• Title/Summary/Keyword: Confidence Evaluation

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Performance Evaluation of High-Level Ozone Prediction Model Based on the Confidence Level Test (신뢰수준평가에 기반한 고농도 오존 예측모델의 성능평가)

  • 정재룡;안항배;송치권;배현;전병희;김성신
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2002.12a
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    • pp.195-198
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    • 2002
  • 고농도오존이 발생되는 원인과 환경적 요인의 상호관계를 모델링하기 위해 신경회로 망과 같은 지능제어 기법들이 많이 적용되어 왔다 분석과 모델링을 위해 유전자 알고리즘과 같은 최적화 방법을 적용하기도 하지만, 고농도 오존이 발생되는 메커니즘이 매우 복잡하고, 비선형적이며, 패턴파악이 어렵기 때문에 고농도 오존의 예측 모델링에는 여전히 문제점이 있다 따라서 본 논문에서는 신뢰수준과 신뢰구간을 이용하여 초농도 오존을 예측할 수 있는 모델링 방법을 서술하였다 예측값의 신뢰수준의 평가는 예측에 대한 실측값을 구하여 신뢰구간내의 데이터의 개수를 파악함으로써 신뢰성을 평가할 수 있다. 또한 이 테스트는 우리가 가지고 있지 않은 데이터에 대한 유효성을 평가하는데 적용될 수 있다 그리고 본 논문에서는 GMDH(Group Method of data handling)의 전형적인 알고리즘에 바탕을 두고 있는 DPNN(Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network)를 이용하여 예측 모델을 구성하였다. DPNN은 데이터 해석이 용이하고 비선형적인 동적 시스템 예측에 유용하게 적용될 수 있는 장점을 가지고 있다.

Knowledge and Attitude about Cardiopulmonary Resuscitation for Nursing Students (간호학생의 심폐소생술에 대한 지식 및 태도)

  • Ahn, Eun-Kyong;Cho, Mee-Kyung
    • The Korean Journal of Emergency Medical Services
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2009
  • Purpose : This study was to examine the knowledge and attitude about cardiopulmonary resuscitation(CPR) for nursing students, and to basic data with CPR education program for nursing student. Method : 128 nursing students filled out a self-administered questionnaires. The data were collected by CPR knowledge and attitude modified by the authors based on Kim's inventory (2008). Result : Nursing students weren't knowledgeable nor confident of CPR. But they had positive attitude about as a first responder. Conclusion : Intensive education by the level of knowledge should be provided for nursing students to master the knowhow of CPR, especially cardiac compression, and evaluation should be reinforced as well. And an education should be offered to enhance their confidence CPR performing CPR.

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Evaluation of Performance Measures for Redundant Systems

  • Shin, Sang-Wook;Lee, Chong-Hyung;Lee, Jae-Hak;Park, Dong-Ho
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.107-115
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    • 2001
  • This paper considers some reliability indices, such as availability, average availability, reliability and steady state availability, of a redundant system with the function of switchover processing. We also derive the confidence limits for steady state availability of such system. The system, which is considered in this paper, consists of an active unit, a standby unit and a switchover device. In addition, the switchover processing is controlled by a control module. The effect of failure of the control module is taken into account to develop our reliability model for the redundant structure. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate our results.

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Statistical evaluation of the monotonic models for FRP confined concrete prisms

  • Hosseinpour, Farid;Abdelnaby, Adel E.
    • Advances in concrete construction
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.161-185
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    • 2015
  • FRP confining is a widely used method for seismic retrofitting of concrete columns. Several studies investigated the stress-strain behavior of FRP confined concrete prisms with square and rectangular sections both experimentally and analytically. In some studies, the monotonic stress-strain behavior of confined concrete was investigated and compressive strength models were developed. To study the reliability of these models, thorough statistical tests are required. This paper aims to investigate the reliability of the presented models using statistical tests including t-test, wilcoxon rank sum test, wilcoxon signed rank test and sign test with a level of significance of 5%. Wilk Shapiro test was also employed to evaluate the normality of the data distribution. The results were compared for different cross section and confinement types. To see the accuracy of the models when there were no significant differences between the results, the coefficient of confidence was used.

A Study of the Single PPM Quality Innovation's Movement and Satisfaction in the Enterprise (싱글PPM 품질혁신 운동과 기업의 만족도에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Sung;Koo, Il-Seob
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.145-152
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    • 2008
  • Single PPM Quality Innovation Movement is originally developed quality program in Korea for supplier's quality level-up since 1995. The quality target is below the 10ppm(parts per million) in outgoing quality and delivered goods plus field claim. This Single PPM Quality Innovation Movement program was conducted to realize the anticipated results not only due to management result level's increasing, but also the company's confidence and competitiveness. This study attempted to find the mutual influences on the participation of the constituent members, satisfaction of the constituent members and results of the management from Single PPM Quality Innovation Movement. The reliance analysis for the measurement material on the questionnaire was verified by Cronbach's alpha coefficient. Participation of the constituent members, satisfaction of the constituent member and result of the management, the influences upon Single PPM improvement degree level were verified through the structural analysis by using SPSS statistic package. The influence evaluation among the groups was evaluated by the structure equation.

