval is recommended when the size of samples is large while either one of two confidence intervals can be used for small size samples.