• Land and Housing Review
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• v.11 no.2
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• pp.1-14
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• 2020

The aim of this study is to empirically identify the differentiating characteristics of determinant factors on sing-person households' commuting mode choice compared to multi-person households' one in order to establish the customized police directions to decrease private car use in commuting. While the study use the 2% sample survey data on the population and housing in 2015, it employ multinomial logit models on relative choice probability of such alternative commuting modes as bus, subway or rail, and walking, rather than driving. As potential determinant factors, the study employs demographic, socio-economic, and housing and residential one for both models of single-person and multi-person households. The study finds that the behavior of commuting mode choice has distinctive difference by gender, marriage status, physical activity constraint, job type, residential period in current housing of the single-person household's workers compared to the multi-person households' ones. Based on the findings, the study deduce ten commuting policy directions customized for the single-person household.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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• v.12 no.5
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• pp.656-662
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• 2009

In general, the analysis of travelers' mode choice behavior is accomplished by developing the utility functions which reflect individual's preference of mode choice according to their demographic and travel characteristics. In this paper, we propose a methodology that takes the spatial effects of individuals' departure locations into account in the mode choice model. The statistical models considered here are spatial logistic regression model and conditional autoregressive model taking a spatial association parameter into account. We employed the Bayesian approach in order to obtain more reliable parameter estimates. The proposed methodology allows us to estimate mode shares by departure places even though the survey does not cover all areas.

• Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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• v.44 no.3
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• pp.323-338
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• 2009

This study analyzes the changes in commuter's mode choice between 2002 and 2006 according to the implement of the integrated public transit system in Seoul metropolitan city. Especially this study focuses on differential changes in a transit modal choice among socioeconomic status, trip purpose and spatial characteristics of origin and destination. The probability of public transit use against automobile is modeled as a function of socioeconomic variables, spatial characteristics of origin and destination and the utility of the commuter's mode. The results from conditional logit model analyses suggest that people with lower income show the larger changes in the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Also both higher density, more accessible to public transit and more diverse land uses in residence zone and in work place generally increase the ratio of public transit choice between 2002-06. Car and subway have the most strong alternative relation in commuter's mode choice. The findings give an important implication that the integrated public transit system has differential impacts on commuter's mode choice in Seoul.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Educational Facilities
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• v.24 no.6
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• pp.27-36
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• 2017

Educational facilities have an affect to make a decently learning environment. After constructed, it needs a maintenance plan to keep the performance or function which provide the repair time, repair scope and ratio. But the fundamental data are so insufficient that the field worker can't provide the maintenance plan and has no choice use the other data which concerned with apartment or office building. Above all, the service life is indispensible to make a repair plan because the repair time and scope would be provided within the service life. This study aimed at providing the method to make a service life of component in educational facilities and applying the method into the roof proof and floor finishing. Results are shown that first, it is important to set the $1^{st}$ repair time after constructed. when it proposes the three ways with the probability approach, choice probability model and cumulative cost function. Second, the service life of roof proof is provided with about 35 years. In addition, the service life of the floor finishing is about 40 years. These result would be utilized to conduct the repair plan under the service life.

• Proceedings of the IEEK Conference
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• 2001.06c
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• pp.157-160
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• 2001

This paper has been studied a Adaptive Mutation rate Genetic Algorithm Processor. Genetic Algorithm(GA) has some control parameters such as the probability of bit mutation or the probability of crossover. These value give a priori by the designer There exists a wide variety of values for for control parameters and it is difficult to find the best choice of these values in order to optimize the behavior of a particular GA. We proposed a Adaptive mutation rate GA within a steady-state genetic algorithm in order to provide a self-adapting mutation mechanism. In this paper, the proposed a adaptive mutation rate GAP is implemented on the FPGA board with a APEX EP20K600EBC652-3 devices. The proposed a adaptive mutation rate GAP increased the speed of finding optimal solution by about 10%, and increased probability of finding the optimal solution more than the conventional GAP

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.2
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• pp.363-372
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• 2009

The difference of two independent binomial proportions is frequently of interest in biomedical research. The interval estimation may be an important tool for the inferential problem. Many confidence intervals have been proposed. They can be classified into the class of exact confidence intervals or the class of approximate confidence intervals. Ore may prefer exact confidence interval s in that they guarantee the minimum coverage probability greater than the nominal confidence level. However, someone, for example Agresti and Coull (1998) claims that "approximation is better than exact." It seems that when sample size is large, the approximate interval is more preferable to the exact interval. However, the choice is not clear when sample, size is small. In this note, an exact confidence and an approximate confidence interval, which were recommended by Santner et al. (2007) and Lee (2006b), respectively, are compared in terms of the coverage probability and the expected length.

• Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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• v.16 no.1
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• pp.83-98
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• 1990

Previous studies have shown strong tendancy toward overconfidence in intuitive probability judgements. The purpose of the present study is to investigate the relations between this overconfidence phenomenon and the three major characteristics of information, namely, the pertinance, the redundancy and the quantity. An experiment was conducted where the subjects were asked to respond to 120 questions of the same type. In each question, the subjects' task was to predict, in the light of given information, which of the two given countries would have had higher GNP in 1979 and to give the probability that their choice would be correct. The results suggests that only the pertinance of information has significant influence on the degree of overconfidence.

• School Mathematics
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• v.15 no.3
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• pp.603-617
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• 2013

The major purpose of this article is to examine what kind of gap exists between mathematically gifted students' probability knowledge and the reality actually applying that knowledge and then analyze the cause of the gap. To attain the goal, 23 elementary mathematically gifted students at the highest level from G region were provided with problem situations internalizing a probability and expectation, and the problems are in series in which conditions change one by one. The study task is in a gaming situation where there can be the most reasonable answer mathematically, but the choice may differ by how much they consider a certain condition. To collect data, the students' individual worksheets are collected, and all the class procedures are recorded with a camcorder, and the researcher writes a class observation report. The biggest reason why the students do not make a decision solely based on their own mathematical knowledge is because of 'impracticality', one of the properties of probability, that in reality, all things are not realized according to the mathematical calculation and are impossible to be anticipated and also their own psychological disposition to 'avoid loss' about their entry fee paid. In order to provide desirable probability education, we should not be limited to having learners master probability knowledge included in the textbook by solving the problems based on algorithmic knowledge but provide them with plenty of experience to apply probabilistic inference with which they should make their own choice in diverse situations having context.

• Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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• v.21 no.4
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• pp.57-66
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• 2003

Because the Logit model easily calculates probabilities for choice alternatives and estimates parameters for explanatory variables, it is widely used as a traffic mode choice model. However, this model includes an assumption which is independently and identically distributed to the error component distribution of the mode choice utility function. This paper is a study on the estimation of the Heteroscedastic Logit Model. which mitigates this assumption. The purpose of this paper is to estimate a Logit model that more accurately reflects the mode choice behavior of passengers by resolving the homoscedasticity of the model choice utility error component. In order to do this, we introduced a scale factor that is directly related to the error component distribution of the model. This scale factor was defined so as to take into account the heteroscedasticity in the difference in travel time between using public transport and driving a car, and was used to estimate the travel time parameter. The results of the Logit Model estimation developed in this study show that Heteroscedastic Logit Models can realistically reflect the mode choice behavior of passengers, even if the difference in travel time between public and private transport remains the same as passenger travel time increases, by identifying the difference in mode choice probability of passengers for public transportation.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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• v.23 no.1
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• pp.141-156
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• 1995

This research is executed to find out the boundary of use by the conscious of local residents and to get the basic materials for the distribution of outdoor leisure-facilities. The map of use distribution of the outdoor leisure-facilities in a neighbourhood unit is made by applying a concept of the probabilistic contour line based on the choice model of outdoer leisure-facilities in the city of Seoul, Taegu an\ulcorner Kwangju. The results are listed as follows. 1) The use of outdoor leisure-facilities is influenced on the accessibility by the physical obstacles of streets and hills, etc. 2) The limitation of uses applying the model of choice probability are different according to the accessibility, the percentage of utilities and the arriving range based on the questionnaires which are surveyed the choice of outdoor leisure facilities of the residents of Seoul, Taegu and Kwangju. 3) The distribution of outdoor leisure facilities is decided by the limitation of use with the conscious of local residents.