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Design and experimentation of remote driving system for robotic speed sprayer operating in orchard environment

  • Wonpil, Yu;Soohwan Song
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.479-491
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    • 2023
  • The automation of agricultural machines is an irreversible trend considering the demand for improved productivity and lack of labor in handling agricultural tasks. Unstructured working environments and weather often inhibit a seemingly simple task from being fully autonomously performed. In this context, we propose a remote driving system (RDS) to aid agricultural machines designed to operate autonomously. Particularly, we modify a commercial speed sprayer for orchard environments into a robotic speed sprayer to evaluate the proposed RDS's usability and test three sensor configurations in terms of human performance. Furthermore, we propose a confidence error ellipsebased task performance measure to evaluate human performance. In addition, we present field experimental results describing how the sensor configurations affect human performance. We find that a combination of a semiautonomous line tracking device and a wide-angle camera is the most effective for spraying. Finally, we discuss how to improve the proposed RDS in terms of usability and obtain a more accurate measure of human performance.

Development of Durable Reliability Assessment Methods for Heavy Duty Coatings

  • Kim, Seung-Jin;Jung, Ho;Yang, In-Mo;Tanaka, Takeyuki
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.155-163
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    • 2005
  • Heavy duty coating are required to have minimum durable period of 15 years under average usage environment because these paints are coated with purpose of anti-corrosion, antifouling, plastering etc. Onto steel structures constructed upon land and sea and other ferrous structures of electric power generation plants, electricity transmission towers, large structures of various plants, etc. Therefore we tried to estimate heavy duty coating longevity through reliability evaluation method and used combined cyclic anti-conrrosion test method composed of drying, moisturizing and salt spray as for accelerated life test to estimate longevity. Accelerated life test hours to heavy duty coating of first grade (with longevity not less than 15 years) specification may be obtained from troubleless test hours $t_n=\frac{B_p}{n^{1/\beta}}\left[\frac{1n(1-CL)}{1n(1-p)} \right]^{1/\beta}=19.671$ (yr) where shape parameter $\beta=1.1$, confidence level CL=80 %, warranty life $B_{10}=15$ yr and sampling size n=10 (2 sets). Because acceleration factor {AF} found by accelerated test is 41.7, accelerated life test hours required may be represented about 4,132 hr so that if this amount of hours is converted to number of cycles(6 hr/cycle) of complex cycle corrosion resistance test then the amount is tantamount about 690 cycles. That means if there does not occur trouble failure (with defect factor sum not more than 20) during when there is performed 690 cycles of combined cyclic anti-corrosion test to heavy duty coating specimen then it signifies that there can be warranted longevity $B_{10}$ of 15 yr under condition of confidence level CL=80 %.

A Study on Improving the Reliability of DSRC Traffic Information Considering Traffic and Road Characteristics - Focusing on Busan Urban Expressway - (교통 및 도로특성을 고려한 DSRC 교통정보 신뢰성 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Yeon Tak;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.1535-1545
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    • 2014
  • This study aims at improving the Reliability of DSRC Traffic information considering Traffic and Road Characteristics. First of all, this study analyzed the characteristics of DSRC data on urban expressway and problems of outlier data occurrence. After then, this study produced reliable traffic information by using an optimal method of the Outlier-Filtering. After Outlier-Filtering, this study performed accuracy evaluation and appropriateness check for the number of samples per confidence level. As a result, it showed that the MAPE was between 2.2% and 9.7% and RSME was between 2.2 and 7.5 which are very similar figures to the actual average traffic speed. Also, The samples of both Am peak and Pm peak periods were analyzed to be appropriate at the confidence level of 95%, and 90% within the allowable error range of 5kph.

The Effects of STEAM Program Using Landslide on High School Students' Affective Domain (산사태에 관한 STEAM 프로그램이 고등학생들의 정의적 영역에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jungju;Wee, Soomeen
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.360-366
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to find out the effects of STEAM program on affective domain in high school students. For this purpose, we developed a STEAM program based on 'Landslide and Life' and applied it to 16 members of science club in high school for 7 weeks. We conducted a pre- and post-test of students' scientific attitude in affective domain. We also conducted a survey and in-depth interview about the STEAM program after the implementation of the program. Regarding scientific attitude, the STEAM program found positive on students' increased interest, value, confidence, and general attitude about science. Results of the program evaluation questionnaire, depicted that the most response was made to an item that the program was much helpful in affective domain and that there were positive changes in cognitive domain.

Development of an Obesity Management Program for Elementary School Children - Based on Keller's Motivation Theory - (초등학생 비만관리프로그램 개발을 위한 예비연구 - Keller의 동기이론을 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Min-Jeong;Kim, Hee-Soon;Kim, Sun-Ah;Kim, Duk-Hee
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.257-264
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    • 2007
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to develop an effective obesity management program for elementary school children, based on the motivation theory. Method: This study was a methodological study. A child obesity management program, based on the motivation theory was developed, a web site was made and children with obesity participated in the internet program. After the children finished the program, they evaluated the clinical validity of the program. The clinical validity was tested from Jun 12 to 16, 2006. The participants were 6 students. The evaluation tool was Keller's IMMS(Instructional Material Motivation Survey). Data were evaluated using $means{\pm}SD$ for four major components A,R,C,S (Attention, Relevance, Confidence, Satisfaction), based on ARCS in the motivation theory. Results: The program developed in this study was named 'ARCS children obesity escape', and the URL is 'http://www.119kid.co.kr'. Regarding the four components of ARCS, the overall reaction of participants showed that they were very highly motivated by this program. Conclusion: Utilizing the ARCS motivation strategies for solving obesity problems for children is an effective method to motivate the management of obesity, and can increase achievement motivation, attention, relevance, confidence, and satisfaction with the management of obesity. Thus, the program developed in this study is expected to reduce obesity in children, and become an important guide for obesity management and health improvement for children.

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