• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conceptual cost estimates

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A Study on the Key Factors Influencing the Reliability of Conceptual cost estimates in Building Construction Projects (건축 프로젝트 개산견적 신뢰도에 영향을 미치는 주요 인자에 관한 연구)

  • An, Sung-Hoon;Park, U-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.53-59
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    • 2008
  • Cost estimates are very important to their decision-making in the early stages of a construction project. So Clients have wanted not only to know the results of conceptual cost estimates but also to assess their quality Conceptual cost estimates process is very complex process, so the results of cost estimates are influenced by various factors. So the purpose of this study is to reveal the key factors which influence the reliability of conceptual cost estimates in building construction projects. The analytic hierarchy process is used to determine the relative important weights of elements influencing the conceptual cost estimates. And factor analysis is used to reveal the key factors from the elements that influence the conceptual cost estimates. The results showed that the key factors is an experience level, available data level, level of will for winning the bid, difficulty level of conceptual cost estimate, uncertainty level.

Development of Reliability for Conceptual Cost Estimates in Construction Projects (건축프로젝트 개산견적 신뢰도 향상 방안)

  • An, Sung-Hoon;Kang, Kyung-In
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2006.11a
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    • pp.175-180
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    • 2006
  • Total conceptual cost estimates and the assessment of the reliability of these estimates are critical in the early stages of a building construction project. The purpose of this study is to propose the method to clients or estimators for improving the reliability of conceptual cost estimates by evaluating the reliability of conceptual cost estimates. The data from 83 building construction projects were collected for this study. The results showed that the proposed method can propose alternatives to clients or estimators for improving the reliability of conceptual cost estimates with the process of evaluation, review and feedback. This process can assist clients in their evaluation of the reliability of the estimated cost and the probability of exceeding the target cost, and in their re-estimation after dealing with the elements that influence the conceptual cost estimate badly.

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A Study on the process for Managing the Reliability of Conceptual cost estimates in Building Projects (건축 프로젝트 개산견적 신뢰도 관리 프로세스에 관한 연구)

  • An, Sung-Hoon;Kim, Dae-Won;Park, U-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.133-138
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    • 2010
  • Conceptual cost is estimated with insufficient information at an early stage of a building construction project, resulting in an inevitable gap between conceptual estimated cost and real constructed cost. For a project to be successful, this gap must be managed to be lower than a reliable level. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to propose a structural process for managing the reliability of conceptual cost estimates at an early stage of a building construction project. In researching this study, conceptual cost estimate experts were interviewed,and a risk management process was studied. Reliability assessment and a review process for improving the quality of conceptual cost estimate and the planning strategy of reliability management based on previous similar projects were added to the present estimate process. The proposed reliability management process will improve the chances of a successful project, by helping to decrease the risk of conceptual estimated cost.

A Study on Proper Acquisition Cost Estimation Using the PRICE Model (PRICE모델을 이용한 적정 획득비용 추정 방안)

  • 한현진;강성진
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.10-27
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    • 2001
  • This paper deals with the application of PRICE model in estimating the proper acquisition cost for weapon budgeting phase. The PRICE(Parametric Review of Information for Costing and Evaluation) Hardware model is a computerized method for deriving cost estimates of electronic and mechanical hardware assemblies and systems. The model can be used in obtaining not only initial cost estimates in conceptual phase, but also detailed cost estimates in budgeting phase depending on available historical and empirical data. We analyzed first step cost estimate parameters and derived cost equations using PRICe output dta. Using weight and complexity, We can find cost variation. Sensitivity analysis shows that cost increases exponentially as complexity increases exponentially as complexity increases. We estimated KAAV\`s (Korea Amphibious Assault Vehicle) production cost using the PRICE model and compare with engineering cost estimates which is based on actual production data submitted by the production company. The result shows that tow estimates are close within $\pm2%$ differences.

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STATISTICALLY PREPROCESSED DATA BASED PARAMETRIC COST MODEL FOR BUILDING PROJECTS

  • Sae-Hyun Ji;Moonseo Park;Hyun-Soo Lee
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2009
  • For a construction project to progress smoothly, effective cost estimation is vital, particularly in the conceptual and schematic design stages. In these early phases, despite the fact that initial estimates are highly sensitive to changes in project scope, owners require accurate forecasts which reflect their supplying information. Thus, cost estimators need effective estimation strategies. Practically, parametric cost estimates are the most commonly used method in these initial phases, which utilizes historical cost data (Karshenas 1984, Kirkham 2007). Hence, compilation of historical data regarding appropriate cost variance governing parameters is a prime requirement. However, precedent practice of data mining (data preprocessing) for denoising internal errors or abnormal values is needed before compilation. As an effort to deal with this issue, this research proposed a statistical methodology for data preprocessing and verified that data preprocessing has a positive impact on the enhancement of estimate accuracy and stability. Moreover, Statistically Preprocessed data Based Parametric (SPBP) cost models are developed based on multiple regression equations and verified their effectiveness compared with conventional cost models.

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Framework of Conceptual Estimation Model for BIM based Internal Finishes of High-rise Building Project (BIM기반의 초고층 빌딩 내부마감 개략견적 코스트모델 개발)

  • Chung, Suwan;Kwon, Soonwook
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2014
  • Previous studies reveal the need for a tool to cost estimation of building design in early design stages. This paper proposes an internal finishes cost model tool to address this need. The tool allows users to evaluate the functionality, economics and quality of finishes concurrently with high-rise building design. Lack of information in the early stages of the project enables a relatively accurate estimates of work to raise up. Measurements are automatically extracted from simple design information and profile driven estimates are revised in real-time. The data model uses a flexible unit rate system that can easily be extended to other estimate dimensions such as mix-use building surcharge rate estimation. The approach illustrated in this paper is applicable to BIM tool conceptual estimation that support for massing purposes other than the one chosen for this study.

