• Title/Summary/Keyword: Cointegration rank test

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Seasonal Cointegration Rank Tests for Daily Data

  • Song, Dae-Gun;Park, Suk-Kyung;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.695-703
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    • 2005
  • This paper extends the maximum likelihood seasonal cointegration procedure developed by Johansen and Schaumburg (1999) for daily time series. The finite sample distribution of the associated rank test for dally data is also presented.

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Nonparametric test for cointegration rank using Cholesky factor bootstrap

  • Lee, Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.587-592
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    • 2016
  • It is a long-standing issue to correctly determine the number of long-run relationships among time series processes. We revisit nonparametric test for cointegration rank and propose bootstrap refinements. Consistent with model-free nature of the tests, we make use of Cholesky factor bootstrap methods, which require weak conditions for data generating processes. Simulation studies show that the original Breitung's test have difficulty in obtaining the correct size due to dependence in cointegrated errors. Our proposed bootstrapped tests considerably mitigate size distortions and represent a complementary approach to other bootstrap refinements, including sieve methods.

Joint Test for Seasonal Cointegrating Ranks

  • Seong, Byeong-Chan;Yi, Yoon-Ju
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.719-726
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    • 2008
  • In this paper we consider a joint test for seasonal cointegrating(CI) ranks that enables us to simultaneously model cointegrated structures across seasonal unit roots in seasonal cointegration. A CI rank test for a single seasonal unit root is constructed and extended to a joint test for multiple seasonal unit roots. Their asymptotic distributions and selected critical values for the joint test are obtained. Through a small Monte Carlo simulation study, we evaluate performances of the tests.

Seasonal cointegration for daily data

  • Song, Dae-Gun;Cho, Sin-Sup;Park, Suk-Kyung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.13-15
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we propose an extension of the maximum likelihood seasonal cointegration procedure developed by Johansen and Schaumburg (1999) for daily time series. We presented the finite sample distribution of the associated rank test statistics for daily data.

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INFERENCE ON THE SEASONALLY COINTEGRATED MODEL WITH STRUCTURAL CHANGES

  • Song, Dae-Gun;Cho, Sin-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.501-522
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    • 2007
  • We propose an estimation procedure that can be used for detecting structural changes in the seasonal cointegrated vector autoregressive model. The asymptotic properties of the estimates and the test statistics for the parameter change are provided. A simulation example is presented to illustrate this method and its concept.

The performance evaluation of dam management by using Granger causal analysis (그랜저 인과분석을 통한 댐관리 성과평가)

  • Cho, Sung-Min;Yoo, Myoung-Kwan;Lee, Deokro
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.135-144
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    • 2021
  • This paper attempted to find implications for water resource management and water quality improvement by analyzing the causal relationship among discharge, water temperature and pollution index, which were expected to have a great effect on water quality with the rise of water temperature and precipitation change as the warming effect in recent years. For this purpose, the unit root test, cointegration test, and Granger causal test were carried out for 10 multi-purpose dams in Korean major water systems using time series data on discharge, water temperature, BOD, COD and DO. It was analyzed that the fluctuation of water temperature affected the pollution index more than the fluctuation of discharge volume. Also, Hapcheon dam and Chungju dam were the best water quality management dams based on the high causal relationship between water quality and discharge. The second rank was Daecheong dam. The third-ranking group were Yongdam and Andong dam, whose causal relationships between water quality and discharge were low. The last group were the remaining five dams.