• Title/Summary/Keyword: Composite Index

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Evaluation of Future Hydrologic Risk of Drought in Nakdong River Basin Using Bayesian Classification-Based Composite Drought Index (베이지안 분류 기반 통합가뭄지수를 활용한 낙동강 유역의 미래 가뭄에 대한 수문학적 위험도 분석)

  • Kim, Hyeok;Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Jiyoung;Yoo, Jiyoung;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.3
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    • pp.309-319
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the frequency and intensity of meteorological disasters have increased due to climate change. In South Korea, there are regional differences in vulnerability and response capability to cope with climate change because of regional climate characteristics. In particular, drought results from various factors and is linked to extensive meteorological, hydrological, and agricultural impacts. Therefore, in order to effectively cope with drought, it is necessary to use a composite drought index that can take into account various factors, and to evaluate future droughts comprehensively considering climate change. This study evaluated hydrologic risk(${\bar{R}}$) of future drought in the Nakdong River basin based on the Dynamic Naive Bayesian Classification (DNBC)-based composite drought index, which was calculated by applying Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI), Streamflow Drought Index (SDI), Evaporate Stress Index (ESI) and Water Supply Capacity Index (WSCI) to the DNBC. The indices used in the DNBC were calculated using observation data and climate scenario data. A bivariate frequency analysis was performed for the severity and duration of the composite drought. Then using the estimated bivariate return periods, hydrologic risks of drought were calculated for observation and future periods. The overall results indicated that there were the highest risks during the future period (2021-2040) (${\bar{R}}$=0.572), and Miryang River (#2021) had the highest risk (${\bar{R}}$=0.940) on average. The hydrologic risk of the Nakdong River basin will increase highly in the near future (2021-2040). During the far future (2041-2099), the hydrologic risk decreased in the northern basins, and increased in the southern basins.

A Quantitative Evaluation of Composite Indicators : Empirical Analysis of Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project (비명시적 평가지표를 활용한 농촌정책 평가)

  • Hwang, Jae-Hee;Lee, Seong-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a quantitative evaluation method that can analyze the policy effectiveness with the construction of a implicit composite index incorporating spatial econometrics models. In order to propose a methodological framework for the program evaluation, this study conducts an empirical analysis with the application of the Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project (CRVDP) which explicitly claims to achieve comprehensive goal of community development. The present study pays particular attention to quantifying the composite evaluation index and drawing net effect through the application of a series of spatial econometrics models. The spatial unit of the analysis is drawn at Eup-Myeon level in rural areas in Korea, and the time horizon is in between 2005 and 2010. We utilize the Korean Agricultural Census data in 2005 and 2010. Three steps of methodological processes are needed to satisfy the objective of the present study. First, we apply factor analysis to construct the composite index that represents comprehensive settlement environment in rural area. The index should be matched with the main objective of the CRVDP. Second, we apply the derived index to a series of spatial econometrics model as dependent variable. Lastly, utilizing the estimated coefficients of the econometrics models, we apply decomposition technique to estimate CRVDP's net effect from both cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives. We find that the results of the decomposition analysis by the execution of the CRVDP are positively associated with the explicit object of the project.

A Study on Composite Environmental Indices in Korea : Reinvited (한국의 종합환경지수 산정에 대한 재고찰)

  • Kang, Sang Mok;Lee, Myung Hun
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.461-487
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    • 2000
  • Kang et al. (1999) computed a composite environmental index in Korea by practicing the survey for environmental experts. They used the weighted sum form among feasible aggregation forms. In this study, we carry out the survey for both experts and non-experts to see the degree of differences of the weights for nine types of environmental problems between two groups. In addition, we apply different aggregation forms such as linear sum, weighted sum, root-sum-power, root-mean-square forms and compare these four outcomes. We found no significant discrepancy in the trends of composite indices. In case we rely on the weights provided by the experts, the composite index, on average, has been increased annually by about 7.2% over the 1986~1997 period, which informs us that overall environmental quality in 1997 has been worse than in 1986 by about 1.8 times.

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Characteristics of 10-day composite NDVI and LAI in Korea Peninsula Using NOAA AVHRR Data (NOAA AVHRR데이터를 이용한 한반도의 순별 NDVI와 LAI 특성)

  • Park, Jong-Hwa;Jun, Taek-Ki;Na, Sang-Il;Park, Min-Seo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.649-654
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    • 2005
  • This study proposes a particular approach to assess information about NDVI(Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) and LAI(Leaf Area Index) from the spectroradiometer and NOAA/AVHRR satellite data. AVHRR data were collected in twelves months over a one year period in 2004. We calculated 10-day composite NDVI using daily composite AVHRR surface reflectance products(1km spatial resolution). The 10-day composite NDVI have a great effect on the plant growth conditions. Considerably, NDVI was increased by developing muscle fiber tissue from April to May. Then the NDVI increased until the August and then decreased until February. The highest month was at August and the lower month was at December. The difference NDVI analysis using December and another months data was conducted, the results were provided information on the variation of vegetation coverage. The result suggest that a relationship established between the LAI and NDVI in 2004.

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Fabrication and Evaluation of Composite Panel with L-shaped Stiffeners (L-형 보강재를 가진 복합재 패널의 제작과 평가)

  • Yun, Jong-Hwa;Choi, Jin-Ho;Kweon, Jin-Hwe
    • Composites Research
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.99-104
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    • 2013
  • The design of composite joint is important research area because they are often the weakest areas in composite structures. In this paper, the specimens with three paste thickness (0.2 mm, 0.6 mm, 4 mm) were manufactured in secondary bonding method and tested in two different loading direction condition. Also, the failure index of the L-type stiffener was calculated by the finite element method and compared with experimental results.