Conceptual Cost Estimate Method of Public Office Building Structural Frame Work by Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 통한 공공청사 골조 공사의 개산견적 방안)

  • Jo, Yeong-Ho;Choi, Hyun-Jun;Kim, Jung-Won;Yun, Seok-Heon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.147-153
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    • 2020
  • It is important to estimate the optimal construction cost at the early stage of the project. In this regard, conceptual cost estimate is an important factor for estimate optimal construction cost. However, domestic conceptual cost estimate are only used as cost per unit area according to the building type, and it's accuracy is not high. Hence, the purpose of this study is to calculate the approximate quantity and cost for reinforcing bars, concrete, and formwork by presenting a regression formula based on the total floor area of the common work items in the frame work. In order to verify the accuracy and validity of the regression formula presented in this study, a comparative analysis was performed by applying the regression formula and the traditional approximate quantity take-off method to real cases. As a result, the estimated error rate of the traditional method was -102~+55%, and exceeded the estimated conceptual cost estimate accuracy range of -50~+100% suggested by AACE(American Association of Cost Engineering). On the other hand, the error rate of the regression formula method presented in this study was -6.4~+11.62%. This can be used not only for conceptual cost estimate range of accuracy, but also for detailed estimates. However, it is necessary to analyze the factors that affect the unit price as well as quantity in order to calculate the appropriate cost.

Development of an Activity-Based Conceptual Cost Estimating Model for P.S.CBox Girder Bridge (대표공종 기반의 P.S.C 박스 거더교 개략공사비 산정모델 개발 -상부공사 중심으로-)

  • Cho, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Sang-Bum
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.197-201
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    • 2008
  • Conceptual cost estimates for domestic highway projects have generally been conducted using governmental unit-price references. Inaccuracies in governmental unit-price data has repeatedly addressed in the Korean construction industry which often lead to poor decision making and cost management practices. Thus, needs for developing a better way of conceptual cost estimating has been widely recognized. This research is considered as the first step in developing such model using real-world cost data based on actual construction activities. The data analyzed in this paper includes 41 P.S.C (Prestressed Concrete) Box bridges which broke into 4 categories based on construction methods such as I.L.M(Incremental Launching Method), M.S.S(Movable Scaffolding System), F.S.M(Full Staging Method), and F.C.M(Free Cantilever Method). Actual design documents; including actual cost estimating documents, drawings and specifications were carefully reviewed to effectively break down cost structures for PSC girder bridges. Among more than 40 cost categories for each P.S.C girder bridge type, 7 of them were identified which accounted for more than 95% of total construction cost (ILM: 99.47%, MSS: 99.22%, FSM: 98.18%, and FCM: 98.12%). In order to validate the clustering of cost categories, the variation of each cost category has been investigated which resulted in between -1.16 % and 0.59%.

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A Study on the Construction Cost Index for Calculating Conceptual Estimation : 1970-1999 (개략공사비 산출을 위한 공사비 지수 연구 : 1970-1999)

  • Nam, Song Hyun;Park, Hyung Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.527-534
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    • 2020
  • A significant factor in construction work is cost. At early- and advanced-stage design, costs should be calculated to derive realistic cost estimates according to unit price calculation. Based on these estimates, the economic feasibility of construction work is assessed, and whether to proceed is determined. Through the Korea Institute of Civil Engineering and Building Technology, the construction cost index has been calculated by indirect methods after both the producer price index and construction market labor have been reprocessed to easily adjust the price changes of construction costs in Korea, and the Institute has announced it since 2004. As of January 2000, however, the construction cost index was released, and this has a time constraint on the correction and use of past construction cost data to the present moment. Variables were calculated to compute a rough construction cost that utilized past construction costs through surveys of the producer price index and the construction market labor force consisting of the construction cost index. After significant independent variables among the many variables were selected through correlation analysis, the construction cost index from 1970 to 1999 was calculated and presented through multiple regression analysis. This study therefore has prominent significance in terms of proposing a method of calculating rough construction costs that utilize construction costs that pre-date the 2000s.

Development of a Conceptual Estimate Methodology for Plant Construction Projects (플랜트 건설 프로젝트를 위한 개산견적 방법론 개발)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Choi, Jaehyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2019
  • In the overseas plant construction market, the domain construction firms' construction capability has been greatly improved, but the capability of project management is evaluated to be insufficient compared to the technical aspect. Project management capabilities from the initial planning stage of project execution are regarded as the core competence of advanced construction companies. Among them, it is urgent to improve the capacity of conceptual estimate for domestic companies. In this study, the researchers surveyed and analyzed the methodology of estimating project cost in the planning phase of the plant project and developed an estimation method by conducting a case study analysis. Based on the logic of the cost index and parametric estimation method among the existing estimation methodology, the estimation tool was developed by deriving the input and output variables tailored to the plant project. The validity of the proposed methodology was evaluated by comparing the accuracy between the project estimate amount of the case project and the actual project amount. In order to increase the utilization of the developed conceptual estimate methodology,for plant construction project, it is necessary to systematize the data of the historical project data. Increasing the accuracy of future project cost estimates is directly related to increasing project award and profitability of the domestic construction company.