Dynamic Spillover for the Economic Risk in Korea on Global Uncertainty

  • Jeon, Ji-Hong
    • Journal of Distribution Science
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - We document the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in the US and China on the dynamic spillover effect of macroeconomics such as stock price, housing price in Korea. Research design, data, and methodology - We use the nine variables to analyze the effect which produces a result among the EPU indexes of the US and China on economic variables which is the consumer price index (CPI), housing purchase price composite index, housing lease price, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry and distribution industry, and composite leading indicator from January 1995 to December 2016 with the Vector Error Correction Model. Result - The US EPU index has significantly a negative relation on the CPI, housing purchase price index, housing lease price index, the stock price index in banking industry, construction industry, and distribution industry in Korea. Conclusions - We find the dynamic effect of the EPU indexes in the US and China on the macroeconomics returns in Korea. This study has an empirical evidence that the economy market in Korea is influenced by the EPU index of the US rather than it of China. The higher EPU, the more risky the economy of in Korea.

A Study about the Real Estate' Policy Impact on house prices (Focusing on the time series analysis and regression) (부동산정책이 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (시계열분석과 회귀분석 중심으로))

  • Ko, Pill-Song;Park, Chang-Soo
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.205-213
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    • 2010
  • This study was to analyze the past regime's real estate policy and the time-series data on real estate price index from 1986 to 2009 in 24 years. Also, the real estate index and macroeconomic variables, the impact on house price index variable conducted to regression analysis and to analyze whether and how much is affected. Analyzed as follows: First, Korea's real estate policy was the post-policy and the past regime's real estate policy was inconsistent with each other. Second, in the normal phase whenever real estate issues, the measures of the strengthening regulation and of the economic recovery were only to repeat periodically. Third, the timing and means of policy enforcement was an inappropriate and Real estate market was getting worse at the time whenever a real estate policies performed. Fourth, The apartments prices index of the housing types rose the highest and were the most popular for 24 years. Increase or decrease the amount of the price index for apartments, Roh Tae-woo(65.0%) - Kim Dae-jung (42.5%) - Roh Moo-hyun (32.8%) were in order. Fifth, the results of the regression analysis carried out: The impact on housing prices among independent variables were followed by Cap Construction- one per capita income - Housing consumer price index - Accompanying Composite Index - Trailing Composite Index - Home subscription Subscriber account - Leading Composite Index.

“Left Shoulder”Detection in Korea Composite Stock Price Index Using an Auto-Associative Neural Network and Sign Variables (자기연상 학습 신경망과 부호 입력 변수를 이용한 종합주가지수 "왼쪽어깨" 패턴 검출)

  • 백진우;조성준
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.29-32
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    • 2000
  • We proposed a neural network based “left shoulder”detector. The auto-associative neural network was trained with the “left shoulder”patterns obtained from the Korea Composite Stock Price Index, and then tested out-of-sample with a reasonably good result. A hypothetical investment strategy based on the detector achieved a return of 132% in comparison with 39% return from a buy and hold strategy

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Research on Laminate Design Parameters to Maximize Performance Index of Composite Pressure Vessel (복합재 압력용기의 성능지수 최대화를 위한 적층 설계변수 연구)

  • Jeong, Seungmin;Hwang, Taekyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.529-535
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    • 2017
  • In this paper the laminate design parameters are researched to maximize the performance index of a composite pressure vessel. The pressure-resistant performance and the light-weight concept with contained internal space are implied in the performance index. To maximize the performance index, the three design variables that the thickness of each of helical and hoop layers and the length of hoop layer are considered under the assumption of fixed internal space. To optimize the variables, the response surface method is introduced for construction of the surrogate model and the ANOVA(analysis of variance) is performed to evaluate the effects of the variables. The optimization problem is formulated to maximize performance index under the burst pressure constraint. To verify the effectiveness of the research, numerical analyses are performed for the optimum model.

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Development of Composite Deprivation Index for Korea: The Correlation with Standardized Mortality Ratio (표준화사망비와 지역결핍지수의 상관관계: 지역사회 통합결핍지수 개발)

  • Shin, Ho-Sung;Lee, Sue-Hyung;Chu, Jang-Min
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.392-402
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    • 2009
  • Objectives : The aims of this paper were to develop the composite deprivation index (CDI) for the sub-district (Eup-Myen-Dong) levels based on the theory of social exclusion and to explore the relationship between the CDI and the standardized mortality ratio (SMR). Methods : The paper calculated the age adjusted SMR and we included five dimensions of social exclusion for CDI; unemployment, poverty, housing, labor and social network. The proxy variables of the five dimensions were the proportion of unemployed males, the percent of recipients receiving National Basic Livelihood Security Act benefits, the proportion of households under the minimum housing standard, the proportion of people with a low social class and the proportion of single-parent household. All the variables were standardized using geometric transformation and then we summed up them for a single index. The paper utilized the 2004-2006 National Death Registry data, the 2003-2006 national residents' registration data, the 2005 Population Census data and the 2005-2006 means-tested benefit recipients' data. Results : The figures were 115.6, 105.8 and 105.1 for the CDI of metropolitan areas (big cities), middle size cities and rural areas, respectively. The distributional variation of the CDI was the highest in metropolitan areas (8.9 - 353.7) and the lowest was in the rural areas (26.8 - 209.7). The extent and relative differences of deprivation increased with urbanization. Compared to the Townsend and Carstairs index, the CDI better represented the characteristics of rural deprivation. The correlation with the SMR was statistically significant and the direction of the CDI effects on the SMR was in accordance with that of the previous studies. Conclusions : The study findings indicated mortality inequalities due to the difference in the CDI. Despite the attempt to improve deprivation measures, further research is warranted for the consensus development of a deprivation index.